Georgia Bulldogs vs North Carolina Tar Heels basketball final score
Fri, Nov 13 · 7:00 PM ET · Dean E. Smith Center, Chapel Hill, NC
Non-conferenceESPN2Dean E. Smith Center, Chapel Hill, NC
Georgia
3-0 · 0-0 conf
Efficiency #70
@
North Carolina
3-0 · 0-0 conf
Efficiency #37
Final
7870
Final score
Projected 83.7 – 85.3
UGA win 44%UNC win 56%
MarketClose
Spread
UNC −4.5
open UNC −3.5
Total
164.5
open 160.5
Our line
UNC −1.6
Our total
169.0
as of Fri, Nov 13 · 6:51 PM ET
Our play
How our line is built
each step, from an even game to our lineSpread
Even game
0.0
North Carolinarated 15.2 above average
+15.2
Georgiarated 16.9 above average
−16.9
Home court
+3.4
Our line
UNC −1.6
◂ Georgia sideNorth Carolina side ▸
Total
Average D-I game
151.3
North Carolinahigher-scoring games
+4.2
Georgiahigher-scoring games
+13.5
Our line
169.0
Axis starts at 140 pointsPoints added or removed at each step
Steps are rounded to one decimal, so they can differ from the line by 0.1. The spread is seen from the home side: a plus moves it toward North Carolina.
Pace & total
possessions per 40 minutesTempo, possessions per 40 minutes
Projected possessions: 72.9, from each team's opponent-adjusted tempo. On raw season pace, North Carolina is the faster team (72.0, #127 of 365) and Georgia the slower (68.7, #244). When tempos clash, the slower team usually pulls the pace harder (weights 0.80 vs 0.66).
Projected possessions
72.9
per team, 40 min
Market total
164.5
Market close · open 160.5
Adjusted tempo, vs an average opponent
71.8#94
Georgia
71.5#112
North Carolina
How this game plays
points this game from the four factors, vs an average D-I matchupOur line
UNC −1.6
Four factors −0.2 · not in these stats +1.8
From the four factors
North Carolina has the ball+3.7
Georgia has the ball+4.0
North Carolina has the ball
✓Shoots it welleFG% 55.9% #87 · UGA allows 51.5% #209+3.9
✗Few second chancesOR% 28.7% #238 · UGA allows 31.3% #180−0.9
✓Takes care of the ballTO% 12.0% #16 · UGA forces 22.3% #60 · ~13 turnovers+0.8
✗Few trips to the lineFTR 44.1% #89 · UGA allows 31.0% #109 · FT 69.5% #190−0.1
Georgia has the ball
✓Takes care of the ballTO% 10.2% #4 · UNC forces 15.7% #256 · ~9 turnovers+5.5
✗Tough shooting lookeFG% 52.4% #146 · UNC allows 40.8% #26−3.8
✓Wins second chancesOR% 37.6% #68 · UNC allows 36.0% #276+2.9
✗Few trips to the lineFTR 42.2% #111 · UNC allows 26.2% #52 · FT 67.1% #243−0.6
Shot diet
Where each offense shoots from and where each defense lets teams shootGeorgiaoffense vsNorth Carolinadefense
Share of shots by zone
Georgia shoots
42.6
5.9
8.3
43.2
North Carolina allows
40.1
6.2
12.3
41.4
D-I average
38.2
8.1
12.3
41.4
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 66.7%#68 | 41.5%#14 | 58.1% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 30.0%#233 | 20.0%#40 | 37.9% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 50.0%#44 | 20.0%#44 | 36.0% |
| Three | 31.2%#209 | 31.3%#155 | 32.4% |
North Carolinaoffense vsGeorgiadefense
Share of shots by zone
North Carolina shoots
45.6
7.4
8.1
38.9
Georgia allows
42.8
5.3
11.2
40.8
D-I average
38.2
8.1
12.3
41.4
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 64.7%#86 | 53.8%#110 | 58.1% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 54.5%#66 | 75.0%#353 | 37.9% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 25.0%#278 | 41.2%#226 | 36.0% |
| Three | 37.3%#84 | 34.8%#239 | 32.4% |
RimShort 2 (≤9 ft)Mid 2 (10 ft+)Three
Zones from play-by-play shot descriptions; garbage time removed. Bars show the share of field-goal attempts in each zone; where a slice is too thin for its number, the shares are listed under the bar. FG% ranks: #1 = best for that side (most accurate shooting, stingiest defense).
