Central Arkansas Bears vs Arkansas Razorbacks basketball final score
Fri, Nov 13 · 8:00 PM ET · Bud Walton Arena, Fayetteville, AR
Non-conferenceSECN+Bud Walton Arena, Fayetteville, AR
C Arkansas
2-1 · 0-0 conf
Efficiency #145
@
19Arkansas
2-1 · 0-0 conf
Efficiency #39
Final
6679
Final score
Projected 67.2 – 95.1
CARK win 1%ARK win 99%
MarketClose
Spread
ARK −23.0
open ARK −26.5
Total
162.0
open 159.5
Our line
ARK −27.9
Our total
162.3
as of Fri, Nov 13 · 7:51 PM ET
Our play
How our line is built
each step, from an even game to our lineSpread
Even game
0.0
Arkansasrated 20.9 above average
+20.9
C Arkansasrated 3.6 below average
+3.6
Home court
+3.4
Our line
ARK −27.9
◂ C Arkansas sideArkansas side ▸
Total
Average D-I game
151.3
Arkansashigher-scoring games
+8.1
C Arkansashigher-scoring games
+2.9
Our line
162.3
Axis starts at 145 pointsPoints added or removed at each step
The spread is seen from the home side: a plus moves it toward Arkansas.
Pace & total
possessions per 40 minutesTempo, possessions per 40 minutes
Projected possessions: 71.5, from each team's opponent-adjusted tempo. On raw season pace, C Arkansas is the faster team (71.8, #139 of 365) and Arkansas the slower (70.3, #196). When tempos clash, the slower team usually pulls the pace harder (weights 0.80 vs 0.66).
Projected possessions
71.5
per team, 40 min
Market total
162.0
Market close · open 159.5
Adjusted tempo, vs an average opponent
71.2#134
C Arkansas
70.8#162
Arkansas
How this game plays
points this game from the four factors, vs an average D-I matchupOur line
ARK −27.9
Four factors 11.1Not in these stats 16.8
From the four factors
Arkansas has the ball+6.0
C Arkansas has the ball−5.1
Arkansas has the ball
✓Wins second chancesOR% 44.7% #7 · CARK allows 34.5% #250+4.7
✓Shoots it welleFG% 55.1% #98 · CARK allows 47.7% #111+1.4
✗Few trips to the lineFTR 41.6% #119 · CARK allows 27.7% #68 · FT 64.9% #282−0.6
✓Takes care of the ballTO% 17.1% #157 · CARK forces 18.1% #168 · ~13 turnovers+0.6
C Arkansas has the ball
✗Coughs it upTO% 20.9% #284 · ARK forces 20.4% #94 · ~15 turnovers−2.6
✗Few second chancesOR% 26.8% #263 · ARK allows 28.4% #123−2.1
✗Few trips to the lineFTR 37.5% #171 · ARK allows 29.3% #85 · FT 69.0% #203−0.5
✓Shoots it welleFG% 51.8% #156 · ARK allows 48.9% #1480.0
Shot diet
Where each offense shoots from and where each defense lets teams shootC Arkansasoffense vs#19Arkansasdefense
Share of shots by zone
C Arkansas shoots
30.9
3.7
3.7
61.7
Arkansas allows
35.9
7.8
10.9
45.3
D-I average
38.2
8.1
12.3
41.4
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 68.0%#60 | 58.7%#186 | 58.1% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 0.0%#348 | 20.0%#40 | 37.9% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 66.7%#11 | 35.7%#177 | 36.0% |
| Three | 32.8%#176 | 32.5%#189 | 32.4% |
#19Arkansasoffense vsC Arkansasdefense
Share of shots by zone
Arkansas shoots
48.1
6.0
18.8
27.1
C Arkansas allows
34.0
5.0
14.0
47.0
D-I average
38.2
8.1
12.3
41.4
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 60.9%#133 | 64.7%#272 | 58.1% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 62.5%#26 | 0.0%#1 | 37.9% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 28.0%#259 | 35.7%#177 | 36.0% |
| Three | 34.6%#130 | 26.2%#55 | 32.4% |
RimShort 2 (≤9 ft)Mid 2 (10 ft+)Three
Zones from play-by-play shot descriptions; garbage time removed. Bars show the share of field-goal attempts in each zone; where a slice is too thin for its number, the shares are listed under the bar. FG% ranks: #1 = best for that side (most accurate shooting, stingiest defense).
