Texas Southern Tigers vs Murray State Racers basketball final score

Fri, Nov 13 · 8:00 PM ET · CFSB Center, Murray, KY

Non-conferenceESPN+CFSB Center, Murray, KY
Texas Southern
1-2 · 0-0 conf
Efficiency #326
@
Murray St
3-0 · 0-0 conf
Efficiency #72
Final
7899
Final score
Projected 66.6 – 92.9
TXSO win 1%MUR win 99%
MarketClose
Spread
MUR −29.0
open MUR −26.5
Total
163.0
open 161.75
Our line
MUR −26.3
Our total
159.5
as of Fri, Nov 13 · 7:51 PM ET

Our play

How our line is built

each step, from an even game to our line
Spread
Even game
0.0
Murray Strated 9.3 above average
+9.3
Texas Southernrated 13.6 below average
+13.6
Home court
+3.3
Our line
MUR −26.3
◂ Texas Southern sideMurray St side ▸
Total
Average D-I game
151.3
Murray Sthigher-scoring games
+10.8
Texas Southernlower-scoring games
−2.6
Our line
159.5
Axis starts at 145 pointsPoints added or removed at each step

Steps are rounded to one decimal, so they can differ from the line by 0.1. The spread is seen from the home side: a plus moves it toward Murray St.

Pace & total

possessions per 40 minutes
Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes

Projected possessions: 77.3, from each team's opponent-adjusted tempo. On raw season pace, Texas Southern is the faster team (78.1, #29 of 365) and Murray St the slower (77.2, #34). When tempos clash, the slower team usually pulls the pace harder (weights 0.80 vs 0.66).

Projected possessions
77.3
per team, 40 min
Market total
163.0
Market close · open 161.75
Adjusted tempo, vs an average opponent
72.8#64
Texas Southern
74.9#15
Murray St

How this game plays

points this game from the four factors, vs an average D-I matchup
Our line
MUR −26.2
Four factors +37.2 · not in these stats −11.0
From the four factors
Murray St has the ball+17.0
Texas Southern has the ball−20.2
Murray St has the ball
✓Shoots it welleFG% 58.2% #47 · TXSO allows 60.2% #343+10.5
✓Wins second chancesOR% 40.0% #39 · TXSO allows 44.1% #351+5.7
✓Gets to the lineFTR 45.5% #78 · TXSO allows 51.6% #326 · FT 70.9% #164+1.3
✗Coughs it upTO% 18.6% #211 · TXSO forces 18.6% #150 · ~14 turnovers−0.4
Texas Southern has the ball
✗Tough shooting lookeFG% 37.7% #350 · MUR allows 42.5% #39−12.5
✗Coughs it upTO% 17.9% #188 · MUR forces 28.1% #7 · ~19 turnovers−5.8
✗Few second chancesOR% 24.7% #298 · MUR allows 29.8% #154−2.6
✓Gets to the lineFTR 53.4% #31 · MUR allows 43.1% #262 · FT 65.1% #278+0.7

Shot diet

Where each offense shoots from and where each defense lets teams shoot
Texas Southernoffense vsMurray Stdefense
Share of shots by zone
Texas Southern shoots
Murray St allows
D-I average
FG% by zone
ZoneD-I avg
Rim51.6%#27750.9%#7958.1%
Short 2 (≤9 ft)50.0%#7844.4%#22737.9%
Mid 2 (10 ft+)40.0%#13216.7%#3036.0%
Three27.5%#27732.7%#19432.4%
Murray Stoffense vsTexas Southerndefense
Share of shots by zone
Murray St shoots
Texas Southern allows
D-I average
FG% by zone
ZoneD-I avg
Rim63.2%#10467.9%#30558.1%
Short 2 (≤9 ft)20.0%#301100.0%#36237.9%
Mid 2 (10 ft+)53.3%#3750.0%#29736.0%
Three35.6%#11128.6%#9532.4%
RimShort 2 (≤9 ft)Mid 2 (10 ft+)Three

Zones from play-by-play shot descriptions; garbage time removed. Bars show the share of field-goal attempts in each zone; where a slice is too thin for its number, the shares are listed under the bar. FG% ranks: #1 = best for that side (most accurate shooting, stingiest defense).

