Virginia Cavaliers vs Maryland Terrapins basketball final score
Fri, Nov 13 · 8:00 PM ET · XFINITY Center, College Park, MD
Non-conferencePeacockXFINITY Center, College Park, MD
6Virginia
4-0 · 0-0 conf
Efficiency #13
@
Maryland
1-1 · 0-0 conf
Efficiency #157
Final
8783
Final score
Projected 78.6 – 73.9
UVA win 66%MD win 34%
MarketClose
Spread
UVA −6.0
open UVA −4.5
Total
153.5
open 152.5
Our line
UVA −4.8
as of Fri, Nov 13 · 7:51 PM ET
Our play
How our line is built
each step, from an even game to our lineSpread
Even game
0.0
Marylandrated 15.3 above average
+15.3
Virginiarated 23.4 above average
−23.4
Home court
+3.4
Our line
UVA −4.8
◂ Virginia sideMaryland side ▸
Steps are rounded to one decimal, so they can differ from the line by 0.1. The spread is seen from the home side: a plus moves it toward Maryland. Our total joins once both teams have played 3 games.
Pace & total
possessions per 40 minutesTempo, possessions per 40 minutes
Projected possessions: 71.5, from each team's opponent-adjusted tempo. On raw season pace, Virginia is the faster team (72.4, #118 of 365) and Maryland the slower (70.2, #202). When tempos clash, the slower team usually pulls the pace harder (weights 0.80 vs 0.66).
Projected possessions
71.5
per team, 40 min
Market total
153.5
Market close · open 152.5
Adjusted tempo, vs an average opponent
71.4#118
Virginia
70.6#182
Maryland
How this game plays
points this game from the four factors, vs an average D-I matchupOur line
UVA −4.8
Four factors +9.4 · not in these stats −4.6
From the four factors
Maryland has the ball+0.8
Virginia has the ball+10.2
Maryland has the ball
✓Wins second chancesOR% 58.8% #1 · UVA allows 26.6% #83+7.3
✗Coughs it upTO% 19.2% #234 · UVA forces 24.5% #27 · ~16 turnovers−4.1
✗Tough shooting lookeFG% 48.1% #230 · UVA allows 48.7% #143−2.2
✗Few trips to the lineFTR 40.7% #132 · UVA allows 27.0% #60 · FT 72.7% #132−0.2
Virginia has the ball
✓Shoots it welleFG% 58.1% #49 · MD allows 60.5% #344+9.8
✓Wins second chancesOR% 43.1% #14 · MD allows 26.7% #85+2.5
✗Coughs it upTO% 16.9% #149 · MD forces 22.8% #51 · ~15 turnovers−1.9
✗Few trips to the lineFTR 27.9% #289 · MD allows 37.1% #194 · FT 73.7% #116−0.2
Shot diet
Where each offense shoots from and where each defense lets teams shoot#6Virginiaoffense vsMarylanddefense
Share of shots by zone
Virginia shoots
41.5
6.3
7.3
44.9
Maryland allows
28.2
5.9
7.1
58.8
D-I average
38.2
8.1
12.3
41.4
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 62.4%#113 | 62.5%#237 | 58.1% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 46.2%#111 | 0.0%#1 | 37.9% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 46.7%#80 | 33.3%#143 | 36.0% |
| Three | 36.2%#100 | 44.3%#358 | 32.4% |
Marylandoffense vs#6Virginiadefense
Share of shots by zone
Maryland shoots
50.5
1.9
10.7
36.9
Virginia allows
32.1
5.0
16.4
46.5
D-I average
38.2
8.1
12.3
41.4
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 55.8%#218 | 43.1%#24 | 58.1% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 0.0%#348 | 62.5%#336 | 37.9% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 36.4%#169 | 46.2%#280 | 36.0% |
| Three | 20.8%#355 | 32.0%#174 | 32.4% |
RimShort 2 (≤9 ft)Mid 2 (10 ft+)Three
Zones from play-by-play shot descriptions; garbage time removed. Bars show the share of field-goal attempts in each zone; where a slice is too thin for its number, the shares are listed under the bar. FG% ranks: #1 = best for that side (most accurate shooting, stingiest defense).
