Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers vs Virginia Tech Hokies basketball final score

Fri, Nov 13 · 7:00 PM ET · Cassell Coliseum, Blacksburg, VA

Non-conferenceACCNXCassell Coliseum, Blacksburg, VA
Mount St Marys
1-1 · 0-0 conf
Efficiency #292
@
Virginia Tech
3-0 · 0-0 conf
Efficiency #45
Final
6282
Final score
Projected 62.6 – 86.9
MSM win 2%VT win 98%
MarketClose
Spread
VT −27.0
open VT −28.5
Total
147.5
open 149.5
Our line
VT −24.2
as of Fri, Nov 13 · 6:51 PM ET

Our play

How our line is built

each step, from an even game to our line
Spread
Even game
0.0
Virginia Techrated 12.0 above average
+12.0
Mount St Marysrated 8.9 below average
+8.9
Home court
+3.4
Our line
VT −24.2
◂ Mount St Marys sideVirginia Tech side ▸

Steps are rounded to one decimal, so they can differ from the line by 0.1. The spread is seen from the home side: a plus moves it toward Virginia Tech. Our total joins once both teams have played 3 games.

Pace & total

possessions per 40 minutes
Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes

Projected possessions: 72.6, from each team's opponent-adjusted tempo. On raw season pace, Mount St Marys is the faster team (74.6, #66 of 365) and Virginia Tech the slower (73.0, #101). When tempos clash, the slower team usually pulls the pace harder (weights 0.80 vs 0.66).

Projected possessions
72.6
per team, 40 min
Market total
147.5
Market close · open 149.5
Adjusted tempo, vs an average opponent
71.2#128
Mount St Marys
71.8#96
Virginia Tech

How this game plays

points this game from the four factors, vs an average D-I matchup
Our line
VT −24.2
Four factors +30.4 · not in these stats −6.2
From the four factors
Virginia Tech has the ball+10.3
Mount St Marys has the ball−20.0
Virginia Tech has the ball
✓Wins second chancesOR% 41.4% #22 · MSM allows 36.5% #283+4.2
✓Takes care of the ballTO% 12.3% #18 · MSM forces 18.1% #169 · ~11 turnovers+3.0
✓Shoots it welleFG% 57.4% #60 · MSM allows 48.1% #124+3.0
✓Gets to the lineFTR 40.6% #135 · MSM allows 35.1% #167 · FT 71.2% #158+0.1
Mount St Marys has the ball
✗Tough shooting lookeFG% 39.1% #342 · VT allows 42.5% #36−10.9
✗Coughs it upTO% 19.4% #237 · VT forces 28.8% #5 · ~19 turnovers−6.6
✗Few second chancesOR% 24.7% #298 · VT allows 31.4% #185−2.1
✗Few trips to the lineFTR 31.5% #246 · VT allows 48.1% #304 · FT 59.0% #341−0.4

Shot diet

Where each offense shoots from and where each defense lets teams shoot
Mount St Marysoffense vsVirginia Techdefense
Share of shots by zone
Mount St Marys shoots
Virginia Tech allows
D-I average
FG% by zone
ZoneD-I avg
Rim47.1%#31252.2%#9058.1%
Short 2 (≤9 ft)33.3%#18857.1%#31137.9%
Mid 2 (10 ft+)30.8%#23143.8%#25636.0%
Three20.8%#35625.0%#3732.4%
Virginia Techoffense vsMount St Marysdefense
Share of shots by zone
Virginia Tech shoots
Mount St Marys allows
D-I average
FG% by zone
ZoneD-I avg
Rim53.7%#24957.6%#16858.1%
Short 2 (≤9 ft)57.1%#5233.3%#13137.9%
Mid 2 (10 ft+)46.2%#8315.4%#2836.0%
Three42.0%#2432.3%#18132.4%
RimShort 2 (≤9 ft)Mid 2 (10 ft+)Three

Zones from play-by-play shot descriptions; garbage time removed. Bars show the share of field-goal attempts in each zone; where a slice is too thin for its number, the shares are listed under the bar. FG% ranks: #1 = best for that side (most accurate shooting, stingiest defense).

