Yale Bulldogs vs Northeastern Huskies basketball final score

Fri, Nov 13 · 7:00 PM ET · Cabot Center, Boston, MA

Non-conferenceCabot Center, Boston, MA

Yale

1-2 · 0-0 conf

Efficiency #119

Northeastern

1-2 · 0-0 conf

Efficiency #245

Final

7384

Final score

Projected 79.3 – 74.3

YALE win 67%NE win 33%

MarketClose

Spread

YALE −1.5

open YALE −1.5

Total

154.0

open 154.25

Our line

YALE −5.0

Our total

153.6

as of Fri, Nov 13 · 6:51 PM ET

Our play

How our line is built

each step, from an even game to our line

Spread

Even game

0.0

Northeasternrated 6.5 below average

−6.5

Yalerated 2.0 above average

−2.0

Home court

+3.4

Our line

YALE −5.0

◂ Yale sideNortheastern side ▸

Total

Average D-I game

151.3

Northeasternhigher-scoring games

+2.2

Yalehigher-scoring games

+0.1

Our line

153.6

Axis starts at 150 pointsPoints added or removed at each step

Steps are rounded to one decimal, so they can differ from the line by 0.1. The spread is seen from the home side: a plus moves it toward Northeastern.

Pace & total

possessions per 40 minutes

Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes

Projected possessions: 69.8, from each team's opponent-adjusted tempo. On raw season pace, Northeastern is the faster team (71.6, #144 of 365) and Yale the slower (67.8, #273). When tempos clash, the slower team usually pulls the pace harder (weights 0.80 vs 0.66).

Projected possessions

69.8

per team, 40 min

Market total

154.0

Market close · open 154.25

Adjusted tempo, vs an average opponent

67.4#334

Yale

72.9#62

Northeastern

How this game plays

points this game from the four factors, vs an average D-I matchup

Our line

YALE −5.0

Four factors −0.1 · not in these stats +5.1

From the four factors

Northeastern has the ball+3.2

Yale has the ball+3.1

Northeastern has the ball

✓Takes care of the ballTO% 18.8% #216 · YALE forces 10.8% #353 · ~10 turnovers+3.7

✗Few second chancesOR% 21.2% #335 · YALE allows 39.3% #320−1.4

✓Shoots it welleFG% 52.3% #148 · YALE allows 49.5% #159+0.6

✓Gets to the lineFTR 33.5% #221 · YALE allows 33.8% #144 · FT 79.7% #37+0.2

Yale has the ball

✓Shoots it welleFG% 48.0% #232 · NE allows 56.2% #290+1.6

✓Wins second chancesOR% 36.1% #92 · NE allows 30.1% #161+1.1

✓Takes care of the ballTO% 20.7% #276 · NE forces 15.7% #260 · ~13 turnovers+0.2

✓Gets to the lineFTR 25.8% #313 · NE allows 37.8% #204 · FT 80.4% #30+0.2

Shot diet

Where each offense shoots from and where each defense lets teams shoot

Yaleoffense vsNortheasterndefense

Share of shots by zone

Yale shoots

31.0

9.5

17.7

41.8

Northeastern allows

41.9

8.4

10.2

39.5

D-I average

38.2

8.1

12.3

41.4

FG% by zone

Zone			D-I avg
Rim	49.0%#298	65.7%#291	58.1%
Short 2 (≤9 ft)	53.3%#73	71.4%#349	37.9%
Mid 2 (10 ft+)	35.7%#175	29.4%#106	36.0%
Three	36.0%#102	32.4%#186	32.4%

Northeasternoffense vsYaledefense

Share of shots by zone

Northeastern shoots

43.6

7.7

14.1

34.6

Yale allows

42.3

11.7

9.8

36.2

D-I average

38.2

8.1

12.3

41.4

FG% by zone

Zone			D-I avg
Rim	57.4%#193	55.1%#131	58.1%
Short 2 (≤9 ft)	58.3%#47	36.8%#171	37.9%
Mid 2 (10 ft+)	59.1%#27	56.3%#333	36.0%
Three	28.1%#266	27.4%#78	32.4%

RimShort 2 (≤9 ft)Mid 2 (10 ft+)Three

Zones from play-by-play shot descriptions; garbage time removed. Bars show the share of field-goal attempts in each zone; where a slice is too thin for its number, the shares are listed under the bar. FG% ranks: #1 = best for that side (most accurate shooting, stingiest defense).

