Northern Arizona Lumberjacks vs Kentucky Wildcats basketball final score
Fri, Nov 13 · 7:00 PM ET · Rupp Arena, Lexington, KY
Non-conferenceSECN+Rupp Arena, Lexington, KY
N Arizona
0-3 · 0-0 conf
Efficiency #327
@
24Kentucky
2-1 · 0-0 conf
Efficiency #53
Final
7778
Final score
Projected 63.2 – 94.7
NAU win 0%UK win 100%
MarketClose
Spread
UK −30.5
open UK −34.0
Total
152.5
open 155.5
Our line
UK −31.5
Our total
157.9
as of Fri, Nov 13 · 6:51 PM ET
Our play
How our line is built
each step, from an even game to our lineSpread
Even game
0.0
Kentuckyrated 18.9 above average
+18.9
N Arizonarated 9.2 below average
+9.2
Home court
+3.4
Our line
UK −31.5
◂ N Arizona sideKentucky side ▸
Total
Average D-I game
151.3
Kentuckyhigher-scoring games
+5.9
N Arizonahigher-scoring games
+0.7
Our line
157.9
Axis starts at 145 pointsPoints added or removed at each step
The spread is seen from the home side: a plus moves it toward Kentucky.
Pace & total
possessions per 40 minutesTempo, possessions per 40 minutes
Projected possessions: 65.8, from each team's opponent-adjusted tempo. On raw season pace, Kentucky is the faster team (70.2, #199 of 365) and N Arizona the slower (66.4, #315). When tempos clash, the slower team usually pulls the pace harder (weights 0.80 vs 0.66).
Projected possessions
65.8
per team, 40 min
Market total
152.5
Market close · open 155.5
Adjusted tempo, vs an average opponent
65.8#358
N Arizona
70.4#191
Kentucky
How this game plays
points this game from the four factors, vs an average D-I matchupOur line
UK −31.5
Four factors 15.0Not in these stats 16.5
From the four factors
Kentucky has the ball+14.7
N Arizona has the ball−0.3
Kentucky has the ball
✓Shoots it welleFG% 57.1% #65 · NAU allows 58.4% #318+7.5
✓Takes care of the ballTO% 17.6% #171 · NAU forces 9.0% #362 · ~8 turnovers+5.0
✓Wins second chancesOR% 34.0% #141 · NAU allows 41.2% #335+2.6
✗Few trips to the lineFTR 26.9% #300 · NAU allows 35.6% #176 · FT 71.4% #150−0.4
N Arizona has the ball
✓Shoots it welleFG% 53.8% #120 · UK allows 49.2% #154+1.3
✗Coughs it upTO% 24.6% #344 · UK forces 14.2% #305 · ~13 turnovers−0.9
✗Few second chancesOR% 28.2% #244 · UK allows 31.7% #192−0.9
✓Gets to the lineFTR 42.1% #114 · UK allows 31.9% #119 · FT 73.8% #114+0.1
Shot diet
Where each offense shoots from and where each defense lets teams shootN Arizonaoffense vs#24Kentuckydefense
Share of shots by zone
N Arizona shoots
26.7
6.7
11.7
55.0
Kentucky allows
32.5
5.8
13.0
48.7
D-I average
38.2
8.1
12.3
41.4
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 71.9%#33 | 62.0%#228 | 58.1% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 25.0%#268 | 22.2%#54 | 37.9% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 35.7%#175 | 35.0%#170 | 36.0% |
| Three | 33.3%#162 | 33.0%#201 | 32.4% |
#24Kentuckyoffense vsN Arizonadefense
Share of shots by zone
Kentucky shoots
27.4
5.5
22.6
44.5
N Arizona allows
48.7
7.8
7.1
36.4
D-I average
38.2
8.1
12.3
41.4
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 77.5%#9 | 64.0%#267 | 58.1% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 87.5%#2 | 33.3%#131 | 37.9% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 42.4%#117 | 72.7%#356 | 36.0% |
| Three | 32.5%#181 | 31.9%#173 | 32.4% |
RimShort 2 (≤9 ft)Mid 2 (10 ft+)Three
Zones from play-by-play shot descriptions; garbage time removed. Bars show the share of field-goal attempts in each zone; where a slice is too thin for its number, the shares are listed under the bar. FG% ranks: #1 = best for that side (most accurate shooting, stingiest defense).
