Milwaukee Panthers vs TCU Horned Frogs basketball final score
Fri, Nov 13 · 8:00 PM ET · Schollmaier Arena, Fort Worth, TX
Non-conferenceESPN+Schollmaier Arena, Fort Worth, TX
Milwaukee
2-2 · 0-0 conf
Efficiency #259
@
TCU
3-0 · 0-0 conf
Efficiency #40
Final
6476
Final score
Projected 66.1 – 89.6
MILW win 2%TCU win 98%
MarketClose
Spread
TCU −23.0
open TCU −25.0
Total
155.0
open 157.5
Our line
TCU −23.4
Our total
155.7
as of Fri, Nov 13 · 7:51 PM ET
Our play
How our line is built
each step, from an even game to our lineSpread
Even game
0.0
TCUrated 15.1 above average
+15.1
Milwaukeerated 4.9 below average
+4.9
Home court
+3.4
Our line
TCU −23.4
◂ Milwaukee sideTCU side ▸
Total
Average D-I game
151.3
TCUhigher-scoring games
+2.1
Milwaukeehigher-scoring games
+2.2
Our line
155.7
Axis starts at 148 pointsPoints added or removed at each step
Steps are rounded to one decimal, so they can differ from the line by 0.1. The spread is seen from the home side: a plus moves it toward TCU.
Pace & total
possessions per 40 minutesTempo, possessions per 40 minutes
Projected possessions: 72.1, from each team's opponent-adjusted tempo. On raw season pace, Milwaukee is the faster team (76.0, #49 of 365) and TCU the slower (73.0, #99). When tempos clash, the slower team usually pulls the pace harder (weights 0.80 vs 0.66).
Projected possessions
72.1
per team, 40 min
Market total
155.0
Market close · open 157.5
Adjusted tempo, vs an average opponent
72.3#79
Milwaukee
70.3#199
TCU
How this game plays
points this game from the four factors, vs an average D-I matchupOur line
TCU −23.4
Four factors 21.4Not in these stats 2.0
From the four factors
TCU has the ball+11.4
Milwaukee has the ball−10.0
TCU has the ball
✓Shoots it welleFG% 52.4% #144 · MILW allows 57.2% #306+4.8
✓Takes care of the ballTO% 14.7% #69 · MILW forces 14.9% #286 · ~10 turnovers+3.6
✓Wins second chancesOR% 42.5% #15 · MILW allows 23.8% #35+1.8
✓Gets to the lineFTR 57.6% #15 · MILW allows 38.0% #206 · FT 75.4% #86+1.3
Milwaukee has the ball
✗Coughs it upTO% 18.9% #221 · TCU forces 27.8% #10 · ~18 turnovers−5.8
✗Tough shooting lookeFG% 46.5% #262 · TCU allows 47.5% #107−3.8
✗Few trips to the lineFTR 34.4% #206 · TCU allows 32.0% #120 · FT 68.8% #209−0.5
✓Wins second chancesOR% 28.0% #248 · TCU allows 36.8% #289+0.1
Shot diet
Where each offense shoots from and where each defense lets teams shootMilwaukeeoffense vsTCUdefense
Share of shots by zone
Milwaukee shoots
33.6
13.0
22.6
30.8
TCU allows
39.1
4.3
18.8
37.7
D-I average
38.2
8.1
12.3
41.4
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 57.1%#196 | 53.7%#107 | 58.1% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 26.3%#266 | 33.3%#131 | 37.9% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 33.3%#192 | 53.8%#328 | 36.0% |
| Three | 28.3%#262 | 30.5%#141 | 32.4% |
TCUoffense vsMilwaukeedefense
Share of shots by zone
TCU shoots
45.9
3.4
11.0
39.7
Milwaukee allows
47.2
6.3
10.6
35.9
D-I average
38.2
8.1
12.3
41.4
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 58.2%#182 | 56.7%#156 | 58.1% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 40.0%#151 | 44.4%#227 | 37.9% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 25.0%#278 | 33.3%#143 | 36.0% |
| Three | 41.8%#25 | 40.5%#329 | 32.4% |
RimShort 2 (≤9 ft)Mid 2 (10 ft+)Three
Zones from play-by-play shot descriptions; garbage time removed. Bars show the share of field-goal attempts in each zone; where a slice is too thin for its number, the shares are listed under the bar. FG% ranks: #1 = best for that side (most accurate shooting, stingiest defense).