Shot volume

Extra scoring chances from rebounds, turnovers and the foul line
Texas Southern
−5.3extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#265 of 365
Off reb %
24.7%
#298
Def reb %
55.9%
#351
Turnover %
17.9%
#188
Forced TO %
18.6%
#150
FT rate
53.4%
#31
FT allowed
51.6%
#326
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding−2.2
Defensive rebounding−4.1
Ball security+0.2
Forcing turnovers+0.4
Foul shots drawn+4.2
Foul shots allowed−3.7
Murray St
+11.0extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#38 of 365
Off reb %
40.0%
#39
Def reb %
70.2%
#154
Turnover %
18.6%
#211
Forced TO %
28.1%
#7
FT rate
45.5%
#78
FT allowed
43.1%
#262
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding+2.8
Defensive rebounding+0.7
Ball security−0.3
Forcing turnovers+7.1
Foul shots drawn+2.1
Foul shots allowed−1.5

Murray St has more extra scoring chances per game: +11.0 (#38 of 365) to Texas Southern’s −5.3 (#265).

Grade = extra shots and foul-line trips per game compared with a D-I average team, built from six season rates. Cell shading is the national rank for each rate (greener = better for that team).

Rotation

Who has been playing, and who has not
Texas Southern2026-27 numbers · last game: LSU, Nov 6
#PlayerPosClHtGP-GSMPGMin/40, last 8Last 3 vs beforeStatusPPGRPGAPGTOVeFG%3P%3PA/gFT%Usage
3GSo6'3"3-333.332—Started last12.32.73.33.022.2%0.0%3.370.8%33.1%
1GSr6'0"3-331.035—Started last15.33.03.31.770.7%50.0%6.083.3%20.1%
5GSr6'6"3-326.327—Started last10.08.00.33.358.3%50.0%1.350.0%23.2%
32GSr6'6"3-226.333—Started last3.75.01.00.012.5%0.0%3.070.0%13.4%
35FSr6'9"3-318.025—Started last6.01.70.01.750.0%—0.046.2%21.9%
9GSo6'8"3-014.721—Bench3.71.30.30.350.0%16.7%2.066.7%13.5%
11GSo6'5"2-122.00—Missed last game17.04.51.51.557.9%0.0%1.066.7%33.9%
2GJr6'6"3-013.311—Bench2.72.71.30.740.0%40.0%1.70.0%16.4%
9FJr6'10"2-016.50—Missed last game12.03.00.52.580.8%100.0%0.560.0%30.3%
12G—6'3"3-08.710—Bench2.31.01.01.350.0%50.0%0.766.7%20.7%
0GJr6'2"2-04.03—Bench1.00.00.00.5——0.0100.0%12.1%

Competitive minutes leave out garbage time (provisional rule: a second-half lead of 25+ inside 15:00, 20+ inside 10:00, 15+ inside 5:00 or 10+ inside 2:00, held to the end) and are shown per 40 minutes. Status says only whether a player appeared; the reason is not published.

Team comparison

national rank toned left for away, right for home
Texas SouthernMurray St
Efficiency
99.3
112.3
111.8
102.5
72.8
74.9
14.2
-11.5
Shooting
37.7%
58.2%
35.9%
62.6%
27.5%
35.6%
65.1%
70.9%
53.4%
45.5%
Ball control & glass
17.9%
18.6%
18.6%
28.1%
24.7%
40.0%
44.1%
29.8%
9.6%
9.1%
16.7%
4.0%
Style
33.9%
47.6%
38.5%
37.0%
11.5%
22.4%
46.2%
60.6%
29.7%
42.7%
Roster
3.20
2.52
6'5"
6'6.4"
8.1%
27.6%