Shot volume
Extra scoring chances from rebounds, turnovers and the foul lineN Arizona
−13.4extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#347 of 365
Off reb %
28.2%
#244
Def reb %
58.8%
#335
Turnover %
24.6%
#344
Forced TO %
9.0%
#362
FT rate
42.1%
#114
FT allowed
35.6%
#176
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding−1.1
Defensive rebounding−3.1
Ball security−4.6
Forcing turnovers−6.4
Foul shots drawn+1.2
Foul shots allowed+0.5
#24Kentucky
−2.6extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#224 of 365
Off reb %
34.0%
#141
Def reb %
68.3%
#192
Turnover %
17.6%
#171
Forced TO %
14.2%
#305
FT rate
26.9%
#300
FT allowed
31.9%
#119
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding+0.8
Defensive rebounding0.0
Ball security+0.5
Forcing turnovers−2.7
Foul shots drawn−2.7
Foul shots allowed+1.4
Kentucky has more extra scoring chances per game: −2.6 (#224 of 365) to N Arizona’s −13.4 (#347).
Grade = extra shots and foul-line trips per game compared with a D-I average team, built from six season rates. Cell shading is the national rank for each rate (greener = better for that team).
Rotation
Who has been playing, and who has notN Arizona2026-27 numbers · last game: Arizona, Nov 10
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | Min/40, last 8 | Last 3 vs before | Status | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | G | So | 6'3" | 3-3 | 35.7 | 36 | — | Started last | 20.7 | 3.7 | 4.3 | 3.3 | 59.8% | 43.8% | 5.3 | 72.2% | 33.6% | |
| 11 | G | Sr | 6'4" | 3-3 | 31.3 | 37 | — | Started last | 12.7 | 3.3 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 60.7% | 40.0% | 8.3 | 80.0% | 20.2% | |
| 1 | F | Fr | 6'8" | 3-3 | 29.0 | 32 | — | Started last | 10.7 | 6.3 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 51.9% | 14.3% | 2.3 | 55.6% | 23.1% | |
| 7 | G | Sr | 6'4" | 3-3 | 29.0 | 35 | — | Started last | 4.7 | 3.0 | 1.3 | 3.0 | 21.4% | 0.0% | 2.3 | 88.9% | 18.8% | |
| 4 | F | Sr | 7'0" | 3-2 | 19.7 | 25 | — | Started last | 4.7 | 2.0 | 0.7 | 2.3 | 38.5% | 20.0% | 3.3 | 66.7% | 23.5% | |
| 6 | F | So | 6'10" | 3-0 | 17.7 | 8 | — | Bench | 6.0 | 4.7 | 0.3 | 1.3 | 83.3% | — | 0.0 | 88.9% | 16.1% | |
| 22 | G | Sr | 6'0" | 3-1 | 15.3 | 11 | — | Bench | 2.0 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 37.5% | 33.3% | 2.0 | — | 17.0% | |
| 3 | F | So | 6'6" | 3-0 | 8.3 | 6 | — | Bench | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 150.0% | 100.0% | 0.3 | — | 2.4% | |
| 0 | G | Jr | 6'4" | 2-0 | 9.0 | 0 | — | Missed last game | 1.0 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 33.3% | 0.0% | 0.5 | — | 19.3% | |
| 33 | F | Fr | 6'9" | 2-0 | 6.0 | 10 | — | Bench | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 75.0% | 50.0% | 2.0 | — | 25.7% | |
| 23 | G | Fr | 6'2" | 2-0 | 4.5 | 2 | — | Bench | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 150.0% | 100.0% | 0.5 | 60.0% | 29.6% | |
| 31 | C | Jr | 6'10" | 1-0 | 2.0 | — | — | Active | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | 30.9% |
Competitive minutes leave out garbage time (provisional rule: a second-half lead of 25+ inside 15:00, 20+ inside 10:00, 15+ inside 5:00 or 10+ inside 2:00, held to the end) and are shown per 40 minutes. Status says only whether a player appeared; the reason is not published.