Shot volume
Extra scoring chances from rebounds, turnovers and the foul lineMilwaukee
−2.1extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#213 of 365
Off reb %
28.0%
#248
Def reb %
76.2%
#35
Turnover %
18.9%
#221
Forced TO %
14.9%
#286
FT rate
34.4%
#206
FT allowed
38.0%
#206
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding−1.2
Defensive rebounding+2.7
Ball security−0.5
Forcing turnovers−2.2
Foul shots drawn−0.8
Foul shots allowed−0.1
TCU
+18.1extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#4 of 365
Off reb %
42.5%
#15
Def reb %
63.2%
#289
Turnover %
14.7%
#69
Forced TO %
27.8%
#10
FT rate
57.6%
#15
FT allowed
32.0%
#120
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding+3.7
Defensive rebounding−1.7
Ball security+2.5
Forcing turnovers+7.0
Foul shots drawn+5.3
Foul shots allowed+1.4
TCU has more extra scoring chances per game: +18.1 (#4 of 365) to Milwaukee’s −2.1 (#213).
Grade = extra shots and foul-line trips per game compared with a D-I average team, built from six season rates. Cell shading is the national rank for each rate (greener = better for that team).
Rotation
Who has been playing, and who has notMilwaukee2026-27 numbers · last game: Indiana St, Nov 11
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | Min/40, last 8 | Last 3 vs before | Status | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | G | Sr | 6'3" | 4-4 | 26.8 | 25 | — | Started last | 10.3 | 4.3 | 2.5 | 3.0 | 32.4% | 0.0% | 1.0 | 68.0% | 30.2% | |
| 1 | G | Fr | 6'1" | 4-3 | 26.0 | 26 | — | Started last | 13.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 44.2% | 20.0% | 2.5 | 63.6% | 31.5% | |
| 35 | F | So | 6'10" | 4-2 | 23.3 | 24 | — | Bench | 8.8 | 6.8 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 61.5% | 40.0% | 1.3 | 42.9% | 19.1% | |
| 3 | F | Sr | 6'8" | 3-3 | 29.7 | 36 | — | Started last | 5.7 | 5.3 | 1.3 | 2.0 | 31.8% | 0.0% | 0.3 | 75.0% | 17.9% | |
| 24 | G | Fr | 6'5" | 4-1 | 18.3 | 17 | — | Bench | 6.5 | 3.8 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 46.2% | 33.3% | 4.5 | 100.0% | 20.2% | |
| 11 | F | Sr | 6'7" | 3-2 | 21.7 | 31 | — | Started last | 9.7 | 1.7 | 2.3 | 2.0 | 61.4% | 45.5% | 3.7 | 100.0% | 24.1% | |
| 4 | G | So | 6'1" | 4-0 | 14.8 | 3 | — | Bench | 6.8 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 57.5% | 46.7% | 3.8 | 80.0% | 21.8% | |
| 21 | F | Jr | 6'9" | 4-2 | 13.3 | 7 | — | Started last | 5.8 | 2.5 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 87.5% | 50.0% | 0.5 | 100.0% | 15.9% | |
| 2 | G | Sr | 6'0" | 3-2 | 16.3 | 15 | — | Bench | 5.0 | 2.7 | 1.7 | 2.0 | 42.9% | 25.0% | 2.7 | 75.0% | 23.7% | |
| 8 | F | Fr | 6'8" | 3-0 | 14.3 | 0 | — | Missed last game | 5.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 60.0% | 0.0% | 0.3 | 60.0% | 17.3% | |
| 7 | G | Jr | 6'2" | 4-1 | 10.0 | 4 | — | Bench | 7.0 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 61.9% | 36.4% | 2.8 | 66.7% | 30.8% | |
| 22 | G | Sr | 6'8" | 1-0 | 16.0 | — | — | Out L3 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 50.0% | 0.0% | 2.0 | — | 20.3% | |
| 9 | F | Jr | 6'9" | 1-0 | 10.0 | — | — | Active | 2.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 100.0% | — | 0.0 | — | 5.5% |
Into the starting lineup: Chandler Jackson.Into the starting lineup: Al Amadou.Out of the starting lineup: Nate Malosa.Out of the starting lineup: Isaiah Dorceus.