Shot volume
Extra scoring chances from rebounds, turnovers and the foul lineGeorgia
+13.9extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#20 of 365
Off reb %
37.6%
#68
Def reb %
68.7%
#180
Turnover %
10.2%
#4
Forced TO %
22.3%
#60
FT rate
42.2%
#111
FT allowed
31.0%
#109
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding+2.0
Defensive rebounding+0.2
Ball security+5.7
Forcing turnovers+3.0
Foul shots drawn+1.3
Foul shots allowed+1.7
North Carolina
+5.1extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#106 of 365
Off reb %
28.7%
#238
Def reb %
64.0%
#276
Turnover %
12.0%
#16
Forced TO %
15.7%
#256
FT rate
44.1%
#89
FT allowed
26.2%
#52
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding−0.9
Defensive rebounding−1.4
Ball security+4.4
Forcing turnovers−1.6
Foul shots drawn+1.8
Foul shots allowed+2.9
Georgia has more extra scoring chances per game: +13.9 (#20 of 365) to North Carolina’s +5.1 (#106).
Grade = extra shots and foul-line trips per game compared with a D-I average team, built from six season rates. Cell shading is the national rank for each rate (greener = better for that team).
Rotation
Who has been playing, and who has notGeorgia2026-27 numbers · last game: FGCU, Nov 9
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | Min/40, last 8 | Last 3 vs before | Status | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | G | Sr | 6'5" | 3-3 | 31.3 | 32 | — | Started last | 16.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 66.2% | 41.7% | 4.0 | 50.0% | 26.8% | |
| 4 | G | Sr | 5'11" | 3-3 | 28.7 | 28 | — | Started last | 12.3 | 2.3 | 3.7 | 1.3 | 48.1% | 36.4% | 3.7 | 91.7% | 25.0% | |
| 9 | F | Sr | 6'11" | 3-3 | 27.0 | 29 | — | Started last | 6.3 | 6.7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 100.0% | — | 0.0 | 60.0% | 7.6% | |
| 6 | F | Jr | 6'9" | 3-3 | 26.0 | 24 | — | Started last | 13.7 | 4.7 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 47.1% | 21.4% | 4.7 | 53.3% | 33.1% | |
| 5 | G | Sr | 6'5" | 3-1 | 20.7 | 15 | — | Bench | 6.0 | 2.7 | 2.3 | 1.3 | 30.0% | 0.0% | 1.7 | 75.0% | 26.3% | |
| 11 | F | Sr | 6'8" | 3-0 | 16.0 | 13 | — | Bench | 8.0 | 2.7 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 42.5% | 31.3% | 5.3 | 77.8% | 31.7% | |
| 1 | F | So | 6'8" | 2-2 | 22.5 | 24 | — | Started last | 11.5 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 60.7% | 37.5% | 4.0 | 85.7% | 26.3% | |
| 2 | G | Fr | 6'2" | 3-0 | 13.7 | 14 | — | Bench | 4.3 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 61.1% | 50.0% | 0.7 | 40.0% | 16.1% | |
| 34 | F | So | 6'10" | 3-0 | 9.3 | 8 | — | Bench | 5.0 | 5.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 62.5% | — | 0.0 | 62.5% | 24.6% | |
| 13 | F | Fr | 6'9" | 3-0 | 8.7 | 10 | — | Bench | 3.0 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 40.9% | 33.3% | 3.0 | — | 25.0% | |
| 16 | F | Fr | 7'0" | 3-0 | 4.0 | 3 | — | Bench | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0% | — | 0.0 | 50.0% | 14.1% |
Competitive minutes leave out garbage time (provisional rule: a second-half lead of 25+ inside 15:00, 20+ inside 10:00, 15+ inside 5:00 or 10+ inside 2:00, held to the end) and are shown per 40 minutes. Status says only whether a player appeared; the reason is not published.
