Florida International Panthers vs Florida Gulf Coast Eagles basketball final score

Fri, Nov 13 · 7:00 PM ET · Alico Arena, Fort Myers, FL

Non-conferenceESPN+Alico Arena, Fort Myers, FL
FIU
2-0 · 0-0 conf
Efficiency #187
@
FGCU
1-2 · 0-0 conf
Efficiency #173
Final
8980
Final score
Projected 79.3 – 74.2
FIU win 67%FGCU win 33%
MarketClose
Spread
FGCU −3.0
open FGCU −3.75
Total
161.0
open 153.5
Our line
FIU −5.1
as of Fri, Nov 13 · 6:51 PM ET

Our play

How our line is built

each step, from an even game to our line
Spread
Even game
0.0
FGCUrated 5.0 below average
−5.0
FIUrated 3.4 above average
−3.4
Home court
+3.3
Our line
FIU −5.1
◂ FIU sideFGCU side ▸

The spread is seen from the home side: a plus moves it toward FGCU. Our total joins once both teams have played 3 games.

Pace & total

possessions per 40 minutes
Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes

Projected possessions: 73.1, from each team's opponent-adjusted tempo. On raw season pace, FIU is the faster team (76.1, #47 of 365) and FGCU the slower (68.6, #249). When tempos clash, the slower team usually pulls the pace harder (weights 0.80 vs 0.66).

Projected possessions
73.1
per team, 40 min
Market total
161.0
Market close · open 153.5
Adjusted tempo, vs an average opponent
74.2#31
FIU
69.3#259
FGCU

How this game plays

points this game from the four factors, vs an average D-I matchup
Our line
FIU −5.1
Four factors +8.6 · not in these stats −3.5
From the four factors
FGCU has the ball−0.2
FIU has the ball+8.4
FGCU has the ball
✗Tough shooting lookeFG% 55.7% #88 · FIU allows 35.6% #5−4.6
✓Wins second chancesOR% 32.8% #171 · FIU allows 38.9% #315+2.0
✓Takes care of the ballTO% 18.5% #207 · FIU forces 14.5% #302 · ~12 turnovers+2.0
✓Gets to the lineFTR 30.1% #267 · FIU allows 38.4% #211 · FT 81.1% #25+0.4
FIU has the ball
✓Takes care of the ballTO% 15.8% #102 · FGCU forces 11.0% #352 · ~9 turnovers+5.4
✓Gets to the lineFTR 43.5% #96 · FGCU allows 49.6% #314 · FT 92.6% #1+2.4
✓Shoots it welleFG% 48.4% #223 · FGCU allows 56.7% #298+2.2
✗Few second chancesOR% 29.7% #223 · FGCU allows 26.9% #93−1.5

Shot diet

Where each offense shoots from and where each defense lets teams shoot
FIUoffense vsFGCUdefense
Share of shots by zone
FIU shoots
FGCU allows
D-I average
FG% by zone
ZoneD-I avg
Rim66.7%#6864.6%#27158.1%
Short 2 (≤9 ft)0.0%#34820.0%#4037.9%
Mid 2 (10 ft+)20.0%#30445.5%#26836.0%
Three29.4%#24139.5%#32132.4%
FGCUoffense vsFIUdefense
Share of shots by zone
FGCU shoots
FIU allows
D-I average
FG% by zone
ZoneD-I avg
Rim51.4%#28141.4%#1358.1%
Short 2 (≤9 ft)80.0%#620.0%#4037.9%
Mid 2 (10 ft+)83.3%#621.4%#4736.0%
Three33.8%#15326.1%#5132.4%
RimShort 2 (≤9 ft)Mid 2 (10 ft+)Three

Zones from play-by-play shot descriptions; garbage time removed. Bars show the share of field-goal attempts in each zone; where a slice is too thin for its number, the shares are listed under the bar. FG% ranks: #1 = best for that side (most accurate shooting, stingiest defense).