Shot volume
Extra scoring chances from rebounds, turnovers and the foul lineC Arkansas
−1.7extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#207 of 365
Off reb %
26.8%
#263
Def reb %
65.5%
#250
Turnover %
20.9%
#284
Forced TO %
18.1%
#168
FT rate
37.5%
#171
FT allowed
27.7%
#68
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding−1.6
Defensive rebounding−0.9
Ball security−1.9
Forcing turnovers+0.1
Foul shots drawn0.0
Foul shots allowed+2.5
#19Arkansas
+11.2extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#36 of 365
Off reb %
44.7%
#7
Def reb %
71.6%
#123
Turnover %
17.1%
#157
Forced TO %
20.4%
#94
FT rate
41.6%
#119
FT allowed
29.3%
#85
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding+4.4
Defensive rebounding+1.1
Ball security+0.8
Forcing turnovers+1.7
Foul shots drawn+1.1
Foul shots allowed+2.1
Arkansas has more extra scoring chances per game: +11.2 (#36 of 365) to C Arkansas’s −1.7 (#207).
Grade = extra shots and foul-line trips per game compared with a D-I average team, built from six season rates. Cell shading is the national rank for each rate (greener = better for that team).
Rotation
Who has been playing, and who has notC Arkansas2026-27 numbers · last game: Ole Miss, Nov 6
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | Min/40, last 8 | Last 3 vs before | Status | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 32 | G | So | 6'2" | 3-3 | 21.7 | 28 | — | Started last | 9.7 | 0.7 | 2.7 | 2.3 | 61.4% | 45.5% | 3.7 | 100.0% | 25.4% | |
| 24 | G | Jr | 6'6" | 3-3 | 21.0 | 31 | — | Started last | 4.0 | 5.3 | 2.7 | 1.7 | 42.3% | 12.5% | 2.7 | 25.0% | 17.3% | |
| 9 | G | So | 6'5" | 3-3 | 20.7 | 23 | — | Started last | 7.7 | 2.3 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 43.8% | 27.8% | 6.0 | 50.0% | 24.6% | |
| 35 | F | So | 6'9" | 3-1 | 18.7 | 17 | — | Bench | 6.3 | 4.0 | 2.7 | 1.7 | 53.3% | 22.2% | 3.0 | 50.0% | 22.1% | |
| 12 | G | So | 6'4" | 3-3 | 18.0 | 20 | — | Started last | 14.7 | 2.7 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 67.4% | 45.5% | 3.7 | 76.5% | 34.6% | |
| 23 | F | Sr | 6'10" | 3-0 | 17.3 | 17 | — | Bench | 7.0 | 2.7 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 79.2% | 50.0% | 3.3 | 40.0% | 17.1% | |
| 3 | G | Sr | 6'3" | 3-0 | 15.7 | 20 | — | Bench | 8.7 | 3.7 | 0.3 | 1.7 | 65.8% | 45.5% | 3.7 | 33.3% | 29.4% | |
| 0 | G | Fr | 6'4" | 3-0 | 14.0 | 8 | — | Bench | 6.0 | 3.7 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 64.3% | 28.6% | 2.3 | — | 18.0% | |
| 54 | F | Fr | 6'8" | 3-0 | 11.7 | 1 | — | Bench | 3.7 | 2.7 | 3.3 | 1.0 | 80.0% | 66.7% | 1.0 | 50.0% | 16.4% | |
| 2 | G | Fr | 6'2" | 3-0 | 11.3 | 12 | — | Bench | 8.3 | 2.3 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 66.7% | 33.3% | 2.0 | 90.0% | 34.4% | |
| 25 | F | So | 6'9" | 2-2 | 15.0 | 23 | — | Started last | 2.5 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 25.0% | — | 0.0 | 75.0% | 14.8% | |
| 5 | G | Fr | 6'6" | 3-0 | 7.0 | — | — | Active | 7.0 | 2.3 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 90.0% | 57.1% | 2.3 | 60.0% | 33.1% | |
| 4 | G | So | 6'2" | 3-0 | 6.0 | — | — | Active | 4.0 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 2.0 | — | 17.3% | |
| 7 | G | Fr | 6'4" | 3-0 | 6.0 | — | — | Active | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 33.3% | 0.0% | 1.0 | — | 26.0% | |
| 10 | G | Jr | 6'4" | 2-0 | 1.5 | — | — | Missed last | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | 0.0% |
Competitive minutes leave out garbage time (provisional rule: a second-half lead of 25+ inside 15:00, 20+ inside 10:00, 15+ inside 5:00 or 10+ inside 2:00, held to the end) and are shown per 40 minutes. Status says only whether a player appeared; the reason is not published.
