Georgia Southern Eagles vs UCF Knights basketball final score
Fri, Nov 13 · 8:00 PM ET · Addition Financial Arena, Orlando, FL
Non-conferenceESPN+Addition Financial Arena, Orlando, FL
GA Southern
1-2 · 0-0 conf
Efficiency #224
@
UCF
3-0 · 0-0 conf
Efficiency #100
Final
7084
Final score
Projected 70.6 – 92.9
GASO win 3%UCF win 97%
MarketClose
Spread
UCF −22.5
open UCF −22.5
Total
164.5
open 162.5
Our line
UCF −22.2
Our total
163.5
as of Fri, Nov 13 · 7:51 PM ET
Our play
How our line is built
each step, from an even game to our lineSpread
Even game
0.0
UCFrated 10.0 above average
+10.0
GA Southernrated 8.8 below average
+8.8
Home court
+3.4
Our line
UCF −22.2
◂ GA Southern sideUCF side ▸
Total
Average D-I game
151.3
UCFhigher-scoring games
+3.2
GA Southernhigher-scoring games
+8.9
Our line
163.5
Axis starts at 145 pointsPoints added or removed at each step
Steps are rounded to one decimal, so they can differ from the line by 0.1. The spread is seen from the home side: a plus moves it toward UCF.
Pace & total
possessions per 40 minutesTempo, possessions per 40 minutes
Projected possessions: 73.1, from each team's opponent-adjusted tempo. On raw season pace, GA Southern is the faster team (74.8, #62 of 365) and UCF the slower (66.5, #312). When tempos clash, the slower team usually pulls the pace harder (weights 0.80 vs 0.66).
Projected possessions
73.1
per team, 40 min
Market total
164.5
Market close · open 162.5
Adjusted tempo, vs an average opponent
73.3#51
GA Southern
70.3#198
UCF
How this game plays
points this game from the four factors, vs an average D-I matchupOur line
UCF −22.2
Four factors 4.6Not in these stats 17.6
From the four factors
UCF has the ball+6.9
GA Southern has the ball+2.3
UCF has the ball
✓Takes care of the ballTO% 10.1% #2 · GASO forces 18.0% #172 · ~10 turnovers+4.3
✓Gets to the lineFTR 42.5% #107 · GASO allows 53.7% #337 · FT 70.1% #178+1.1
✓Shoots it welleFG% 56.6% #75 · GASO allows 45.3% #67+1.1
✓Wins second chancesOR% 29.4% #227 · GASO allows 36.7% #288+0.5
GA Southern has the ball
✓Wins second chancesOR% 36.1% #93 · UCF allows 35.0% #261+2.2
✓Takes care of the ballTO% 16.3% #123 · UCF forces 17.3% #196 · ~12 turnovers+1.5
✗Tough shooting lookeFG% 46.2% #270 · UCF allows 53.6% #244−0.8
✗Few trips to the lineFTR 46.0% #72 · UCF allows 26.8% #57 · FT 63.7% #298−0.6
Shot diet
Where each offense shoots from and where each defense lets teams shootGA Southernoffense vsUCFdefense
Share of shots by zone
GA Southern shoots
40.1
6.0
9.9
44.0
UCF allows
32.8
9.8
14.4
43.1
D-I average
38.2
8.1
12.3
41.4
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 49.3%#296 | 49.1%#61 | 58.1% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 9.1%#345 | 58.8%#327 | 37.9% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 44.4%#99 | 48.0%#295 | 36.0% |
| Three | 33.0%#174 | 37.5%#287 | 32.4% |
UCFoffense vsGA Southerndefense
Share of shots by zone
UCF shoots
32.9
5.4
18.0
43.7
GA Southern allows
33.1
9.0
12.7
45.2
D-I average
38.2
8.1
12.3
41.4
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 61.8%#121 | 63.6%#262 | 58.1% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 22.2%#296 | 33.3%#131 | 37.9% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 53.3%#37 | 42.9%#242 | 36.0% |
| Three | 39.2%#50 | 22.2%#12 | 32.4% |
RimShort 2 (≤9 ft)Mid 2 (10 ft+)Three
Zones from play-by-play shot descriptions; garbage time removed. Bars show the share of field-goal attempts in each zone; where a slice is too thin for its number, the shares are listed under the bar. FG% ranks: #1 = best for that side (most accurate shooting, stingiest defense).
