Sam Houston Bearkats vs Illinois Fighting Illini basketball final score
Fri, Nov 13 · 7:00 PM ET · State Farm Center, Champaign, IL
Non-conferenceB1G+State Farm Center, Champaign, IL
Sam Houston
2-1 · 0-0 conf
Efficiency #132
@
3Illinois
2-1 · 0-0 conf
Efficiency #1
Final
86108
Final score
Projected 69.2 – 99.5
SHSU win 0%ILL win 100%
MarketClose
Spread
ILL −35.5
open ILL −35.5
Total
170.5
open 169.5
Our line
ILL −30.3
Our total
168.7
as of Fri, Nov 13 · 6:51 PM ET
Our play
How our line is built
each step, from an even game to our lineSpread
Even game
0.0
Illinoisrated 24.6 above average
+24.6
Sam Houstonrated 2.3 below average
+2.3
Home court
+3.4
Our line
ILL −30.3
◂ Sam Houston sideIllinois side ▸
Total
Average D-I game
151.3
Illinoishigher-scoring games
+12.4
Sam Houstonhigher-scoring games
+4.9
Our line
168.7
Axis starts at 140 pointsPoints added or removed at each step
Steps are rounded to one decimal, so they can differ from the line by 0.1. The spread is seen from the home side: a plus moves it toward Illinois.
Pace & total
possessions per 40 minutesTempo, possessions per 40 minutes
Projected possessions: 77.0, from each team's opponent-adjusted tempo. On raw season pace, Illinois is the faster team (78.9, #16 of 365) and Sam Houston the slower (75.9, #51). When tempos clash, the slower team usually pulls the pace harder (weights 0.80 vs 0.66).
Projected possessions
77.0
per team, 40 min
Market total
170.5
Market close · open 169.5
Adjusted tempo, vs an average opponent
72.6#70
Sam Houston
74.9#16
Illinois
How this game plays
points this game from the four factors, vs an average D-I matchupOur line
ILL −30.3
Four factors 24.5Not in these stats 5.8
From the four factors
Illinois has the ball+16.0
Sam Houston has the ball−8.5
Illinois has the ball
✓Shoots it welleFG% 64.1% #6 · SHSU allows 54.5% #272+11.1
✓Takes care of the ballTO% 17.7% #180 · SHSU forces 12.5% #333 · ~11 turnovers+3.7
✓Wins second chancesOR% 43.9% #10 · SHSU allows 25.9% #66+2.8
✗Few trips to the lineFTR 26.9% #302 · SHSU allows 34.8% #162 · FT 56.9% #350−1.5
Sam Houston has the ball
✗Tough shooting lookeFG% 47.2% #248 · ILL allows 37.7% #11−9.1
✓Takes care of the ballTO% 21.1% #287 · ILL forces 14.8% #293 · ~14 turnovers+0.5
✓Gets to the lineFTR 43.9% #92 · ILL allows 24.5% #35 · FT 79.6% #38+0.2
✗Few second chancesOR% 35.8% #102 · ILL allows 24.8% #51−0.1
Shot diet
Where each offense shoots from and where each defense lets teams shootSam Houstonoffense vs#3Illinoisdefense
Share of shots by zone
Sam Houston shoots
38.5
4.2
16.7
40.6
Illinois allows
25.5
11.8
18.3
44.4
D-I average
38.2
8.1
12.3
41.4
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 43.2%#338 | 53.8%#110 | 58.1% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 25.0%#268 | 22.2%#54 | 37.9% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 37.5%#156 | 25.0%#65 | 36.0% |
| Three | 37.7%#75 | 25.3%#40 | 32.4% |
#3Illinoisoffense vsSam Houstondefense
Share of shots by zone
Illinois shoots
36.9
7.5
1.9
53.8
Sam Houston allows
40.8
8.2
7.1
43.9
D-I average
38.2
8.1
12.3
41.4
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 83.1%#3 | 52.5%#96 | 58.1% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 58.3%#47 | 37.5%#172 | 37.9% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 66.7%#11 | 42.9%#242 | 36.0% |
| Three | 34.8%#127 | 35.7%#252 | 32.4% |
RimShort 2 (≤9 ft)Mid 2 (10 ft+)Three
Zones from play-by-play shot descriptions; garbage time removed. Bars show the share of field-goal attempts in each zone; where a slice is too thin for its number, the shares are listed under the bar. FG% ranks: #1 = best for that side (most accurate shooting, stingiest defense).