Offseason

roster movement into this season — descriptive, not a model input
Texas Southern
Returning minutes: 21.2%Returning production: 15.4%
Lost
  • Zaire Hayes 25.5 mpg, 8.9 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
  • Troy Hupstead 24.6 mpg, 12.2 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
  • Bryce Roberts 24.6 mpg, 9.4 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
  • Alex Anderson 22.0 mpg, 9.2 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
  • Jaylen Wysinger 21.0 mpg, 9.1 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
  • Zytarious Mortle 18.2 mpg, 7.5 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
Added
  • Karris Bilal from Louisiana · 13.2 mpg, 3.5 ppg last season
  • Ben Vungo from Jax State · 3.3 mpg, 1.0 ppg last season
  • Jason Kimbrough from Bowling Green · 2.9 mpg, 0.9 ppg last season
  • Xander Wedlow from St Bonaventure · 0.2 mpg, 0.0 ppg last season
  • Josh Farmer no D1 minutes last season
  • Kehlin Farooq no D1 minutes last season

Returns 21% of last season's minutes; lost 5 of its top 5. Teams returning under 40% of last season's minutes have historically fallen about 0.8 points of AdjEM (n=716 team-seasons, 2022-2026).

Murray St
Returning minutes: 27.6%Returning production: 26.9%
Lost
  • Javon Jackson 25.6 mpg, 16.5 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
  • Fredrick King 24.0 mpg, 12.7 ppg · transferred to Creighton
  • Layne Taylor 23.2 mpg, 7.5 ppg · transferred to Arkansas St
  • Mason Miller 22.1 mpg, 5.7 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
  • JJ Traynor 21.9 mpg, 7.2 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
  • KJ Tenner 16.5 mpg, 6.0 ppg · transferred to UTSA
Added
  • Christian Jones from G Washington · 25.6 mpg, 9.7 ppg last season
  • Shon Tupuola from Valparaiso · 24.6 mpg, 6.4 ppg last season
  • Brigham Rogers from Belmont · 18.2 mpg, 7.1 ppg last season
  • Kaden Magwood from Auburn · 5.6 mpg, 1.9 ppg last season
  • Lachlan Crate no D1 minutes last season
  • Dillon Butler no D1 minutes last season

Returns 28% of last season's minutes; lost 4 of its top 5 (2 transferred). Teams returning under 40% of last season's minutes have historically fallen about 0.8 points of AdjEM (n=716 team-seasons, 2022-2026).

Line history

Market line, home spread or game total

Lines by book

BookSpread (home) open → nowTotal open → nowML homeML away
DraftKings-27.5→-28.5-115162.5o-112 u-108—+4000
FanDuel-25.5→-28.5-118161.5→162.5o-115 u-105——
BetMGM-27.5→-29.5-105161.5→162.5o-115 u-105——
BetRivers-27.5→-28.5-114161.5→164.5o-108 u-114——
Caesars-26.5→-29-110161.5→163o-110 u-110——
Fanatics-27.5→-28.5-115162→163o-110 u-110——
BetOnline-26.5→-29-105161→162.5o-110 u-110——
Bovada-27.5→-29-105161.5→163.5o-105 u-115——
theScore Bet-26.5→-29.5-105161.5→162.5o-115 u-105——
Hard Rock-27.5→-28.5-110161.5→164.5o-105 u-110——
Kalshi—161.5o-122 u+117—+4900
Polymarket-27.5→-28.5-108161.5→162.5o-108 u+104—+4900
Novig—161.5→159.5o-147 u-147——
open = first-sighted line for this event · now = latest capture

Head-to-head

this season and last
No meetings the last two seasons.

More games on Fri, Nov 13

← Thu, Nov 12 · Sat, Nov 14 → · Full season schedule

The CBB Matchups tab lays out the day's Division I slate: matchup, tip time, records and rank, and — once posted — the market spread and total (the median across books when no market line is up). Three views switch the table between projected scores, pace and totals, and each team's offensive and defensive tendencies. Each game opens into opponent-adjusted possessions, efficiency and four-factor tendencies for both teams, plus recent form, rotation and head-to-head history. Every game also carries our projected score, spread and total, from our line: the same view our bets are made from.

What these numbers mean: line shopping.