Shot volume

Extra scoring chances from rebounds, turnovers and the foul line

Yale

−9.9extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#317 of 365

Off reb %

36.1%

#92

Def reb %

60.7%

#320

Turnover %

20.7%

#276

Forced TO %

10.8%

#353

FT rate

25.8%

#313

FT allowed

33.8%

#144

Where the chances come from (per game)

Offensive rebounding+1.5

Defensive rebounding−2.5

Ball security−1.7

Forcing turnovers−5.1

Foul shots drawn−3.0

Foul shots allowed+0.9

Northeastern

−6.0extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#274 of 365

Off reb %

21.2%

#335

Def reb %

69.9%

#161

Turnover %

18.8%

#216

Forced TO %

15.7%

#260

FT rate

33.5%

#221

FT allowed

37.8%

#204

Where the chances come from (per game)

Offensive rebounding−3.4

Defensive rebounding+0.6

Ball security−0.4

Forcing turnovers−1.7

Foul shots drawn−1.0

Foul shots allowed−0.1

Northeastern has more extra scoring chances per game: −6.0 (#274 of 365) to Yale’s −9.9 (#317).

Grade = extra shots and foul-line trips per game compared with a D-I average team, built from six season rates. Cell shading is the national rank for each rate (greener = better for that team).

Rotation

Who has been playing, and who has not

Yale2026-27 numbers · last game: Baylor, Nov 10

#	Pos	Cl	Ht	GP-GS	MPG	Min/40, last 8	Last 3 vs before	Status	PPG	RPG	APG	TOV	eFG%	3P%	3PA/g	FT%	Usage
9	F	Jr	6'6"	3-3	33.0	32	—	Started last	18.7	5.3	1.0	2.0	58.8%	45.0%	6.7	81.8%	30.5%
11	G	Sr	6'1"	3-3	32.7	29	—	Started last	13.7	3.0	2.0	2.7	50.0%	46.7%	5.0	92.3%	26.0%
3	G	Jr	6'4"	3-3	31.7	35	—	Started last	12.7	3.7	3.0	3.3	44.1%	26.7%	5.0	72.7%	30.6%
12	F	So	6'7"	3-3	28.3	31	—	Started last	7.3	8.3	1.7	1.3	50.0%	—	0.0	100.0%	17.3%
7	F	So	6'11"	3-3	26.3	21	—	Started last	5.3	7.0	1.3	1.7	46.9%	37.5%	2.7	50.0%	16.3%
0	G	So	6'2"	3-0	25.0	27	—	Bench	9.7	5.0	3.0	2.0	42.2%	20.0%	5.0	66.7%	30.9%
21	F	Jr	6'6"	3-0	9.0	7	—	Bench	1.0	0.3	0.0	0.3	37.5%	50.0%	0.7	—	11.0%
13	C	Fr	6'10"	3-0	7.0	13	—	Bench	0.0	1.3	0.7	0.3	0.0%	—	0.0	—	8.5%
4	G	So	6'4"	1-0	9.0	7	—	Bench	2.0	1.0	0.0	1.0	—	—	0.0	100.0%	12.9%
22	G	Sr	6'4"	2-0	3.0	0	—	Bench	0.5	0.5	0.0	0.0	0.0%	—	0.0	50.0%	19.5%
5	F	Fr	6'9"	1-0	4.0	0	—	Bench	0.0	1.0	0.0	0.0	—	—	0.0	—	0.0%

Competitive minutes leave out garbage time (provisional rule: a second-half lead of 25+ inside 15:00, 20+ inside 10:00, 15+ inside 5:00 or 10+ inside 2:00, held to the end) and are shown per 40 minutes. Status says only whether a player appeared; the reason is not published.