Shot volume
Extra scoring chances from rebounds, turnovers and the foul lineSam Houston
−0.2extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#177 of 365
Off reb %
35.8%
#102
Def reb %
74.1%
#66
Turnover %
21.1%
#287
Forced TO %
12.5%
#333
FT rate
43.9%
#92
FT allowed
34.8%
#162
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding+1.4
Defensive rebounding+2.0
Ball security−2.1
Forcing turnovers−3.9
Foul shots drawn+1.7
Foul shots allowed+0.7
#3Illinois
+5.1extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#105 of 365
Off reb %
43.9%
#10
Def reb %
75.2%
#51
Turnover %
17.7%
#180
Forced TO %
14.8%
#293
FT rate
26.9%
#302
FT allowed
24.5%
#35
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding+4.1
Defensive rebounding+2.3
Ball security+0.3
Forcing turnovers−2.3
Foul shots drawn−2.7
Foul shots allowed+3.4
Illinois has more extra scoring chances per game: +5.1 (#105 of 365) to Sam Houston’s −0.2 (#177).
Grade = extra shots and foul-line trips per game compared with a D-I average team, built from six season rates. Cell shading is the national rank for each rate (greener = better for that team).
Rotation
Who has been playing, and who has notSam Houston2026-27 numbers · last game: Pepperdine, Nov 11
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | Min/40, last 8 | Last 3 vs before | Status | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | G | So | 6'3" | 3-3 | 26.3 | 28 | — | Started last | 16.3 | 4.3 | 1.0 | 2.3 | 50.0% | 40.0% | 6.7 | 100.0% | 32.5% | |
| 10 | F | Sr | 6'6" | 3-3 | 26.0 | 32 | — | Started last | 6.3 | 7.3 | 2.7 | 1.0 | 46.7% | 0.0% | 0.7 | 41.7% | 15.7% | |
| 11 | G | Jr | 6'4" | 3-3 | 25.7 | 31 | — | Started last | 16.0 | 3.7 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 56.1% | 38.9% | 6.0 | 68.8% | 29.9% | |
| 5 | G | Jr | 6'0" | 3-3 | 24.3 | 26 | — | Started last | 10.3 | 4.3 | 4.7 | 1.7 | 40.0% | 36.4% | 3.7 | 100.0% | 26.8% | |
| 7 | G | Jr | 6'1" | 3-0 | 20.3 | 23 | — | Bench | 6.0 | 2.7 | 2.3 | 3.7 | 57.1% | 40.0% | 3.3 | 66.7% | 22.2% | |
| 18 | F | Jr | 6'10" | 3-1 | 16.7 | 20 | — | Bench | 4.3 | 4.7 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 66.7% | — | 0.0 | 83.3% | 13.2% | |
| 1 | F | Jr | 6'7" | 2-0 | 16.0 | 25 | — | Bench | 9.0 | 6.5 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 50.0% | 33.3% | 1.5 | 100.0% | 27.6% | |
| 32 | F | Jr | 6'10" | 3-0 | 9.3 | 8 | — | Bench | 3.7 | 2.3 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 83.3% | — | 0.0 | 33.3% | 18.8% | |
| 6 | G | Fr | 6'6" | 2-0 | 13.5 | 0 | — | Missed last game | 4.5 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 31.8% | 16.7% | 3.0 | 50.0% | 26.7% | |
| 8 | G | Fr | 6'3" | 2-0 | 13.0 | 0 | — | Missed last game | 4.5 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 2.0 | 50.0% | 33.3% | 1.5 | 66.7% | 22.0% | |
