Ohio Bobcats vs Purdue Boilermakers basketball final score
Fri, Nov 13 · 7:00 PM ET · Mackey Arena, West Lafayette, IN
Non-conferenceB1G+Mackey Arena, West Lafayette, IN
Ohio
2-0 · 0-0 conf
Efficiency #162
@
Purdue
1-2 · 0-0 conf
Efficiency #30
Final
6280
Final score
Projected 66.8 – 86.2
OHIO win 5%PUR win 95%
MarketClose
Spread
PUR −18.5
open PUR −19.75
Total
149.5
open 153.0
Our line
PUR −19.4
as of Fri, Nov 13 · 6:51 PM ET
Our play
How our line is built
each step, from an even game to our lineSpread
Even game
0.0
Purduerated 17.8 above average
+17.8
Ohiorated 1.7 above average
−1.7
Home court
+3.4
Our line
PUR −19.4
◂ Ohio sidePurdue side ▸
Steps are rounded to one decimal, so they can differ from the line by 0.1. The spread is seen from the home side: a plus moves it toward Purdue. Our total joins once both teams have played 3 games.
Pace & total
possessions per 40 minutesTempo, possessions per 40 minutes
Projected possessions: 67.9, from each team's opponent-adjusted tempo. On raw season pace, Ohio is the faster team (70.9, #175 of 365) and Purdue the slower (63.3, #352). When tempos clash, the slower team usually pulls the pace harder (weights 0.80 vs 0.66).
Projected possessions
67.9
per team, 40 min
Market total
149.5
Market close · open 153.0
Adjusted tempo, vs an average opponent
72.3#80
Ohio
66.0#355
Purdue
How this game plays
points this game from the four factors, vs an average D-I matchupOur line
PUR −19.4
Four factors −4.3 · not in these stats +23.7
From the four factors
Purdue has the ball+1.8
Ohio has the ball+6.1
Purdue has the ball
✓Takes care of the ballTO% 16.0% #111 · OHIO forces 13.4% #323 · ~9 turnovers+3.6
✗Few second chancesOR% 28.9% #236 · OHIO allows 20.5% #8−2.9
✓Gets to the lineFTR 43.0% #101 · OHIO allows 46.5% #294 · FT 81.7% #23+1.4
✗Tough shooting lookeFG% 51.5% #162 · OHIO allows 48.7% #144−0.2
Ohio has the ball
✓Shoots it welleFG% 59.8% #29 · PUR allows 50.9% #193+5.5
✓Takes care of the ballTO% 19.7% #252 · PUR forces 13.6% #314 · ~11 turnovers+1.7
✗Few second chancesOR% 32.8% #173 · PUR allows 22.9% #25−1.4
✓Gets to the lineFTR 38.4% #156 · PUR allows 35.3% #171 · FT 74.4% #105+0.2
Shot diet
Where each offense shoots from and where each defense lets teams shootOhiooffense vsPurduedefense
Share of shots by zone
Ohio shoots
45.5
4.5
4.5
45.5
Purdue allows
26.5
12.0
22.3
39.2
D-I average
38.2
8.1
12.3
41.4
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 60.8%#136 | 72.7%#340 | 58.1% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 20.0%#301 | 40.0%#187 | 37.9% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 40.0%#132 | 51.4%#318 | 36.0% |
| Three | 43.1%#17 | 26.5%#64 | 32.4% |
Purdueoffense vsOhiodefense
Share of shots by zone
Purdue shoots
24.5
11.9
22.0
41.5
Ohio allows
38.7
9.0
15.3
36.9
D-I average
38.2
8.1
12.3
41.4
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 61.5%#124 | 67.4%#303 | 58.1% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 73.7%#13 | 30.0%#110 | 37.9% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 45.7%#86 | 41.2%#226 | 36.0% |
| Three | 26.5%#298 | 25.0%#37 | 32.4% |
RimShort 2 (≤9 ft)Mid 2 (10 ft+)Three
Zones from play-by-play shot descriptions; garbage time removed. Bars show the share of field-goal attempts in each zone; where a slice is too thin for its number, the shares are listed under the bar. FG% ranks: #1 = best for that side (most accurate shooting, stingiest defense).
