Marist Red Foxes vs Lehigh Mountain Hawks basketball final score

Fri, Nov 13 · 7:00 PM ET · Stabler Arena, Bethlehem, PA

Non-conferenceESPN+Stabler Arena, Bethlehem, PA
Marist
1-2 · 0-0 conf
Efficiency #180
@
Lehigh
1-2 · 0-0 conf
Efficiency #275
Final
6065
Final score
Projected 68.3 – 69.5
MRST win 46%LEH win 54%
MarketClose
Spread
LEH −2.5
open LEH −1.5
Total
133.0
open 133.5
Our line
LEH −1.2
Our total
137.8
as of Fri, Nov 13 · 6:51 PM ET

Our play

How our line is built

each step, from an even game to our line
Spread
Even game
0.0
Lehighrated 7.1 below average
−7.1
Maristrated 5.0 below average
+5.0
Home court
+3.3
Our line
LEH −1.2
◂ Marist sideLehigh side ▸
Total
Average D-I game
151.3
Lehighlower-scoring games
−3.0
Maristlower-scoring games
−10.5
Our line
137.8
Axis starts at 130 pointsPoints added or removed at each step

The spread is seen from the home side: a plus moves it toward Lehigh.

Pace & total

possessions per 40 minutes
Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes

Projected possessions: 68.3, from each team's opponent-adjusted tempo. On raw season pace, Marist is the faster team (70.9, #175 of 365) and Lehigh the slower (70.2, #200). When tempos clash, the slower team usually pulls the pace harder (weights 0.80 vs 0.66).

Projected possessions
68.3
per team, 40 min
Market total
133.0
Market close · open 133.5
Adjusted tempo, vs an average opponent
69.8#227
Marist
69.0#275
Lehigh

How this game plays

points this game from the four factors, vs an average D-I matchup
Our line
LEH −1.2
Four factors −6.8 · not in these stats +8.0
From the four factors
Lehigh has the ball−9.0
Marist has the ball−2.1
Lehigh has the ball
✗Tough shooting lookeFG% 41.8% #324 · MRST allows 48.5% #134−5.8
✗Few second chancesOR% 21.4% #332 · MRST allows 26.7% #89−3.9
✓Gets to the lineFTR 45.1% #82 · MRST allows 43.6% #267 · FT 75.7% #82+1.0
✗Coughs it upTO% 17.6% #172 · MRST forces 19.3% #126 · ~13 turnovers−0.3
Marist has the ball
✗Few second chancesOR% 23.5% #314 · LEH allows 27.3% #100−3.2
✓Shoots it welleFG% 50.0% #184 · LEH allows 52.0% #218+0.6
✓Gets to the lineFTR 45.9% #73 · LEH allows 34.5% #154 · FT 75.0% #92+0.5
✗Coughs it upTO% 21.2% #288 · LEH forces 15.7% #257 · ~12 turnovers−0.1

Shot diet

Where each offense shoots from and where each defense lets teams shoot
Maristoffense vsLehighdefense
Share of shots by zone
Marist shoots
Lehigh allows
D-I average
FG% by zone
ZoneD-I avg
Rim52.5%#26763.0%#24658.1%
Short 2 (≤9 ft)8.3%#34640.0%#18737.9%
Mid 2 (10 ft+)48.3%#6725.0%#6536.0%
Three38.2%#6424.7%#3532.4%
Lehighoffense vsMaristdefense
Share of shots by zone
Lehigh shoots
Marist allows
D-I average
FG% by zone
ZoneD-I avg
Rim46.2%#32053.1%#10258.1%
Short 2 (≤9 ft)27.3%#25314.3%#2437.9%
Mid 2 (10 ft+)18.2%#30835.7%#17736.0%
Three25.8%#31630.5%#14132.4%
RimShort 2 (≤9 ft)Mid 2 (10 ft+)Three

Zones from play-by-play shot descriptions; garbage time removed. Bars show the share of field-goal attempts in each zone; where a slice is too thin for its number, the shares are listed under the bar. FG% ranks: #1 = best for that side (most accurate shooting, stingiest defense).

