North Carolina Central Eagles vs Liberty Flames basketball final score
Fri, Nov 13 · 7:30 PM ET · Liberty Arena (VA), Lynchburg, VA
Non-conferenceESPN+Liberty Arena (VA), Lynchburg, VA
NC Central
0-3 · 0-0 conf
Efficiency #330
@
Liberty
1-1 · 0-0 conf
Efficiency #146
Final
6674
Final score
Projected 57.8 – 79.7
NCCU win 3%LIB win 97%
MarketClose
Spread
LIB −16.0
open LIB −16.5
Total
138.0
open 137.5
Our line
LIB −21.9
as of Fri, Nov 13 · 7:21 PM ET
Our play
How our line is built
each step, from an even game to our lineSpread
Even game
0.0
Libertyrated 2.3 above average
+2.3
NC Centralrated 16.3 below average
+16.3
Home court
+3.3
Our line
LIB −21.9
◂ NC Central sideLiberty side ▸
The spread is seen from the home side: a plus moves it toward Liberty. Our total joins once both teams have played 3 games.
Pace & total
possessions per 40 minutesTempo, possessions per 40 minutes
Projected possessions: 65.4, from each team's opponent-adjusted tempo. On raw season pace, NC Central is the faster team (68.7, #245 of 365) and Liberty the slower (65.9, #326). When tempos clash, the slower team usually pulls the pace harder (weights 0.80 vs 0.66).
Projected possessions
65.4
per team, 40 min
Market total
138.0
Market close · open 137.5
Adjusted tempo, vs an average opponent
68.4#298
NC Central
67.4#333
Liberty
How this game plays
points this game from the four factors, vs an average D-I matchupOur line
LIB −21.9
Four factors −0.4 · not in these stats +22.3
From the four factors
Liberty has the ball−7.0
NC Central has the ball−6.6
Liberty has the ball
✗Tough shooting lookeFG% 42.0% #320 · NCCU allows 50.6% #183−4.4
✗Few second chancesOR% 23.7% #312 · NCCU allows 29.6% #150−2.5
✗Few trips to the lineFTR 26.8% #303 · NCCU allows 34.6% #157 · FT 66.7% #246−0.7
✓Takes care of the ballTO% 16.7% #135 · NCCU forces 18.2% #166 · ~11 turnovers+0.7
NC Central has the ball
✗Few second chancesOR% 25.6% #283 · LIB allows 29.0% #134−2.1
✗Tough shooting lookeFG% 43.6% #302 · LIB allows 54.4% #267−1.7
✗Few trips to the lineFTR 24.3% #327 · LIB allows 21.1% #13 · FT 68.2% #221−1.4
✗Coughs it upTO% 19.6% #243 · LIB forces 19.7% #112 · ~13 turnovers−1.4
Shot diet
Where each offense shoots from and where each defense lets teams shootNC Centraloffense vsLibertydefense
Share of shots by zone
NC Central shoots
44.2
9.1
17.6
29.1
Liberty allows
58.0
4.0
6.0
32.0
D-I average
38.2
8.1
12.3
41.4
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 53.4%#252 | 65.5%#288 | 58.1% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 60.0%#33 | 50.0%#263 | 37.9% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 34.5%#191 | 33.3%#143 | 36.0% |
| Three | 24.0%#334 | 30.0%#131 | 32.4% |
Libertyoffense vsNC Centraldefense
Share of shots by zone
Liberty shoots
43.1
7.8
5.9
43.1
NC Central allows
42.2
7.5
5.2
45.1
D-I average
38.2
8.1
12.3
41.4
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 59.1%#167 | 56.2%#149 | 58.1% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 25.0%#268 | 53.8%#303 | 37.9% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 33.3%#192 | 11.1%#15 | 36.0% |
| Three | 19.2%#361 | 33.3%#203 | 32.4% |
RimShort 2 (≤9 ft)Mid 2 (10 ft+)Three
Zones from play-by-play shot descriptions; garbage time removed. Bars show the share of field-goal attempts in each zone; where a slice is too thin for its number, the shares are listed under the bar. FG% ranks: #1 = best for that side (most accurate shooting, stingiest defense).