Shot volume
Extra scoring chances from rebounds, turnovers and the foul lineOhio
−2.3extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#217 of 365
Off reb %
32.8%
#173
Def reb %
79.5%
#8
Turnover %
19.7%
#252
Forced TO %
13.4%
#323
FT rate
38.4%
#156
FT allowed
46.5%
#294
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding+0.4
Defensive rebounding+3.7
Ball security−1.1
Forcing turnovers−3.3
Foul shots drawn+0.3
Foul shots allowed−2.4
Purdue
+2.6extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#132 of 365
Off reb %
28.9%
#236
Def reb %
77.1%
#25
Turnover %
16.0%
#111
Forced TO %
13.6%
#314
FT rate
43.0%
#101
FT allowed
35.3%
#171
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding−0.9
Defensive rebounding+3.0
Ball security+1.5
Forcing turnovers−3.1
Foul shots drawn+1.5
Foul shots allowed+0.6
Purdue has more extra scoring chances per game: +2.6 (#132 of 365) to Ohio’s −2.3 (#217).
Grade = extra shots and foul-line trips per game compared with a D-I average team, built from six season rates. Cell shading is the national rank for each rate (greener = better for that team).
Rotation
Who has been playing, and who has notOhio2026-27 numbers · last game: NC A&T, Nov 7
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | Min/40, last 8 | Last 3 vs before | Status | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | F | Fr | 6'8" | 2-2 | 35.5 | 35 | — | Started last | 10.0 | 12.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 56.7% | 60.0% | 2.5 | 75.0% | 18.4% | |
| 3 | G | Sr | 6'2" | 2-2 | 35.5 | 33 | — | Started last | 15.0 | 5.0 | 6.5 | 4.5 | 73.1% | 100.0% | 1.5 | 73.3% | 23.4% | |
| 1 | F | Sr | 6'7" | 2-2 | 31.0 | 26 | — | Started last | 14.0 | 5.5 | 1.0 | 2.5 | 70.6% | 0.0% | 0.5 | 66.7% | 22.9% | |
| 10 | G | Sr | 6'7" | 2-2 | 29.0 | 31 | — | Started last | 11.5 | 4.5 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 45.7% | 27.3% | 5.5 | 100.0% | 24.5% | |
| 14 | G | Jr | 6'1" | 2-2 | 27.5 | 25 | — | Started last | 13.5 | 1.0 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 63.2% | 42.1% | 9.5 | 60.0% | 23.2% | |
| 12 | G | Sr | 6'1" | 2-0 | 13.0 | 12 | — | Bench | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 25.0% | 25.0% | 2.0 | 50.0% | 15.2% | |
| 24 | G | Sr | 6'4" | 2-0 | 9.0 | 10 | — | Bench | 5.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 91.7% | 60.0% | 2.5 | — | 19.0% | |
| 4 | G | Fr | 6'5" | 2-0 | 8.0 | 12 | — | Bench | 10.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 108.3% | 100.0% | 0.5 | 100.0% | 40.1% | |
| 17 | F | So | 6'9" | 2-0 | 8.0 | 9 | — | Bench | 0.5 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.5 | 50.0% | 28.3% | |
| 5 | F | So | 6'7" | 1-0 | 7.0 | 7 | — | Bench | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 50.0% | 0.0% | 1.0 | — | 24.2% |
Competitive minutes leave out garbage time (provisional rule: a second-half lead of 25+ inside 15:00, 20+ inside 10:00, 15+ inside 5:00 or 10+ inside 2:00, held to the end) and are shown per 40 minutes. Status says only whether a player appeared; the reason is not published.