Shot volume
Extra scoring chances from rebounds, turnovers and the foul line#6Virginia
+11.4extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#34 of 365
Off reb %
43.1%
#14
Def reb %
73.4%
#83
Turnover %
16.9%
#149
Forced TO %
24.5%
#27
FT rate
27.9%
#289
FT allowed
27.0%
#60
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding+3.9
Defensive rebounding+1.7
Ball security+0.9
Forcing turnovers+4.6
Foul shots drawn−2.4
Foul shots allowed+2.7
Maryland
+14.4extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#16 of 365
Off reb %
58.8%
#1
Def reb %
73.3%
#85
Turnover %
19.2%
#234
Forced TO %
22.8%
#51
FT rate
40.7%
#132
FT allowed
37.1%
#194
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding+9.1
Defensive rebounding+1.7
Ball security−0.7
Forcing turnovers+3.4
Foul shots drawn+0.9
Foul shots allowed+0.1
Maryland has more extra scoring chances per game: +14.4 (#16 of 365) to Virginia’s +11.4 (#34).
Grade = extra shots and foul-line trips per game compared with a D-I average team, built from six season rates. Cell shading is the national rank for each rate (greener = better for that team).
Rotation
Who has been playing, and who has not#6Virginia2026-27 numbers · last game: Bucknell, Nov 10
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | Min/40, last 8 | Last 3 vs before | Status | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | G | Sr | 6'7" | 4-4 | 27.5 | 25 | — | Started last | 15.0 | 3.8 | 2.3 | 2.8 | 54.9% | 40.9% | 5.5 | 100.0% | 29.4% | |
| 17 | C | So | 7'0" | 4-4 | 26.5 | 33 | — | Started last | 13.0 | 6.5 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 56.9% | 10.0% | 2.5 | 68.8% | 25.7% | |
| 1 | G | So | 5'10" | 4-4 | 25.5 | 31 | — | Started last | 14.8 | 2.5 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 61.0% | 43.5% | 5.8 | 75.0% | 31.6% | |
| 28 | F | So | 6'9" | 4-4 | 24.3 | 27 | — | Started last | 17.8 | 8.3 | 2.8 | 1.3 | 70.2% | 57.1% | 3.5 | 55.6% | 31.7% | |
| 22 | F | Fr | 6'7" | 4-4 | 24.0 | 24 | — | Started last | 8.8 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 72.7% | 50.0% | 4.0 | 60.0% | 14.0% | |
| 12 | G | Sr | 6'4" | 4-0 | 14.5 | 17 | — | Bench | 7.8 | 3.3 | 2.8 | 1.0 | 63.6% | 46.2% | 3.3 | 50.0% | 27.1% | |
| 6 | F | Sr | 6'8" | 4-0 | 13.8 | 12 | — | Bench | 2.3 | 2.0 | 2.3 | 0.3 | 37.5% | 0.0% | 1.0 | 75.0% | 10.9% | |
| 4 | G | Sr | 6'4" | 4-0 | 10.8 | 7 | — | Bench | 4.8 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 60.0% | 33.3% | 1.5 | 100.0% | 20.7% | |
| 7 | G | Jr | 6'9" | 4-0 | 10.0 | 14 | — | Bench | 3.3 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 42.9% | 22.2% | 2.3 | 50.0% | 20.6% | |
| 37 | G | Sr | 6'6" | 3-0 | 10.7 | 10 | — | Bench | 3.3 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 40.0% | — | 0.0 | 100.0% | 18.8% | |
| 34 | C | Fr | 7'1" | 4-0 | 4.0 | 0 | — | Bench | 1.8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 100.0% | — | 0.0 | 50.0% | 23.7% | |
| 2 | G | Sr | 6'6" | 3-0 | 4.7 | — | — | Active | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 2.0 | — | 26.9% | |
| 21 | F | So | 6'9" | 3-0 | 4.3 | — | — | Active | 0.0 | 1.7 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0% | — | 0.0 | — | 8.4% | |
| 35 | F | Sr | 6'9" | 2-0 | 2.5 | — | — | Active | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 66.7% | 0.0% | 0.5 | — | 33.3% | |
| 00 | G | So | 6'1" | 2-0 | 2.0 | — | — | Active | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 1.0 | 100.0% | 55.5% | |
| 8 | G | Jr | 6'2" | 2-0 | 1.5 | — | — | Active | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | 0.0% | |
| 11 | G | Fr | 5'11" | 2-0 | 1.5 | — | — | Active | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.5 | — | 18.6% |
Competitive minutes leave out garbage time (provisional rule: a second-half lead of 25+ inside 15:00, 20+ inside 10:00, 15+ inside 5:00 or 10+ inside 2:00, held to the end) and are shown per 40 minutes. Status says only whether a player appeared; the reason is not published.
