Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders vs Florida State Seminoles basketball final score

Fri, Nov 13 · 5:00 PM ET · Donald L. Tucker Center, Tallahassee, FL

Non-conferenceACCNXDonald L. Tucker Center, Tallahassee, FL
Texas A&M-CC
2-1 · 0-0 conf
Efficiency #178
@
Florida St
2-1 · 0-0 conf
Efficiency #54
Final
6084
Final score
Projected 64.3 – 87.4
AMCC win 2%FSU win 98%
MarketClose
Spread
FSU −24.0
open FSU −22.0
Total
149.0
open 148.0
Our line
FSU −23.1
Our total
151.7
as of Fri, Nov 13 · 4:51 PM ET

Our play

How our line is built

each step, from an even game to our line
Spread
Even game
0.0
Florida Strated 14.4 above average
+14.4
Texas A&M-CCrated 5.4 below average
+5.4
Home court
+3.4
Our line
FSU −23.1
◂ Texas A&M-CC sideFlorida St side ▸
Total
Average D-I game
151.3
Florida Sthigher-scoring games
+6.9
Texas A&M-CClower-scoring games
−6.4
Our line
151.7
Axis starts at 145 pointsPoints added or removed at each step

Steps are rounded to one decimal, so they can differ from the line by 0.1. The spread is seen from the home side: a plus moves it toward Florida St.

Pace & total

possessions per 40 minutes
Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes

Projected possessions: 71.9, from each team's opponent-adjusted tempo. On raw season pace, Florida St is the faster team (74.1, #80 of 365) and Texas A&M-CC the slower (64.3, #341). When tempos clash, the slower team usually pulls the pace harder (weights 0.80 vs 0.66).

Projected possessions
71.9
per team, 40 min
Market total
149.0
Market close · open 148.0
Adjusted tempo, vs an average opponent
68.5#294
Texas A&M-CC
73.8#35
Florida St

How this game plays

points this game from the four factors, vs an average D-I matchup
Our line
FSU −23.1
Four factors 8.6Not in these stats 14.5
From the four factors
Florida St has the ball+3.5
Texas A&M-CC has the ball−5.1
Florida St has the ball
✓Takes care of the ballTO% 13.9% #52 · AMCC forces 17.9% #175 · ~11 turnovers+2.3
✓Gets to the lineFTR 47.6% #61 · AMCC allows 50.5% #318 · FT 81.3% #24+1.9
✗Tough shooting lookeFG% 52.6% #138 · AMCC allows 45.9% #81−1.0
✓Wins second chancesOR% 38.5% #55 · AMCC allows 23.0% #26+0.3
Texas A&M-CC has the ball
✗Coughs it upTO% 24.9% #346 · FSU forces 18.9% #138 · ~16 turnovers−3.8
✗Tough shooting lookeFG% 47.9% #235 · FSU allows 48.8% #146−2.3
✓Gets to the lineFTR 48.9% #55 · FSU allows 45.8% #287 · FT 69.6% #185+0.9
✓Wins second chancesOR% 37.0% #77 · FSU allows 23.8% #35+0.1

Shot diet

Where each offense shoots from and where each defense lets teams shoot
Texas A&M-CCoffense vsFlorida Stdefense
Share of shots by zone
Texas A&M-CC shoots
Florida St allows
D-I average
FG% by zone
ZoneD-I avg
Rim52.3%#26864.3%#27058.1%
Short 2 (≤9 ft)50.0%#7833.3%#13137.9%
Mid 2 (10 ft+)46.7%#8028.0%#9136.0%
Three26.7%#29434.6%#23332.4%
Florida Stoffense vsTexas A&M-CCdefense
Share of shots by zone
Florida St shoots
Texas A&M-CC allows
D-I average
FG% by zone
ZoneD-I avg
Rim63.0%#10643.2%#2558.1%
Short 2 (≤9 ft)50.0%#7846.2%#24437.9%
Mid 2 (10 ft+)46.9%#7938.5%#19836.0%
Three26.0%#30933.3%#20332.4%
RimShort 2 (≤9 ft)Mid 2 (10 ft+)Three

Zones from play-by-play shot descriptions; garbage time removed. Bars show the share of field-goal attempts in each zone; where a slice is too thin for its number, the shares are listed under the bar. FG% ranks: #1 = best for that side (most accurate shooting, stingiest defense).