Competitive minutes leave out garbage time (provisional rule: a second-half lead of 25+ inside 15:00, 20+ inside 10:00, 15+ inside 5:00 or 10+ inside 2:00, held to the end) and are shown per 40 minutes. Status says only whether a player appeared; the reason is not published.
Trends
Results against the closing spread and total, last ten games, entering this gameMilwaukee
Against the spread
Season
1-2
Home
0-0
Road
1-2
Last 10
1-2
avg cover +0.3
Covered the last game
Over / under
Season
2-1
Home
0-0
Road
2-1
Last 10
2-1
avg vs total +0.8
Over 2 straight
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 11 | Indiana St | A | W 82–73 | +4.0 | W+13.0 | 154.0 | O155 | 110.7 | 98.5 | 74.1 |
| Nov 8 | Ripon Red Hawks | H | W 99–48 | — | — | — | — | 134.4 | 65.2 | 73.7 |
| Nov 4 | Santa Clara | A | L 72–95 | +16.5 | L−6.5 | 162.0 | O167 | 91.5 | 120.7 | 78.7 |
| Nov 2 | #21USC | A | L 63–95 | +26.5 | L−5.5 | 161.5 | U158 | 83.7 | 126.2 | 75.3 |
| Mar 4 | Detroit Mercy | A | L 63–84 | +1.0 | L−20.0 | 151.5 | U147 | 93.7 | 124.9 | 67.2 |
| Feb 25 | Youngstown St | H | W 78–65 | +1.0 | W+14.0 | 148.5 | U143 | 113.9 | 94.9 | 68.5 |
| Feb 22 | Oakland | A | L 70–81 | +6.5 | L−4.5 | 160.0 | U151 | 107.1 | 123.9 | 65.4 |
| Feb 20 | Detroit Mercy | A | L 86–91 | −1.0 | L−6.0 | 153.0 | O177 | 122.5 | 129.7 | 70.2 |
| Feb 15 | Green Bay | H | W 75–72 | −2.5 | W+0.5 | 145.5 | O147 | 121.8 | 117.0 | 61.6 |
| Feb 10 | IU Indy | A | W 92–88 | −2.0 | W+2.0 | 158.0 | O180 | 118.7 | 113.6 | 77.5 |
TCU
Against the spread
Season
2-1
Home
2-1
Road
0-0
Last 10
2-1
avg cover +3.0
Missed the spread in the last game
Over / under
Season
3-0
Home
3-0
Road
0-0
Last 10
3-0
avg vs total +13.8
Over 3 straight
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10 | UL Monroe | H | W 100–92 2OT | −33.5 | L−25.5 | 160.0 | O192 | 112.4 | 103.4 | 88.9 |
| Nov 6 | Southern | H | W 106–54 | −27.0 | W+25.0 | 153.0 | O160 | 145.5 | 74.1 | 72.8 |
| Nov 2 | Lindenwood | H | W 98–59 | −29.5 | W+9.5 | 154.5 | O157 | 129.8 | 78.1 | 75.5 |
| Mar 21 | #1Duke | N | L 58–81 | +12.0 | L−11.0 | 140.5 | U139 | 83.6 | 116.8 | 69.3 |
| Mar 19 | #8Ohio State | N | W 66–64 | +2.0 | W+4.0 | 146.0 | U130 | 105.7 | 102.5 | 62.4 |
| Mar 12 | #14Kansas | N | L 73–78 | +5.0 | P0.0 | 146.5 | O151 | 97.9 | 104.6 | 74.6 |
| Mar 11 | Oklahoma St | N | W 95–88 | −7.0 | P0.0 | 158.0 | O183 | 137.8 | 127.6 | 69.0 |
| Mar 7 | Cincinnati | H | W 73–63 | −2.5 | W+7.5 | 139.5 | U136 | 115.1 | 99.3 | 63.4 |
| Mar 3 | #10Texas Tech | A | W 73–65 | +8.0 | W+16.0 | 148.5 | U138 | 114.1 | 101.6 | 64.0 |
| Feb 28 | Kansas St | A | W 77–68 | −3.0 | W+6.0 | 159.5 | U145 | 106.8 | 94.3 | 72.1 |
Records vs the closing line describe the past; ten games is a small sample.