Shot volume

Extra scoring chances from rebounds, turnovers and the foul line
FIU
−2.4extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#219 of 365
Off reb %
29.7%
#223
Def reb %
61.1%
#315
Turnover %
15.8%
#102
Forced TO %
14.5%
#302
FT rate
43.5%
#96
FT allowed
38.4%
#211
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding−0.6
Defensive rebounding−2.4
Ball security+1.7
Forcing turnovers−2.5
Foul shots drawn+1.6
Foul shots allowed−0.2
FGCU
−8.2extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#301 of 365
Off reb %
32.8%
#171
Def reb %
73.1%
#93
Turnover %
18.5%
#207
Forced TO %
11.0%
#352
FT rate
30.1%
#267
FT allowed
49.6%
#314
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding+0.4
Defensive rebounding+1.6
Ball security−0.2
Forcing turnovers−5.0
Foul shots drawn−1.9
Foul shots allowed−3.2

FIU has more extra scoring chances per game: −2.4 (#219 of 365) to FGCU’s −8.2 (#301).

Grade = extra shots and foul-line trips per game compared with a D-I average team, built from six season rates. Cell shading is the national rank for each rate (greener = better for that team).

Rotation

Who has been playing, and who has not
FIU2026-27 numbers
#PlayerPosClHtGP-GSMPGPPGRPGAPGTOVeFG%3P%3PA/gFT%UsageStatus
1GSr5'10"2-232.523.54.02.02.077.1%52.9%8.5100.0%25.5%Active
5GSr6'0"2-226.07.04.05.51.550.0%33.3%3.0100.0%15.4%Active
3GFr6'1"2-224.517.02.03.02.050.0%30.0%5.0100.0%34.4%Active
2GJr6'6"2-023.511.54.51.01.040.5%33.3%7.575.0%28.9%Active
4GFr6'6"2-022.55.58.53.50.037.5%14.3%3.5100.0%14.6%Active
6FSo6'11"2-221.58.56.50.00.557.1%—0.090.0%15.1%Active
11GJr6'7"2-218.58.53.52.01.044.1%11.1%4.5100.0%27.2%Active
24FSr6'8"2-011.55.05.01.51.555.6%0.0%0.5—26.0%Active
12GSr5'11"1-016.02.05.02.03.025.0%0.0%1.0—21.1%Missed last
8FFr7'0"1-012.02.03.01.01.025.0%0.0%2.0—20.1%Missed last
7GSo6'4"2-04.03.50.51.00.5116.7%100.0%0.5—24.4%Active
9FJr6'8"1-04.02.01.00.01.0100.0%—0.0—24.2%Missed last

Competitive minutes leave out garbage time (provisional rule: a second-half lead of 25+ inside 15:00, 20+ inside 10:00, 15+ inside 5:00 or 10+ inside 2:00, held to the end) and are shown per 40 minutes. Status says only whether a player appeared; the reason is not published.

Team comparison

national rank toned left for away, right for home
FIUFGCU
Efficiency
104.7
107.7
106.6
108.6
74.2
69.3
-13.4
8.1
Shooting
48.4%
55.7%
53.6%
61.8%
29.4%
33.8%
92.6%
81.1%
43.5%
30.1%
Ball control & glass
15.8%
18.5%
14.5%
11.0%
29.7%
32.8%
38.9%
26.9%
10.5%
6.2%
10.7%
12.7%
Style
54.8%
55.3%
35.3%
28.7%
21.2%
17.4%
60.0%
45.6%
38.7%
37.2%
Roster
2.73
2.63
6'3.9"
6'4.9"
0.0%
13.7%