Trends
Results against the closing spread and total, last ten games, entering this gameGeorgia
Against the spread
Season
0-3
Home
0-3
Road
0-0
Last 10
0-3
avg cover −16.2
Missed the spread 3 straight
Over / under
Season
1-2
Home
1-2
Road
0-0
Last 10
1-2
avg vs total −8.3
Under in the last game
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9 | FGCU | H | W 80–72 | −22.5 | L−14.5 | 163.5 | U152 | 118.8 | 106.9 | 67.4 |
| Nov 6 | Presbyterian | H | W 91–77 | −24.0 | L−10.0 | 158.0 | O168 | 139.5 | 118.0 | 65.3 |
| Nov 2 | NC Central | H | W 78–62 | −40.0 | L−24.0 | 163.5 | U140 | 106.1 | 84.4 | 73.5 |
| Mar 19 | #9Saint Louis | N | L 77–102 | −1.5 | L−26.5 | 167.5 | O179 | 96.5 | 127.8 | 79.8 |
| Mar 12 | Ole Miss | N | L 72–76 | −5.5 | L−9.5 | 156.5 | U148 | 97.0 | 102.4 | 74.2 |
| Mar 7 | Mississippi St | A | W 102–96 | −5.0 | W+1.0 | 164.5 | O198 | 128.7 | 121.1 | 79.3 |
| Mar 3 | #16Alabama | H | W 98–88 | +1.5 | W+11.5 | 180.0 | O186 | 131.1 | 117.7 | 74.7 |
| Feb 28 | South Carolina | H | W 87–68 | −12.5 | W+6.5 | 159.0 | U155 | 136.9 | 107.0 | 63.5 |
| Feb 25 | #25Vanderbilt | A | L 80–88 | +7.5 | L−0.5 | 163.0 | O168 | 121.1 | 133.2 | 66.1 |
| Feb 21 | Texas | H | W 91–80 | −3.0 | W+8.0 | 163.5 | O171 | 146.7 | 129.0 | 62.0 |
North Carolina
Against the spread
Season
2-1
Home
2-1
Road
0-0
Last 10
2-1
avg cover +1.8
Covered 2 straight
Over / under
Season
1-2
Home
1-2
Road
0-0
Last 10
1-2
avg vs total +0.2
Under in the last game
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10 | Wyoming | H | W 76–63 | −12.5 | W+0.5 | 155.5 | U139 | 113.9 | 94.4 | 66.8 |
| Nov 6 | Wofford | H | W 109–70 | −20.5 | W+18.5 | 156.0 | O179 | 138.7 | 89.1 | 78.6 |
| Nov 2 | W Carolina | H | W 80–72 | −21.5 | L−13.5 | 158.0 | U152 | 113.1 | 101.8 | 70.7 |
| Mar 19 | #11VCU | N | L 78–82 OT | −2.5 | L−6.5 | 151.0 | O160 | 101.9 | 107.1 | 76.5 |
| Mar 12 | Clemson | N | L 79–80 | +1.5 | W+0.5 | 140.5 | O159 | 114.5 | 115.9 | 69.0 |
| Mar 7 | #1Duke | A | L 61–76 | +18.0 | W+3.0 | 147.0 | U137 | 93.8 | 116.9 | 65.0 |
| Mar 3 | Clemson | H | W 67–63 | −2.5 | W+1.5 | 142.0 | U130 | 102.3 | 96.2 | 65.5 |
| Feb 28 | Virginia Tech | H | W 89–82 | −7.0 | P0.0 | 150.0 | O171 | 128.5 | 118.4 | 69.2 |
| Feb 23 | #24Louisville | H | W 77–74 | +3.5 | W+6.5 | 163.0 | U151 | 115.6 | 111.1 | 66.6 |
| Feb 21 | Syracuse | A | W 77–64 | +1.5 | W+14.5 | 154.5 | U141 | 113.3 | 94.2 | 67.9 |
Records vs the closing line describe the past; ten games is a small sample.
Team comparison
national rank toned left for away, right for homeGeorgiaNorth Carolina
Efficiency
114.8
114.4
104.8
98.8
71.8
71.5
-7.4
-0.1
Shooting
52.4%
55.9%
56.4%
55.9%
31.2%
37.3%
67.1%
69.5%
42.2%
44.1%
Ball control & glass
10.2%
12.0%
22.3%
15.7%
37.6%
28.7%
31.3%
36.0%
7.8%
8.3%
5.5%
4.5%
Style
41.2%
40.3%
44.2%
43.0%
22.9%
14.0%
40.7%
47.8%
32.3%
41.0%
Roster
3.23
2.62
6'6.3"
6'7"
44.1%
17.0%
Offseason
roster movement into this season — descriptive, not a model inputGeorgia
Returning minutes: 44.2%Returning production: 44.6%
Lost
- Jeremiah Wilkinson 24.1 mpg, 16.4 ppg · transferred to Arkansas
- Somto Cyril 21.1 mpg, 9.3 ppg · transferred to Miami
- Jordan Ross 20.2 mpg, 6.5 ppg · transferred to California
- Dylan James 15.0 mpg, 4.5 ppg · transferred to G Washington
- Justin Bailey 11.8 mpg, 3.9 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Justin Abson 10.7 mpg, 2.7 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
Added
- Freddie Dilione V from Penn State · 27.5 mpg, 14.0 ppg last season
- James Scott from Ole Miss · 17.9 mpg, 3.9 ppg last season
- Brady Dunlap from Saint Louis · 16.4 mpg, 6.8 ppg last season
- Andrew Osasuyi from St Bonaventure · 11.6 mpg, 3.6 ppg last season
- Mading Kuany no D1 minutes last season
- Donovan Williams Jr. no D1 minutes last season
Returns 44% of last season's minutes; lost 2 of its top 5 (2 transferred).
