Seton Hall Pirates vs Alabama Crimson Tide basketball prediction & odds
Fri, Nov 13 · 9:00 PM ET · Coleman Coliseum, Tuscaloosa, AL
Non-conferenceSEC NetworkColeman Coliseum, Tuscaloosa, AL
Seton Hall
3-0 · 0-0 conf
Efficiency #76
@
18Alabama
3-0 · 0-0 conf
Efficiency #22
Live
70.086.6
Projected score
HALL win 8%ALA win 92%
MarketClose
Spread
ALA −18.0
open ALA −14.0
Total
156.5
open 155.5
Our line
ALA −16.5
Our total
156.6
as of Fri, Nov 13 · 8:51 PM ET
Our play
How our line is built
each step, from an even game to our lineSpread
Even game
0.0
Alabamarated 21.7 above average
+21.7
Seton Hallrated 8.5 above average
−8.5
Home court
+3.4
Our line
ALA −16.5
◂ Seton Hall sideAlabama side ▸
Total
Average D-I game
151.3
Alabamahigher-scoring games
+17.0
Seton Halllower-scoring games
−11.7
Our line
156.6
Axis starts at 140 pointsPoints added or removed at each step
Steps are rounded to one decimal, so they can differ from the line by 0.1. The spread is seen from the home side: a plus moves it toward Alabama.
Pace & total
possessions per 40 minutesTempo, possessions per 40 minutes
Projected possessions: 74.2, from each team's opponent-adjusted tempo. On raw season pace, Alabama is the faster team (79.2, #13 of 365) and Seton Hall the slower (66.0, #322). When tempos clash, the slower team usually pulls the pace harder (weights 0.80 vs 0.66).
Projected possessions
74.2
per team, 40 min
Market total
156.5
Market close · open 155.5
Adjusted tempo, vs an average opponent
68.7#290
Seton Hall
75.9#5
Alabama
How this game plays
points this game from the four factors, vs an average D-I matchupOur line
ALA −16.5
Four factors 5.9Not in these stats 10.6
From the four factors
Alabama has the ball−0.1
Seton Hall has the ball−6.0
Alabama has the ball
✓Shoots it welleFG% 59.4% #38 · HALL allows 42.7% #41+1.4
✗Coughs it upTO% 15.1% #77 · HALL forces 23.2% #43 · ~15 turnovers−1.3
✗Few second chancesOR% 37.5% #71 · HALL allows 22.1% #20−0.2
✓Gets to the lineFTR 32.9% #229 · HALL allows 34.4% #153 · FT 75.7% #800.0
Seton Hall has the ball
✗Coughs it upTO% 19.2% #230 · ALA forces 24.0% #35 · ~17 turnovers−3.9
✗Tough shooting lookeFG% 48.3% #225 · ALA allows 46.6% #94−3.3
✓Wins second chancesOR% 29.8% #220 · ALA allows 38.1% #306+0.9
✓Gets to the lineFTR 50.3% #48 · ALA allows 27.5% #64 · FT 72.4% #142+0.2
Shot diet
Where each offense shoots from and where each defense lets teams shootSeton Halloffense vs#18Alabamadefense
Share of shots by zone
Seton Hall shoots
36.0
10.1
13.7
40.3
Alabama allows
41.0
6.5
8.6
43.9
D-I average
38.2
8.1
12.3
41.4
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 56.0%#213 | 40.4%#12 | 58.1% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 35.7%#181 | 22.2%#54 | 37.9% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 26.3%#272 | 25.0%#65 | 36.0% |
| Three | 33.3%#162 | 36.7%#272 | 32.4% |
#18Alabamaoffense vsSeton Halldefense
Share of shots by zone
Alabama shoots
30.1
4.6
4.6
60.8
Seton Hall allows
33.3
7.8
17.7
41.1
D-I average
38.2
8.1
12.3
41.4
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 67.4%#63 | 51.1%#80 | 58.1% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 28.6%#239 | 18.2%#35 | 37.9% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 42.9%#111 | 28.0%#91 | 36.0% |
| Three | 38.6%#61 | 32.3%#185 | 32.4% |
RimShort 2 (≤9 ft)Mid 2 (10 ft+)Three
Zones from play-by-play shot descriptions; garbage time removed. Bars show the share of field-goal attempts in each zone; where a slice is too thin for its number, the shares are listed under the bar. FG% ranks: #1 = best for that side (most accurate shooting, stingiest defense).
