Southern Miss Golden Eagles vs Texas State Bobcats basketball final score
Fri, Nov 13 · 8:00 PM ET · Strahan Arena at the University Events Center, San Marcos, TX
Non-conferenceYouTubeStrahan Arena at the University Events Center, San Marcos, TX
Southern Miss
2-1 · 0-0 conf
Efficiency #242
@
Texas St
3-0 · 0-0 conf
Efficiency #156
Final
6585
Final score
Projected 65.8 – 77.0
USM win 17%TXST win 83%
MarketClose
Spread
TXST −11.0
open TXST −12.5
Total
138.0
open 143.5
Our line
TXST −11.2
Our total
142.8
as of Fri, Nov 13 · 7:51 PM ET
Our play
How our line is built
each step, from an even game to our lineSpread
Even game
0.0
Texas Strated 1.4 above average
+1.4
Southern Missrated 6.5 below average
+6.5
Home court
+3.4
Our line
TXST −11.2
◂ Southern Miss sideTexas St side ▸
Total
Average D-I game
151.3
Texas Stlower-scoring games
−5.6
Southern Misslower-scoring games
−2.9
Our line
142.8
Axis starts at 135 pointsPoints added or removed at each step
Steps are rounded to one decimal, so they can differ from the line by 0.1. The spread is seen from the home side: a plus moves it toward Texas St.
Pace & total
possessions per 40 minutesTempo, possessions per 40 minutes
Projected possessions: 66.9, from each team's opponent-adjusted tempo. On raw season pace, Southern Miss is the faster team (71.0, #169 of 365) and Texas St the slower (61.2, #360). When tempos clash, the slower team usually pulls the pace harder (weights 0.80 vs 0.66).
Projected possessions
66.9
per team, 40 min
Market total
138.0
Market close · open 143.5
Adjusted tempo, vs an average opponent
70.4#190
Southern Miss
66.9#346
Texas St
How this game plays
points this game from the four factors, vs an average D-I matchupOur line
TXST −11.2
Four factors 9.9Not in these stats 1.3
From the four factors
Texas St has the ball+4.7
Southern Miss has the ball−5.2
Texas St has the ball
✓Shoots it welleFG% 56.6% #74 · USM allows 52.4% #223+4.4
✗Coughs it upTO% 22.0% #307 · USM forces 19.2% #128 · ~14 turnovers−2.3
✓Wins second chancesOR% 36.0% #95 · USM allows 34.2% #241+1.8
✓Gets to the lineFTR 34.7% #202 · USM allows 39.5% #228 · FT 82.4% #17+0.7
Southern Miss has the ball
✗Coughs it upTO% 23.9% #335 · TXST forces 19.6% #119 · ~15 turnovers−3.4
✗Tough shooting lookeFG% 46.0% #274 · TXST allows 48.6% #139−3.3
✓Wins second chancesOR% 36.7% #84 · TXST allows 33.9% #233+2.0
✗Few trips to the lineFTR 56.6% #19 · TXST allows 25.7% #44 · FT 57.8% #346−0.5
Shot diet
Where each offense shoots from and where each defense lets teams shootSouthern Missoffense vsTexas Stdefense
Share of shots by zone
Southern Miss shoots
43.9
13.3
9.2
33.7
Texas St allows
42.3
6.2
17.5
34.0
D-I average
38.2
8.1
12.3
41.4
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 55.8%#215 | 51.2%#82 | 58.1% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 46.2%#111 | 50.0%#263 | 37.9% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 11.1%#340 | 41.2%#226 | 36.0% |
| Three | 33.3%#162 | 27.8%#87 | 32.4% |
Texas Stoffense vsSouthern Missdefense
Share of shots by zone
Texas St shoots
37.5
10.4
15.6
36.5
Southern Miss allows
39.3
17.8
12.1
30.8
D-I average
38.2
8.1
12.3
41.4
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 52.8%#261 | 71.4%#330 | 58.1% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 50.0%#78 | 31.6%#127 | 37.9% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 53.3%#37 | 53.8%#328 | 36.0% |
| Three | 41.7%#27 | 30.8%#146 | 32.4% |
RimShort 2 (≤9 ft)Mid 2 (10 ft+)Three
Zones from play-by-play shot descriptions; garbage time removed. Bars show the share of field-goal attempts in each zone; where a slice is too thin for its number, the shares are listed under the bar. FG% ranks: #1 = best for that side (most accurate shooting, stingiest defense).