Shot volume

Extra scoring chances from rebounds, turnovers and the foul line
Marist
−1.6extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#202 of 365
Off reb %
23.5%
#314
Def reb %
73.3%
#89
Turnover %
21.2%
#288
Forced TO %
19.3%
#126
FT rate
45.9%
#73
FT allowed
43.6%
#267
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding−2.6
Defensive rebounding+1.7
Ball security−2.1
Forcing turnovers+0.9
Foul shots drawn+2.2
Foul shots allowed−1.6
Lehigh
−0.3extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#179 of 365
Off reb %
21.4%
#332
Def reb %
72.7%
#100
Turnover %
17.6%
#172
Forced TO %
15.7%
#257
FT rate
45.1%
#82
FT allowed
34.5%
#154
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding−3.3
Defensive rebounding+1.5
Ball security+0.4
Forcing turnovers−1.7
Foul shots drawn+2.0
Foul shots allowed+0.8

Lehigh has more extra scoring chances per game: −0.3 (#179 of 365) to Marist’s −1.6 (#202).

Grade = extra shots and foul-line trips per game compared with a D-I average team, built from six season rates. Cell shading is the national rank for each rate (greener = better for that team).

Rotation

Who has been playing, and who has not
Marist2026-27 numbers · last game: UMass Lowell, Nov 8
#PlayerPosClHtGP-GSMPGMin/40, last 8Last 3 vs beforeStatusPPGRPGAPGTOVeFG%3P%3PA/gFT%Usage
0GSr6'1"3-330.727—Started last12.74.33.04.335.0%0.0%1.082.8%28.6%
13GFr6'4"3-330.330—Started last16.04.32.03.354.5%46.2%4.375.0%31.2%
1GSr6'3"3-330.338—Started last9.72.02.31.058.3%50.0%2.7100.0%17.2%
21CSo6'9"3-324.727—Started last9.04.01.71.344.6%25.0%1.366.7%25.4%
5FSo6'8"3-023.725—Bench8.05.30.01.047.5%33.3%5.083.3%20.6%
11GFr6'3"3-016.016—Bench3.00.71.30.7100.0%100.0%0.750.0%8.0%
10FSo6'7"3-314.712—Started last2.33.31.00.760.0%—0.050.0%10.2%
23GFr6'5"3-013.312—Bench6.33.00.01.354.2%33.3%3.085.7%27.1%
24FFr6'9"2-011.013—Bench3.03.00.01.075.0%—0.00.0%19.0%
25CJr6'8"2-08.00—Missed last game2.01.51.50.520.0%—0.066.7%26.0%
2GFr6'2"2-04.00—Missed last game0.00.50.50.00.0%0.0%0.5—13.2%

Competitive minutes leave out garbage time (provisional rule: a second-half lead of 25+ inside 15:00, 20+ inside 10:00, 15+ inside 5:00 or 10+ inside 2:00, held to the end) and are shown per 40 minutes. Status says only whether a player appeared; the reason is not published.

Team comparison

national rank toned left for away, right for home
MaristLehigh
Efficiency
99.7
98.1
101.2
106.1
69.8
69.0
-3.5
3.2
Shooting
50.0%
41.8%
46.1%
43.9%
38.2%
25.8%
75.0%
75.7%
45.9%
45.1%
Ball control & glass
21.2%
17.6%
19.3%
15.7%
23.5%
21.4%
26.7%
27.3%
12.7%
10.9%
3.9%
12.2%
Style
35.0%
40.2%
34.1%
39.4%
7.6%
9.8%
55.9%
51.7%
34.3%
42.6%
Roster
2.29
2.81
6'5"
6'5.2"
26.9%
78.4%