Trends
Results against the closing spread and total, last ten games, entering this gameC Arkansas
Against the spread
Season
1-1
Home
1-0
Road
0-1
Last 10
1-1
avg cover +3.5
Missed the spread in the last game
Over / under
Season
0-2
Home
0-1
Road
0-1
Last 10
0-2
avg vs total −8.2
Under 2 straight
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10 | Ecclesia Royals | H | W 127–54 | — | — | — | — | 161.1 | 68.5 | 78.8 |
| Nov 6 | Ole Miss | A | L 60–92 | +17.5 | L−14.5 | 154.0 | U152 | 83.0 | 127.2 | 72.3 |
| Nov 2 | Oral Roberts | H | W 85–55 | −8.5 | W+21.5 | 154.5 | U140 | 119.4 | 77.2 | 71.2 |
| Mar 8 | Queens | N | L 93–98 OT | −2.0 | L−7.0 | 157.0 | O191 | 116.0 | 122.3 | 80.2 |
| Mar 7 | FGCU | N | W 73–63 | −4.5 | W+5.5 | 145.0 | U136 | 104.2 | 89.9 | 70.0 |
| Mar 6 | Bellarmine | N | W 86–73 | −8.0 | W+5.0 | 155.0 | O159 | 136.2 | 115.6 | 63.1 |
| Feb 28 | Queens | H | W 84–79 | −2.5 | W+2.5 | 163.0 | P163 | 118.4 | 111.3 | 70.9 |
| Feb 25 | Austin Peay | A | W 93–88 | +5.0 | W+10.0 | 151.5 | O181 | 137.2 | 129.9 | 67.8 |
| Feb 21 | FGCU | A | L 71–75 OT | −1.0 | L−5.0 | 153.0 | U146 | 98.8 | 104.4 | 71.9 |
| Feb 19 | Stetson | A | W 88–76 | −10.0 | W+2.0 | 149.0 | O164 | 133.0 | 114.9 | 66.2 |
#19Arkansas
Against the spread
Season
1-2
Home
1-1
Road
0-0
Last 10
1-2
avg cover −6.5
Missed the spread 2 straight
Over / under
Season
2-1
Home
1-1
Road
0-0
Last 10
2-1
avg vs total −8.3
Under in the last game
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 11 | Robert Morris | H | W 76–53 | −30.0 | L−7.0 | 155.5 | U129 | 117.1 | 81.7 | 64.9 |
| Nov 8 | #9Virginia | N | L 72–91 | +3.5 | L−15.5 | 162.0 | O163 | 105.8 | 133.8 | 68.0 |
| Nov 3 | AR-Pine Bluff | H | W 106–61 | −42.0 | W+3.0 | 166.5 | O167 | 135.9 | 78.2 | 78.0 |
| Mar 26 | #1Arizona | N | L 88–109 | +8.0 | L−13.0 | 165.5 | O197 | 110.1 | 136.4 | 79.9 |
| Mar 21 | #12High Point | N | W 94–88 | −12.0 | L−6.0 | 170.5 | O182 | 121.5 | 113.8 | 77.4 |
| Mar 19 | #13Hawai'i | N | W 97–78 | −15.0 | W+4.0 | 158.0 | O175 | 126.5 | 101.8 | 76.7 |
| Mar 15 | #22Vanderbilt | N | W 86–75 | +2.0 | W+13.0 | 164.5 | U161 | 122.6 | 107.0 | 70.1 |
| Mar 14 | Ole Miss | N | W 93–90 OT | −8.5 | L−5.5 | 158.5 | O183 | 119.7 | 115.8 | 77.7 |
| Mar 13 | Oklahoma | N | W 82–79 | −6.0 | L−3.0 | 167.0 | U161 | 117.2 | 112.9 | 70.0 |
| Mar 7 | Missouri | A | W 88–84 OT | +2.5 | W+6.5 | 161.5 | O172 | 115.1 | 109.9 | 76.4 |
Records vs the closing line describe the past; ten games is a small sample.