Shot volume
Extra scoring chances from rebounds, turnovers and the foul lineSouthern Miss
+2.2extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#141 of 365
Off reb %
36.7%
#84
Def reb %
65.8%
#241
Turnover %
23.9%
#335
Forced TO %
19.2%
#128
FT rate
56.6%
#19
FT allowed
39.5%
#228
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding+1.7
Defensive rebounding−0.8
Ball security−4.0
Forcing turnovers+0.9
Foul shots drawn+5.0
Foul shots allowed−0.5
Texas St
+1.6extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#154 of 365
Off reb %
36.0%
#95
Def reb %
66.1%
#233
Turnover %
22.0%
#307
Forced TO %
19.6%
#119
FT rate
34.7%
#202
FT allowed
25.7%
#44
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding+1.5
Defensive rebounding−0.7
Ball security−2.7
Forcing turnovers+1.1
Foul shots drawn−0.7
Foul shots allowed+3.0
Southern Miss has more extra scoring chances per game: +2.2 (#141 of 365) to Texas St’s +1.6 (#154).
Grade = extra shots and foul-line trips per game compared with a D-I average team, built from six season rates. Cell shading is the national rank for each rate (greener = better for that team).
Rotation
Who has been playing, and who has notSouthern Miss2026-27 numbers · last game: Jackson St, Nov 11
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | Min/40, last 8 | Last 3 vs before | Status | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | G | Sr | 6'0" | 3-3 | 28.7 | 33 | — | Started last | 14.7 | 2.3 | 3.3 | 2.0 | 56.0% | 35.3% | 5.7 | 88.9% | 25.4% | |
| 8 | G | Sr | 6'5" | 3-3 | 27.3 | 31 | — | Started last | 9.7 | 3.7 | 1.3 | 3.0 | 50.0% | 35.7% | 4.7 | 0.0% | 25.9% | |
| 20 | G | Sr | 6'5" | 3-3 | 24.3 | 31 | — | Started last | 9.7 | 4.3 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 2.0 | 66.7% | 21.3% | |
| 10 | G | Sr | 6'6" | 3-3 | 22.0 | 23 | — | Started last | 9.0 | 6.3 | 1.7 | 3.7 | 44.2% | 20.0% | 1.7 | 44.4% | 34.3% | |
| 24 | F | Sr | 6'8" | 3-0 | 20.3 | 27 | — | Bench | 11.3 | 4.7 | 0.7 | 3.0 | 50.0% | 0.0% | 1.0 | 60.0% | 37.6% | |
| 6 | F | Jr | 6'8" | 3-0 | 19.0 | 17 | — | Bench | 3.7 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 25.0% | 14.3% | 2.3 | 80.0% | 18.8% | |
| 49 | C | Jr | 7'0" | 3-3 | 13.3 | 7 | — | Started last | 1.3 | 2.0 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 33.3% | — | 0.0 | 50.0% | 6.8% | |
| 0 | G | So | 6'6" | 3-0 | 12.3 | 12 | — | Bench | 3.3 | 3.0 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 50.0% | 0.0% | 0.3 | 50.0% | 15.9% | |
| 23 | G | Jr | 6'5" | 3-0 | 11.7 | 12 | — | Bench | 2.0 | 3.3 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 60.0% | 66.7% | 1.0 | — | 10.9% | |
| 1 | G | Jr | 6'4" | 3-0 | 10.3 | 7 | — | Bench | 2.0 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 62.5% | 50.0% | 0.7 | 50.0% | 15.9% | |
| 4 | G | Jr | 6'6" | 2-0 | 7.0 | 0 | — | Missed last game | 3.5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 41.7% | 25.0% | 2.0 | 66.7% | 32.4% | |
| 22 | F | Sr | 6'9" | 2-0 | 6.0 | — | — | Missed last | 1.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 50.0% | — | 0.0 | — | 17.8% | |
| 5 | G | Fr | 6'4" | 2-0 | 5.5 | — | — | Missed last | 4.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 64.3% | 33.3% | 1.5 | 0.0% | 38.9% | |
| 13 | G | Fr | 6'6" | 2-0 | 5.0 | — | — | Missed last | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 20.0% | — | 0.0 | 50.0% | 31.5% | |
| 7 | C | Sr | 6'11" | 2-0 | 3.5 | — | — | Missed last | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0% | — | 0.0 | — | 7.9% | |
| 11 | G | So | 6'2" | 1-0 | 3.0 | — | — | Missed last | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 1.0 | 100.0% | 33.8% |
Competitive minutes leave out garbage time (provisional rule: a second-half lead of 25+ inside 15:00, 20+ inside 10:00, 15+ inside 5:00 or 10+ inside 2:00, held to the end) and are shown per 40 minutes. Status says only whether a player appeared; the reason is not published.