| 22 | G | Fr | 6'6" | 3-1 | 8.3 | 2 | — | Bench | 6.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 56.7% | 25.0% | 1.3 | 33.3% | 36.1% | |
| 12 | F | So | 7'1" | 2-1 | 10.5 | — | — | Active | 7.0 | 7.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 75.0% | — | 0.0 | 50.0% | 23.4% | |
| 25 | F | Fr | 6'8" | 1-0 | 9.0 | — | — | Missed last | 2.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 50.0% | — | 0.0 | — | 15.8% | |
| 3 | G | So | 6'6" | 1-0 | 7.0 | — | — | Missed last | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 3.0 | — | 33.9% | |
| 13 | G | So | 6'0" | 1-0 | 7.0 | — | — | Missed last | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 100.0% | — | 0.0 | — | 13.6% |
Competitive minutes leave out garbage time (provisional rule: a second-half lead of 25+ inside 15:00, 20+ inside 10:00, 15+ inside 5:00 or 10+ inside 2:00, held to the end) and are shown per 40 minutes. Status says only whether a player appeared; the reason is not published.
Trends
Results against the closing spread and total, last ten games, entering this gameSam Houston
Against the spread
Season
2-0
Home
1-0
Road
1-0
Last 10
2-0
avg cover +8.0
Covered 2 straight
Over / under
Season
1-1
Home
1-0
Road
0-1
Last 10
1-1
avg vs total −0.5
Over in the last game
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 11 | Pepperdine | H | W 85–77 | +3.0 | W+11.0 | 160.5 | O162 | 119.8 | 108.5 | 70.9 |
| Nov 7 | Howard Payne Yellow Jackets | H | W 102–59 | — | — | — | — | 122.3 | 70.7 | 83.4 |
| Nov 3 | #20Alabama | A | L 74–96 | +27.0 | W+5.0 | 172.5 | U170 | 91.6 | 118.8 | 80.8 |
| Mar 18 | New Mexico | A | L 83–107 | +11.5 | L−12.5 | 163.0 | O190 | 109.2 | 140.7 | 76.0 |
| Mar 13 | Kennesaw St | N | L 73–79 | −2.0 | L−8.0 | 159.5 | U152 | 104.8 | 113.4 | 69.7 |
| Mar 11 | New Mexico St | N | W 69–61 | −4.5 | W+3.5 | 155.0 | U130 | 96.5 | 85.3 | 71.5 |
| Mar 7 | Liberty | A | L 72–79 | +4.5 | L−2.5 | 152.5 | U151 | 115.8 | 127.1 | 62.2 |
| Mar 5 | Delaware | A | L 80–83 | −7.5 | L−10.5 | 148.0 | O163 | 112.4 | 116.7 | 71.2 |
| Feb 28 | Missouri St | H | W 86–81 | −7.0 | L−2.0 | 154.5 | O167 | 127.1 | 119.8 | 67.6 |
| Feb 26 | FIU | H | W 100–67 | −6.0 | W+27.0 | 162.0 | O167 | 136.4 | 91.4 | 73.3 |
#3Illinois
Against the spread
Season
2-1
Home
2-0
Road
0-1
Last 10
2-1
avg cover +13.0
Missed the spread in the last game
Over / under
Season
2-1
Home
2-0
Road
0-1
Last 10
2-1
avg vs total +4.7
Under in the last game
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10 | #16Texas Tech | A | L 78–84 | −2.5 | L−8.5 | 166.5 | U162 | 105.1 | 113.2 | 74.2 |
| Nov 5 | Penn | H | W 112–70 | −30.5 | W+11.5 | 172.5 | O182 | 128.7 | 80.4 | 87.0 |
| Nov 2 | FDU | H | W 120–45 | −39.0 | W+36.0 | 156.0 | O165 | 159.1 | 59.7 | 75.4 |
| Apr 4 | #2UConn | N | L 62–71 | −1.5 | L−10.5 | 139.0 | U133 | 97.6 | 111.8 | 63.5 |
| Mar 28 | #9Iowa | N | W 71–59 | −7.0 | W+5.0 | 138.5 | U130 | 129.5 | 107.6 | 54.8 |