Trends

Results against the closing spread and total, last ten games, entering this game

Yale

Against the spread

Season

1-2

Home

1-0

Road

0-2

Last 10

1-2

avg cover −3.0

Missed the spread 2 straight

Over / under

Season

1-2

Home

0-1

Road

1-1

Last 10

1-2

avg vs total −5.3

Under in the last game

Last 10 games, newest first

Date	Opponent	Site	Result			Total		PPP for	PPP vs	Pace
Nov 10	BaylorAdjEM #32	A	L 61–90	+19.5	L−9.5	157.5	U151	89.0	131.3	68.5
Nov 6	UCFAdjEM #100	A	L 75–87	+9.5	L−2.5	152.5	O162	109.0	126.5	68.8
Nov 2	HowardAdjEM #177	H	W 72–62	−7.0	W+3.0	153.0	U134	109.0	93.9	66.0
Mar 17	UNC WilmingtonAdjEM #97	H	L 67–68	−4.5	L−5.5	148.5	U135	103.0	104.5	65.1
Mar 15	PennAdjEM #168	N	L 84–88 OT	−9.5	L−13.5	144.0	O172	116.1	121.7	72.3
Mar 14	CornellAdjEM #212	N	W 88–76	−3.5	W+8.5	163.5	O164	144.9	125.2	60.7
Mar 7	PrincetonAdjEM #207	H	W 78–53	−14.0	W+11.0	137.0	U131	117.2	79.6	66.6
Feb 28	ColumbiaAdjEM #179	A	W 60–54	−6.5	L−0.5	146.0	U114	98.9	89.0	60.7
Feb 27	CornellAdjEM #212	A	L 69–72	−4.0	L−7.0	164.0	U141	107.4	112.1	64.3
Feb 21	PennAdjEM #168	H	W 74–70	−8.5	L−4.5	149.5	U144	111.1	105.1	66.6

Northeastern

Against the spread

Season

2-1

Home

1-0

Road

1-1

Last 10

2-1

avg cover +3.2

Covered 2 straight

Over / under

Season

3-0

Home

1-0

Road

2-0

Last 10

3-0

avg vs total +13.8

Over 3 straight

Last 10 games, newest first

Date	Opponent	Site	Result			Total		PPP for	PPP vs	Pace
Nov 10	HarvardAdjEM #151	H	W 74–70 OT	+2.0	W+6.0	143.0	O144	99.5	94.2	74.3
Nov 6	#9VirginiaAdjEM #13	A	L 72–97	+34.5	W+9.5	160.0	O169	94.5	127.3	76.2
Nov 2	Boston UAdjEM #199	A	L 85–93	+2.0	L−6.0	146.5	O178	116.3	127.2	73.1
Mar 7	DrexelAdjEM #230	N	L 77–84	+5.0	L−2.0	140.5	O161	112.0	122.2	68.8
Mar 6	NC A&TAdjEM #260	N	W 88–72	−2.0	W+14.0	152.5	O160	122.9	100.5	71.6
Mar 3	MonmouthAdjEM #163	H	L 83–89	+4.0	L−2.0	149.5	O172	123.9	132.9	67.0
Feb 28	HamptonAdjEM #262	A	L 65–76	+4.5	L−6.5	146.5	U141	98.6	115.2	65.9
Feb 26	William & MaryAdjEM #110	A	L 77–84	+11.0	W+4.0	164.5	U161	96.4	105.1	79.9
Feb 21	HofstraAdjEM #124	H	L 68–82	+7.5	L−6.5	145.0	O150	106.1	128.0	64.1
Feb 19	DrexelAdjEM #230	H	L 61–70	−1.0	L−10.0	145.0	U131	91.0	104.4	67.0

Records vs the closing line describe the past; ten games is a small sample.