Shot volume

Extra scoring chances from rebounds, turnovers and the foul line
Mount St Marys
−5.6extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#267 of 365
Off reb %
24.7%
#298
Def reb %
63.5%
#283
Turnover %
19.4%
#237
Forced TO %
18.1%
#169
FT rate
31.5%
#246
FT allowed
35.1%
#167
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding−2.2
Defensive rebounding−1.6
Ball security−0.9
Forcing turnovers0.0
Foul shots drawn−1.5
Foul shots allowed+0.6
Virginia Tech
+13.3extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#25 of 365
Off reb %
41.4%
#22
Def reb %
68.6%
#185
Turnover %
12.3%
#18
Forced TO %
28.8%
#5
FT rate
40.6%
#135
FT allowed
48.1%
#304
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding+3.3
Defensive rebounding+0.1
Ball security+4.2
Forcing turnovers+7.6
Foul shots drawn+0.9
Foul shots allowed−2.8

Virginia Tech has more extra scoring chances per game: +13.3 (#25 of 365) to Mount St Marys’s −5.6 (#267).

Grade = extra shots and foul-line trips per game compared with a D-I average team, built from six season rates. Cell shading is the national rank for each rate (greener = better for that team).

Rotation

Who has been playing, and who has not
Mount St Marys2026-27 numbers · last game: Loyola MD, Nov 6
#PlayerPosClHtGP-GSMPGMin/40, last 8Last 3 vs beforeStatusPPGRPGAPGTOVeFG%3P%3PA/gFT%Usage
2GJr5'11"2-231.535—Started last11.04.55.05.026.7%15.4%6.566.7%37.6%
9GJr6'7"2-228.030—Started last14.06.01.02.552.2%20.0%5.066.7%29.4%
7FSr6'6"2-227.526—Started last13.07.52.01.550.0%28.6%3.557.1%27.2%
30GSr6'3"2-222.521—Started last8.02.01.51.053.6%50.0%3.050.0%19.9%
10GSo6'4"2-018.017—Bench4.00.50.02.042.9%0.0%1.028.6%21.0%
1GJr6'8"2-016.515—Bench3.52.51.00.050.0%33.3%3.050.0%11.0%
3GFr6'0"2-014.011—Bench2.53.01.50.511.1%0.0%1.575.0%22.3%
12FFr6'8"2-113.013—Bench3.03.50.01.050.0%—0.0100.0%14.2%
23FSo7'0"1-125.026—Started last0.06.01.00.00.0%—0.0—2.3%
22GJr6'4"2-07.57—Bench0.00.00.50.50.0%0.0%2.5—21.1%
16FFr6'11"1-010.00—Missed last game2.03.01.01.0100.0%—0.0—9.8%
11FFr6'8"1-03.0——Missed last0.01.00.00.00.0%0.0%1.0—32.6%
6GJr6'3"1-01.0——Missed last0.00.00.00.0——0.0—0.0%
5GJr5'11"1-01.0——Missed last0.00.00.00.0——0.0—0.0%

Competitive minutes leave out garbage time (provisional rule: a second-half lead of 25+ inside 15:00, 20+ inside 10:00, 15+ inside 5:00 or 10+ inside 2:00, held to the end) and are shown per 40 minutes. Status says only whether a player appeared; the reason is not published.

Team comparison

national rank toned left for away, right for home
Mount St MarysVirginia Tech
Efficiency
95.7
112.7
104.9
99.9
71.2
71.8
-1.0
-9.4
Shooting
39.1%
57.4%
45.1%
53.8%
20.8%
42.0%
59.0%
71.2%
31.5%
40.6%
Ball control & glass
19.4%
12.3%
18.1%
28.8%
24.7%
41.4%
36.5%
31.4%
12.7%
4.1%
12.7%
10.3%
Style
42.7%
39.1%
41.7%
41.3%
10.8%
13.6%
62.8%
57.1%
35.3%
38.8%
Roster
2.76
3.29
6'4.8"
6'5"
23.7%
37.2%