Trends
Results against the closing spread and total, last ten games, entering this gameSouthern Miss
Against the spread
Season
1-1
Home
0-1
Road
1-0
Last 10
1-1
avg cover +0.8
Missed the spread in the last game
Over / under
Season
1-1
Home
1-0
Road
0-1
Last 10
1-1
avg vs total +4.8
Over in the last game
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 11 | Jackson St | H | W 84–80 OT | −8.5 | L−4.5 | 148.5 | O164 | 104.3 | 99.3 | 80.6 |
| Nov 6 | #18Iowa State | A | L 57–83 | +32.0 | W+6.0 | 146.0 | U140 | 81.1 | 118.1 | 70.3 |
| Nov 2 | Tougaloo Bulldogs | H | W 82–35 | — | — | — | — | 106.4 | 45.4 | 77.1 |
| Mar 8 | Troy | N | L 70–78 | +5.5 | L−2.5 | 143.0 | O148 | 98.2 | 109.4 | 71.3 |
| Mar 7 | App State | N | W 86–73 | +5.0 | W+18.0 | 137.5 | O159 | 125.4 | 106.5 | 68.6 |
| Mar 6 | Texas St | N | W 81–77 | +1.5 | W+5.5 | 140.0 | O158 | 117.3 | 111.5 | 69.0 |
| Mar 5 | James Madison | N | W 86–80 | +2.0 | W+8.0 | 143.5 | O166 | 119.4 | 111.1 | 72.0 |
| Feb 27 | South Alabama | A | W 68–55 | +4.0 | W+17.0 | 142.0 | U123 | 105.1 | 85.0 | 64.7 |
| Feb 24 | Arkansas St | A | L 84–89 | +9.0 | W+4.0 | 158.0 | O173 | 106.4 | 112.8 | 78.9 |
| Feb 21 | Old Dominion | H | W 86–81 | −5.0 | P0.0 | 148.0 | O167 | 106.1 | 100.0 | 81.0 |
Texas St
Against the spread
Season
2-0
Home
1-0
Road
1-0
Last 10
2-0
avg cover +1.5
Covered 2 straight
Over / under
Season
0-2
Home
0-1
Road
0-1
Last 10
0-2
avg vs total −10.8
Under 2 straight
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10 | UT Rio Grande | A | W 72–65 | −5.5 | W+1.5 | 138.0 | U137 | 120.7 | 108.9 | 59.7 |
| Nov 5 | Howard Payne Yellow Jackets | H | W 135–66 | — | — | — | — | 147.9 | 72.3 | 91.3 |
| Nov 2 | Texas A&M-CC | H | W 67–55 | −10.5 | W+1.5 | 142.5 | U122 | 106.7 | 87.6 | 62.8 |
| Mar 6 | Southern Miss | N | L 77–81 | −1.5 | L−5.5 | 140.0 | O158 | 111.5 | 117.3 | 69.0 |
| Feb 27 | App State | H | W 60–57 | +1.0 | W+4.0 | 135.0 | U117 | 98.7 | 93.8 | 60.8 |
| Feb 21 | Louisiana | A | L 54–67 | −3.0 | L−16.0 | 134.0 | U121 | 90.3 | 112.1 | 59.8 |
| Feb 19 | South Alabama | A | W 90–82 OT | +4.0 | W+12.0 | 137.5 | O172 | 123.5 | 112.6 | 72.8 |
| Feb 14 | UL Monroe | H | W 95–84 | −14.0 | L−3.0 | 149.0 | O179 | 148.1 | 131.0 | 64.1 |
| Feb 11 | Troy | H | W 74–62 | +5.0 | W+17.0 | 140.5 | U136 | 116.2 | 97.4 | 63.7 |
| Feb 7 | W Michigan | H | W 77–61 | −6.5 | W+9.5 | 146.5 | U138 | 119.8 | 94.9 | 64.3 |
Records vs the closing line describe the past; ten games is a small sample.