Trends
Results against the closing spread and total, last ten games, entering this gameN Arizona
Against the spread
Season
2-1
Home
0-0
Road
2-1
Last 10
2-1
avg cover +4.5
Covered the last game
Over / under
Season
2-1
Home
0-0
Road
2-1
Last 10
2-1
avg vs total +2.3
Under in the last game
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10 | #12Arizona | A | L 59–90 | +36.0 | W+5.0 | 156.0 | U149 | 91.9 | 140.1 | 64.2 |
| Nov 7 | New Mexico | A | L 65–94 | +28.5 | L−0.5 | 157.5 | O159 | 98.3 | 142.2 | 66.1 |
| Nov 3 | UNLV | A | L 77–89 | +21.0 | W+9.0 | 153.5 | O166 | 111.9 | 129.4 | 68.8 |
| Mar 7 | Idaho St | N | L 65–73 | +4.5 | L−3.5 | 142.5 | U138 | 98.2 | 110.3 | 66.2 |
| Mar 2 | Montana St | H | L 65–76 | +6.0 | L−5.0 | 143.5 | U141 | 106.6 | 124.6 | 61.0 |
| Feb 28 | E Washington | A | L 57–88 | +9.5 | L−21.5 | 147.0 | U145 | 89.7 | 138.6 | 63.5 |
| Feb 26 | Idaho | A | L 58–78 | +10.5 | L−9.5 | 146.0 | U136 | 95.6 | 128.6 | 60.7 |
| Feb 21 | N Colorado | A | L 77–78 | +12.5 | W+11.5 | 150.5 | O155 | 115.6 | 117.1 | 66.6 |
| Feb 14 | Sacramento St | H | W 79–74 | −1.5 | W+3.5 | 155.0 | U153 | 111.2 | 104.2 | 71.0 |
| Feb 12 | Portland St | H | L 68–77 | +7.5 | L−1.5 | 135.5 | O145 | 107.6 | 121.8 | 63.2 |
#24Kentucky
Against the spread
Season
0-3
Home
0-2
Road
0-0
Last 10
0-3
avg cover −11.7
Missed the spread 3 straight
Over / under
Season
1-2
Home
1-1
Road
0-0
Last 10
1-2
avg vs total −1.7
Under in the last game
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10 | #15Kansas | N | L 69–89 | +5.0 | L−15.0 | 159.0 | U158 | 89.6 | 115.6 | 77.0 |
| Nov 6 | James Madison | H | W 89–80 | −24.0 | L−15.0 | 156.5 | O169 | 130.7 | 117.5 | 68.1 |
| Nov 3 | Manhattan | H | W 85–57 | −33.0 | L−5.0 | 158.5 | U142 | 129.6 | 86.9 | 65.6 |
| Mar 22 | #2Iowa State | N | L 63–82 | +4.5 | L−14.5 | 146.5 | U145 | 91.0 | 118.4 | 69.2 |
| Mar 20 | #10Santa Clara | N | W 89–84 OT | −3.5 | W+1.5 | 157.5 | O173 | 119.3 | 112.6 | 74.6 |
| Mar 13 | #4Florida | N | L 63–71 | +10.0 | W+2.0 | 160.5 | U134 | 86.2 | 97.1 | 73.1 |
| Mar 12 | Missouri | N | W 78–72 | −3.5 | W+2.5 | 149.5 | O150 | 113.2 | 104.5 | 68.9 |
| Mar 11 | LSU | N | W 87–82 | −9.0 | L−4.0 | 151.5 | O169 | 123.9 | 116.8 | 70.2 |
| Mar 7 | #5Florida | H | L 77–84 | +5.5 | L−1.5 | 162.0 | U161 | 107.6 | 117.3 | 71.6 |
| Mar 3 | Texas A&M | A | L 85–96 | +1.5 | L−9.5 | 162.0 | O181 | 112.7 | 127.3 | 75.4 |
Records vs the closing line describe the past; ten games is a small sample.
Team comparison
national rank toned left for away, right for homeN Arizona#24Kentucky
Efficiency
104.6
114.4
117.1
102.4
65.8
70.4
13.5
3.8
Shooting
53.8%
57.1%
58.2%
63.7%
33.3%
32.5%
73.8%
71.4%
42.1%
26.9%
Ball control & glass
24.6%
17.6%
9.0%
14.2%
28.2%
34.0%
41.2%
31.7%
16.6%
10.0%
10.4%
5.9%
Style
53.8%
44.0%
35.8%
42.0%
4.5%
18.5%
49.2%
51.6%
27.4%
37.4%
Roster
2.81
2.74
6'5.6"
6'8.1"
28.0%
17.4%
Offseason
roster movement into this season — descriptive, not a model inputN Arizona
Returning minutes: 37.8%Returning production: 35.2%
Lost
- Traivar Jackson 22.0 mpg, 7.3 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Karl Poom 19.6 mpg, 8.9 ppg · transferred to N Dakota St
- Isaiah Shaw 16.6 mpg, 7.3 ppg · transferred to UConn
- Arne Osojnik 14.6 mpg, 5.8 ppg · transferred to N'Western St
- Diego Campisano 14.5 mpg, 5.7 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Kavon Bradford 14.2 mpg, 4.6 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
Added
- Luke Wieskamp new to D1 · 19.0 mpg, 1.0 ppg last season
- Dylan Anderson from Murray St · 6.4 mpg, 1.4 ppg last season
- Max Majerle from N Dakota St · 2.8 mpg, 0.5 ppg last season
- Cade Bennett from Saint Mary's · 1.1 mpg, 0.2 ppg last season
- Noah George no D1 minutes last season
- Johnny Mautz no D1 minutes last season
Returns 38% of last season's minutes; lost 2 of its top 5 (1 transferred). Teams returning under 40% of last season's minutes have historically fallen about 0.8 points of AdjEM (n=716 team-seasons, 2022-2026).