Trends
Results against the closing spread and total, last ten games, entering this game#6Virginia
Against the spread
Season
1-3
Home
0-3
Road
0-0
Last 10
1-3
avg cover −0.4
Missed the spread in the last gameCovered 1 of 4 as a favorite
Over / under
Season
4-0
Home
3-0
Road
0-0
Last 10
4-0
avg vs total +5.2
Over 4 straightOver in 4 of 4 as a favorite
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10 | Bucknell | H | W 95–61 | −38.5 | L−4.5 | 151.0 | O156 | 137.4 | 88.2 | 69.1 |
| Nov 8 | #12Arkansas | N | W 91–72 | −3.5 | W+15.5 | 162.0 | O163 | 133.8 | 105.8 | 68.0 |
| Nov 6 | Northeastern | H | W 97–72 | −34.5 | L−9.5 | 160.0 | O169 | 127.3 | 94.5 | 76.2 |
| Nov 3 | Drexel | H | W 89–60 | −32.0 | L−3.0 | 143.0 | O149 | 116.8 | 78.8 | 76.2 |
| Mar 22 | #6Tennessee | N | L 72–79 | +1.0 | L−6.0 | 136.5 | O151 | 109.8 | 120.5 | 65.5 |
| Mar 20 | #14Wright St | N | W 82–73 | −18.0 | L−9.0 | 146.5 | O155 | 126.3 | 112.4 | 64.9 |
| Mar 14 | #1Duke | N | L 70–74 | +6.5 | W+2.5 | 139.5 | O144 | 110.1 | 116.4 | 63.5 |
| Mar 13 | Miami | N | W 84–62 | −3.5 | W+18.5 | 145.0 | O146 | 134.6 | 99.3 | 62.4 |
| Mar 12 | NC State | N | W 81–74 | −7.0 | P0.0 | 152.0 | O155 | 118.2 | 108.0 | 68.5 |
| Mar 7 | Virginia Tech | H | W 76–72 | −12.0 | L−8.0 | 146.5 | O148 | 114.6 | 108.5 | 66.3 |
Maryland
Against the spread
Season
0-2
Home
0-1
Road
0-1
Last 10
0-2
avg cover −8.8
Missed the spread 2 straight
Over / under
Season
2-0
Home
1-0
Road
1-0
Last 10
2-0
avg vs total +14.2
Over 2 straight
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | Georgetown | A | L 74–86 | −3.5 | L−15.5 | 146.5 | O160 | 107.8 | 125.3 | 68.6 |
| Nov 2 | Bucknell | H | W 96–67 | −31.0 | L−2.0 | 148.0 | O163 | 133.9 | 93.5 | 71.7 |
| Mar 11 | Iowa | N | L 64–75 | +12.0 | W+1.0 | 134.5 | O139 | 97.4 | 114.1 | 65.7 |
| Mar 10 | Oregon | N | W 70–60 | +4.0 | W+14.0 | 139.0 | U130 | 111.5 | 95.6 | 62.8 |
| Mar 8 | #11Illinois | H | L 72–78 | +14.0 | W+8.0 | 145.0 | O150 | 117.6 | 127.4 | 61.2 |
| Mar 4 | Wisconsin | A | L 45–78 | +14.5 | L−18.5 | 153.5 | U123 | 77.9 | 135.0 | 57.8 |
| Mar 1 | Rutgers | H | L 65–69 | −5.0 | L−9.0 | 143.5 | U134 | 92.5 | 98.2 | 70.3 |
| Feb 25 | #12Nebraska | A | L 61–74 | +16.5 | W+3.5 | 141.0 | U135 | 95.9 | 116.4 | 63.6 |
| Feb 21 | Washington | H | W 64–60 | +3.0 | W+7.0 | 143.5 | U124 | 112.7 | 105.7 | 56.8 |
| Feb 18 | Northwestern | A | L 74–78 | +8.0 | W+4.0 | 142.5 | O152 | 112.2 | 118.3 | 65.9 |
Records vs the closing line describe the past; ten games is a small sample.
