Columbia Lions vs Bucknell Bison basketball final score

Fri, Nov 13 · 7:00 PM ET · Sojka Pavilion, Lewisburg, PA

Non-conferenceESPN+Sojka Pavilion, Lewisburg, PA
Columbia
2-1 · 0-0 conf
Efficiency #179
@
Bucknell
0-3 · 0-0 conf
Efficiency #353
Final
7759
Final score
Projected 77.0 – 71.6
COLU win 68%BUCK win 32%
MarketClose
Spread
COLU −5.5
open COLU −3.5
Total
147.0
open 146.0
Our line
COLU −5.4
Our total
148.6
as of Fri, Nov 13 · 6:51 PM ET

Our play

How our line is built

each step, from an even game to our line
Spread
Even game
0.0
Bucknellrated 11.8 below average
−11.8
Columbiarated 3.1 below average
+3.1
Home court
+3.4
Our line
COLU −5.4
◂ Columbia sideBucknell side ▸
Total
Average D-I game
151.3
Bucknelllower-scoring games
−3.6
Columbiahigher-scoring games
+0.9
Our line
148.6
Axis starts at 146 pointsPoints added or removed at each step

Steps are rounded to one decimal, so they can differ from the line by 0.1. The spread is seen from the home side: a plus moves it toward Bucknell.

Pace & total

possessions per 40 minutes
Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes

Projected possessions: 67.8, from each team's opponent-adjusted tempo. On raw season pace, Bucknell is the faster team (68.4, #258 of 365) and Columbia the slower (65.6, #330). When tempos clash, the slower team usually pulls the pace harder (weights 0.80 vs 0.66).

Projected possessions
67.8
per team, 40 min
Market total
147.0
Market close · open 146.0
Adjusted tempo, vs an average opponent
68.7#291
Columbia
69.5#245
Bucknell

How this game plays

points this game from the four factors, vs an average D-I matchup
Our line
COLU −5.4
Four factors +16.4 · not in these stats −11.0
From the four factors
Bucknell has the ball−6.1
Columbia has the ball+10.3
Bucknell has the ball
✗Few second chancesOR% 21.2% #336 · COLU allows 30.2% #163−3.2
✗Coughs it upTO% 20.5% #273 · COLU forces 20.6% #89 · ~14 turnovers−2.3
✗Tough shooting lookeFG% 47.2% #245 · COLU allows 53.2% #241−0.4
✗Few trips to the lineFTR 31.1% #253 · COLU allows 31.5% #113 · FT 76.0% #74−0.2
Columbia has the ball
✓Wins second chancesOR% 40.5% #32 · BUCK allows 55.5% #363+7.4
✓Shoots it welleFG% 49.2% #198 · BUCK allows 58.8% #322+3.5
✗Few trips to the lineFTR 25.4% #318 · BUCK allows 29.1% #83 · FT 68.8% #209−1.0
✓Takes care of the ballTO% 16.0% #109 · BUCK forces 19.5% #121 · ~12 turnovers+0.3

Shot diet

Where each offense shoots from and where each defense lets teams shoot
Columbiaoffense vsBucknelldefense
Share of shots by zone
Columbia shoots
Bucknell allows
D-I average
FG% by zone
ZoneD-I avg
Rim41.0%#35058.2%#17858.1%
Short 2 (≤9 ft)50.0%#7816.7%#3237.9%
Mid 2 (10 ft+)38.1%#1520.0%#136.0%
Three39.0%#5338.3%#30332.4%
Bucknelloffense vsColumbiadefense
Share of shots by zone
Bucknell shoots
Columbia allows
D-I average
FG% by zone
ZoneD-I avg
Rim52.5%#26565.3%#28258.1%
Short 2 (≤9 ft)0.0%#34833.3%#13137.9%
Mid 2 (10 ft+)18.2%#3080.0%#136.0%
Three34.1%#14737.1%#27932.4%
RimShort 2 (≤9 ft)Mid 2 (10 ft+)Three

Zones from play-by-play shot descriptions; garbage time removed. Bars show the share of field-goal attempts in each zone; where a slice is too thin for its number, the shares are listed under the bar. FG% ranks: #1 = best for that side (most accurate shooting, stingiest defense).