| Mar 26 | #2Houston | N | W 65–55 | +2.5 | W+12.5 | 139.5 | U120 | 111.2 | 94.1 | 58.5 |
| Mar 21 | #11VCU | N | W 76–55 | −12.0 | W+9.0 | 150.5 | U131 | 115.2 | 83.4 | 66.0 |
| Mar 19 | #14Penn | N | W 105–70 | −25.5 | W+9.5 | 151.0 | O175 | 154.5 | 103.0 | 68.0 |
| Mar 13 | #23Wisconsin | N | L 88–91 OT | −8.0 | L−11.0 | 157.0 | O179 | 117.0 | 121.0 | 75.2 |
| Mar 8 | Maryland | A | W 78–72 | −14.0 | L−8.0 | 145.0 | O150 | 127.4 | 117.6 | 61.2 |
Records vs the closing line describe the past; ten games is a small sample.
Team comparison
national rank toned left for away, right for homeSam Houston#3Illinois
Efficiency
108.8
123.7
106.3
94.5
72.6
74.9
6.6
0.0
Shooting
47.2%
64.1%
40.0%
76.9%
37.7%
34.8%
79.6%
56.9%
43.9%
26.9%
Ball control & glass
21.1%
17.7%
12.5%
14.8%
35.8%
43.9%
25.9%
24.8%
15.8%
12.3%
18.6%
7.7%
Style
43.1%
51.9%
32.7%
50.3%
17.0%
17.1%
47.9%
55.5%
43.7%
44.4%
Roster
2.65
2.23
6'4.8"
6'7.2"
23.6%
42.8%
Offseason
roster movement into this season — descriptive, not a model inputSam Houston
Returning minutes: 23.6%Returning production: 20.2%
Lost
- Damon Nicholas Jr. 27.1 mpg, 8.6 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Kashie Natt 26.4 mpg, 10.8 ppg · transferred to Oklahoma St
- Jacob Walker 25.8 mpg, 11.5 ppg · transferred to Oklahoma St
- Po'Boigh King 25.4 mpg, 12.5 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Veljko Ilic 24.3 mpg, 11.4 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Isaiah Manning 9.3 mpg, 5.0 ppg · transferred to W Carolina
Added
- Enel St. Bernard from Indiana St · 17.6 mpg, 5.8 ppg last season
- Riccardo Greppi from Wisconsin · 0.5 mpg, 0.0 ppg last season
- Alec Loustau no D1 minutes last season
- Xavier Roberson no D1 minutes last season
- Keller Partain no D1 minutes last season
- Zion Pipkin no D1 minutes last season
Returns 24% of last season's minutes; lost 5 of its top 5 (2 transferred). Teams returning under 40% of last season's minutes have historically fallen about 0.8 points of AdjEM (n=716 team-seasons, 2022-2026).
#3Illinois
Returning minutes: 57.3%Returning production: 58.1%
Lost
- Keaton Wagler 34.0 mpg, 17.9 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Kylan Boswell 24.4 mpg, 9.9 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Ben Humrichous 22.5 mpg, 5.8 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Mihailo Petrovic 3.0 mpg, 0.8 ppg · transferred to Seton Hall
- Brandon Lee 2.1 mpg, 0.8 ppg · transferred to James Madison
- AJ Redd 0.7 mpg, 0.4 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
Added
- Stefan Vaaks from Providence · 29.6 mpg, 14.9 ppg last season
- Ethan Brown no D1 minutes last season
- Quentin Coleman no D1 minutes last season
- Lincoln Williams no D1 minutes last season
- Zavier Zens no D1 minutes last season
- Landon Davis no D1 minutes last season
Returns 57% of last season's minutes; lost 2 of its top 5.