Offseason

roster movement into this season — descriptive, not a model input
FIU
Returning minutes: 0.0%Returning production: 0.0%
Lost
  • Corey Stephenson 30.2 mpg, 17.5 ppg · transferred to Ole Miss
  • Zawdie Jackson 28.2 mpg, 11.8 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
  • Eric Dibami 27.2 mpg, 8.7 ppg · transferred to Santa Barbara
  • Hamed Olayinka 23.7 mpg, 10.0 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
  • Julian Mackey 21.3 mpg, 11.6 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
  • Brit Harris 18.7 mpg, 5.6 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
Added
  • Tijan Saine Jr. from Weber St · 32.6 mpg, 17.5 ppg last season
  • Corey Caulker from East Carolina · 30.7 mpg, 7.9 ppg last season
  • Jerald Colonel from SF Austin · 25.1 mpg, 5.0 ppg last season
  • Ramone Seals from Kennesaw St · 11.2 mpg, 4.8 ppg last season
  • Jaylin Payne from Longwood · 7.3 mpg, 1.7 ppg last season
  • Huascar Cuevas from Wagner · 2.2 mpg, 0.4 ppg last season

Returns 0% of last season's minutes; lost 5 of its top 5 (2 transferred). Teams returning under 40% of last season's minutes have historically fallen about 0.8 points of AdjEM (n=716 team-seasons, 2022-2026).

FGCU
Returning minutes: 19.4%Returning production: 14.2%
Lost
  • Rahmir Barno 31.6 mpg, 11.7 ppg · transferred to UC San Diego
  • J.R. Konieczny 27.9 mpg, 13.8 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
  • Jordan Ellerbee 27.0 mpg, 13.1 ppg · transferred to Butler
  • Michael Duax 24.5 mpg, 7.7 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
  • Isaiah Malone 22.4 mpg, 10.5 ppg · transferred to UCF
  • Rory Stewart 19.1 mpg, 6.3 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
Added
  • Elijah Brooks from Hou Christian · 7.6 mpg, 3.1 ppg last season
  • Justin Houser from Penn State · 3.5 mpg, 0.8 ppg last season
  • CJ Outlaw from UMass · 0.8 mpg, 0.4 ppg last season
  • Evan Barlow no D1 minutes last season
  • Kingston Wheatley no D1 minutes last season
  • Chase Konieczny no D1 minutes last season

Returns 19% of last season's minutes; lost 5 of its top 5 (3 transferred). Teams returning under 40% of last season's minutes have historically fallen about 0.8 points of AdjEM (n=716 team-seasons, 2022-2026).

Line history

Market line, home spread or game total

Lines by book

BookSpread (home) open → nowTotal open → nowML homeML away
DraftKings-3.5-105153.5→160.5o-110 u-110-162+136
FanDuel-3.5→-2.5-120157.5→160.5o-110 u-110-154+128
BetMGM-3.5-105158.5→160.5o-110 u-110-160+135
BetRivers-3.5-109158.5→160.5o-114 u-109-177+140
Caesars-3.5→-3-110158.5→160.5o-110 u-110-160+135
Fanatics-4→-3-110153.5→160.5o-110 u-110-155+130
BetOnline-4→-3-110153.5→159.5o-115 u-105——
Bovada-3.5→-3-110158.5→161.5o-105 u-115-160+135
theScore Bet-3.5+100153.5→159.5o-110 u-110-155+135
Hard Rock-3.5-110158.5→160.5o-110 u-110-175+140
Kalshi-3.5+100154.5→161.5o+104 u-108-150+144
Polymarket-3.5+104159.5o-113 u+108-150+144
Novig-3.5→——-153+150
open = first-sighted line for this event · now = latest capture

Head-to-head

this season and last
DateSeasonResult
Wed, Dec 32025-26FGCU 83 – 89 FIU

More games on Fri, Nov 13

← Thu, Nov 12 · Sat, Nov 14 → · Full season schedule

The CBB Matchups tab lays out the day's Division I slate: matchup, tip time, records and rank, and — once posted — the market spread and total (the median across books when no market line is up). Three views switch the table between projected scores, pace and totals, and each team's offensive and defensive tendencies. Each game opens into opponent-adjusted possessions, efficiency and four-factor tendencies for both teams, plus recent form, rotation and head-to-head history. Every game also carries our projected score, spread and total, from our line: the same view our bets are made from.

What these numbers mean: line shopping.