North Carolina
Returning minutes: 17.0%Returning production: 13.2%
Lost
- Henri Veesaar 29.5 mpg, 16.0 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Luka Bogavac 24.4 mpg, 9.8 ppg · transferred to Oklahoma St
- Seth Trimble 23.6 mpg, 10.2 ppg · transferred to Louisville
- Caleb Wilson 22.9 mpg, 14.4 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Derek Dixon 22.3 mpg, 6.5 ppg · transferred to Arizona
- Kyan Evans 17.6 mpg, 4.0 ppg · transferred to Minnesota
Added
- Terrence Brown from Utah · 31.5 mpg, 19.9 ppg last season
- Neo Avdalas from Virginia Tech · 30.8 mpg, 11.7 ppg last season
- Angelo Brizzi from Buffalo · 29.8 mpg, 14.5 ppg last season
- Cameron Fens from South Dakota · 25.3 mpg, 14.4 ppg last season
- Matt Able from NC State · 21.7 mpg, 8.8 ppg last season
- Alex Samodurov no D1 minutes last season
Returns 17% of last season's minutes; lost 4 of its top 5 (2 transferred). Teams returning under 40% of last season's minutes have historically fallen about 0.8 points of AdjEM (n=716 team-seasons, 2022-2026).
Line history
Market line, home spread or game totalLines by book
| Book | Spread (home) open → now | Total open → now | ML home | ML away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | -4.5→-3.5-108 | 161.5→164.5o-110 u-110 | -192 | +160 |
| FanDuel | -3.5-114 | 160.5→164.5o-110 u-110 | -176 | +146 |
| BetMGM | -4.5→-3.5-115 | 161.5→164.5o-110 u-110 | -185 | +150 |
| BetRivers | -3.5→-4.5-106 | 161.5→163.5o-114 u-109 | -195 | +155 |
| Caesars | -4.5→-4-110 | 161.5→164.5o-110 u-110 | -190 | +158 |
| Fanatics | -3.5→-4-110 | 160.5→164.5o-110 u-110 | -180 | +150 |
| BetOnline | -5→-4-112 | 161.5→164.5o-115 u-105 | -185 | +161 |
| Bovada | -4.5→-4-110 | 162.5→164o-110 u-110 | -175 | +150 |
| theScore Bet | -3.5→-4.5-105 | 160.5→165.5o-105 u-115 | -175 | +150 |
| Hard Rock | -3.5→-4.5-105 | 161.5→163.5o-110 u-110 | -190 | +155 |
| Kalshi | -4.5→-3.5-113 | 161.5→165.5o+108 u-113 | -178 | +170 |
| Polymarket | -4.5+108 | 164.5o+100 u-104 | -170 | +163 |
| Novig | -3.5→— | 161.5→164.5o-102 u-102 | -174 | +170 |
DraftKings
FanDuel
BetMGM
BetRivers
Caesars
Fanatics
BetOnline
Bovada
theScore Bet
Hard Rock
Kalshi
Polymarket
Novigopen = first-sighted line for this event · now = latest capture
Head-to-head
this season and lastNo meetings the last two seasons.
More games on Fri, Nov 13
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The CBB Matchups tab lays out the day's Division I slate: matchup, tip time, records and rank, and — once posted — the market spread and total (the median across books when no market line is up). Three views switch the table between projected scores, pace and totals, and each team's offensive and defensive tendencies. Each game opens into opponent-adjusted possessions, efficiency and four-factor tendencies for both teams, plus recent form, rotation and head-to-head history. Every game also carries our projected score, spread and total, from our line: the same view our bets are made from.
What these numbers mean: line shopping.