Trends
Results against the closing spread and total, last ten games, entering this gameOhio
Against the spread
Season
1-1
Home
0-1
Road
1-0
Last 10
1-1
avg cover +1.8
Missed the spread in the last game
Over / under
Season
1-1
Home
0-1
Road
1-0
Last 10
1-1
avg vs total −1.5
Under in the last game
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | NC A&T | H | W 80–70 | −14.5 | L−4.5 | 161.0 | U150 | 112.9 | 98.8 | 70.9 |
| Nov 2 | South Alabama | A | W 86–77 | −1.0 | W+8.0 | 155.0 | O163 | 121.3 | 108.6 | 70.9 |
| Mar 12 | Kent State | N | L 75–86 | +3.5 | L−7.5 | 160.5 | O161 | 105.7 | 121.1 | 71.0 |
| Mar 6 | #19Miami OH | H | L 108–110 OT | +3.5 | W+1.5 | 160.0 | O218 | 129.8 | 132.3 | 83.2 |
| Mar 3 | UMass | A | L 82–94 | +1.5 | L−10.5 | 156.5 | O176 | 106.9 | 122.6 | 76.7 |
| Feb 28 | Toledo | H | L 67–79 | −2.5 | L−14.5 | 159.0 | U146 | 101.2 | 119.4 | 66.2 |
| Feb 21 | N Illinois | A | W 74–66 | −5.5 | W+2.5 | 150.0 | U140 | 114.6 | 102.2 | 64.6 |
| Feb 17 | Ball State | H | W 69–57 | −9.5 | W+2.5 | 144.5 | U126 | 115.4 | 95.3 | 59.8 |
| Feb 13 | #23Miami OH | A | L 74–90 | +7.5 | L−8.5 | 164.5 | U164 | 102.9 | 125.2 | 71.9 |
| Feb 7 | Old Dominion | A | L 72–78 | −3.5 | L−9.5 | 156.0 | U150 | 111.0 | 120.3 | 64.8 |
Purdue
Against the spread
Season
1-2
Home
1-1
Road
0-0
Last 10
1-2
avg cover −7.2
Covered the last game
Over / under
Season
1-2
Home
1-1
Road
0-0
Last 10
1-2
avg vs total +2.2
Under in the last game
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9 | Illinois St | H | W 76–59 | −15.0 | W+2.0 | 144.0 | U135 | 126.9 | 98.5 | 59.9 |
| Nov 6 | Valparaiso | H | L 80–83 2OT | −19.5 | L−22.5 | 144.0 | O163 | 103.4 | 107.2 | 77.4 |
| Nov 2 | #15Gonzaga | N | L 72–78 | +5.0 | L−1.0 | 153.5 | U150 | 105.0 | 113.8 | 68.6 |
| Mar 28 | #1Arizona | N | L 64–79 | +5.0 | L−10.0 | 152.5 | U143 | 98.0 | 121.0 | 65.3 |
| Mar 26 | #11Texas | N | W 79–77 | −8.5 | L−6.5 | 146.5 | O156 | 129.9 | 126.6 | 60.8 |
| Mar 22 | #7Miami | N | W 79–69 | −8.0 | W+2.0 | 146.5 | O148 | 120.4 | 105.2 | 65.6 |
| Mar 20 | #15Queens | N | W 104–71 | −25.5 | W+7.5 | 159.5 | O175 | 154.0 | 105.1 | 67.5 |
| Mar 15 | #3Michigan | N | W 80–72 | +5.5 | W+13.5 | 149.5 | O152 | 127.7 | 114.9 | 62.7 |
| Mar 14 | UCLA | N | W 73–66 | −7.0 | P0.0 | 145.0 | U139 | 122.4 | 110.7 | 59.6 |
| Mar 13 | #11Nebraska | N | W 74–58 | −4.5 | W+11.5 | 146.0 | U132 | 122.4 | 95.9 | 60.5 |
Records vs the closing line describe the past; ten games is a small sample.