Team comparison
national rank toned left for away, right for homeC Arkansas#19Arkansas
Efficiency
106.1
117.7
104.5
102.3
71.2
70.8
2.6
-2.6
Shooting
51.8%
55.1%
55.6%
56.4%
32.8%
34.6%
69.0%
64.9%
37.5%
41.6%
Ball control & glass
20.9%
17.1%
18.1%
20.4%
26.8%
44.7%
34.5%
28.4%
11.8%
11.9%
13.3%
6.8%
Style
59.8%
28.1%
31.7%
53.5%
9.0%
29.9%
61.7%
58.1%
51.0%
39.5%
Roster
2.19
1.88
6'5.4"
6'6.4"
56.7%
13.9%
Offseason
roster movement into this season — descriptive, not a model inputC Arkansas
Returning minutes: 56.7%Returning production: 53.5%
Lost
- Camren Hunter 30.9 mpg, 21.0 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Javion Guy-King 21.1 mpg, 9.2 ppg · transferred to Ball State
- Truman Byrne 16.4 mpg, 4.0 ppg · transferred to Lipscomb
- Tyler Lee 9.4 mpg, 2.5 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Parker Applegate 6.1 mpg, 1.8 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Rashad Bolden 2.0 mpg, 0.8 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
Added
- Simm-Marten Saadi from Wyoming · 8.3 mpg, 3.1 ppg last season
- Tucker Anderson from Utah State · 8.1 mpg, 2.4 ppg last season
- Isaiah Templeton no D1 minutes last season
- R.J. Young no D1 minutes last season
- Andrew Hoerner no D1 minutes last season
- R.J. Newton no D1 minutes last season
Returns 57% of last season's minutes; lost 2 of its top 5 (1 transferred).
#19Arkansas
Returning minutes: 15.7%Returning production: 15.1%
Lost
- Darius Acuff Jr. 34.3 mpg, 22.8 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Trevon Brazile 30.6 mpg, 12.7 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Meleek Thomas 30.5 mpg, 15.6 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- DJ Wagner 22.3 mpg, 7.0 ppg · transferred to Maryland
- Malique Ewin 21.0 mpg, 9.8 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Nick Pringle 17.9 mpg, 4.4 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
Added
- Jeremiah Wilkinson from Georgia · 24.1 mpg, 16.4 ppg last season
- Cooper Bowser from Furman · 21.1 mpg, 9.8 ppg last season
- Ilia Frolov no D1 minutes last season
- Paulo Semedo no D1 minutes last season
- Abdou Toure no D1 minutes last season
- Caleb Ourigou no D1 minutes last season
Returns 16% of last season's minutes; lost 4 of its top 5 (1 transferred). Teams returning under 40% of last season's minutes have historically fallen about 0.8 points of AdjEM (n=716 team-seasons, 2022-2026).