Team comparison

national rank toned left for away, right for home

YaleNortheastern

Efficiency

111.3

105.9

107.6

111.3

67.4

72.9

7.0

6.6

Shooting

48.0%

52.3%

43.7%

58.0%

36.0%

28.1%

80.4%

79.7%

25.8%

33.5%

Ball control & glass

20.7%

18.8%

10.8%

15.7%

36.1%

21.2%

39.3%

30.1%

14.8%

9.8%

13.6%

10.7%

Style

42.1%

36.4%

32.7%

46.8%

11.5%

14.3%

52.8%

41.0%

23.7%

20.2%

Roster

2.68

2.56

6'5.3"

6'6.2"

36.7%

31.6%

Offseason

roster movement into this season — descriptive, not a model input

Yale

Returning minutes: 36.8%Returning production: 33.4%

Lost

Nick Townsend 32.4 mpg, 15.7 ppg · transferred to Stanford
Isaac Celiscar 31.1 mpg, 13.2 ppg · transferred to Baylor
Casey Simmons 26.6 mpg, 10.5 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
Samson Aletan 24.2 mpg, 7.3 ppg · transferred to Providence
Devon Arlington 13.7 mpg, 2.7 ppg · transferred to Stonehill

Added

Jonas Oware no D1 minutes last season
Jack Louridas no D1 minutes last season
Tim Winkler no D1 minutes last season
Chris Bolte no D1 minutes last season
Brady Wooley no D1 minutes last season
Connor May no D1 minutes last season

No incoming D1 transfers are listed on ESPN's roster yet — until they are, returning shares read high.

Returns 37% of last season's minutes; lost 4 of its top 5 (3 transferred). Teams returning under 40% of last season's minutes have historically fallen about 0.8 points of AdjEM (n=716 team-seasons, 2022-2026).

Northeastern

Returning minutes: 34.0%Returning production: 34.0%

Lost

William Kermoury 23.5 mpg, 11.5 ppg · transferred to UNC Wilmington
Youri Fritz 20.9 mpg, 7.9 ppg · transferred to Pepperdine
JB Frankel 20.0 mpg, 5.7 ppg · transferred to Boston College
Xavier Abreu 19.6 mpg, 11.7 ppg · transferred to Charleston
Luca Soroa Schaller 19.4 mpg, 5.2 ppg · transferred to Bucknell
Ty Francis 11.6 mpg, 3.5 ppg · transferred to Le Moyne

Added

Rashad King from LSU · 18.7 mpg, 5.8 ppg last season
Louis Bond from Idaho St · 10.2 mpg, 3.6 ppg last season
Brayden Young from Loyola Chicago · 1.6 mpg, 0.1 ppg last season
Jovan Icitovic no D1 minutes last season
Damian Jung no D1 minutes last season
Sage Baptiste no D1 minutes last season

Returns 34% of last season's minutes; lost 4 of its top 5 (4 transferred). Teams returning under 40% of last season's minutes have historically fallen about 0.8 points of AdjEM (n=716 team-seasons, 2022-2026).

Line history

Market line, home spread or game total

Lines by book

Book	Spread (home) open → now	Total open → now	ML home	ML away
DraftKings	+1.5-108	154.5o-105 u-115	+102	-122
FanDuel	+2.5→+1.5-106	153.5o-115 u-105	+105	-126
BetMGM	+1.5-110	154.5→153.5o-115 u-105	+105	-125
BetRivers	+1.5-110	153.5o-110 u-113	+106	-132
Caesars	+1.5-110	154.5→154o-110 u-110	+110	-130
Fanatics	+1.5→+2-110	154o-110 u-110	+105	-125
BetOnline	+1-105	154.5→154o-110 u-110	+100	-120
Bovada	+1.5→+2-115	154.5→154o-110 u-110	+110	-130
theScore Bet	+1.5+100	154.5o+100 u-120	+110	-130
Hard Rock	+1.5-110	153.5o-110 u-110	+105	-130
Kalshi	+1.5+100	152.5→154.5o+108 u-113	+113	-117
Polymarket	+1.5+104	153.5o-108 u+104	+113	-117
Novig	+1.5+102	154.5→153.5o+100 u-102	+113	-115

open = first-sighted line for this event · now = latest capture

Head-to-head

this season and last

No meetings the last two seasons.