Line history
Market line, home spread or game totalLines by book
| Book | Spread (home) open → now | Total open → now | ML home | ML away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | -35.5-108 | 170.5o-108 u-112 | — | — |
| FanDuel | -35.5-110 | 169.5→170.5o-110 u-110 | — | — |
| BetMGM | -35.5-110 | 170.5o-110 u-110 | — | — |
| BetRivers | -35.5-106 | 169.5→171.5o-107 u-117 | — | — |
| Fanatics | -35.5-110 | 170.5o-105 u-115 | — | — |
| BetOnline | -35.5→-35-113 | 170.5→171o-110 u-110 | — | — |
| Bovada | -35.5-105 | 172.5→170o-110 u-110 | — | — |
| theScore Bet | -35.5-105 | 170.5→169.5o-110 u-110 | — | — |
| Hard Rock | -35.5-105 | 169.5→170.5o-115 u-105 | — | — |
| Kalshi | — | 172.5→170.5o-104 u+100 | — | — |
| Polymarket | -35.5+100 | 170.5o-104 u+100 | — | — |
| Novig | -35.5+102 | 170.5o-104 u+102 | — | — |
DraftKings
FanDuel
BetMGM
BetRivers
Fanatics
BetOnline
Bovada
theScore Bet
Hard Rock
Kalshi
Polymarket
Novigopen = first-sighted line for this event · now = latest capture
Head-to-head
this season and lastNo meetings the last two seasons.
More games on Fri, Nov 13
- West Florida vs Cleveland St · 3:00 PM ET
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- Merrimack at Florida · 7:00 PM ET
- Georgia at North Carolina · 7:00 PM ET
- Tennessee St at Tennessee · 7:00 PM ET
- Long Island at Fordham · 7:00 PM ET
- Harvard at G Washington · 7:00 PM ET
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- Mount St Marys at Virginia Tech · 7:00 PM ET
- Yale at Northeastern · 7:00 PM ET
- Chattanooga at Elon · 7:00 PM ET
- Iona at Hofstra · 7:00 PM ET
- N Arizona at Kentucky · 7:00 PM ET
- Prairie View at Vanderbilt · 7:00 PM ET
- FIU at FGCU · 7:00 PM ET
- Columbia at Bucknell · 7:00 PM ET
- Marist at Lehigh · 7:00 PM ET
- Northern Iowa at Michigan St · 7:00 PM ET
- App State at Charlotte · 7:00 PM ET
- Ohio at Purdue · 7:00 PM ET
- Ohio State at UConn · 7:30 PM ET
- SE Missouri at MTSU · 7:30 PM ET
- NC Central at Liberty · 7:30 PM ET
- South Dakota at Drake · 7:30 PM ET
- FDU at Oklahoma · 8:00 PM ET
- SIUE at Duke · 8:00 PM ET
- Virginia at Maryland · 8:00 PM ET
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- Texas Southern at Murray St · 8:00 PM ET
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- Seton Hall at Alabama · 9:00 PM ET
- Xavier vs Mississippi St · 9:00 PM ET
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- Ball State at SMU · 9:00 PM ET
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- UIC at Saint Mary's · 10:00 PM ET
- East Texas A&M at Portland · 10:00 PM ET
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- AR-Pine Bluff at CA Baptist · 10:30 PM ET
The CBB Matchups tab lays out the day's Division I slate: matchup, tip time, records and rank, and — once posted — the market spread and total (the median across books when no market line is up). Three views switch the table between projected scores, pace and totals, and each team's offensive and defensive tendencies. Each game opens into opponent-adjusted possessions, efficiency and four-factor tendencies for both teams, plus recent form, rotation and head-to-head history. Every game also carries our projected score, spread and total, from our line: the same view our bets are made from.
What these numbers mean: line shopping.