Line history
Market line, home spread or game totalLines by book
| Book | Spread (home) open → now | Total open → now | ML home | ML away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | -26.5→-22.5-115 | 159.5→161.5o-115 u-105 | — | +2200 |
| FanDuel | -26.5→-22.5-120 | 159.5→161.5o-115 u-105 | — | +2500 |
| BetMGM | -25.5→-22.5-115 | 159.5→161.5o-115 u-105 | — | +2800 |
| BetRivers | -26.5→-22.5-117 | 160.5→162.5o-108 u-115 | — | — |
| Caesars | -26.5→-22.5-110 | 159.5→162o-110 u-110 | — | — |
| Fanatics | -26→-23-110 | 159.5→161.5o-110 u-110 | — | +3250 |
| BetOnline | -25.5→-22.5-110 | 159→162o-115 u-105 | — | +1787 |
| Bovada | -25.5→-22.5-115 | 160.5→161.5o-110 u-110 | — | — |
| theScore Bet | -25.5→-22.5-110 | 158.5→162.5o-110 u-110 | — | +3500 |
| Hard Rock | -26.5→-22.5-115 | 160.5→161.5o-115 u-105 | — | — |
| Kalshi | — | 159.5→161.5o-108 u+104 | -4900 | +3233 |
| Polymarket | -26.5→-22.5-104 | 161.5o-108 u+104 | -4067 | +3900 |
| Novig | -26.5→-22.5+100 | 159.5→161.5o-108 u+104 | -3471 | +3126 |
DraftKings
FanDuel
BetMGM
BetRivers
Caesars
Fanatics
BetOnline
Bovada
theScore Bet
Hard Rock
Kalshi
Polymarket
Novigopen = first-sighted line for this event · now = latest capture
Head-to-head
this season and last| Date | Season | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Tue, Nov 11 | 2025-26 | C Arkansas 56 – 93 Arkansas |
More games on Fri, Nov 13
- West Florida vs Cleveland St · 3:00 PM ET
- Texas A&M-CC at Florida St · 5:00 PM ET
- North Alabama at Miami · 5:00 PM ET
- Georgetown at Clemson · 6:00 PM ET
- Bryant at Rutgers · 6:00 PM ET
- Pitt at Butler · 6:30 PM ET
- Merrimack at Florida · 7:00 PM ET
- Georgia at North Carolina · 7:00 PM ET
- Tennessee St at Tennessee · 7:00 PM ET
- Long Island at Fordham · 7:00 PM ET
- Harvard at G Washington · 7:00 PM ET
- Sam Houston at Illinois · 7:00 PM ET
- Troy at NC State · 7:00 PM ET
- Mount St Marys at Virginia Tech · 7:00 PM ET
- Yale at Northeastern · 7:00 PM ET
- Chattanooga at Elon · 7:00 PM ET
- Iona at Hofstra · 7:00 PM ET
- N Arizona at Kentucky · 7:00 PM ET
- Prairie View at Vanderbilt · 7:00 PM ET
- FIU at FGCU · 7:00 PM ET
- Columbia at Bucknell · 7:00 PM ET
- Marist at Lehigh · 7:00 PM ET
- Northern Iowa at Michigan St · 7:00 PM ET
- App State at Charlotte · 7:00 PM ET
- Ohio at Purdue · 7:00 PM ET
- Ohio State at UConn · 7:30 PM ET
- SE Missouri at MTSU · 7:30 PM ET
- NC Central at Liberty · 7:30 PM ET
- South Dakota at Drake · 7:30 PM ET
- FDU at Oklahoma · 8:00 PM ET
- SIUE at Duke · 8:00 PM ET
- Virginia at Maryland · 8:00 PM ET
- Milwaukee at TCU · 8:00 PM ET
- GA Southern at UCF · 8:00 PM ET
- Alcorn St at Tarleton St · 8:00 PM ET
- Wright St at Samford · 8:00 PM ET
- Illinois St at N Dakota St · 8:00 PM ET
- Texas Southern at Murray St · 8:00 PM ET
- Southern Miss at Texas St · 8:00 PM ET
- Lindenwood at Omaha · 8:45 PM ET
- Seton Hall at Alabama · 9:00 PM ET
- Xavier vs Mississippi St · 9:00 PM ET
- DePaul at Northwestern · 9:00 PM ET
- Arizona at Auburn · 9:00 PM ET
- Ball State at SMU · 9:00 PM ET
- UL Monroe at Arizona St · 9:00 PM ET
- Cal Poly at Idaho · 9:00 PM ET
- Stanford at UNLV · 9:00 PM ET
- Chicago St at San Diego · 9:30 PM ET
- Miss Valley St at Oregon St · 9:30 PM ET
- UIC at Saint Mary's · 10:00 PM ET
- East Texas A&M at Portland · 10:00 PM ET
- UC San Diego at Utah State · 10:00 PM ET
- AR-Pine Bluff at CA Baptist · 10:30 PM ET
The CBB Matchups tab lays out the day's Division I slate: matchup, tip time, records and rank, and — once posted — the market spread and total (the median across books when no market line is up). Three views switch the table between projected scores, pace and totals, and each team's offensive and defensive tendencies. Each game opens into opponent-adjusted possessions, efficiency and four-factor tendencies for both teams, plus recent form, rotation and head-to-head history. Every game also carries our projected score, spread and total, from our line: the same view our bets are made from.
What these numbers mean: line shopping.