Team comparison
national rank toned left for away, right for homeOhioPurdue
Efficiency
107.7
118.7
107.8
101.9
72.3
66.0
-4.2
10.8
Shooting
59.8%
51.5%
55.7%
59.8%
43.1%
26.5%
74.4%
81.7%
38.4%
43.0%
Ball control & glass
19.7%
16.0%
13.4%
13.6%
32.8%
28.9%
20.5%
22.9%
12.0%
7.8%
8.2%
6.2%
Style
45.5%
41.2%
38.6%
37.7%
10.8%
6.6%
64.3%
67.1%
20.8%
27.4%
Roster
3.10
2.59
6'4.9"
6'6.2"
34.9%
40.7%
Offseason
roster movement into this season — descriptive, not a model inputOhio
Returning minutes: 38.6%Returning production: 47.2%
Lost
- Aidan Hadaway 31.8 mpg, 14.4 ppg · transferred to Green Bay
- Ajay Sheldon 30.8 mpg, 7.5 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- JJ Kelly 25.8 mpg, 8.3 ppg · transferred to UTSA
- Jalen Breath 11.8 mpg, 3.3 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Dior Conners 11.2 mpg, 4.0 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Elijah Elliott 8.7 mpg, 1.7 ppg · transferred to North Florida
Added
- Kyler D'Augustino from IU Indy · 30.3 mpg, 17.3 ppg last season
- Kolton Mitchell from Idaho · 27.9 mpg, 12.6 ppg last season
- Ché Brogan no D1 minutes last season
- Dusan Makitan no D1 minutes last season
- Siebe Ledegen no D1 minutes last season
- Zay Mosley no D1 minutes last season
Returns 39% of last season's minutes; lost 3 of its top 5 (2 transferred). Teams returning under 40% of last season's minutes have historically fallen about 0.8 points of AdjEM (n=716 team-seasons, 2022-2026).
Purdue
Returning minutes: 41.2%Returning production: 31.7%
Lost
- Braden Smith 34.5 mpg, 14.3 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Fletcher Loyer 29.3 mpg, 14.1 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Trey Kaufman-Renn 26.7 mpg, 13.4 ppg · transferred to Kansas
- Oscar Cluff 24.7 mpg, 10.6 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Liam Murphy 2.3 mpg, 0.7 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Aaron Fine 0.6 mpg, 0.3 ppg · transferred to Ball State
Added
- Rivers Knight no D1 minutes last season
- Raleigh Burgess no D1 minutes last season
- Jacob Webber no D1 minutes last season
- Caden Pierce no D1 minutes last season
- Luke Ertel no D1 minutes last season
- Sinan Huan no D1 minutes last season
No incoming D1 transfers are listed on ESPN's roster yet — until they are, returning shares read high.
Returns 41% of last season's minutes; lost 4 of its top 5 (1 transferred).
Line history
Market line, home spread or game totalLines by book
| Book | Spread (home) open → now | Total open → now | ML home | ML away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | -20.5→-18.5-112 | 153.5→149.5o-115 u-105 | -3600 | +1500 |
| FanDuel | -19.5→-18.5-110 | 152.5→149.5o-114 u-106 | -4000 | +1400 |
| BetMGM | -19.5→-18.5-110 | 153.5→149.5o-115 u-105 | -3000 | +1200 |
| BetRivers | -18.5-105 | 153.5→150.5o-108 u-115 | — | +1300 |
| Caesars | -19.5→-18.5-110 | 153.5→150o-110 u-110 | — | — |
| Fanatics | -20→-18.5-105 | 153→149.5o-110 u-110 | -3000 | +1500 |
| BetOnline | -20→-18.5-113 | 153.5→150o-110 u-110 | -4200 | +1470 |
| Bovada | -20.5→-18.5-105 | 153.5→149.5o-110 u-110 | — | +1300 |
| theScore Bet | -20.5→-18.5-105 | 153.5→149.5o-110 u-110 | — | +1800 |
| Hard Rock | -18.5→-17.5-120 | 153.5→149.5o-115 u-105 | — | +1300 |
| Kalshi | -19.5+127 | 153.5→148.5o-117 u+113 | -1900 | +1567 |
| Polymarket | -19.5→-18.5+100 | 149.5o-104 u+100 | -1823 | +1654 |
| Novig | -18.5+100 | 153.5→— | -1718 | +1567 |
DraftKings
FanDuel
BetMGM
BetRivers
Caesars
Fanatics
BetOnline
Bovada
theScore Bet
Hard Rock
Kalshi
Polymarket
Novigopen = first-sighted line for this event · now = latest capture
Head-to-head
this season and lastNo meetings the last two seasons.
