Tennessee State Tigers vs Tennessee Volunteers basketball final score
Fri, Nov 13 · 7:00 PM ET · Food City Center, Knoxville, TN
Non-conferenceSECN+Food City Center, Knoxville, TN
Tennessee St
2-1 · 0-0 conf
Efficiency #198
@
11Tennessee
2-0 · 0-0 conf
Efficiency #24
Final
7883
Final score
Projected 65.4 – 89.1
TNST win 2%TENN win 98%
MarketClose
Spread
TENN −27.5
open TENN −28.75
Total
157.0
open 154.5
Our line
TENN −23.6
as of Fri, Nov 13 · 6:51 PM ET
Our play
How our line is built
each step, from an even game to our lineSpread
Even game
0.0
Tennesseerated 19.4 above average
+19.4
Tennessee Strated 0.9 below average
+0.9
Home court
+3.4
Our line
TENN −23.6
◂ Tennessee St sideTennessee side ▸
Steps are rounded to one decimal, so they can differ from the line by 0.1. The spread is seen from the home side: a plus moves it toward Tennessee. Our total joins once both teams have played 3 games.
Pace & total
possessions per 40 minutesTempo, possessions per 40 minutes
Projected possessions: 73.7, from each team's opponent-adjusted tempo. On raw season pace, Tennessee St is the faster team (84.2, #3 of 365) and Tennessee the slower (71.6, #141). When tempos clash, the slower team usually pulls the pace harder (weights 0.80 vs 0.66).
Projected possessions
73.7
per team, 40 min
Market total
157.0
Market close · open 154.5
Adjusted tempo, vs an average opponent
74.9#19
Tennessee St
69.3#256
Tennessee
How this game plays
points this game from the four factors, vs an average D-I matchupOur line
TENN −23.6
Four factors +31.8 · not in these stats −8.2
From the four factors
Tennessee has the ball+6.0
Tennessee St has the ball−25.7
Tennessee has the ball
✓Shoots it welleFG% 54.3% #107 · TNST allows 56.5% #292+5.6
✓Gets to the lineFTR 33.3% #222 · TNST allows 46.8% #296 · FT 84.6% #9+1.3
✗Coughs it upTO% 18.1% #193 · TNST forces 20.2% #99 · ~14 turnovers−1.1
✓Wins second chancesOR% 33.3% #152 · TNST allows 30.0% #156+0.3
Tennessee St has the ball
✗Tough shooting lookeFG% 35.5% #360 · TENN allows 32.9% #3−18.4
✗Coughs it upTO% 30.9% #362 · TENN forces 20.2% #95 · ~20 turnovers−7.7
✓Gets to the lineFTR 63.6% #6 · TENN allows 32.5% #130 · FT 71.4% #150+1.0
✗Few second chancesOR% 31.7% #190 · TENN allows 28.6% #125−0.6
Shot diet
Where each offense shoots from and where each defense lets teams shootTennessee Stoffense vs#11Tennesseedefense
Share of shots by zone
Tennessee St shoots
41.7
13.9
11.1
33.3
Tennessee allows
32.6
11.6
12.6
43.2
D-I average
38.2
8.1
12.3
41.4
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 40.0%#353 | 25.8%#1 | 58.1% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 60.0%#33 | 27.3%#89 | 37.9% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 0.0%#350 | 41.7%#232 | 36.0% |
| Three | 22.7%#340 | 21.6%#9 | 32.4% |
#11Tennesseeoffense vsTennessee Stdefense
Share of shots by zone
Tennessee shoots
41.5
13.8
8.5
36.2
Tennessee St allows
51.0
5.9
5.9
37.3
D-I average
38.2
8.1
12.3
41.4
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 69.2%#51 | 65.4%#285 | 58.1% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 46.2%#111 | 33.3%#131 | 37.9% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 37.5%#156 | 33.3%#143 | 36.0% |
| Three | 27.5%#277 | 30.0%#131 | 32.4% |
RimShort 2 (≤9 ft)Mid 2 (10 ft+)Three
Zones from play-by-play shot descriptions; garbage time removed. Bars show the share of field-goal attempts in each zone; where a slice is too thin for its number, the shares are listed under the bar. FG% ranks: #1 = best for that side (most accurate shooting, stingiest defense).