Offseason

roster movement into this season — descriptive, not a model input
Mount St Marys
Returning minutes: 32.5%Returning production: 25.0%
Lost
  • Xavier Lipscomb 31.7 mpg, 9.1 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
  • Arlandus Keyes 27.7 mpg, 11.5 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
  • Luke McEldon 24.0 mpg, 11.0 ppg · transferred to Northwestern
  • Trey Deveaux 23.4 mpg, 9.8 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
  • Justin Amadi 19.8 mpg, 6.8 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
  • Patrick Haigh 6.5 mpg, 2.0 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
Added
  • Redd Thompson Jr. from Longwood · 22.1 mpg, 10.3 ppg last season
  • Wilguens Jr. Exacte from Drake · 10.3 mpg, 3.9 ppg last season
  • Cade Orness from Gonzaga · 0.6 mpg, 0.1 ppg last season
  • Liam Joyce no D1 minutes last season
  • Miquel Llompart no D1 minutes last season
  • Crue Gard no D1 minutes last season

Returns 33% of last season's minutes; lost 5 of its top 5 (1 transferred). Teams returning under 40% of last season's minutes have historically fallen about 0.8 points of AdjEM (n=716 team-seasons, 2022-2026).

Virginia Tech
Returning minutes: 37.2%Returning production: 44.0%
Lost
  • Neo Avdalas 30.8 mpg, 11.7 ppg · transferred to North Carolina
  • Jailen Bedford 25.2 mpg, 11.0 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
  • Jaden Schutt 24.8 mpg, 7.7 ppg · transferred to Kansas St
  • Tobi Lawal 20.9 mpg, 8.8 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
  • Christian Gurdak 16.6 mpg, 5.4 ppg · transferred to Rutgers
  • Antonio Dorn 6.3 mpg, 1.9 ppg · transferred to Wake Forest
Added
  • Ethan Copeland from Stetson · 32.1 mpg, 15.0 ppg last season
  • Isaiah Elohim from FAU · 27.2 mpg, 12.0 ppg last season
  • Jaylen Curry from Oklahoma St · 22.4 mpg, 9.5 ppg last season
  • Butta Johnson from Clemson · 21.1 mpg, 6.3 ppg last season
  • Miles Heide from San Diego St · 18.5 mpg, 5.4 ppg last season
  • Ned Hull from Elon · 17.9 mpg, 4.5 ppg last season

Returns 37% of last season's minutes; lost 3 of its top 5 (2 transferred). Teams returning under 40% of last season's minutes have historically fallen about 0.8 points of AdjEM (n=716 team-seasons, 2022-2026).

Line history

Market line, home spread or game total

Lines by book

BookSpread (home) open → nowTotal open → nowML homeML away
DraftKings-28.5→-27.5-108150.5→147.5o-112 u-108—+3500
FanDuel-28.5→-27.5-120149.5→147.5o-110 u-110——
BetMGM-28.5→-27.5-110150.5→147.5o-110 u-110——
BetRivers-28.5→-27.5-108149.5→148.5o-108 u-115——
Caesars-28.5→-27.5-110149.5→148o-110 u-110——
Fanatics-28.5→-27.5-110149.5→148o-110 u-110——
BetOnline-28→-27-112149→147.5o-110 u-110——
Bovada-28.5→-27.5-105150.5→148o-110 u-110——
theScore Bet-28.5→-27.5-105149.5→148.5o-110 u-110——
Hard Rock-28.5→-27.5-105149.5→148.5o-105 u-115——
Kalshi—147.5o-104 u+100—+4900
Polymarket-28.5→-27.5-104149.5→147.5o-104 u+100——
Novig-28.5→-27.5+100149.5→——+4900
open = first-sighted line for this event · now = latest capture

Head-to-head

this season and last
No meetings the last two seasons.

More games on Fri, Nov 13

← Thu, Nov 12 · Sat, Nov 14 → · Full season schedule

The CBB Matchups tab lays out the day's Division I slate: matchup, tip time, records and rank, and — once posted — the market spread and total (the median across books when no market line is up). Three views switch the table between projected scores, pace and totals, and each team's offensive and defensive tendencies. Each game opens into opponent-adjusted possessions, efficiency and four-factor tendencies for both teams, plus recent form, rotation and head-to-head history. Every game also carries our projected score, spread and total, from our line: the same view our bets are made from.

What these numbers mean: line shopping.