Shot volume
Extra scoring chances from rebounds, turnovers and the foul lineGA Southern
−0.7extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#183 of 365
Off reb %
36.1%
#93
Def reb %
63.3%
#288
Turnover %
16.3%
#123
Forced TO %
18.0%
#172
FT rate
46.0%
#72
FT allowed
53.7%
#337
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding+1.5
Defensive rebounding−1.6
Ball security+1.4
Forcing turnovers0.0
Foul shots drawn+2.2
Foul shots allowed−4.2
UCF
+7.6extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#74 of 365
Off reb %
29.4%
#227
Def reb %
65.0%
#261
Turnover %
10.1%
#2
Forced TO %
17.3%
#196
FT rate
42.5%
#107
FT allowed
26.8%
#57
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding−0.7
Defensive rebounding−1.1
Ball security+5.8
Forcing turnovers−0.5
Foul shots drawn+1.4
Foul shots allowed+2.8
UCF has more extra scoring chances per game: +7.6 (#74 of 365) to GA Southern’s −0.7 (#183).
Grade = extra shots and foul-line trips per game compared with a D-I average team, built from six season rates. Cell shading is the national rank for each rate (greener = better for that team).
Rotation
Who has been playing, and who has notGA Southern2026-27 numbers · last game: Mercer, Nov 10
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | Min/40, last 8 | Last 3 vs before | Status | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | F | Sr | 6'6" | 3-3 | 35.7 | 33 | — | Started last | 15.3 | 5.0 | 1.3 | 2.7 | 48.9% | 39.1% | 7.7 | 42.9% | 28.0% | |
| 21 | F | Jr | 6'7" | 3-3 | 33.0 | 34 | — | Started last | 19.7 | 6.3 | 0.7 | 2.0 | 63.9% | 40.0% | 8.3 | 76.5% | 27.3% | |
| 2 | G | Sr | 6'3" | 3-1 | 32.7 | 36 | — | Started last | 17.3 | 10.3 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 41.2% | 0.0% | 1.7 | 70.6% | 29.3% | |
| 11 | G | So | 6'1" | 3-0 | 20.3 | 12 | — | Bench | 9.3 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 1.3 | 57.1% | 50.0% | 2.7 | 57.1% | 25.1% | |
| 12 | F | Jr | 6'8" | 3-0 | 20.0 | 20 | — | Bench | 2.3 | 3.7 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 25.0% | — | 0.0 | 30.0% | 14.2% | |
| 0 | G | So | 6'6" | 3-3 | 18.7 | 21 | — | Started last | 2.7 | 3.0 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 50.0% | — | 0.0 | 66.7% | 10.2% | |
| 13 | G | Fr | 6'5" | 3-0 | 16.7 | 25 | — | Bench | 6.0 | 5.3 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 31.6% | 18.2% | 3.7 | 85.7% | 25.8% | |
| 3 | G | So | 6'1" | 2-2 | 20.0 | 0 | — | Missed last game | 3.5 | 2.5 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 30.0% | 40.0% | 2.5 | 50.0% | 18.2% | |
| 5 | F | Jr | 6'10" | 3-3 | 9.7 | 12 | — | Started last | 2.7 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 40.0% | 22.2% | 3.0 | — | 24.3% | |
| 33 | F | Fr | 6'8" | 3-0 | 8.7 | 6 | — | Bench | 2.7 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 30.0% | 0.0% | 0.7 | 50.0% | 28.9% |
Into the starting lineup: Dallas Gardner.Out of the starting lineup: Rashaad Williams.
Competitive minutes leave out garbage time (provisional rule: a second-half lead of 25+ inside 15:00, 20+ inside 10:00, 15+ inside 5:00 or 10+ inside 2:00, held to the end) and are shown per 40 minutes. Status says only whether a player appeared; the reason is not published.