Shot volume
Extra scoring chances from rebounds, turnovers and the foul lineTennessee St
−2.4extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#220 of 365
Off reb %
31.7%
#190
Def reb %
70.0%
#156
Turnover %
30.9%
#362
Forced TO %
20.2%
#99
FT rate
63.6%
#6
FT allowed
46.8%
#296
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding+0.1
Defensive rebounding+0.6
Ball security−9.0
Forcing turnovers+1.5
Foul shots drawn+6.9
Foul shots allowed−2.4
#11Tennessee
+3.5extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#120 of 365
Off reb %
33.3%
#152
Def reb %
71.4%
#125
Turnover %
18.1%
#193
Forced TO %
20.2%
#95
FT rate
33.3%
#222
FT allowed
32.5%
#130
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding+0.6
Defensive rebounding+1.1
Ball security0.0
Forcing turnovers+1.6
Foul shots drawn−1.0
Foul shots allowed+1.3
Tennessee has more extra scoring chances per game: +3.5 (#120 of 365) to Tennessee St’s −2.4 (#220).
Grade = extra shots and foul-line trips per game compared with a D-I average team, built from six season rates. Cell shading is the national rank for each rate (greener = better for that team).
Rotation
Who has been playing, and who has notTennessee St2026-27 numbers
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | G | Sr | 6'0" | 3-2 | 24.7 | 11.7 | 3.3 | 6.3 | 2.7 | 56.8% | 30.0% | 3.3 | 83.3% | 21.8% | Active | |
| 0 | F | So | 6'8" | 3-3 | 24.0 | 12.7 | 3.3 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 56.0% | 0.0% | 1.7 | 100.0% | 20.7% | Active | |
| 2 | F | Sr | 7'1" | 3-3 | 23.0 | 14.3 | 6.7 | 1.3 | 2.7 | 57.1% | 28.6% | 2.3 | 50.0% | 30.1% | Active | |
| 1 | G | Sr | 6'4" | 3-3 | 23.0 | 11.7 | 3.7 | 6.0 | 2.3 | 44.6% | 23.1% | 4.3 | 76.9% | 26.9% | Active | |
| 20 | G | So | 6'4" | 3-1 | 19.3 | 10.0 | 4.7 | 1.0 | 1.7 | 65.0% | 0.0% | 0.7 | 57.1% | 22.2% | Active | |
| 23 | F | Jr | 6'7" | 3-0 | 17.7 | 8.0 | 5.7 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 73.3% | 40.0% | 1.7 | 50.0% | 15.4% | Active | |
| 7 | G | Jr | 6'7" | 3-3 | 15.7 | 9.7 | 3.7 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 47.9% | 12.5% | 2.7 | 54.5% | 31.0% | Active | |
| 4 | G | Sr | 5'11" | 3-0 | 12.7 | 4.3 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 35.3% | 26.7% | 5.0 | 50.0% | 25.2% | Active | |
| 24 | G | Jr | 6'8" | 3-0 | 11.0 | 8.3 | 5.7 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 81.8% | 66.7% | 1.0 | 77.8% | 22.0% | Active | |
| 5 | G | Jr | 6'2" | 3-0 | 11.0 | 5.3 | 1.3 | 2.0 | 0.3 | 54.5% | 66.7% | 1.0 | 80.0% | 19.7% | Active | |
| 3 | G | So | 6'5" | 3-0 | 8.3 | 6.3 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 68.2% | 50.0% | 0.7 | 100.0% | 28.7% | Active | |
| 16 | G | So | 6'6" | 3-0 | 7.3 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 20.0% | 0.0% | 2.7 | — | 20.5% | Active | |
| 6 | G | Fr | 6'0" | 2-0 | 4.0 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 75.0% | 50.0% | 1.0 | — | 11.2% | Active |
Competitive minutes leave out garbage time (provisional rule: a second-half lead of 25+ inside 15:00, 20+ inside 10:00, 15+ inside 5:00 or 10+ inside 2:00, held to the end) and are shown per 40 minutes. Status says only whether a player appeared; the reason is not published.