Shot volume
Extra scoring chances from rebounds, turnovers and the foul lineNC Central
−4.8extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#260 of 365
Off reb %
25.6%
#283
Def reb %
70.4%
#150
Turnover %
19.6%
#243
Forced TO %
18.2%
#166
FT rate
24.3%
#327
FT allowed
34.6%
#157
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding−1.9
Defensive rebounding+0.7
Ball security−1.0
Forcing turnovers+0.1
Foul shots drawn−3.4
Foul shots allowed+0.7
Liberty
+2.1extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#143 of 365
Off reb %
23.7%
#312
Def reb %
71.0%
#134
Turnover %
16.7%
#135
Forced TO %
19.7%
#112
FT rate
26.8%
#303
FT allowed
21.1%
#13
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding−2.6
Defensive rebounding+0.9
Ball security+1.1
Forcing turnovers+1.2
Foul shots drawn−2.7
Foul shots allowed+4.3
Liberty has more extra scoring chances per game: +2.1 (#143 of 365) to NC Central’s −4.8 (#260).
Grade = extra shots and foul-line trips per game compared with a D-I average team, built from six season rates. Cell shading is the national rank for each rate (greener = better for that team).
Rotation
Who has been playing, and who has notNC Central2026-27 numbers · last game: VMI, Nov 11
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | Min/40, last 8 | Last 3 vs before | Status | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | G | Sr | 6'7" | 3-3 | 33.0 | 31 | — | Started last | 10.0 | 6.0 | 1.7 | 2.0 | 39.3% | 0.0% | 1.0 | 80.0% | 22.7% | |
| 23 | G | Sr | 6'6" | 3-3 | 28.7 | 12 | — | Started last | 9.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 39.1% | 31.8% | 7.3 | 100.0% | 24.2% | |
| 2 | G | Sr | 6'3" | 3-3 | 27.7 | 25 | — | Started last | 11.3 | 3.3 | 5.3 | 2.7 | 52.2% | 40.0% | 1.7 | 71.4% | 26.5% | |
| 3 | F | Fr | 6'11" | 3-3 | 26.7 | 31 | — | Started last | 4.7 | 5.3 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 36.8% | 0.0% | 1.0 | 0.0% | 15.4% | |
| 12 | F | Sr | 6'10" | 3-2 | 25.3 | 28 | — | Started last | 10.3 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 54.2% | — | 0.0 | 62.5% | 24.4% | |
| 4 | G | Jr | 6'2" | 3-0 | 14.0 | 16 | — | Bench | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2.7 | 33.3% | 0.0% | 1.0 | 75.0% | 26.0% | |
| 8 | F | Jr | 6'9" | 3-1 | 14.0 | 12 | — | Bench | 5.0 | 3.7 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 53.8% | — | 0.0 | 50.0% | 23.2% | |
| 9 | G | Jr | 6'4" | 3-0 | 11.3 | 26 | — | Bench | 2.3 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 30.0% | 0.0% | 1.0 | 50.0% | 25.9% | |
| 13 | F | Jr | 6'10" | 3-0 | 11.0 | 9 | — | Bench | 3.7 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 68.8% | 50.0% | 2.0 | — | 17.6% | |
| 10 | G | Sr | 6'0" | 3-0 | 8.7 | 5 | — | Bench | 3.3 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 38.5% | 0.0% | 1.0 | — | 31.3% | |
| 0 | F | Sr | 6'6" | 2-0 | 7.5 | 0 | — | Missed last game | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | — | — | 0.0 | — | 3.8% | |
| 11 | G | So | 6'3" | 2-0 | 3.5 | — | — | Active | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 1.0 | — | 17.1% |
Competitive minutes leave out garbage time (provisional rule: a second-half lead of 25+ inside 15:00, 20+ inside 10:00, 15+ inside 5:00 or 10+ inside 2:00, held to the end) and are shown per 40 minutes. Status says only whether a player appeared; the reason is not published.