More games on Fri, Nov 13
- West Florida vs Cleveland St · 3:00 PM ET
- Texas A&M-CC at Florida St · 5:00 PM ET
- North Alabama at Miami · 5:00 PM ET
- Georgetown at Clemson · 6:00 PM ET
- Bryant at Rutgers · 6:00 PM ET
- Pitt at Butler · 6:30 PM ET
- Merrimack at Florida · 7:00 PM ET
- Georgia at North Carolina · 7:00 PM ET
- Tennessee St at Tennessee · 7:00 PM ET
- Long Island at Fordham · 7:00 PM ET
- Harvard at G Washington · 7:00 PM ET
- Sam Houston at Illinois · 7:00 PM ET
- Troy at NC State · 7:00 PM ET
- Mount St Marys at Virginia Tech · 7:00 PM ET
- Yale at Northeastern · 7:00 PM ET
- Chattanooga at Elon · 7:00 PM ET
- Iona at Hofstra · 7:00 PM ET
- N Arizona at Kentucky · 7:00 PM ET
- Prairie View at Vanderbilt · 7:00 PM ET
- FIU at FGCU · 7:00 PM ET
- Columbia at Bucknell · 7:00 PM ET
- Marist at Lehigh · 7:00 PM ET
- Northern Iowa at Michigan St · 7:00 PM ET
- App State at Charlotte · 7:00 PM ET
- Ohio State at UConn · 7:30 PM ET
- SE Missouri at MTSU · 7:30 PM ET
- NC Central at Liberty · 7:30 PM ET
- South Dakota at Drake · 7:30 PM ET
- FDU at Oklahoma · 8:00 PM ET
- SIUE at Duke · 8:00 PM ET
- Virginia at Maryland · 8:00 PM ET
- C Arkansas at Arkansas · 8:00 PM ET
- Milwaukee at TCU · 8:00 PM ET
- GA Southern at UCF · 8:00 PM ET
- Alcorn St at Tarleton St · 8:00 PM ET
- Wright St at Samford · 8:00 PM ET
- Illinois St at N Dakota St · 8:00 PM ET
- Texas Southern at Murray St · 8:00 PM ET
- Southern Miss at Texas St · 8:00 PM ET
- Lindenwood at Omaha · 8:45 PM ET
- Seton Hall at Alabama · 9:00 PM ET
- Xavier vs Mississippi St · 9:00 PM ET
- DePaul at Northwestern · 9:00 PM ET
- Arizona at Auburn · 9:00 PM ET
- Ball State at SMU · 9:00 PM ET
- UL Monroe at Arizona St · 9:00 PM ET
- Cal Poly at Idaho · 9:00 PM ET
- Stanford at UNLV · 9:00 PM ET
- Chicago St at San Diego · 9:30 PM ET
- Miss Valley St at Oregon St · 9:30 PM ET
- UIC at Saint Mary's · 10:00 PM ET
- East Texas A&M at Portland · 10:00 PM ET
- UC San Diego at Utah State · 10:00 PM ET
- AR-Pine Bluff at CA Baptist · 10:30 PM ET
The CBB Matchups tab lays out the day's Division I slate: matchup, tip time, records and rank, and — once posted — the market spread and total (the median across books when no market line is up). Three views switch the table between projected scores, pace and totals, and each team's offensive and defensive tendencies. Each game opens into opponent-adjusted possessions, efficiency and four-factor tendencies for both teams, plus recent form, rotation and head-to-head history. Every game also carries our projected score, spread and total, from our line: the same view our bets are made from.
What these numbers mean: line shopping.