CBB Ratings
Every D1 team, adjusted for opponent and pace: AdjO, AdjD, AdjT and the four factors.
2026-27 Ratings
Through games of Nov 1350 of 365 teams
Offseason at a glance
Last season's top 50, ranked by preseason prior
Biggest turnover
Tennessee9.5%
Returns 9% of last season's minutes; lost 5 of its top 5 (2 transferred). Teams returning under 40% of last season's minutes have historically fallen about 0.8 points of AdjEM (n=716 team-seasons, 2022-2026).
Most continuity
Florida78.8%
Returns 79% of last season's minutes; lost 1 of its top 5 (1 transferred). Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026).
Historically, teams returning under 40% of last season's minutes have fallen about 0.8 points of AdjEM on average (n=716 team-seasons, 2022–2026); teams returning 65%+ have gained about 2.2 (n=156). Preseason ratings don't apply this adjustment yet. The effect is real and points the same way in the seasons we tested, but three years of data isn't precise enough to price it into the projection. Read the study.
| Rk | Team | AdjEM | AdjO | AdjD | AdjT | SOS | Record | eFG O | eFG D | TO O | TO D | OR O | OR D | FTR O | FTR D | 3PA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Illinois Fighting IlliniBig Ten | 29.1(1) | 123.7(1) | 94.5(13) | 74.9(16) | 0.0(174) | 2-1 | 64.1%(6) | 37.7%(11) | 17.7%(180) | 14.8%(293) | 43.9%(10) | 24.8%(51) | 26.9%(302) | 24.5%(35) | 51.9% | 57.3% |
| 2 | Duke Blue DevilsACC | 28.9(2) | 119.4(7) | 90.5(1) | 72.4(75) | 1.2(152) | 2-1 | 54.1%(111) | 41.8%(30) | 18.4%(202) | 24.2%(31) | 42.2%(16) | 26.3%(72) | 57.5%(16) | 31.6%(114) | 40.3% | 43.2% |
| 3 | Houston CougarsBig 12 | 28.2(3) | 118.8(10) | 90.6(2) | 69.9(216) | -2.8(228) | 3-0 | 58.4%(45) | 38.7%(13) | 15.1%(76) | 23.1%(46) | 40.2%(36) | 27.2%(99) | 44.9%(85) | 30.6%(107) | 29.2% | 23.4% |
| 4 | Florida GatorsSEC | 24.7(4) | 118.2(15) | 93.5(9) | 70.7(175) | 6.8(72) | 3-0 | 54.0%(117) | 41.3%(29) | 19.1%(226) | 15.2%(275) | 41.1%(26) | 24.4%(44) | 62.8%(7) | 35.2%(168) | 48.2% | 78.8% |
| 5 | Michigan State SpartansBig Ten | 24.4(5) | 117.7(20) | 93.3(7) | 71.2(130) | 9.1(46) | 3-0 | 58.9%(43) | 39.3%(15) | 17.8%(185) | 18.7%(143) | 41.1%(28) | 28.1%(114) | 52.6%(35) | 52.0%(329) | 38.3% | 60.4% |
| 6 | UConn HuskiesBig East | 24.3(6) | 115.7(28) | 91.4(4) | 68.9(285) | -3.9(253) | 3-0 | 53.4%(125) | 39.4%(16) | 15.6%(97) | 26.9%(13) | 38.5%(56) | 29.1%(135) | 46.9%(64) | 32.9%(136) | 45.3% | 47.3% |