Trends
Results against the closing spread and total, last ten games, entering this gameNC Central
Against the spread
Season
2-1
Home
0-0
Road
2-1
Last 10
2-1
avg cover +8.3
Missed the spread in the last game
Over / under
Season
1-2
Home
0-0
Road
1-2
Last 10
1-2
avg vs total −16.0
Under in the last game
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 11 | VMI | A | L 51–65 | +7.5 | L−6.5 | 147.0 | U116 | 75.9 | 96.8 | 67.2 |
| Nov 7 | Longwood | A | L 75–80 OT | +12.5 | W+7.5 | 148.5 | O155 | 101.3 | 108.1 | 74.0 |
| Nov 2 | Georgia | A | L 62–78 | +40.0 | W+24.0 | 163.5 | U140 | 84.4 | 106.1 | 73.5 |
| Mar 14 | Howard | N | L 63–70 | +11.5 | W+4.5 | 143.5 | U133 | 101.2 | 112.4 | 62.3 |
| Mar 13 | Delaware St | N | W 59–53 | −4.0 | W+2.0 | 131.0 | U112 | 104.5 | 93.9 | 56.4 |
| Mar 12 | MD Eastern | N | W 83–76 OT | +1.0 | W+8.0 | 132.0 | O159 | 119.6 | 109.5 | 69.4 |
| Mar 5 | SC State | H | L 64–80 | −7.5 | L−23.5 | 141.5 | O144 | 91.7 | 114.6 | 69.8 |
| Mar 2 | MD Eastern | A | W 77–73 | +2.5 | W+6.5 | 133.5 | O150 | 112.8 | 106.9 | 68.3 |
| Feb 28 | Delaware St | A | W 74–60 | −2.5 | W+11.5 | 135.5 | U134 | 120.3 | 97.5 | 61.5 |
| Feb 21 | Howard | A | L 67–100 | +12.5 | L−20.5 | 143.0 | O167 | 94.0 | 140.3 | 71.3 |
Liberty
Against the spread
Season
0-1
Home
0-0
Road
0-0
Last 10
0-1
avg cover −5.5
Missed the spread in the last game
Over / under
Season
0-1
Home
0-0
Road
0-0
Last 10
0-1
avg vs total −26.0
Under in the last game
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | Boyce Bulldogs | H | W 113–54 | — | — | — | — | 154.8 | 74.0 | 73.0 |
| Nov 1 | High Point | N | L 57–72 | +9.5 | L−5.5 | 155.0 | U129 | 86.5 | 109.2 | 65.9 |
| Mar 21 | Nevada | A | L 63–73 | +7.0 | L−3.0 | 147.5 | U136 | 101.5 | 117.6 | 62.0 |
| Mar 17 | George Mason | A | W 77–71 | +3.0 | W+9.0 | 141.5 | O148 | 122.3 | 112.8 | 63.0 |
| Mar 11 | Missouri St | N | L 69–77 | −5.0 | L−13.0 | 142.5 | O146 | 108.0 | 120.6 | 63.9 |
| Mar 7 | Sam Houston | H | W 79–72 | −4.5 | W+2.5 | 152.5 | U151 | 127.1 | 115.8 | 62.2 |
| Mar 5 | Louisiana Tech | H | L 71–76 | −8.5 | L−13.5 | 139.0 | O147 | 118.8 | 127.1 | 59.8 |
| Feb 28 | Jax State | A | W 81–78 | −4.0 | L−1.0 | 139.0 | O159 | 127.5 | 122.8 | 63.5 |
| Feb 26 | Kennesaw St | A | L 65–74 | +1.0 | L−8.0 | 152.5 | U139 | 102.7 | 116.9 | 63.3 |
| Feb 21 | Western KY | H | L 73–94 | −7.5 | L−28.5 | 149.0 | O167 | 105.3 | 135.5 | 69.3 |
Records vs the closing line describe the past; ten games is a small sample.
Team comparison
national rank toned left for away, right for homeNC CentralLiberty
Efficiency
96.8
109.2
109.5
107.6
68.4
67.4
-2.5
11.7
Shooting
43.6%
42.0%
46.6%
53.3%
24.0%
19.2%
68.2%
66.7%
24.3%
26.8%
Ball control & glass
19.6%
16.7%
18.2%
19.7%
25.6%
23.7%
29.6%
29.0%
12.6%
13.7%
6.1%
20.0%
Style
27.6%
46.4%
54.3%
56.1%
12.2%
5.3%
42.5%
52.4%
32.6%
37.5%
Roster
3.35
2.25
6'6.6"
6'5.3"
3.1%
10.5%
Offseason
roster movement into this season — descriptive, not a model inputNC Central
Returning minutes: 3.1%Returning production: 2.1%
Lost
- Gage Lattimore 35.7 mpg, 16.1 ppg · transferred to James Madison
- Dionte Johnson 30.8 mpg, 8.6 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Kelechi Okworogwo 25.6 mpg, 8.2 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Tekao Carpenter 24.3 mpg, 6.4 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Kyric Davis 21.8 mpg, 7.8 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Jae Slack 19.4 mpg, 8.3 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
Added
- Isaiah Buckley new to D1 · 40.0 mpg, 11.0 ppg last season
- Christian Meeks from Morgan St · 28.6 mpg, 5.9 ppg last season
- Trey Brown from MD Eastern · 11.6 mpg, 2.8 ppg last season
- Tyler Mason from Alabama St · 8.2 mpg, 3.5 ppg last season
- Maurice Vassel from MD Eastern · 5.9 mpg, 1.6 ppg last season
- Daniel Mbaeteka new to D1 · 5.0 mpg, 2.0 ppg last season
Returns 3% of last season's minutes; lost 5 of its top 5 (1 transferred). Teams returning under 40% of last season's minutes have historically fallen about 0.8 points of AdjEM (n=716 team-seasons, 2022-2026).