Team comparison
national rank toned left for away, right for homeSouthern MissTexas St
Efficiency
101.9
105.7
106.9
105.2
70.4
66.9
2.3
-1.0
Shooting
46.0%
56.6%
44.2%
53.2%
33.3%
41.7%
57.8%
82.4%
56.6%
34.7%
Ball control & glass
23.9%
22.0%
19.2%
19.6%
36.7%
36.0%
34.2%
33.9%
13.3%
12.2%
15.6%
11.3%
Style
31.9%
36.7%
45.4%
37.4%
12.8%
14.4%
60.9%
60.4%
44.5%
40.3%
Roster
3.49
2.64
6'5.6"
6'5.2"
15.1%
40.1%
Offseason
roster movement into this season — descriptive, not a model inputSouthern Miss
Returning minutes: 15.1%Returning production: 15.6%
Lost
- Tylik Weeks 32.6 mpg, 19.2 ppg · transferred to Memphis
- Dylan Brumfield 31.2 mpg, 8.4 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Djahi Binet 26.4 mpg, 11.3 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Curt Lewis 23.2 mpg, 5.4 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Israel Hart 21.0 mpg, 7.5 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Chiante' Tramble 12.0 mpg, 3.5 ppg · transferred to N Colorado
Added
- Cameron Wallace from Little Rock · 28.6 mpg, 12.7 ppg last season
- Jalyke Gaines-Wyatt from Hampton · 23.8 mpg, 10.2 ppg last season
- Marcus Overstreet from San José St · 8.2 mpg, 2.2 ppg last season
- Mike Montano no D1 minutes last season
- Chandler Watts no D1 minutes last season
- DeAndre Harvey no D1 minutes last season
Returns 15% of last season's minutes; lost 5 of its top 5 (1 transferred). Teams returning under 40% of last season's minutes have historically fallen about 0.8 points of AdjEM (n=716 team-seasons, 2022-2026).
Texas St
Returning minutes: 54.2%Returning production: 61.6%
Lost
- Kyndall Davis 22.0 mpg, 5.3 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Franck Emmou 21.8 mpg, 7.0 ppg · transferred to Tarleton St
- Jalen Bolden 16.3 mpg, 5.2 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Tay Knox 14.1 mpg, 2.8 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Makai Willis 12.8 mpg, 6.0 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Jaelyn Lee 4.3 mpg, 1.5 ppg · transferred to Prairie View
Added
- KJ Younger from UNC Greensboro · 28.5 mpg, 15.1 ppg last season
- Quel'Ron House from S Illinois · 28.2 mpg, 14.2 ppg last season
- Ronald Jessamy from Bakersfield · 25.2 mpg, 13.0 ppg last season
- Paul Djobet from Omaha · 18.1 mpg, 10.6 ppg last season
- Caleb Steger from Boston College · 11.3 mpg, 3.3 ppg last season
- David Abisogun no D1 minutes last season
Returns 54% of last season's minutes; lost 2 of its top 5 (1 transferred).
Line history
Market line, home spread or game totalLines by book
| Book | Spread (home) open → now | Total open → now | ML home | ML away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | -12.5→-10.5-110 | 143.5→138.5o-112 u-108 | -625 | +455 |
| FanDuel | -12.5→-10.5-110 | 143.5→138.5o-110 u-110 | -610 | +440 |
| BetMGM | -12.5→-10.5-110 | 143.5→138.5o-110 u-110 | -625 | +450 |
| BetRivers | -11.5→-10.5-107 | 142.5→138.5o-114 u-109 | -625 | +425 |
| Caesars | -12.5→-10.5-110 | 143.5→139o-110 u-110 | -600 | +430 |
| Fanatics | -12.5→-10.5-115 | 143.5→138.5o-110 u-110 | -650 | +460 |
| BetOnline | -12→-10.5-115 | 143.5→139o-104 u-116 | -650 | +476 |
| Bovada | -11.5→-10.5-115 | 142.5→139o-110 u-110 | -650 | +450 |
| theScore Bet | -12.5→-10.5-115 | 143.5→137.5o-115 u-105 | -750 | +475 |