Trends
Results against the closing spread and total, last ten games, entering this gameTennessee St
Against the spread
Season
0-1
Home
0-0
Road
0-0
Last 10
0-1
avg cover −20.5
Missed the spread in the last game
Over / under
Season
0-1
Home
0-0
Road
0-0
Last 10
0-1
avg vs total −7.0
Under in the last game
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9 | Fisk Bulldogs | H | W 123–73 | — | — | — | — | 134.5 | 79.8 | 91.5 |
| Nov 5 | East West Phantoms | H | W 127–61 | — | — | — | — | 148.0 | 71.1 | 85.8 |
| Nov 2 | Murray St | N | L 64–94 | +9.5 | L−20.5 | 165.0 | U158 | 76.0 | 111.6 | 84.2 |
| Mar 20 | #2Iowa State | N | L 74–108 | +25.0 | L−9.0 | 147.5 | O182 | 94.4 | 137.7 | 78.4 |
| Mar 7 | Morehead St | N | W 93–67 | −5.0 | W+21.0 | 144.0 | O160 | 133.2 | 96.0 | 69.8 |
| Mar 6 | UT Martin | N | W 68–55 | −2.0 | W+11.0 | 137.5 | U123 | 111.4 | 90.1 | 61.1 |
| Feb 28 | UT Martin | A | W 67–42 | +2.5 | W+27.5 | 143.5 | U109 | 101.5 | 63.6 | 66.0 |
| Feb 26 | SE Missouri | A | W 79–71 | +3.5 | W+11.5 | 152.0 | U150 | 107.3 | 96.4 | 73.6 |
| Feb 21 | SIUE | H | W 80–53 | −4.5 | W+22.5 | 143.5 | U133 | 125.6 | 83.2 | 63.7 |
| Feb 19 | Lindenwood | H | W 89–80 | −3.5 | W+5.5 | 159.0 | O169 | 112.2 | 100.9 | 79.3 |
#11Tennessee
Against the spread
Season
1-1
Home
1-1
Road
0-0
Last 10
1-1
avg cover 0.0
Missed the spread in the last game
Over / under
Season
0-2
Home
0-2
Road
0-0
Last 10
0-2
avg vs total −21.5
Under 2 straight
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9 | Radford | H | W 70–47 | −29.0 | L−6.0 | 153.5 | U117 | 97.9 | 65.7 | 71.5 |
| Nov 3 | Wofford | H | W 90–59 | −25.0 | W+6.0 | 155.5 | U149 | 125.4 | 82.2 | 71.8 |
| Mar 29 | #1Michigan | N | L 62–95 | +8.0 | L−25.0 | 146.0 | O157 | 82.3 | 126.1 | 75.3 |
| Mar 27 | #2Iowa State | N | W 76–62 | +3.0 | W+17.0 | 139.5 | U138 | 111.8 | 91.2 | 68.0 |
| Mar 22 | #3Virginia | N | W 79–72 | −1.0 | W+6.0 | 136.5 | O151 | 120.5 | 109.8 | 65.5 |
| Mar 20 | #11Miami OH | N | W 78–56 | −12.0 | W+10.0 | 149.0 | U134 | 118.7 | 85.2 | 65.7 |
| Mar 13 | #22Vanderbilt | N | L 68–75 | −2.0 | L−9.0 | 147.0 | U143 | 109.1 | 120.3 | 62.4 |
| Mar 12 | Auburn | N | W 72–62 | −5.5 | W+4.5 | 145.0 | U134 | 112.8 | 97.1 | 63.9 |
| Mar 7 | #24Vanderbilt | H | L 82–86 | −3.0 | L−7.0 | 145.5 | O168 | 112.2 | 117.7 | 73.1 |
| Mar 3 | South Carolina | A | W 78–59 | −11.0 | W+8.0 | 142.0 | U137 | 126.6 | 95.8 | 61.6 |
Records vs the closing line describe the past; ten games is a small sample.
Team comparison
national rank toned left for away, right for homeTennessee St#11Tennessee
Efficiency
103.1
111.4
105.9
92.9
74.9
69.3
9.8
-7.1
Shooting
35.5%
54.3%
36.4%
61.0%
22.7%
27.5%
71.4%
84.6%
63.6%
33.3%
Ball control & glass
30.9%
18.1%
20.2%
20.2%
31.7%
33.3%
30.0%
28.6%
10.7%
11.2%
9.1%
11.7%
Style
40.0%
34.2%
34.4%
57.5%
23.4%
25.6%
64.7%
56.9%
44.3%
42.9%
Roster
3.09
2.98
6'5.4"
6'6"
5.0%
9.4%
Offseason
roster movement into this season — descriptive, not a model inputTennessee St
Returning minutes: 7.3%Returning production: 5.0%
Lost
- Dante Harris 32.3 mpg, 11.7 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Travis Harper II 31.3 mpg, 17.1 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Aaron Nkrumah 31.3 mpg, 17.7 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Jalen Pitre 24.3 mpg, 6.4 ppg · transferred to Buffalo
- Antoine Lorick III 21.5 mpg, 9.8 ppg · transferred to Buffalo
- Carlous Williams 18.8 mpg, 5.4 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
Added
- Arterio Morris from Bethune · 26.0 mpg, 10.8 ppg last season
- Ty-Laur Johnson from San Diego · 19.5 mpg, 10.2 ppg last season
- Aaron Bradshaw from Memphis · 17.1 mpg, 7.8 ppg last season
- Joshua Rivera from Seton Hall · 10.7 mpg, 3.0 ppg last season
- Christian Alston from Abilene Chrstn · 10.3 mpg, 4.2 ppg last season
- Isaiah Stewart from N Illinois · 2.4 mpg, 0.5 ppg last season
Returns 7% of last season's minutes; lost 5 of its top 5 (2 transferred). Teams returning under 40% of last season's minutes have historically fallen about 0.8 points of AdjEM (n=716 team-seasons, 2022-2026).