| 7 | Vanderbilt CommodoresSEC | 24.2(7) | 119.6(6) | 95.4(20) | 70.5(188) | 0.3(166) | 3-0 | 59.5%(35) | 43.3%(46) | 14.4%(62) | 19.7%(114) | 41.2%(25) | 21.7%(16) | 31.6%(244) | 37.4%(198) | 41.1% | 25.4% |
| 8 | Gonzaga BulldogsPac-12 | 23.9(8) | 119.1(9) | 95.2(19) | 72.1(86) | 6.3(80) | 2-0 | 61.3%(20) | 50.0%(169) | 11.5%(10) | 20.9%(83) | 33.9%(144) | 27.1%(95) | 54.8%(23) | 43.7%(269) | 34.8% | 13.7% |
| 9 | UCLA BruinsBig Ten | 23.2(9) | 118.3(14) | 95.1(18) | 71.0(150) | -4.8(271) | 3-0 | 59.1%(40) | 37.6%(10) | 12.2%(17) | 25.2%(21) | 38.7%(51) | 26.4%(79) | 37.8%(165) | 35.1%(166) | 41.1% | 47.6% |
| 10 | Kansas JayhawksBig 12 | 23.1(10) | 114.3(43) | 91.2(3) | 73.1(57) | 2.3(132) | 3-0 | 62.2%(13) | 39.8%(18) | 17.5%(169) | 21.5%(70) | 36.7%(83) | 30.1%(162) | 40.5%(136) | 20.9%(12) | 37.8% | 39.2% |
| 11 | Michigan WolverinesBig Ten | 22.6(11) | 117.0(22) | 94.4(12) | 74.3(30) | 10.7(33) | 2-1 | 51.8%(156) | 43.1%(45) | 17.0%(154) | 17.5%(190) | 35.5%(109) | 32.8%(210) | 29.6%(272) | 39.7%(232) | 44.9% | 36.0% |
| 12 | Saint Louis BillikensA-10 | 22.3(12) | 120.5(4) | 98.2(34) | 74.4(28) | 1.8(139) | 3-0 | 67.4%(3) | 41.1%(27) | 11.8%(12) | 19.3%(127) | 25.5%(287) | 34.3%(246) | 33.2%(227) | 34.7%(158) | 41.5% | 58.6% |
| 13 | Virginia CavaliersACC | 21.7(13) | 118.7(12) | 97.0(27) | 71.4(118) | -2.9(229) | 4-0 | 58.1%(49) | 48.7%(143) | 16.9%(149) | 24.5%(27) | 43.1%(14) | 26.6%(83) | 27.9%(289) | 27.0%(60) | 46.7% | 51.4% |
| 14 | Arizona WildcatsBig 12 | 21.6(14) | 118.0(16) | 96.5(25) | 72.4(74) | 2.0(136) | 2-1 | 56.2%(83) | 50.3%(180) | 13.7%(44) | 18.7%(144) | 35.4%(112) | 29.4%(141) | 41.9%(115) | 29.8%(93) | 37.1% | 27.5% |
| 15 | Texas LonghornsSEC | 21.0(15) | 120.6(3) | 99.6(43) | 70.8(166) | -13.8(360) | 3-0 | 65.1%(5) | 41.2%(28) | 13.0%(33) | 23.7%(38) | 43.7%(12) | 25.4%(58) | 54.2%(25) | 29.4%(86) | 33.5% | 13.2% |
| 16 | Nebraska CornhuskersBig Ten | 20.9(16) | 114.3(44) | 93.4(8) | 70.0(213) | -3.9(251) | 3-0 | 59.0%(42) | 40.6%(24) | 16.1%(113) | 24.3%(29) | 33.3%(152) | 31.0%(172) | 42.7%(105) | 25.6%(42) | 50.0% | 39.8% |
| 17 | St. John's Red StormBig East | 20.8(17) | 115.8(26) | 95.0(16) | 72.2(84) | -3.1(231) | 3-0 | 56.8%(72) | 47.7%(110) | 13.3%(36) | 25.7%(17) | 35.6%(105) | 24.5%(46) | 37.7%(168) | 22.2%(22) | 40.8% | 17.8% |
| 18 | Louisville CardinalsACC | 20.0(18) | 117.9(17) | 97.9(29) | 71.8(92) | -8.6(324) | 2-0 | 56.9%(69) | 45.8%(80) | 12.0%(15) | 18.4%(155) | 46.9%(5) | 22.2%(21) | 39.4%(148) | 23.3%(29) | 53.3% | 11.4% |