Offseason

roster movement into this season — descriptive, not a model input
Marist
Returning minutes: 26.9%Returning production: 25.0%
Lost
  • Rhyjon Blackwell 30.1 mpg, 12.1 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
  • Justin Menard 29.3 mpg, 12.9 ppg · transferred to Colorado St
  • Elijah Lewis 22.9 mpg, 9.3 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
  • Jaden Daughtry 21.0 mpg, 5.1 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
  • Parby Kabamba 16.8 mpg, 5.4 ppg · transferred to Radford
  • Jason Schofield 14.0 mpg, 6.7 ppg · transferred to Loyola Chicago
Added
  • Jack Graham from New Hampshire · 28.0 mpg, 11.2 ppg last season
  • Drew Diaz no D1 minutes last season
  • Josh Williams no D1 minutes last season
  • Logan Rodriguez no D1 minutes last season
  • Cameron Sweeney no D1 minutes last season
  • Logan Franz no D1 minutes last season

Returns 27% of last season's minutes; lost 4 of its top 5 (1 transferred). Teams returning under 40% of last season's minutes have historically fallen about 0.8 points of AdjEM (n=716 team-seasons, 2022-2026).

Lehigh
Returning minutes: 80.6%Returning production: 76.1%
Lost
  • Nasir Whitlock 35.0 mpg, 20.5 ppg · transferred to Georgia Tech
  • Henri Adiassa 3.0 mpg, 0.3 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
  • Tommy Conniff 1.7 mpg, 0.1 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
  • Brendan Reed 0.3 mpg, 0.0 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
Added
  • Chris Tshibola no D1 minutes last season
  • Nate Djanogly no D1 minutes last season
  • Ralfs Rudusans no D1 minutes last season
  • Carter Cohen no D1 minutes last season
  • Colton Watson no D1 minutes last season
  • Caesar Burrows no D1 minutes last season

No incoming D1 transfers are listed on ESPN's roster yet — until they are, returning shares read high.

Returns 81% of last season's minutes; lost 1 of its top 5 (1 transferred). Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026).

Line history

Market line, home spread or game total

Lines by book

BookSpread (home) open → nowTotal open → nowML homeML away
DraftKings-1.5→-2.5-112134.5→133.5o-105 u-115-148+124
FanDuel-1.5→-2.5-114133.5→132.5o-115 u-105-146+122
BetMGM-2.5-110133.5→132.5o-115 u-105-150+125
BetRivers-1.5→-2.5-115133.5→132.5o-114 u-108-162+128
Caesars-1.5→-2.5-110133.5→132.5o-110 u-110-150+126
Fanatics-1.5→-2.5-115133.5→133o-110 u-110-150+125
BetOnline-2→-3-105133o-110 u-110——
Bovada-1.5→-2.5-110133.5→132.5o-110 u-110-145+125
theScore Bet-1.5→-2.5-110132.5→133.5o-105 u-115-140+120
Hard Rock-1.5→-2.5-115133.5→132.5o-115 u-105-160+130
Kalshi-1.5-122133.5o+104 u-108-138+133
Polymarket-1.5→-2.5-104133.5→132.5o-104 u+100-138+133
Novig-1.5→-2.5-104133.5→—-135+133
open = first-sighted line for this event · now = latest capture

Head-to-head

this season and last
DateSeasonResult
Tue, Nov 252025-26Lehigh 55 – 78 Marist

More games on Fri, Nov 13

← Thu, Nov 12 · Sat, Nov 14 → · Full season schedule

The CBB Matchups tab lays out the day's Division I slate: matchup, tip time, records and rank, and — once posted — the market spread and total (the median across books when no market line is up). Three views switch the table between projected scores, pace and totals, and each team's offensive and defensive tendencies. Each game opens into opponent-adjusted possessions, efficiency and four-factor tendencies for both teams, plus recent form, rotation and head-to-head history. Every game also carries our projected score, spread and total, from our line: the same view our bets are made from.

What these numbers mean: line shopping.