Chattanooga Mocs vs Elon Phoenix basketball final score
Fri, Nov 13 · 7:00 PM ET · Schar Center, Elon, NC
Non-conferenceSchar Center, Elon, NC
Chattanooga
1-2 · 0-0 conf
Efficiency #218
@
Elon
2-1 · 0-0 conf
Efficiency #160
Final
7770
Final score
Projected 74.7 – 77.7
UTC win 40%ELON win 60%
MarketClose
Spread
ELON −2.0
open ELON −3.5
Total
152.0
open 151.0
Our line
ELON −3.1
Our total
152.4
as of Fri, Nov 13 · 6:51 PM ET
Our play
How our line is built
each step, from an even game to our lineSpread
Even game
0.0
Elonrated 4.0 below average
−4.0
Chattanoogarated 3.7 below average
+3.7
Home court
+3.4
Our line
ELON −3.1
◂ Chattanooga sideElon side ▸
Total
Average D-I game
151.3
Elonlower-scoring games
−2.0
Chattanoogahigher-scoring games
+3.1
Our line
152.4
Axis starts at 148 pointsPoints added or removed at each step
The spread is seen from the home side: a plus moves it toward Elon.
Pace & total
possessions per 40 minutesTempo, possessions per 40 minutes
Projected possessions: 69.6, from each team's opponent-adjusted tempo. On raw season pace, Chattanooga is the faster team (73.0, #97 of 365) and Elon the slower (67.2, #287). When tempos clash, the slower team usually pulls the pace harder (weights 0.80 vs 0.66).
Projected possessions
69.6
per team, 40 min
Market total
152.0
Market close · open 151.0
Adjusted tempo, vs an average opponent
71.0#151
Chattanooga
69.0#273
Elon
How this game plays
points this game from the four factors, vs an average D-I matchupOur line
ELON −3.1
Four factors +4.2 · not in these stats −1.1
From the four factors
Elon has the ball+4.8
Chattanooga has the ball+0.6
Elon has the ball
✓Wins second chancesOR% 36.5% #86 · UTC allows 42.9% #342+3.8
✓Gets to the lineFTR 32.7% #235 · UTC allows 62.0% #357 · FT 78.6% #43+1.6
✗Tough shooting lookeFG% 48.0% #234 · UTC allows 50.8% #189−1.2
✓Takes care of the ballTO% 19.8% #256 · UTC forces 15.7% #255 · ~12 turnovers+0.5
Chattanooga has the ball
✓Shoots it welleFG% 57.3% #61 · ELON allows 47.4% #105+2.5
✗Few trips to the lineFTR 30.1% #267 · ELON allows 32.6% #132 · FT 59.5% #337−1.2
✗Coughs it upTO% 19.8% #258 · ELON forces 17.4% #195 · ~13 turnovers−0.3
✗Few second chancesOR% 32.9% #169 · ELON allows 28.0% #110−0.3
Shot diet
Where each offense shoots from and where each defense lets teams shootChattanoogaoffense vsElondefense
Share of shots by zone
Chattanooga shoots
39.4
4.8
4.8
51.0
Elon allows
43.8
9.2
13.7
33.3
D-I average
38.2
8.1
12.3
41.4
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 65.9%#74 | 49.3%#64 | 58.1% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 20.0%#301 | 50.0%#263 | 37.9% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 40.0%#132 | 52.4%#321 | 36.0% |
| Three | 36.5%#94 | 27.3%#76 | 32.4% |
Elonoffense vsChattanoogadefense
Share of shots by zone
Elon shoots
47.5
8.2
15.2
29.1
Chattanooga allows
37.6
6.4
8.3
47.7
D-I average
38.2
8.1
12.3
41.4
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 56.0%#213 | 68.3%#306 | 58.1% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 38.5%#160 | 42.9%#216 | 37.9% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 29.2%#250 | 66.7%#350 | 36.0% |
| Three | 32.0%#188 | 25.9%#49 | 32.4% |
RimShort 2 (≤9 ft)Mid 2 (10 ft+)Three
Zones from play-by-play shot descriptions; garbage time removed. Bars show the share of field-goal attempts in each zone; where a slice is too thin for its number, the shares are listed under the bar. FG% ranks: #1 = best for that side (most accurate shooting, stingiest defense).
Shot volume
Extra scoring chances from rebounds, turnovers and the foul lineChattanooga
−14.3extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#355 of 365
Off reb %
32.9%
#169
Def reb %
57.1%
#342
Turnover %
19.8%
#258
Forced TO %
15.7%
#255
FT rate
30.1%
#267
FT allowed
62.0%
#357
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding+0.5
Defensive rebounding−3.7
Ball security−1.2
Forcing turnovers−1.6
Foul shots drawn−1.9
Foul shots allowed−6.4
Elon
+1.4extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#159 of 365
Off reb %
36.5%
#86
Def reb %
72.0%
#110
Turnover %
19.8%
#256
Forced TO %
17.4%
#195
FT rate
32.7%
#235
FT allowed
32.6%
#132
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding+1.7
Defensive rebounding+1.3
Ball security−1.2
Forcing turnovers−0.5
Foul shots drawn−1.2
Foul shots allowed+1.3
Elon has more extra scoring chances per game: +1.4 (#159 of 365) to Chattanooga’s −14.3 (#355).
Grade = extra shots and foul-line trips per game compared with a D-I average team, built from six season rates. Cell shading is the national rank for each rate (greener = better for that team).