| 19 | Iowa State CyclonesBig 12 | 19.8(19) | 113.0(57) | 93.2(6) | 71.1(139) | -4.6(267) | 2-1 | 51.4%(164) | 44.6%(61) | 18.3%(200) | 27.9%(9) | 37.6%(68) | 29.0%(132) | 51.1%(42) | 41.8%(250) | 34.1% | 53.1% |
| 20 | Iowa HawkeyesBig Ten | 19.8(20) | 116.7(23) | 96.9(26) | 66.1(354) | -8.0(318) | 2-1 | 64.0%(8) | 35.9%(7) | 17.4%(167) | 22.7%(53) | 36.5%(88) | 23.0%(27) | 40.5%(136) | 41.4%(246) | 49.5% | 56.4% |
| 21 | Utah State AggiesPac-12 | 19.4(21) | 118.3(13) | 98.9(38) | 72.6(68) | -9.6(335) | 3-0 | 60.8%(23) | 42.9%(44) | 12.0%(14) | 19.1%(132) | 36.4%(89) | 27.6%(107) | 31.7%(243) | 26.2%(51) | 34.1% | 25.5% |
| 22 | Alabama Crimson TideSEC | 19.3(22) | 120.2(5) | 100.9(60) | 75.9(5) | -2.1(216) | 3-0 | 59.4%(38) | 46.6%(94) | 15.1%(77) | 24.0%(35) | 37.5%(71) | 38.1%(306) | 32.9%(229) | 27.5%(64) | 59.6% | 33.6% |
| 23 | Missouri TigersSEC | 19.0(23) | 119.4(8) | 100.4(55) | 69.5(251) | -0.4(186) | 2-1 | 61.7%(17) | 47.7%(114) | 10.5%(6) | 18.2%(161) | 37.6%(67) | 26.8%(90) | 36.8%(177) | 25.4%(41) | 40.4% | 36.2% |
| 24 | Tennessee VolunteersSEC | 18.5(24) | 111.4(75) | 92.9(5) | 69.3(256) | -7.1(302) | 2-0 | 54.3%(107) | 32.9%(3) | 18.1%(193) | 20.2%(95) | 33.3%(152) | 28.6%(125) | 33.3%(222) | 32.5%(130) | 34.2% | 9.5% |
| 25 | BYU CougarsBig 12 | 18.1(25) | 121.3(2) | 103.1(100) | 71.1(137) | 0.2(169) | 4-0 | 66.2%(4) | 52.0%(219) | 14.0%(57) | 17.1%(202) | 32.3%(175) | 26.7%(85) | 34.8%(201) | 23.7%(32) | 47.8% | 26.7% |
| 26 | LSU TigersSEC | 18.1(26) | 113.9(46) | 95.8(21) | 73.2(55) | -7.7(314) | 3-0 | 59.8%(30) | 30.2%(1) | 17.4%(165) | 23.0%(47) | 38.1%(60) | 28.4%(122) | 38.1%(159) | 45.2%(282) | 38.1% | 0.0% |
| 27 | Texas Tech Red RaidersBig 12 | 17.9(27) | 113.0(58) | 95.1(17) | 69.2(261) | 3.0(121) | 3-0 | 49.4%(194) | 47.0%(101) | 16.3%(124) | 27.1%(12) | 35.9%(99) | 23.3%(30) | 49.7%(51) | 42.8%(257) | 49.2% | 34.2% |
| 28 | Texas A&M AggiesSEC | 17.9(28) | 114.3(42) | 96.4(24) | 75.9(6) | -4.3(260) | 4-0 | 59.6%(33) | 38.7%(12) | 15.8%(101) | 26.3%(16) | 33.6%(151) | 35.0%(261) | 49.0%(54) | 37.1%(193) | 41.4% | 26.0% |
| 29 | Saint Mary's GaelsWCC | 16.8(29) | 117.8(18) | 100.9(61) | 70.1(207) | 4.2(108) | 2-1 | 61.6%(18) | 54.2%(261) | 12.8%(30) | 18.1%(170) | 29.8%(219) | 26.4%(76) | 27.2%(298) | 43.8%(270) | 41.1% | 26.7% |
| 30 | Purdue BoilermakersBig Ten | 16.8(30) | 118.7(11) | 101.9(74) | 66.0(355) | 10.8(32) | 1-2 | 51.5%(162) | 50.9%(193) | 16.0%(111) | 13.6%(314) | 28.9%(236) | 22.9%(25) | 43.0%(101) | 35.3%(171) | 41.2% | 41.2% |