Trends
Results against the closing spread and total, last ten games, entering this gameGA Southern
Against the spread
Season
2-1
Home
1-1
Road
1-0
Last 10
2-1
avg cover +3.8
Missed the spread in the last game
Over / under
Season
2-1
Home
1-1
Road
1-0
Last 10
2-1
avg vs total +1.0
Over 2 straight
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10 | Mercer | H | L 91–97 OT | −1.0 | L−7.0 | 164.5 | O188 | 104.5 | 111.4 | 87.1 |
| Nov 6 | Georgia Tech | A | L 83–95 | +17.0 | W+5.0 | 159.5 | O178 | 108.1 | 123.8 | 76.8 |
| Nov 2 | Ball State | H | W 67–55 | +1.5 | W+13.5 | 161.0 | U122 | 95.7 | 78.6 | 70.0 |
| Mar 9 | Troy | N | L 61–77 | +5.0 | L−11.0 | 152.5 | U138 | 96.7 | 122.0 | 63.1 |
| Mar 8 | Marshall | N | W 82–78 | +3.5 | W+7.5 | 166.5 | U160 | 113.3 | 107.7 | 72.4 |
| Mar 7 | Coastal | N | W 96–72 | +1.0 | W+25.0 | 150.5 | O168 | 140.9 | 105.7 | 68.1 |
| Mar 6 | South Alabama | N | W 94–85 | +4.5 | W+13.5 | 148.5 | O179 | 139.9 | 126.5 | 67.2 |
| Mar 5 | Arkansas St | N | W 80–77 | +7.5 | W+10.5 | 166.0 | U157 | 116.4 | 112.0 | 68.7 |
| Mar 4 | Old Dominion | N | W 88–84 | −2.0 | W+2.0 | 157.5 | O172 | 127.4 | 121.6 | 69.1 |
| Feb 27 | Marshall | A | W 99–82 | +7.5 | W+24.5 | 168.5 | O181 | 138.1 | 114.4 | 71.7 |
UCF
Against the spread
Season
1-2
Home
1-2
Road
0-0
Last 10
1-2
avg cover −8.7
Missed the spread in the last game
Over / under
Season
2-1
Home
2-1
Road
0-0
Last 10
2-1
avg vs total +13.7
Under in the last game
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10 | South Alabama | H | W 76–69 | −14.0 | L−7.0 | 151.0 | U145 | 125.2 | 113.7 | 60.7 |
| Nov 6 | Yale | H | W 87–75 | −9.5 | W+2.5 | 152.5 | O162 | 126.5 | 109.0 | 68.8 |
| Nov 2 | FGCU | H | W 96–95 OT | −22.5 | L−21.5 | 153.5 | O191 | 122.4 | 121.1 | 78.4 |
| Mar 20 | #7UCLA | N | L 71–75 | +6.0 | W+2.0 | 152.0 | U146 | 100.6 | 106.3 | 70.6 |
| Mar 12 | #2Arizona | N | L 59–81 | +15.5 | L−6.5 | 158.5 | U140 | 86.2 | 118.4 | 68.4 |
| Mar 11 | Cincinnati | N | W 66–65 OT | +3.5 | W+4.5 | 149.0 | U131 | 86.3 | 85.0 | 76.5 |
| Mar 6 | West Virginia | A | L 62–77 | +4.5 | L−10.5 | 141.5 | U139 | 92.9 | 115.4 | 66.7 |
| Mar 3 | Oklahoma St | H | L 104–111 OT | −8.5 | L−15.5 | 168.5 | O215 | 119.3 | 127.3 | 87.2 |
| Feb 28 | Baylor | H | L 86–87 | −1.5 | L−2.5 | 159.0 | O173 | 129.8 | 131.3 | 66.2 |
| Feb 24 | #19BYU | A | W 97–84 | +13.5 | W+26.5 | 161.5 | O181 | 125.0 | 108.3 | 77.6 |
Records vs the closing line describe the past; ten games is a small sample.
Team comparison
national rank toned left for away, right for homeGA SouthernUCF
Efficiency
105.4
114.3
109.6
108.1
73.3
70.3
-2.8
0.2
Shooting
46.2%
56.6%
43.6%
54.9%
33.0%
39.2%
63.7%
70.1%
46.0%
42.5%
Ball control & glass
16.3%
10.1%
18.0%
17.3%
36.1%
29.4%
36.7%
35.0%
9.4%
5.8%
7.3%
5.9%
Style
44.4%
43.6%
34.0%
32.4%
16.6%
15.8%
36.4%
51.7%
40.6%
46.2%
Roster
2.83
3.56
6'5.3"
6'5.9"
2.0%
31.2%
Offseason
roster movement into this season — descriptive, not a model inputGA Southern
Returning minutes: 13.2%Returning production: 7.4%
Lost
- Spudd Webb 32.4 mpg, 15.5 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Alden Applewhite 30.4 mpg, 13.7 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Tyren Moore 29.4 mpg, 16.1 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Nakavieon White 20.1 mpg, 9.7 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Khayri Dunn 17.0 mpg, 7.2 ppg · transferred to UNC Asheville
- Shainen Carter 16.1 mpg, 3.7 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
Added
- Josh Dixon from Milwaukee · 18.5 mpg, 9.0 ppg last season
- Truman Claytor IV from Little Rock · 14.2 mpg, 5.5 ppg last season
- Eltramon Smith from SF Austin · 3.3 mpg, 0.9 ppg last season
- Jeromy Davis no D1 minutes last season
- Jayden Crawford no D1 minutes last season
- Cole Crissman no D1 minutes last season
Returns 13% of last season's minutes; lost 5 of its top 5 (1 transferred). Teams returning under 40% of last season's minutes have historically fallen about 0.8 points of AdjEM (n=716 team-seasons, 2022-2026).