Shot volume
Extra scoring chances from rebounds, turnovers and the foul lineSeton Hall
+9.8extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#48 of 365
Off reb %
29.8%
#220
Def reb %
77.9%
#20
Turnover %
19.2%
#230
Forced TO %
23.2%
#43
FT rate
50.3%
#48
FT allowed
34.4%
#153
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding−0.6
Defensive rebounding+3.2
Ball security−0.7
Forcing turnovers+3.7
Foul shots drawn+3.4
Foul shots allowed+0.8
#18Alabama
+7.7extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#72 of 365
Off reb %
37.5%
#71
Def reb %
61.9%
#306
Turnover %
15.1%
#77
Forced TO %
24.0%
#35
FT rate
32.9%
#229
FT allowed
27.5%
#64
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding+2.0
Defensive rebounding−2.1
Ball security+2.2
Forcing turnovers+4.2
Foul shots drawn−1.2
Foul shots allowed+2.6
Seton Hall has more extra scoring chances per game: +9.8 (#48 of 365) to Alabama’s +7.7 (#72).
Grade = extra shots and foul-line trips per game compared with a D-I average team, built from six season rates. Cell shading is the national rank for each rate (greener = better for that team).
Rotation
Who has been playing, and who has notSeton Hall2026-27 numbers · last game: Charlotte, Nov 9
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | Min/40, last 8 | Last 3 vs before | Status | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | G | Sr | 6'6" | 3-3 | 28.3 | 32 | — | Started last | 8.3 | 5.7 | 2.3 | 2.3 | 46.9% | 33.3% | 1.0 | 90.9% | 20.1% | |
| 4 | G | Sr | 6'4" | 3-3 | 26.7 | 29 | — | Started last | 5.3 | 4.7 | 1.0 | 1.7 | 33.3% | 18.2% | 3.7 | 66.7% | 19.6% | |
| 23 | G | Sr | 6'3" | 3-3 | 25.0 | 28 | — | Started last | 17.0 | 2.3 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 54.5% | 55.6% | 6.0 | 68.2% | 36.0% | |
| 22 | F | Jr | 6'10" | 3-0 | 19.0 | 23 | — | Bench | 8.0 | 4.3 | 2.0 | 0.3 | 42.1% | 0.0% | 1.3 | 72.7% | 26.9% | |
| 9 | F | Jr | 6'9" | 3-3 | 16.7 | 12 | — | Started last | 8.0 | 2.7 | 0.0 | 1.7 | 75.0% | — | 0.0 | 54.5% | 27.2% | |
| 1 | G | Jr | 6'0" | 3-0 | 16.7 | 13 | — | Bench | 3.0 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 31.8% | 20.0% | 1.7 | 100.0% | 20.7% | |
| 17 | G | Jr | 6'2" | 3-0 | 15.3 | 30 | — | Bench | 5.7 | 1.7 | 3.0 | 0.7 | 65.0% | 33.3% | 1.0 | 100.0% | 18.7% | |
| 0 | G | Jr | 6'3" | 3-3 | 14.0 | 7 | — | Started last | 0.0 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.7 | — | 16.1% | |
| 6 | G | Sr | 6'6" | 3-0 | 12.3 | 12 | — | Bench | 3.0 | 2.3 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 66.7% | 40.0% | 1.7 | 100.0% | 10.7% | |
| 15 | F | Sr | 6'8" | 3-0 | 10.0 | 8 | — | Bench | 1.7 | 3.0 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 35.7% | 20.0% | 1.7 | — | 16.5% | |
| 2 | G | Jr | 6'5" | 3-0 | 7.7 | 2 | — | Bench | 2.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 62.5% | 33.3% | 1.0 | 50.0% | 16.0% | |
| 7 | G | Fr | 6'2" | 1-0 | 12.0 | — | — | Missed last | 7.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 116.7% | 100.0% | 1.0 | — | 21.9% | |
| 26 | F | Fr | 6'9" | 2-0 | 3.5 | — | — | Missed last | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 66.7% | — | 0.0 | 100.0% | 44.7% | |
| 77 | C | Jr | 7'0" | 2-0 | 3.0 | — | — | Active | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0% | — | 0.0 | — | 30.7% | |
| 14 | F | Fr | 6'8" | 1-0 | 3.0 | — | — | Missed last | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | 50.0% | 20.8% |
Competitive minutes leave out garbage time (provisional rule: a second-half lead of 25+ inside 15:00, 20+ inside 10:00, 15+ inside 5:00 or 10+ inside 2:00, held to the end) and are shown per 40 minutes. Status says only whether a player appeared; the reason is not published.