More games on Fri, Nov 13

West Florida vs Cleveland St · 3:00 PM ET
Texas A&M-CC at Florida St · 5:00 PM ET
North Alabama at Miami · 5:00 PM ET
Georgetown at Clemson · 6:00 PM ET
Bryant at Rutgers · 6:00 PM ET
Pitt at Butler · 6:30 PM ET
Merrimack at Florida · 7:00 PM ET
Georgia at North Carolina · 7:00 PM ET
Tennessee St at Tennessee · 7:00 PM ET
Long Island at Fordham · 7:00 PM ET
Harvard at G Washington · 7:00 PM ET
Sam Houston at Illinois · 7:00 PM ET
Troy at NC State · 7:00 PM ET
Mount St Marys at Virginia Tech · 7:00 PM ET
Chattanooga at Elon · 7:00 PM ET
Iona at Hofstra · 7:00 PM ET
N Arizona at Kentucky · 7:00 PM ET
Prairie View at Vanderbilt · 7:00 PM ET
FIU at FGCU · 7:00 PM ET
Columbia at Bucknell · 7:00 PM ET
Marist at Lehigh · 7:00 PM ET
Northern Iowa at Michigan St · 7:00 PM ET
App State at Charlotte · 7:00 PM ET
Ohio at Purdue · 7:00 PM ET
Ohio State at UConn · 7:30 PM ET
SE Missouri at MTSU · 7:30 PM ET
NC Central at Liberty · 7:30 PM ET
South Dakota at Drake · 7:30 PM ET
FDU at Oklahoma · 8:00 PM ET
SIUE at Duke · 8:00 PM ET
Virginia at Maryland · 8:00 PM ET
C Arkansas at Arkansas · 8:00 PM ET
Milwaukee at TCU · 8:00 PM ET
GA Southern at UCF · 8:00 PM ET
Alcorn St at Tarleton St · 8:00 PM ET
Wright St at Samford · 8:00 PM ET
Illinois St at N Dakota St · 8:00 PM ET
Texas Southern at Murray St · 8:00 PM ET
Southern Miss at Texas St · 8:00 PM ET
Lindenwood at Omaha · 8:45 PM ET
Seton Hall at Alabama · 9:00 PM ET
Xavier vs Mississippi St · 9:00 PM ET
DePaul at Northwestern · 9:00 PM ET
Arizona at Auburn · 9:00 PM ET
Ball State at SMU · 9:00 PM ET
UL Monroe at Arizona St · 9:00 PM ET
Cal Poly at Idaho · 9:00 PM ET
Stanford at UNLV · 9:00 PM ET
Chicago St at San Diego · 9:30 PM ET
Miss Valley St at Oregon St · 9:30 PM ET
UIC at Saint Mary's · 10:00 PM ET
East Texas A&M at Portland · 10:00 PM ET
UC San Diego at Utah State · 10:00 PM ET
AR-Pine Bluff at CA Baptist · 10:30 PM ET

← Thu, Nov 12 · Sat, Nov 14 → · Full season schedule

The CBB Matchups tab lays out the day's Division I slate: matchup, tip time, records and rank, and — once posted — the market spread and total (the median across books when no market line is up). Three views switch the table between projected scores, pace and totals, and each team's offensive and defensive tendencies. Each game opens into opponent-adjusted possessions, efficiency and four-factor tendencies for both teams, plus recent form, rotation and head-to-head history. Every game also carries our projected score, spread and total, from our line: the same view our bets are made from.

What these numbers mean: line shopping.

Line	Our line	Close
Spread	YALE −5.0	YALE −1.5open YALE −1.5
Total	153.6	154.0open 154.25