#11Tennessee
Returning minutes: 9.5%Returning production: 8.6%
Lost
- Ja'Kobi Gillespie 34.8 mpg, 18.4 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Nate Ament 28.1 mpg, 15.8 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Felix Okpara 25.5 mpg, 7.5 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Bishop Boswell 24.3 mpg, 5.7 ppg · transferred to Maryland
- Jaylen Carey 18.4 mpg, 7.4 ppg · transferred to Missouri
- J.P. Estrella 16.4 mpg, 8.9 ppg · transferred to Michigan
Added
- Juke Harris from Wake Forest · 35.2 mpg, 21.4 ppg last season
- Tyler Lundblade from Belmont · 34.3 mpg, 15.6 ppg last season
- Dai Dai Ames from California · 31.9 mpg, 16.9 ppg last season
- Miles Rubin from Loyola Chicago · 29.7 mpg, 11.3 ppg last season
- Braedan Lue from Kennesaw St · 26.6 mpg, 10.9 ppg last season
- Terrence Hill Jr. from VCU · 25.1 mpg, 15.0 ppg last season
Returns 9% of last season's minutes; lost 5 of its top 5 (2 transferred). Teams returning under 40% of last season's minutes have historically fallen about 0.8 points of AdjEM (n=716 team-seasons, 2022-2026).
Line history
Market line, home spread or game totalLines by book
| Book | Spread (home) open → now | Total open → now | ML home | ML away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | -29.5→-27.5-105 | 154.5→157.5o-105 u-115 | — | +3500 |
| FanDuel | -28.5→-27.5-114 | 154.5→157.5o-110 u-110 | — | — |
| BetMGM | -29.5→-27.5-110 | 154.5→157.5o-105 u-115 | — | — |
| BetRivers | -28.5→-27.5-115 | 154.5→158.5o-108 u-115 | — | — |
| Caesars | -29.5→-28-110 | 154.5→157.5o-110 u-110 | — | — |
| Fanatics | -29→-27.5-105 | 154.5→157o-110 u-110 | — | — |
| BetOnline | -29→-27-110 | 154→157o-117 u-103 | — | — |
| Bovada | -30.5→-27.5-110 | 155.5→157.5o-110 u-110 | — | — |
| theScore Bet | -28.5→-26.5-115 | 154.5→157.5o-105 u-115 | — | — |
| Hard Rock | -29.5→-27.5-115 | 156.5→158.5o-105 u-115 | — | — |
| Kalshi | — | 152.5→156.5o-104 u+100 | — | +4900 |
| Polymarket | -29.5→-27.5+104 | 154.5→156.5o-104 u+100 | — | — |
| Novig | -28.5→— | 154.5→157.5o+102 u-104 | — | — |
DraftKings
FanDuel
BetMGM
BetRivers
Caesars
Fanatics
BetOnline
Bovada
theScore Bet
Hard Rock
Kalshi
Polymarket
Novigopen = first-sighted line for this event · now = latest capture
Head-to-head
this season and last| Date | Season | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Thu, Nov 20 | 2025-26 | Tennessee St 60 – 89 Tennessee |
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The CBB Matchups tab lays out the day's Division I slate: matchup, tip time, records and rank, and — once posted — the market spread and total (the median across books when no market line is up). Three views switch the table between projected scores, pace and totals, and each team's offensive and defensive tendencies. Each game opens into opponent-adjusted possessions, efficiency and four-factor tendencies for both teams, plus recent form, rotation and head-to-head history. Every game also carries our projected score, spread and total, from our line: the same view our bets are made from.
What these numbers mean: line shopping.