Trends
Results against the closing spread and total, last ten gamesSeton Hall
Against the spread
Season
2-1
Home
1-1
Road
0-0
Last 10
2-1
avg cover −1.3
Covered the last game
Over / under
Season
0-3
Home
0-2
Road
0-0
Last 10
0-3
avg vs total −11.7
Under 3 straight
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9 | Charlotte | N | W 68–62 | −4.0 | W+2.0 | 131.0 | U130 | 102.0 | 93.0 | 66.7 |
| Nov 5 | Long Island | H | W 67–60 | −17.5 | L−10.5 | 135.5 | U127 | 96.5 | 86.4 | 69.4 |
| Nov 2 | Saint Peter's | H | W 66–42 | −19.5 | W+4.5 | 133.5 | U108 | 106.8 | 68.0 | 61.8 |
| Mar 13 | #13St John's | A | L 68–78 | +8.0 | L−2.0 | 136.5 | O146 | 102.3 | 117.3 | 66.5 |
| Mar 12 | Creighton | N | W 72–61 | −3.0 | W+8.0 | 135.5 | U133 | 104.4 | 88.5 | 68.9 |
| Mar 6 | #18St John's | H | L 65–72 | +5.0 | L−2.0 | 137.0 | P137 | 101.3 | 112.3 | 64.1 |
| Mar 3 | Xavier | A | W 77–68 | −2.0 | W+7.0 | 144.5 | O145 | 121.4 | 107.2 | 63.4 |
| Feb 28 | #6UConn | A | L 67–71 | +13.0 | W+9.0 | 130.0 | O138 | 106.3 | 112.7 | 63.0 |
| Feb 21 | Georgetown | H | W 51–47 | −5.5 | L−1.5 | 136.0 | U98 | 80.8 | 74.4 | 63.1 |
| Feb 18 | DePaul | H | L 57–69 | −7.0 | L−19.0 | 129.0 | U126 | 88.0 | 106.6 | 64.7 |
#18Alabama
Against the spread
Season
1-2
Home
1-2
Road
0-0
Last 10
1-2
avg cover −2.3
Covered the last game
Over / under
Season
2-1
Home
2-1
Road
0-0
Last 10
2-1
avg vs total +4.2
Over 2 straight
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9 | Oakland | H | W 109–68 | −32.0 | W+9.0 | 171.0 | O177 | 152.8 | 95.3 | 71.3 |
| Nov 6 | Arkansas St | H | W 101–86 | −26.0 | L−11.0 | 178.0 | O187 | 118.1 | 100.6 | 85.5 |
| Nov 3 | Sam Houston | H | W 96–74 | −27.0 | L−5.0 | 172.5 | U170 | 118.8 | 91.6 | 80.8 |
| Mar 27 | #1Michigan | N | L 77–90 | +9.5 | L−3.5 | 173.0 | U167 | 108.3 | 126.6 | 71.1 |
| Mar 22 | #5Texas Tech | N | W 90–65 | −1.0 | W+24.0 | 164.5 | U155 | 129.9 | 93.8 | 69.3 |
| Mar 20 | #13Hofstra | N | W 90–70 | −11.5 | W+8.5 | 159.0 | O160 | 129.1 | 100.4 | 69.7 |
| Mar 13 | Ole Miss | N | L 79–80 | −12.5 | L−13.5 | 164.5 | U159 | 107.5 | 108.8 | 73.5 |
| Mar 7 | Auburn | H | W 96–84 | −6.0 | W+6.0 | 175.0 | O180 | 134.9 | 118.0 | 71.2 |
| Mar 3 | Georgia | A | L 88–98 | −1.5 | L−11.5 | 180.0 | O186 | 117.7 | 131.1 | 74.7 |
| Feb 28 | #22Tennessee | A | W 71–69 | +5.0 | W+7.0 | 162.5 | U140 | 112.7 | 109.5 | 63.0 |
Records vs the closing line describe the past; ten games is a small sample.
Team comparison
national rank toned left for away, right for homeSeton Hall#18Alabama
Efficiency
103.8
120.2
94.8
100.9
68.7
75.9
-5.3
-2.1
Shooting
48.3%
59.4%
47.3%
61.6%
33.3%
38.6%
72.4%
75.7%
50.3%
32.9%
Ball control & glass
19.2%
15.1%
23.2%
24.0%
29.8%
37.5%
22.1%
38.1%
11.1%
10.9%
12.1%
10.5%
Style
39.7%
59.6%
37.8%
33.3%
15.9%
23.5%
69.8%
64.7%
44.9%
49.8%
Roster
3.44
2.15
6'5.1"
6'7.4"
17.9%
33.6%
Offseason
roster movement into this season — descriptive, not a model inputSeton Hall
Returning minutes: 17.9%Returning production: 15.3%
Lost
- Adam Clark 30.7 mpg, 12.7 ppg · transferred to Ole Miss
- AJ Staton-McCray 27.5 mpg, 11.8 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Tajuan Simpkins 25.1 mpg, 9.7 ppg · transferred to Mississippi St
- Mike Williams III 20.9 mpg, 7.0 ppg · transferred to Tulsa
- Stephon Payne 20.2 mpg, 5.9 ppg · transferred to New Mexico St
- Na'jai Hines 16.8 mpg, 6.1 ppg · transferred to UConn
Added
- Del Jones from Radford · 31.8 mpg, 17.2 ppg last season
- Rodney Brown Jr. from LMU · 31.4 mpg, 13.5 ppg last season
- Kareem Thomas from Dartmouth · 28.1 mpg, 15.3 ppg last season
- Devin Williams from FAU · 23.8 mpg, 7.5 ppg last season
- Roddie Anderson from Xavier · 23.8 mpg, 10.9 ppg last season
- Mayar Wol from Bowling Green · 20.0 mpg, 10.5 ppg last season
Returns 18% of last season's minutes; lost 4 of its top 5 (3 transferred). Teams returning under 40% of last season's minutes have historically fallen about 0.8 points of AdjEM (n=716 team-seasons, 2022-2026).