Team comparison
national rank toned left for away, right for home#6VirginiaMaryland
Efficiency
118.7
108.2
97.0
107.8
71.4
70.6
-2.9
-6.3
Shooting
58.1%
48.1%
61.4%
57.5%
36.2%
20.8%
73.7%
72.7%
27.9%
40.7%
Ball control & glass
16.9%
19.2%
24.5%
22.8%
43.1%
58.8%
26.6%
26.7%
8.3%
8.6%
15.2%
9.2%
Style
46.7%
35.6%
46.8%
56.5%
23.7%
15.9%
67.4%
33.3%
35.9%
42.5%
Roster
2.71
2.73
6'6.6"
6'6.3"
51.2%
21.3%
Offseason
roster movement into this season — descriptive, not a model input#6Virginia
Returning minutes: 51.4%Returning production: 53.4%
Lost
- Dallin Hall 28.4 mpg, 5.9 ppg · transferred to Utah State
- Malik Thomas 22.7 mpg, 12.4 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Ugonna Onyenso 18.7 mpg, 6.5 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Jacari White 15.4 mpg, 8.1 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Devin Tillis 13.7 mpg, 3.6 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
Added
- Jurian Dixon from UC Irvine · 30.4 mpg, 15.9 ppg last season
- Christian Harmon from Arkansas St · 27.5 mpg, 12.8 ppg last season
- Jan Vide from LMU · 24.3 mpg, 10.2 ppg last season
- Favour Ibe no D1 minutes last season
- Nick Rotter no D1 minutes last season
- Quincy Watson no D1 minutes last season
Returns 51% of last season's minutes; lost 2 of its top 5 (1 transferred).
Maryland
Returning minutes: 24.5%Returning production: 27.4%
Lost
- Elijah Saunders 30.7 mpg, 9.0 ppg · transferred to Providence
- David Coit 26.7 mpg, 13.5 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Darius Adams 25.6 mpg, 10.8 ppg · transferred to NC State
- Solomon Washington 24.3 mpg, 7.5 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Isaiah Watts 16.5 mpg, 4.2 ppg · transferred to UTSA
- Collin Metcalf 12.7 mpg, 1.2 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
Added
- Mike McNair Jr. from Boston U · 36.1 mpg, 16.9 ppg last season
- Tomislav Buljan from New Mexico · 24.6 mpg, 12.4 ppg last season
- Bishop Boswell from Tennessee · 24.3 mpg, 5.7 ppg last season
- DJ Wagner from Arkansas · 22.3 mpg, 7.0 ppg last season
- Maban Jabriel from Queens · 19.8 mpg, 7.7 ppg last season
- Robert Jennings II from Oklahoma St · 1.1 mpg, 0.3 ppg last season
Returns 25% of last season's minutes; lost 4 of its top 5 (2 transferred). Teams returning under 40% of last season's minutes have historically fallen about 0.8 points of AdjEM (n=716 team-seasons, 2022-2026).
Line history
Market line, home spread or game totalLines by book
| Book | Spread (home) open → now | Total open → now | ML home | ML away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | +6.5→+5.5-105 | 151.5→153.5o-112 u-108 | +205 | -250 |
| FanDuel | +4.5→+5.5-105 | 152.5→153.5o-110 u-110 | +202 | -250 |
| BetMGM | +6.5→+5.5-105 | 152.5→153.5o-110 u-110 | +200 | -250 |
| BetRivers | +5.5-107 | 154.5→152.5o-115 u-108 | +200 | -250 |
| Caesars | +6.5→+6-110 | 152.5→153.5o-110 u-110 | +205 | -250 |
| Fanatics | +4.5→+6-110 | 152→153.5o-110 u-110 | +210 | -260 |
| BetOnline | +6-110 | 154o-110 u-110 | +203 | -245 |
| Bovada | +6.5→+6-110 | 154.5→153.5o-110 u-110 | +215 | -260 |
| theScore Bet | +5.5-105 | 152.5→153.5o-115 u-105 | +200 | -240 |
| Hard Rock | +5.5-105 | 154.5→152.5o-115 u-105 | +200 | -250 |
| Kalshi | +4.5→+6.5-108 | 151.5→154.5o+100 u-104 | +223 | -233 |
| Polymarket | +5.5+108 | 153.5o-104 u+100 | +223 | -233 |
| Novig | +4.5→— | 152.5→— | +228 | -233 |
DraftKings
FanDuel
BetMGM
BetRivers
Caesars
Fanatics
BetOnline
Bovada
theScore Bet
Hard Rock
Kalshi
Polymarket
Novigopen = first-sighted line for this event · now = latest capture
Head-to-head
this season and last| Date | Season | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Sat, Dec 20 | 2025-26 | Maryland 72 – 80 Virginia |
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The CBB Matchups tab lays out the day's Division I slate: matchup, tip time, records and rank, and — once posted — the market spread and total (the median across books when no market line is up). Three views switch the table between projected scores, pace and totals, and each team's offensive and defensive tendencies. Each game opens into opponent-adjusted possessions, efficiency and four-factor tendencies for both teams, plus recent form, rotation and head-to-head history. Every game also carries our projected score, spread and total, from our line: the same view our bets are made from.
What these numbers mean: line shopping.