Shot volume

Extra scoring chances from rebounds, turnovers and the foul line
Columbia
+5.4extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#102 of 365
Off reb %
40.5%
#32
Def reb %
69.8%
#163
Turnover %
16.0%
#109
Forced TO %
20.6%
#89
FT rate
25.4%
#318
FT allowed
31.5%
#113
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding+3.0
Defensive rebounding+0.5
Ball security+1.6
Forcing turnovers+1.8
Foul shots drawn−3.1
Foul shots allowed+1.5
Bucknell
−11.3extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#333 of 365
Off reb %
21.2%
#336
Def reb %
44.5%
#363
Turnover %
20.5%
#273
Forced TO %
19.5%
#121
FT rate
31.1%
#253
FT allowed
29.1%
#83
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding−3.4
Defensive rebounding−7.9
Ball security−1.6
Forcing turnovers+1.0
Foul shots drawn−1.6
Foul shots allowed+2.2

Columbia has more extra scoring chances per game: +5.4 (#102 of 365) to Bucknell’s −11.3 (#333).

Grade = extra shots and foul-line trips per game compared with a D-I average team, built from six season rates. Cell shading is the national rank for each rate (greener = better for that team).

Rotation

Who has been playing, and who has not
Columbia2026-27 numbers · last game: Stonehill, Nov 9
#PlayerPosClHtGP-GSMPGMin/40, last 8Last 3 vs beforeStatusPPGRPGAPGTOVeFG%3P%3PA/gFT%Usage
10FSo6'7"3-325.031—Started last10.79.04.31.752.5%33.3%1.078.6%24.4%
2GSr6'0"3-223.322—Bench9.03.35.32.045.8%30.8%4.383.3%26.5%
4GJr6'3"3-222.726—Started last16.01.70.00.363.9%60.0%3.3100.0%32.8%
14FJr6'9"3-322.332—Started last7.05.31.71.756.3%0.0%0.350.0%20.7%
9GFr6'5"3-321.319—Started last3.33.00.70.740.9%16.7%2.0100.0%11.8%
1GFr6'2"3-220.720—Started last10.31.01.01.345.8%33.3%4.090.0%29.8%
7FSo6'8"3-016.317—Bench6.06.01.01.050.0%—0.075.0%21.7%
8GJr6'2"3-013.014—Bench11.02.30.31.371.4%33.3%2.075.0%38.2%
0GFr6'4"3-012.717—Bench2.72.30.70.328.6%28.6%2.3—21.6%
22FSr6'7"3-05.70—Bench1.31.70.00.750.0%—0.0—18.4%
13GFr6'4"2-06.50—Bench5.01.50.50.0100.0%66.7%1.550.0%22.2%
11FJr6'8"1-011.0——Missed last6.04.01.00.062.5%50.0%2.050.0%21.3%
6FJr6'7"1-09.0——Missed last8.02.01.00.075.0%0.0%1.0100.0%26.0%
12GFr6'0"1-07.0——Missed last2.00.01.01.00.0%0.0%1.0100.0%19.9%
34FFr6'9"1-05.0——Missed last2.03.00.00.050.0%—0.0—18.9%
21GSr6'3"1-03.0——Missed last4.00.00.01.0150.0%100.0%1.050.0%46.5%
5GSr6'2"1-03.0——Missed last2.02.01.00.050.0%—0.00.0%46.5%

Competitive minutes leave out garbage time (provisional rule: a second-half lead of 25+ inside 15:00, 20+ inside 10:00, 15+ inside 5:00 or 10+ inside 2:00, held to the end) and are shown per 40 minutes. Status says only whether a player appeared; the reason is not published.