Shot volume

Extra scoring chances from rebounds, turnovers and the foul line
Texas A&M-CC
−0.4extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#180 of 365
Off reb %
37.0%
#77
Def reb %
77.0%
#26
Turnover %
24.9%
#346
Forced TO %
17.9%
#175
FT rate
48.9%
#55
FT allowed
50.5%
#318
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding+1.9
Defensive rebounding+2.9
Ball security−4.8
Forcing turnovers−0.1
Foul shots drawn+3.0
Foul shots allowed−3.4
Florida St
+9.1extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#55 of 365
Off reb %
38.5%
#55
Def reb %
76.2%
#35
Turnover %
13.9%
#52
Forced TO %
18.9%
#138
FT rate
47.6%
#61
FT allowed
45.8%
#287
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding+2.3
Defensive rebounding+2.7
Ball security+3.0
Forcing turnovers+0.6
Foul shots drawn+2.7
Foul shots allowed−2.2

Florida St has more extra scoring chances per game: +9.1 (#55 of 365) to Texas A&M-CC’s −0.4 (#180).

Grade = extra shots and foul-line trips per game compared with a D-I average team, built from six season rates. Cell shading is the national rank for each rate (greener = better for that team).

Rotation

Who has been playing, and who has not
Texas A&M-CC2026-27 numbers · last game: Louisiana, Nov 6
#PlayerPosClHtGP-GSMPGMin/40, last 8Last 3 vs beforeStatusPPGRPGAPGTOVeFG%3P%3PA/gFT%Usage
3FSr6'8"3-323.334—Started last6.74.30.01.063.6%100.0%0.760.0%16.2%
10GSr6'5"3-322.026—Started last10.02.01.01.057.9%46.2%4.388.9%23.9%
12GJr6'7"3-020.018—Bench10.32.30.71.064.3%25.0%1.380.0%26.4%
22FJr6'7"3-118.027—Bench6.76.00.31.353.8%—0.075.0%23.3%
4GSo6'5"3-117.719—Bench3.73.71.71.025.0%0.0%1.737.5%25.5%
42FJr6'7"3-216.314—Started last8.03.30.02.090.9%—0.044.4%26.2%
1GSr6'3"3-115.718—Bench3.31.00.30.720.0%0.0%0.7100.0%18.6%
2GJr6'2"3-014.314—Bench2.31.31.31.316.7%12.5%2.750.0%28.9%
9GSr6'3"3-213.718—Started last3.01.71.72.026.9%20.0%1.7100.0%29.1%
5GFr6'2"3-010.74—Bench3.31.33.00.043.8%20.0%1.7100.0%17.2%
7FSr6'5"2-014.50—Missed last game13.05.50.01.080.0%—0.033.3%40.0%
0GJr6'1"3-28.7——Active3.03.01.30.350.0%—0.0100.0%21.1%
23CFr6'11"1-020.0——Active10.05.00.01.083.3%—0.00.0%21.2%
11GFr5'10"1-011.0——Active7.01.00.00.070.0%33.3%3.0—24.3%

Competitive minutes leave out garbage time (provisional rule: a second-half lead of 25+ inside 15:00, 20+ inside 10:00, 15+ inside 5:00 or 10+ inside 2:00, held to the end) and are shown per 40 minutes. Status says only whether a player appeared; the reason is not published.

Team comparison

national rank toned left for away, right for home
Texas A&M-CCFlorida St
Efficiency
101.3
114.6
102.5
102.8
68.5
73.8
-5.3
0.9
Shooting
47.9%
52.6%
51.6%
61.0%
26.7%
26.0%
69.6%
81.3%
48.9%
47.6%
Ball control & glass
24.9%
13.9%
17.9%
18.9%
37.0%
38.5%
23.0%
23.8%
10.9%
6.7%
10.9%
5.9%
Style
31.9%
38.2%
45.9%
43.6%
7.4%
14.5%
29.3%
45.1%
57.4%
31.7%
Roster
3.12
2.57
6'5.1"
6'7.5"
12.1%
9.7%