| 31 | New Mexico LobosMountain West | 16.7(31) | 115.5(29) | 98.8(37) | 72.1(85) | -9.3(332) | 3-0 | 60.1%(26) | 46.3%(89) | 10.3%(5) | 22.0%(62) | 34.9%(123) | 23.8%(35) | 39.9%(144) | 36.4%(187) | 44.0% | 32.5% |
| 32 | Baylor BearsBig 12 | 16.0(32) | 115.2(31) | 99.3(42) | 74.0(33) | -10.2(343) | 3-0 | 55.3%(94) | 43.9%(52) | 14.9%(73) | 29.4%(4) | 43.6%(13) | 26.9%(92) | 49.2%(52) | 32.9%(137) | 40.7% | 25.1% |
| 33 | West Virginia MountaineersBig 12 | 15.8(33) | 110.0(96) | 94.2(11) | 68.3(304) | -10.3(344) | 3-0 | 56.6%(75) | 44.4%(58) | 13.2%(35) | 24.9%(23) | 36.3%(91) | 22.5%(23) | 41.4%(124) | 22.5%(23) | 48.6% | 21.2% |
| 34 | Ole Miss RebelsSEC | 15.8(34) | 112.8(60) | 97.0(28) | 71.3(125) | -9.7(338) | 3-0 | 59.4%(37) | 43.8%(49) | 12.4%(19) | 30.7%(1) | 36.5%(86) | 29.0%(132) | 36.0%(183) | 37.9%(205) | 31.5% | 29.7% |
| 35 | NC State WolfpackACC | 15.7(35) | 116.3(24) | 100.6(57) | 71.0(146) | -3.5(238) | 3-0 | 58.3%(46) | 46.3%(86) | 16.8%(142) | 18.3%(158) | 40.0%(39) | 27.2%(98) | 25.1%(319) | 26.4%(54) | 45.5% | 28.1% |
| 36 | Auburn TigersSEC | 15.6(36) | 117.1(21) | 101.5(70) | 70.5(189) | -5.2(278) | 2-0 | 54.0%(116) | 37.0%(9) | 14.9%(72) | 18.6%(146) | 44.6%(8) | 35.2%(265) | 40.3%(139) | 28.5%(79) | 40.3% | 34.5% |
| 37 | North Carolina Tar HeelsACC | 15.6(37) | 114.4(39) | 98.8(35) | 71.5(112) | -0.1(181) | 3-0 | 55.9%(87) | 40.8%(26) | 12.0%(16) | 15.7%(256) | 28.7%(238) | 36.0%(276) | 44.1%(89) | 26.2%(52) | 40.3% | 17.0% |
| 38 | Marquette Golden EaglesBig East | 15.5(38) | 110.1(95) | 94.5(14) | 69.9(220) | -1.3(203) | 2-1 | 50.5%(180) | 40.2%(22) | 12.5%(24) | 25.1%(22) | 40.0%(39) | 29.9%(155) | 21.6%(346) | 13.4%(3) | 44.7% | 60.2% |
| 39 | Arkansas RazorbacksSEC | 15.4(39) | 117.7(19) | 102.3(83) | 70.8(162) | -2.6(225) | 2-1 | 55.1%(98) | 48.9%(148) | 17.1%(157) | 20.4%(94) | 44.7%(7) | 28.4%(123) | 41.6%(119) | 29.3%(85) | 28.1% | 15.7% |
| 40 | TCU Horned FrogsBig 12 | 15.3(40) | 113.2(55) | 97.9(31) | 70.3(199) | -11.5(352) | 3-0 | 52.4%(144) | 47.5%(107) | 14.7%(69) | 27.8%(10) | 42.5%(15) | 36.8%(289) | 57.6%(15) | 32.0%(120) | 38.5% | 50.7% |
| 41 | George Washington RevolutionariesA-10 | 15.2(41) | 111.7(71) | 96.4(23) | 70.6(183) | -3.5(240) | 3-0 | 54.7%(101) | 33.1%(4) | 17.9%(189) | 21.8%(65) | 33.3%(152) | 24.2%(41) | 37.9%(164) | 34.3%(151) | 39.1% | 12.2% |