#18Alabama
Returning minutes: 33.6%Returning production: 34.5%
Lost
- Labaron Philon Jr. 29.1 mpg, 20.7 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Houston Mallette 23.3 mpg, 6.6 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Aiden Sherrell 23.2 mpg, 10.8 ppg · transferred to Indiana
- Latrell Wrightsell Jr. 21.0 mpg, 10.2 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Taylor Bol Bowen 16.4 mpg, 5.4 ppg · transferred to Oregon
- Noah Williamson 7.6 mpg, 1.3 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
Added
- Drew Fielder from Boise St · 23.7 mpg, 14.7 ppg last season
- Jamarion Davis-Fleming from Mississippi St · 20.3 mpg, 3.7 ppg last season
- Brandon Garrison from Kentucky · 16.2 mpg, 4.7 ppg last season
- Anderson Diaz no D1 minutes last season
- Qayden Samuels no D1 minutes last season
- Jaxon Richardson no D1 minutes last season
Returns 34% of last season's minutes; lost 3 of its top 5 (1 transferred). Teams returning under 40% of last season's minutes have historically fallen about 0.8 points of AdjEM (n=716 team-seasons, 2022-2026).
Line history
Market line, home spread or game totalLines by book
| Book | Spread (home) open → now | Total open → now | ML home | ML away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | -16.5→-18.5-102 | 156.5o-110 u-110 | -2800 | +1300 |
| FanDuel | -13.5→-17.5-110 | 155.5→156.5o-110 u-110 | -3500 | +1280 |
| BetMGM | -16.5→-17.5-118 | 156.5o-110 u-110 | -2500 | +1100 |
| BetRivers | -15.5→-17.5-107 | 157.5→156.5o-114 u-109 | — | +1050 |
| Caesars | -16.5→-18-110 | 156.5o-110 u-110 | -2800 | +1250 |
| Fanatics | -14→-17.5-115 | 155.5→156.5o-110 u-110 | -2500 | +1300 |
| BetOnline | -16.5→-18-110 | 156.5o-110 u-110 | -3000 | +1256 |
| Bovada | -16.5→-18-105 | 156.5o-105 u-115 | -1900 | +900 |
| theScore Bet | -14.5→-17.5-115 | 155.5→156.5o-110 u-110 | -4000 | +1300 |
| Hard Rock | -15.5→-17.5-105 | 157.5→156.5o-110 u-110 | -2500 | +1100 |
| Kalshi | -14.5→-17.5-108 | 156.5o+100 u-108 | -1567 | +1329 |
| Polymarket | -15.5→-17.5-113 | 156.5o+100 u-104 | -1567 | +1329 |
| Novig | -13.5→-17.5-108 | 156.5o+100 u-104 | -1567 | +1438 |
DraftKings
FanDuel
BetMGM
BetRivers
Caesars
Fanatics
BetOnline
Bovada
theScore Bet
Hard Rock
Kalshi
Polymarket
Novigopen = first-sighted line for this event · now = latest capture
Head-to-head
this season and lastNo meetings the last two seasons.
More games on Fri, Nov 13
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- Iona at Hofstra · 7:00 PM ET
- N Arizona at Kentucky · 7:00 PM ET
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- SE Missouri at MTSU · 7:30 PM ET
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- AR-Pine Bluff at CA Baptist · 10:30 PM ET
The CBB Matchups tab lays out the day's Division I slate: matchup, tip time, records and rank, and — once posted — the market spread and total (the median across books when no market line is up). Three views switch the table between projected scores, pace and totals, and each team's offensive and defensive tendencies. Each game opens into opponent-adjusted possessions, efficiency and four-factor tendencies for both teams, plus recent form, rotation and head-to-head history. Every game also carries our projected score, spread and total, from our line: the same view our bets are made from.
What these numbers mean: line shopping.