Team comparison
national rank toned left for away, right for homeMilwaukeeTCU
Efficiency
103.5
113.2
109.6
97.9
72.3
70.3
5.8
-11.5
Shooting
46.5%
52.4%
48.4%
46.0%
28.3%
41.8%
68.8%
75.4%
34.4%
57.6%
Ball control & glass
18.9%
14.7%
14.9%
27.8%
28.0%
42.5%
23.8%
36.8%
12.3%
8.4%
11.9%
17.5%
Style
32.3%
38.5%
47.9%
36.2%
16.1%
18.1%
43.6%
71.4%
41.9%
36.5%
Roster
2.67
3.04
6'5.1"
6'5.7"
28.7%
50.7%
Offseason
roster movement into this season — descriptive, not a model inputMilwaukee
Returning minutes: 28.8%Returning production: 29.9%
Lost
- Aaron Franklin 25.2 mpg, 6.8 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Stevie Elam 20.5 mpg, 8.2 ppg · transferred to Miami OH
- Amar Augillard 20.2 mpg, 12.2 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Josh Dixon 18.5 mpg, 9.0 ppg · transferred to GA Southern
- Esyah Pippa-White 18.5 mpg, 4.4 ppg · transferred to Hou Christian
- Faizon Fields 13.9 mpg, 4.4 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
Added
- Tre Norman from Marquette · 7.6 mpg, 2.0 ppg last season
- Al Amadou from Saint Joseph's · 1.9 mpg, 0.4 ppg last season
- Jake Hansen from Oklahoma · 0.1 mpg, 0.0 ppg last season
- John Lovelace Jr. no D1 minutes last season
- Aaron Womack III no D1 minutes last season
- Ben Akoro no D1 minutes last season
Returns 29% of last season's minutes; lost 4 of its top 5 (2 transferred). Teams returning under 40% of last season's minutes have historically fallen about 0.8 points of AdjEM (n=716 team-seasons, 2022-2026).
TCU
Returning minutes: 50.7%Returning production: 51.6%
Lost
- Jayden Pierre 30.4 mpg, 10.1 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- David Punch 28.8 mpg, 13.7 ppg · transferred to Texas
- Liutauras Lelevicius 23.0 mpg, 7.8 ppg · transferred to Clemson
- Jace Posey 8.7 mpg, 3.5 ppg · transferred to UT Rio Grande
- Vianney Salatchoum 3.5 mpg, 0.7 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Kayden Edwards 2.5 mpg, 1.3 ppg · transferred to Creighton
Added
- Gavin Sykes from Long Beach St · 28.8 mpg, 16.9 ppg last season
- DJ Thomas from West Virginia · 16.8 mpg, 6.6 ppg last season
- Luke Bamgboye from Texas Tech · 10.2 mpg, 2.8 ppg last season
- Ryan Hunt no D1 minutes last season
- Jack Wegman no D1 minutes last season
- Sam Fleming no D1 minutes last season
Returns 51% of last season's minutes; lost 3 of its top 5 (2 transferred).
Line history
Market line, home spread or game totalLines by book
| Book | Spread (home) open → now | Total open → now | ML home | ML away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | -25.5→-22.5-115 | 156.5→155.5o-108 u-112 | — | +1800 |
| FanDuel | -24.5→-22.5-110 | 157.5→154.5o-115 u-105 | — | +2400 |
| BetMGM | -25.5→-22.5-115 | 156.5→155.5o-110 u-110 | — | +1900 |
| BetRivers | -23.5→-22.5-117 | 158.5→155.5o-117 u-107 | — | — |
| Caesars | -25.5→-23-110 | 156.5→155o-110 u-110 | — | — |
| Fanatics | -25→-22.5-110 | 157→155.5o-110 u-110 | — | +2500 |
| BetOnline | -25→-23-112 | 156.5→155o-115 u-105 | — | +1642 |
| Bovada | -25.5→-23-105 | 159.5→155o-110 u-110 | — | — |
| theScore Bet | -25.5→-23.5-105 | 156.5→155.5o-105 u-115 | — | +2500 |
| Hard Rock | -23.5→-22.5-115 | 158.5→155.5o-115 u-105 | — | — |
| Kalshi | — | 157.5→155.5o+104 u-108 | -4900 | +3233 |
| Polymarket | -22.5-108 | 155.5o+104 u-108 | -3604 | +3348 |
| Novig | -25.5→-23.5+102 | 155.5→— | -3746 | +3233 |
DraftKings
FanDuel
BetMGM
BetRivers
Caesars
Fanatics
BetOnline
Bovada
theScore Bet
Hard Rock
Kalshi
Polymarket
Novigopen = first-sighted line for this event · now = latest capture
Head-to-head
this season and lastNo meetings the last two seasons.