Team comparison

national rank toned left for away, right for home
ColumbiaBucknell
Efficiency
106.9
98.2
108.2
115.3
68.7
69.5
-6.5
8.2
Shooting
49.2%
47.2%
44.7%
42.5%
39.0%
34.1%
68.8%
76.0%
25.4%
31.1%
Ball control & glass
16.0%
20.5%
20.6%
19.5%
40.5%
21.2%
30.2%
55.5%
7.6%
13.2%
16.5%
28.8%
Style
32.5%
54.7%
38.4%
29.5%
11.6%
17.9%
51.9%
72.1%
41.7%
30.5%
Roster
2.32
2.79
6'4.6"
6'4.5"
44.9%
34.7%

Offseason

roster movement into this season — descriptive, not a model input
Columbia
Returning minutes: 55.9%Returning production: 53.2%
Lost
  • Kenny Noland 33.1 mpg, 17.1 ppg · transferred to Michigan
  • Blair Thompson 31.0 mpg, 11.4 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
  • Ryan Soulis 18.6 mpg, 5.4 ppg · transferred to Northwestern
  • Zine Eddine Bedri 4.4 mpg, 2.3 ppg · transferred to San José St
  • Avery Brown 1.6 mpg, 0.5 ppg · transferred to St John's
  • Edwin Bai 0.3 mpg, 0.0 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
Added
  • Douglas Langford from San José St · 8.9 mpg, 1.3 ppg last season
  • Gabe Hornberger no D1 minutes last season
  • Nigel Clarkson no D1 minutes last season
  • Josh Pratt no D1 minutes last season
  • Nino Zarkovic no D1 minutes last season
  • Trae Nunn no D1 minutes last season

Returns 56% of last season's minutes; lost 2 of its top 5 (1 transferred).

Bucknell
Returning minutes: 34.7%Returning production: 25.8%
Lost
  • Achile Spadone 34.8 mpg, 12.4 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
  • Amon Dorries 32.5 mpg, 16.2 ppg · transferred to Richmond
  • Pat Curtin 20.5 mpg, 10.5 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
  • Quin Berger 15.1 mpg, 2.8 ppg · transferred to Miami
  • Ruot Bijiek 10.5 mpg, 4.3 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
  • Grgur Brcic 9.2 mpg, 2.4 ppg · transferred to Long Beach St
Added
  • Rocco Lamuno new to D1 · 26.0 mpg, 20.0 ppg last season
  • Luca Soroa Schaller from Northeastern · 19.4 mpg, 5.2 ppg last season
  • Kyle Marshall from Air Force · 2.1 mpg, 0.4 ppg last season
  • Mert Kocagozoglu no D1 minutes last season
  • Ethan Marten-Coney no D1 minutes last season
  • Luke Soden no D1 minutes last season

Returns 35% of last season's minutes; lost 3 of its top 5 (1 transferred). Teams returning under 40% of last season's minutes have historically fallen about 0.8 points of AdjEM (n=716 team-seasons, 2022-2026).

Line history

Market line, home spread or game total

Lines by book

BookSpread (home) open → nowTotal open → nowML homeML away
DraftKings+4.5→+5.5-110146.5o-110 u-110+200-245
FanDuel+4.5→+5.5-115145.5o-115 u-105+176-215
BetMGM+4.5→+5.5-110145.5→146.5o-110 u-110+190-235
BetRivers+3.5→+5.5-110144.5→146.5o-109 u-114+200-265
Caesars+3.5→+5.5-110145.5→146.5o-110 u-110+196-240
Fanatics+3.5→+5.5-110146→146.5o-110 u-110+190-235
BetOnline+3.5→+6-113145.5→146o-115 u-105——
Bovada+4.5→+5.5-110145.5→146.5o-110 u-110+195-235
theScore Bet+3.5→+5.5-105146.5o-105 u-115+200-240
Hard Rock+4.5→+5.5-110145.5→146.5o-110 u-110+200-260
Kalshi+7.5-138147.5o+104 u-108+203-223
Polymarket+3.5→+5.5-104146.5o-104 u-104+203-213
Novig+3.5→+5.5-102146.5o-102 u-104+208-212
open = first-sighted line for this event · now = latest capture

Head-to-head

this season and last
No meetings the last two seasons.

More games on Fri, Nov 13

← Thu, Nov 12 · Sat, Nov 14 → · Full season schedule

The CBB Matchups tab lays out the day's Division I slate: matchup, tip time, records and rank, and — once posted — the market spread and total (the median across books when no market line is up). Three views switch the table between projected scores, pace and totals, and each team's offensive and defensive tendencies. Each game opens into opponent-adjusted possessions, efficiency and four-factor tendencies for both teams, plus recent form, rotation and head-to-head history. Every game also carries our projected score, spread and total, from our line: the same view our bets are made from.

What these numbers mean: line shopping.