| 42 | Miami HurricanesACC | 14.8(42) | 111.0(79) | 96.3(22) | 71.8(93) | -0.6(190) | 2-1 | 48.3%(227) | 42.1%(32) | 16.2%(120) | 19.8%(110) | 35.2%(116) | 25.4%(57) | 30.8%(259) | 30.6%(106) | 31.3% | 42.5% |
| 43 | Wisconsin BadgersBig Ten | 14.4(43) | 112.5(65) | 98.1(33) | 71.4(121) | -6.1(294) | 3-0 | 53.0%(131) | 36.3%(8) | 16.1%(117) | 18.0%(171) | 35.2%(118) | 28.1%(113) | 33.9%(215) | 29.5%(88) | 44.1% | 44.5% |
| 44 | Indiana HoosiersBig Ten | 14.3(44) | 115.4(30) | 101.1(63) | 70.2(204) | -4.9(273) | 4-0 | 56.4%(79) | 50.7%(185) | 16.9%(148) | 21.5%(71) | 41.0%(29) | 26.7%(85) | 50.4%(47) | 27.8%(69) | 43.6% | 17.2% |
| 45 | Virginia Tech HokiesACC | 12.8(45) | 112.7(62) | 99.9(46) | 71.8(96) | -9.4(333) | 3-0 | 57.4%(60) | 42.5%(36) | 12.3%(18) | 28.8%(5) | 41.4%(22) | 31.4%(185) | 40.6%(135) | 48.1%(304) | 39.1% | 37.2% |
| 46 | Minnesota Golden GophersBig Ten | 12.6(46) | 110.7(84) | 98.1(32) | 66.5(349) | -1.9(212) | 4-0 | 57.9%(50) | 42.5%(37) | 20.2%(264) | 16.1%(236) | 37.6%(70) | 21.2%(11) | 27.5%(295) | 29.6%(92) | 48.1% | 60.5% |
| 47 | Boise State BroncosPac-12 | 12.6(47) | 114.9(33) | 102.3(82) | 73.6(39) | 0.6(161) | 3-0 | 61.3%(21) | 49.6%(164) | 10.1%(1) | 23.9%(36) | 32.5%(174) | 32.9%(212) | 29.5%(273) | 26.2%(49) | 49.3% | 27.5% |
| 48 | Ohio State BuckeyesBig Ten | 12.5(48) | 115.7(27) | 103.3(103) | 70.1(205) | 6.2(83) | 2-1 | 52.6%(141) | 53.4%(242) | 16.6%(127) | 16.6%(221) | 34.7%(128) | 26.0%(68) | 50.3%(49) | 33.0%(138) | 41.1% | 33.5% |
| 49 | Syracuse OrangeACC | 12.4(49) | 113.9(47) | 101.5(68) | 70.4(192) | -2.2(217) | 2-1 | 58.6%(44) | 45.3%(68) | 12.4%(20) | 17.4%(193) | 33.0%(166) | 24.3%(42) | 39.4%(147) | 30.2%(98) | 38.9% | 15.6% |
| 50 | Villanova WildcatsBig East | 12.3(50) | 112.9(59) | 100.5(56) | 68.9(283) | -4.0(254) | 2-1 | 57.8%(53) | 40.0%(19) | 16.7%(137) | 16.7%(212) | 34.0%(142) | 34.1%(235) | 27.0%(299) | 35.3%(172) | 42.7% | 26.8% |
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Opponent-adjusted, tempo-free ratings for every Division I team — points scored and allowed per 100 possessions and pace, each stripped of who the team has played. Preseason ratings start from last season, regressed toward the mean, and lean more on that prior the fewer games a team has played this year; in-season ratings update each morning off D1-vs-D1 games only. Four-factor tendencies (shooting, turnovers, rebounding, free-throw rate) sit alongside so a team's style is visible, not just its record.
What these numbers mean: model calibration.