| Hard Rock | -11.5→-10.5-105 | 142.5→138.5o-110 u-110 | -650 | +425 |
| Kalshi | -12.5→-9.5-117 | 143.5→138.5o+104 u-108 | -567 | +525 |
| Polymarket | -10.5-108 | 138.5o+100 u-104 | -567 | +525 |
| Novig | -12.5→— | 143.5→138.5o+100 u-104 | -545 | +525 |
DraftKings
FanDuel
BetMGM
BetRivers
Caesars
Fanatics
BetOnline
Bovada
theScore Bet
Hard Rock
Kalshi
Polymarket
Novigopen = first-sighted line for this event · now = latest capture
Head-to-head
this season and last| Date | Season | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Fri, Mar 6 | 2025-26 | Southern Miss 81 – 77 Texas St(N) |
| Sat, Jan 17 | 2025-26 | Southern Miss 67 – 74 Texas St |
| Thu, Jan 8 | 2025-26 | Texas St 70 – 80 Southern Miss |
More games on Fri, Nov 13
- West Florida vs Cleveland St · 3:00 PM ET
- Texas A&M-CC at Florida St · 5:00 PM ET
- North Alabama at Miami · 5:00 PM ET
- Georgetown at Clemson · 6:00 PM ET
- Bryant at Rutgers · 6:00 PM ET
- Pitt at Butler · 6:30 PM ET
- Merrimack at Florida · 7:00 PM ET
- Georgia at North Carolina · 7:00 PM ET
- Tennessee St at Tennessee · 7:00 PM ET
- Long Island at Fordham · 7:00 PM ET
- Harvard at G Washington · 7:00 PM ET
- Sam Houston at Illinois · 7:00 PM ET
- Troy at NC State · 7:00 PM ET
- Mount St Marys at Virginia Tech · 7:00 PM ET
- Yale at Northeastern · 7:00 PM ET
- Chattanooga at Elon · 7:00 PM ET
- Iona at Hofstra · 7:00 PM ET
- N Arizona at Kentucky · 7:00 PM ET
- Prairie View at Vanderbilt · 7:00 PM ET
- FIU at FGCU · 7:00 PM ET
- Columbia at Bucknell · 7:00 PM ET
- Marist at Lehigh · 7:00 PM ET
- Northern Iowa at Michigan St · 7:00 PM ET
- App State at Charlotte · 7:00 PM ET
- Ohio at Purdue · 7:00 PM ET
- Ohio State at UConn · 7:30 PM ET
- SE Missouri at MTSU · 7:30 PM ET
- NC Central at Liberty · 7:30 PM ET
- South Dakota at Drake · 7:30 PM ET
- FDU at Oklahoma · 8:00 PM ET
- SIUE at Duke · 8:00 PM ET
- Virginia at Maryland · 8:00 PM ET
- C Arkansas at Arkansas · 8:00 PM ET
- Milwaukee at TCU · 8:00 PM ET
- GA Southern at UCF · 8:00 PM ET
- Alcorn St at Tarleton St · 8:00 PM ET
- Wright St at Samford · 8:00 PM ET
- Illinois St at N Dakota St · 8:00 PM ET
- Texas Southern at Murray St · 8:00 PM ET
- Lindenwood at Omaha · 8:45 PM ET
- Seton Hall at Alabama · 9:00 PM ET
- Xavier vs Mississippi St · 9:00 PM ET
- DePaul at Northwestern · 9:00 PM ET
- Arizona at Auburn · 9:00 PM ET
- Ball State at SMU · 9:00 PM ET
- UL Monroe at Arizona St · 9:00 PM ET
- Cal Poly at Idaho · 9:00 PM ET
- Stanford at UNLV · 9:00 PM ET
- Chicago St at San Diego · 9:30 PM ET
- Miss Valley St at Oregon St · 9:30 PM ET
- UIC at Saint Mary's · 10:00 PM ET
- East Texas A&M at Portland · 10:00 PM ET
- UC San Diego at Utah State · 10:00 PM ET
- AR-Pine Bluff at CA Baptist · 10:30 PM ET
The CBB Matchups tab lays out the day's Division I slate: matchup, tip time, records and rank, and — once posted — the market spread and total (the median across books when no market line is up). Three views switch the table between projected scores, pace and totals, and each team's offensive and defensive tendencies. Each game opens into opponent-adjusted possessions, efficiency and four-factor tendencies for both teams, plus recent form, rotation and head-to-head history. Every game also carries our projected score, spread and total, from our line: the same view our bets are made from.
What these numbers mean: line shopping.