Liberty
Returning minutes: 10.5%Returning production: 7.4%
Lost
- Zach Cleveland 33.9 mpg, 11.5 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Brett Decker Jr. 33.6 mpg, 16.9 ppg · transferred to Baylor
- Kaden Metheny 32.9 mpg, 12.7 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Colin Porter 32.3 mpg, 10.5 ppg · transferred to Marquette
- JJ Harper 26.8 mpg, 10.8 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Josh Smith 14.9 mpg, 7.3 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
Added
- Cooper Campbell from Troy · 33.8 mpg, 12.5 ppg last season
- Cobi Campbell from Troy · 27.1 mpg, 8.8 ppg last season
- Dillon Claussen no D1 minutes last season
- Eli Herbert no D1 minutes last season
- Osmar Garcia-Araujo no D1 minutes last season
- Reece Davidson no D1 minutes last season
Returns 10% of last season's minutes; lost 5 of its top 5 (2 transferred). Teams returning under 40% of last season's minutes have historically fallen about 0.8 points of AdjEM (n=716 team-seasons, 2022-2026).
Line history
Market line, home spread or game totalLines by book
| Book | Spread (home) open → now | Total open → now | ML home | ML away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | -18.5→-16.5-108 | 138.5→136.5o-115 u-105 | -2100 | +1100 |
| FanDuel | -17.5→-16.5-110 | 136.5o-115 u-105 | -2800 | +1160 |
| BetMGM | -16.5-110 | 136.5o-115 u-105 | -2500 | +1050 |
| BetRivers | -17.5→-15.5-114 | 137.5→136.5o-109 u-114 | -2500 | +950 |
| Caesars | -17.5→-16.5-110 | 137.5→137o-110 u-110 | -2400 | +1150 |
| Fanatics | -17→-16.5-105 | 138→137o-110 u-110 | -2000 | +1100 |
| BetOnline | -16-120 | 137o-105 u-115 | — | — |
| Bovada | -16.5→-16-115 | 137.5o-110 u-110 | -2000 | +950 |
| theScore Bet | -16.5-105 | 137.5→136.5o-115 u-105 | -4000 | +1300 |
| Hard Rock | -17.5→-15.5-110 | 136.5o-110 u-110 | -2500 | +1000 |
| Kalshi | -15.5-113 | 137.5o+108 u-113 | -1567 | +1329 |
| Polymarket | -17.5→-16.5+104 | 138.5→136.5o-108 u+104 | -1567 | +1329 |
| Novig | — | — | -1438 | +1329 |
DraftKings
FanDuel
BetMGM
BetRivers
Caesars
Fanatics
BetOnline
Bovada
theScore Bet
Hard Rock
Kalshi
Polymarket
Novigopen = first-sighted line for this event · now = latest capture
Head-to-head
this season and lastNo meetings the last two seasons.
More games on Fri, Nov 13
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The CBB Matchups tab lays out the day's Division I slate: matchup, tip time, records and rank, and — once posted — the market spread and total (the median across books when no market line is up). Three views switch the table between projected scores, pace and totals, and each team's offensive and defensive tendencies. Each game opens into opponent-adjusted possessions, efficiency and four-factor tendencies for both teams, plus recent form, rotation and head-to-head history. Every game also carries our projected score, spread and total, from our line: the same view our bets are made from.
What these numbers mean: line shopping.