UCF
Returning minutes: 31.2%Returning production: 29.2%
Lost
- Themus Fulks 32.8 mpg, 14.0 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Jordan Burks 28.2 mpg, 13.3 ppg · transferred to Oklahoma St
- Jamichael Stillwell 26.7 mpg, 10.9 ppg · transferred to Texas Tech
- Devan Cambridge 17.4 mpg, 5.4 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Chris Johnson 15.3 mpg, 6.0 ppg · transferred to Oregon St
- Jeremy Foumena 7.5 mpg, 2.8 ppg · transferred to UNLV
Added
- Lewis Walker from NC A&T · 33.0 mpg, 18.3 ppg last season
- Cayden Vasko from Wofford · 31.9 mpg, 10.4 ppg last season
- Isaiah Malone from FGCU · 22.4 mpg, 10.5 ppg last season
- Churchill Abass from LSU N Orleans · 20.1 mpg, 8.4 ppg last season
- Dior Johnson from Tarleton St · 16.4 mpg, 15.0 ppg last season
- Jason Asemota from Boston College · 5.2 mpg, 2.1 ppg last season
Returns 31% of last season's minutes; lost 3 of its top 5 (2 transferred). Teams returning under 40% of last season's minutes have historically fallen about 0.8 points of AdjEM (n=716 team-seasons, 2022-2026).
Line history
Market line, home spread or game totalLines by book
| Book | Spread (home) open → now | Total open → now | ML home | ML away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | -23.5→-22.5-112 | 160.5→164.5o-115 u-105 | — | +1800 |
| FanDuel | -21.5→-22.5-110 | 162.5→164.5o-115 u-105 | — | +2400 |
| BetMGM | -23.5→-22.5-110 | 160.5→164.5o-110 u-110 | — | +1800 |
| BetRivers | -22.5-105 | 163.5→164.5o-117 u-107 | — | — |
| Caesars | -23.5→-22.5-110 | 160.5→164.5o-110 u-110 | — | — |
| Fanatics | -23→-22.5-110 | 162→165o-110 u-110 | — | +2250 |
| BetOnline | -23.5→-22.5-110 | 161→165o-110 u-110 | — | +1642 |
| Bovada | -23.5→-22.5-105 | 163.5→164.5o-110 u-110 | — | — |
| theScore Bet | -23.5→-22.5-110 | 160.5→165.5o-115 u-105 | — | +2500 |
| Hard Rock | -22.5→-21.5-120 | 163.5→164.5o-115 u-105 | — | — |
| Kalshi | -21.5-117 | 160.5→164.5o-104 u+100 | -3233 | +2400 |
| Polymarket | -22.5+100 | 164.5o-104 u+100 | -3233 | +2464 |
| Novig | -21.5→-22.5+102 | 160.5→164.5o-104 u+102 | -2603 | +2400 |
DraftKings
FanDuel
BetMGM
BetRivers
Caesars
Fanatics
BetOnline
Bovada
theScore Bet
Hard Rock
Kalshi
Polymarket
Novigopen = first-sighted line for this event · now = latest capture
Head-to-head
this season and lastNo meetings the last two seasons.
More games on Fri, Nov 13
- West Florida vs Cleveland St · 3:00 PM ET
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- Merrimack at Florida · 7:00 PM ET
- Georgia at North Carolina · 7:00 PM ET
- Tennessee St at Tennessee · 7:00 PM ET
- Long Island at Fordham · 7:00 PM ET
- Harvard at G Washington · 7:00 PM ET
- Sam Houston at Illinois · 7:00 PM ET
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- Mount St Marys at Virginia Tech · 7:00 PM ET
- Yale at Northeastern · 7:00 PM ET
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- Iona at Hofstra · 7:00 PM ET
- N Arizona at Kentucky · 7:00 PM ET
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- FIU at FGCU · 7:00 PM ET
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- App State at Charlotte · 7:00 PM ET
- Ohio at Purdue · 7:00 PM ET
- Ohio State at UConn · 7:30 PM ET
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- NC Central at Liberty · 7:30 PM ET
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- FDU at Oklahoma · 8:00 PM ET
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- AR-Pine Bluff at CA Baptist · 10:30 PM ET
The CBB Matchups tab lays out the day's Division I slate: matchup, tip time, records and rank, and — once posted — the market spread and total (the median across books when no market line is up). Three views switch the table between projected scores, pace and totals, and each team's offensive and defensive tendencies. Each game opens into opponent-adjusted possessions, efficiency and four-factor tendencies for both teams, plus recent form, rotation and head-to-head history. Every game also carries our projected score, spread and total, from our line: the same view our bets are made from.
What these numbers mean: line shopping.