Offseason

roster movement into this season — descriptive, not a model input
Texas A&M-CC
Returning minutes: 15.1%Returning production: 14.1%
Lost
  • Sheldon Williams 25.4 mpg, 11.8 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
  • Nick Shogbonyo 22.8 mpg, 10.1 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
  • Mason Gibson 19.5 mpg, 8.6 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
  • Leo Torbor 19.2 mpg, 5.1 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
  • Franck Yetna 18.8 mpg, 6.8 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
  • D'Avian Houston 16.8 mpg, 6.7 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
Added
  • Jordan Mizell from Tarleton St · 27.6 mpg, 5.3 ppg last season
  • Sebastian Robinson from NJIT · 24.9 mpg, 13.4 ppg last season
  • Isaiah Lewis from Long Beach St · 22.1 mpg, 6.0 ppg last season
  • Bin Basil from Wagner · 22.0 mpg, 8.6 ppg last season
  • Lamin Foon no D1 minutes last season
  • Jacori Jones no D1 minutes last season

Returns 15% of last season's minutes; lost 5 of its top 5. Teams returning under 40% of last season's minutes have historically fallen about 0.8 points of AdjEM (n=716 team-seasons, 2022-2026).

Florida St
Returning minutes: 15.9%Returning production: 17.0%
Lost
  • Lajae Jones 29.5 mpg, 12.7 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
  • Robert McCray V 28.9 mpg, 16.3 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
  • Chauncey Wiggins 27.1 mpg, 12.9 ppg · transferred to Gonzaga
  • Martin Somerville 26.0 mpg, 8.0 ppg · transferred to West Virginia
  • Kobe MaGee 19.8 mpg, 7.9 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
  • Thomas Bassong 19.3 mpg, 5.9 ppg · transferred to Mississippi St
Added
  • Kam Taylor from UNC Asheville · 34.7 mpg, 18.9 ppg last season
  • Anthony Robinson II from Missouri · 27.0 mpg, 8.9 ppg last season
  • Sebastian Rancik from Colorado · 24.6 mpg, 10.8 ppg last season
  • Cooper Schwieger from Wake Forest · 19.7 mpg, 4.9 ppg last season
  • Shon Abaev from Cincinnati · 11.6 mpg, 5.1 ppg last season
  • Jasen Lopez no D1 minutes last season

Returns 16% of last season's minutes; lost 5 of its top 5 (2 transferred). Teams returning under 40% of last season's minutes have historically fallen about 0.8 points of AdjEM (n=716 team-seasons, 2022-2026).

Line history

Market line, home spread or game total

Lines by book

BookSpread (home) open → nowTotal open → nowML homeML away
DraftKings-21.5→-23.5-112147.5→148.5o-112 u-108—+2200
FanDuel-22.5→-23.5-105148.5o-115 u-105—+3000
BetMGM—148.5→149.5o-105 u-115—+2200
BetRivers-22.5→-24.5-106149.5→148.5o-113 u-110——
Caesars-22.5→-23.5-110148.5→149o-110 u-110——
Fanatics-22→-24.5-105148→149o-110 u-110—+3000
BetOnline-22→-23-118148→149.5o-110 u-110——
Bovada-22.5→-24-105149.5→149o-110 u-110——
theScore Bet-21.5→-23.5+100147.5o-120 u+100—+3000
Hard Rock-22.5→-24.5-105149.5→148.5o-110 u-110——
Kalshi-22.5-127147.5→149.5o+100 u-104-4900+3233
Polymarket-22.5→-23.5-104149.5o+100 u-104-4248+3348
Novig-22.5→—149.5o-102 u-102-4445+3348
open = first-sighted line for this event · now = latest capture

Head-to-head

this season and last
No meetings the last two seasons.

More games on Fri, Nov 13

← Thu, Nov 12 · Sat, Nov 14 → · Full season schedule

The CBB Matchups tab lays out the day's Division I slate: matchup, tip time, records and rank, and — once posted — the market spread and total (the median across books when no market line is up). Three views switch the table between projected scores, pace and totals, and each team's offensive and defensive tendencies. Each game opens into opponent-adjusted possessions, efficiency and four-factor tendencies for both teams, plus recent form, rotation and head-to-head history. Every game also carries our projected score, spread and total, from our line: the same view our bets are made from.

What these numbers mean: line shopping.