More games on Fri, Nov 13
- West Florida vs Cleveland St · 3:00 PM ET
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- North Alabama at Miami · 5:00 PM ET
- Georgetown at Clemson · 6:00 PM ET
- Bryant at Rutgers · 6:00 PM ET
- Pitt at Butler · 6:30 PM ET
- Merrimack at Florida · 7:00 PM ET
- Georgia at North Carolina · 7:00 PM ET
- Tennessee St at Tennessee · 7:00 PM ET
- Long Island at Fordham · 7:00 PM ET
- Harvard at G Washington · 7:00 PM ET
- Sam Houston at Illinois · 7:00 PM ET
- Troy at NC State · 7:00 PM ET
- Mount St Marys at Virginia Tech · 7:00 PM ET
- Yale at Northeastern · 7:00 PM ET
- Chattanooga at Elon · 7:00 PM ET
- Iona at Hofstra · 7:00 PM ET
- N Arizona at Kentucky · 7:00 PM ET
- Prairie View at Vanderbilt · 7:00 PM ET
- FIU at FGCU · 7:00 PM ET
- Columbia at Bucknell · 7:00 PM ET
- Marist at Lehigh · 7:00 PM ET
- Northern Iowa at Michigan St · 7:00 PM ET
- App State at Charlotte · 7:00 PM ET
- Ohio at Purdue · 7:00 PM ET
- Ohio State at UConn · 7:30 PM ET
- SE Missouri at MTSU · 7:30 PM ET
- NC Central at Liberty · 7:30 PM ET
- South Dakota at Drake · 7:30 PM ET
- FDU at Oklahoma · 8:00 PM ET
- SIUE at Duke · 8:00 PM ET
- Virginia at Maryland · 8:00 PM ET
- C Arkansas at Arkansas · 8:00 PM ET
- GA Southern at UCF · 8:00 PM ET
- Alcorn St at Tarleton St · 8:00 PM ET
- Wright St at Samford · 8:00 PM ET
- Illinois St at N Dakota St · 8:00 PM ET
- Texas Southern at Murray St · 8:00 PM ET
- Southern Miss at Texas St · 8:00 PM ET
- Lindenwood at Omaha · 8:45 PM ET
- Seton Hall at Alabama · 9:00 PM ET
- Xavier vs Mississippi St · 9:00 PM ET
- DePaul at Northwestern · 9:00 PM ET
- Arizona at Auburn · 9:00 PM ET
- Ball State at SMU · 9:00 PM ET
- UL Monroe at Arizona St · 9:00 PM ET
- Cal Poly at Idaho · 9:00 PM ET
- Stanford at UNLV · 9:00 PM ET
- Chicago St at San Diego · 9:30 PM ET
- Miss Valley St at Oregon St · 9:30 PM ET
- UIC at Saint Mary's · 10:00 PM ET
- East Texas A&M at Portland · 10:00 PM ET
- UC San Diego at Utah State · 10:00 PM ET
- AR-Pine Bluff at CA Baptist · 10:30 PM ET
The CBB Matchups tab lays out the day's Division I slate: matchup, tip time, records and rank, and — once posted — the market spread and total (the median across books when no market line is up). Three views switch the table between projected scores, pace and totals, and each team's offensive and defensive tendencies. Each game opens into opponent-adjusted possessions, efficiency and four-factor tendencies for both teams, plus recent form, rotation and head-to-head history. Every game also carries our projected score, spread and total, from our line: the same view our bets are made from.
What these numbers mean: line shopping.