#24Kentucky
Returning minutes: 21.4%Returning production: 21.9%
Lost
- Otega Oweh 32.7 mpg, 18.6 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Denzel Aberdeen 30.6 mpg, 13.5 ppg · transferred to Florida
- Collin Chandler 27.1 mpg, 9.7 ppg · transferred to BYU
- Mo Dioubate 18.6 mpg, 7.6 ppg · transferred to LSU
- Brandon Garrison 16.2 mpg, 4.7 ppg · transferred to Alabama
- Andrija Jelavic 14.0 mpg, 4.9 ppg · transferred to Ohio State
Added
- Milan Momcilovic from Iowa State · 30.4 mpg, 16.9 ppg last season
- Alex Wilkins from Furman · 29.7 mpg, 17.8 ppg last season
- Zoom Diallo from Washington · 29.6 mpg, 15.7 ppg last season
- Justin McBride from James Madison · 25.5 mpg, 14.3 ppg last season
- Jerone Morton from Washington St · 24.9 mpg, 7.8 ppg last season
- Franck Kepnang from Washington · 18.8 mpg, 5.1 ppg last season
Returns 21% of last season's minutes; lost 4 of its top 5 (3 transferred). Teams returning under 40% of last season's minutes have historically fallen about 0.8 points of AdjEM (n=716 team-seasons, 2022-2026).
Line history
Market line, home spread or game totalLines by book
| Book | Spread (home) open → now | Total open → now | ML home | ML away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | -34.5→-30.5-110 | 155.5→152.5o-105 u-115 | — | — |
| FanDuel | -33.5→-30.5-110 | 155.5→152.5o-110 u-110 | — | — |
| BetMGM | -34.5→-30.5-110 | 155.5→152.5o-105 u-115 | — | — |
| BetRivers | -34.5→-30.5-112 | 155.5→152.5o-117 u-107 | — | — |
| Caesars | -34.5→-30.5-110 | 155.5→152o-110 u-110 | — | — |
| Fanatics | -34→-30.5-110 | 155.5→152.5o-105 u-115 | — | — |
| BetOnline | -34→-30-113 | 155→152.5o-102 u-118 | — | — |
| Bovada | -34.5→-30.5-110 | 156.5→152o-110 u-110 | — | — |
| theScore Bet | -34.5→-30.5-105 | 155.5→152.5o-110 u-110 | — | — |
| Hard Rock | -34.5→-30.5-110 | 155.5→152.5o-115 u-105 | — | — |
| Kalshi | — | 154.5→151.5o-108 u+104 | — | — |
| Polymarket | -30.5+100 | 155.5→152.5o+104 u-108 | — | — |
| Novig | -33.5→-30.5+104 | 155.5→— | — | — |
DraftKings
FanDuel
BetMGM
BetRivers
Caesars
Fanatics
BetOnline
Bovada
theScore Bet
Hard Rock
Kalshi
Polymarket
Novigopen = first-sighted line for this event · now = latest capture
Head-to-head
this season and lastNo meetings the last two seasons.
More games on Fri, Nov 13
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The CBB Matchups tab lays out the day's Division I slate: matchup, tip time, records and rank, and — once posted — the market spread and total (the median across books when no market line is up). Three views switch the table between projected scores, pace and totals, and each team's offensive and defensive tendencies. Each game opens into opponent-adjusted possessions, efficiency and four-factor tendencies for both teams, plus recent form, rotation and head-to-head history. Every game also carries our projected score, spread and total, from our line: the same view our bets are made from.
What these numbers mean: line shopping.