Rotation
Who has been playing, and who has notChattanooga2026-27 numbers · last game: Penn State, Nov 5
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | Min/40, last 8 | Last 3 vs before | Status | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | G | Fr | 6'0" | 3-3 | 31.3 | 39 | — | Started last | 17.0 | 4.3 | 6.7 | 2.3 | 97.9% | 72.2% | 6.0 | 66.7% | 19.5% | |
| 12 | G | Fr | 6'7" | 3-3 | 26.7 | 35 | — | Started last | 12.3 | 5.3 | 2.3 | 1.0 | 65.4% | 37.5% | 5.3 | 75.0% | 20.9% | |
| 4 | G | Fr | 6'4" | 3-3 | 26.3 | 28 | — | Started last | 9.0 | 7.0 | 3.7 | 3.0 | 40.0% | 16.7% | 4.0 | 73.3% | 24.6% | |
| 1 | G | Jr | 6'4" | 3-3 | 25.7 | 27 | — | Started last | 11.7 | 2.7 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 45.0% | 11.1% | 3.0 | 61.5% | 27.4% | |
| 18 | F | Jr | 6'10" | 3-3 | 22.3 | 26 | — | Started last | 9.3 | 4.7 | 3.7 | 2.0 | 44.6% | 26.3% | 6.3 | 50.0% | 29.8% | |
| 11 | G | Fr | 6'3" | 3-0 | 20.7 | 20 | — | Bench | 9.7 | 2.7 | 2.0 | 1.7 | 61.4% | 38.5% | 4.3 | 66.7% | 24.6% | |
| 7 | G | Sr | 6'9" | 3-0 | 12.0 | 8 | — | Bench | 3.7 | 4.0 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 66.7% | 0.0% | 0.3 | 75.0% | 14.8% | |
| 30 | F | So | 6'9" | 3-0 | 9.0 | 4 | — | Bench | 5.3 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 50.0% | 16.7% | 2.0 | 25.0% | 39.7% | |
| 34 | C | Fr | 7'0" | 3-0 | 7.7 | 7 | — | Bench | 1.3 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 20.0% | — | 0.0 | 100.0% | 15.9% | |
| 13 | G | Jr | 6'3" | 3-0 | 7.3 | 5 | — | Bench | 1.7 | 2.7 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 20.0% | 0.0% | 1.0 | 75.0% | 18.8% | |
| 3 | G | Jr | 6'0" | 1-0 | 12.0 | 0 | — | Missed last game | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 1.0 | — | 23.7% | |
| 2 | F | Sr | 6'7" | 2-0 | 5.0 | — | — | Active | 4.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 75.0% | 50.0% | 2.0 | 100.0% | 31.1% | |
| 33 | G | Fr | 6'6" | 1-0 | 6.0 | — | — | Active | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 50.0% | 33.3% | 3.0 | — | 25.9% | |
| 20 | G | Jr | 6'5" | 2-0 | 1.5 | — | — | Active | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 100.0% | — | 0.0 | — | 35.6% | |
| 6 | F | Fr | 6'7" | 1-0 | 2.0 | — | — | Active | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 100.0% | — | 0.0 | — | 25.9% |
Competitive minutes leave out garbage time (provisional rule: a second-half lead of 25+ inside 15:00, 20+ inside 10:00, 15+ inside 5:00 or 10+ inside 2:00, held to the end) and are shown per 40 minutes. Status says only whether a player appeared; the reason is not published.
Trends
Results against the closing spread and total, last ten games, entering this gameChattanooga
Against the spread
Season
2-0
Home
0-0
Road
2-0
Last 10
2-0
avg cover +12.2
Covered 2 straight
Over / under
Season
1-1
Home
0-0
Road
1-1
Last 10
1-1
avg vs total +12.8
Over in the last game
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9 | Covenant Fighting Scots | H | W 97–67 | — | — | — | — | 123.6 | 85.4 | 78.4 |
| Nov 5 | Penn State | A | L 93–97 | +12.0 | W+8.0 | 159.5 | O190 | 124.7 | 130.0 | 74.6 |
| Nov 2 | #11Louisville | A | L 70–84 | +30.5 | W+16.5 | 159.0 | U154 | 97.9 | 117.5 | 71.5 |
| Mar 6 | The Citadel | N | L 85–88 | −7.5 | L−10.5 | 147.5 | O173 | 133.9 | 138.7 | 63.5 |
| Feb 28 | VMI | H | W 86–79 | −11.5 | L−4.5 | 155.0 | O165 | 135.7 | 124.6 | 63.4 |
| Feb 26 | UNC Greensboro | H | L 80–85 | −3.5 | L−8.5 | 157.5 | O165 | 104.3 | 110.8 | 76.7 |
| Feb 21 | The Citadel | A | W 93–72 | −4.0 | W+17.0 | 144.0 | O165 | 128.9 | 99.8 | 72.1 |
| Feb 19 | Mercer | A | W 94–90 | +10.0 | W+14.0 | 151.5 | O184 | 144.7 | 138.6 | 65.0 |
| Feb 14 | W Carolina | H | L 76–81 | −2.0 | L−7.0 | 151.5 | O157 | 110.4 | 117.6 | 68.9 |
| Feb 11 | ETSU | A | L 61–73 | +10.0 | L−2.0 | 145.0 | U134 | 92.2 | 110.3 | 66.2 |
Elon
Against the spread
Season
2-1
Home
1-0
Road
1-1
Last 10
2-1
avg cover +4.0
Missed the spread in the last game
Over / under
Season
1-2
Home
0-1
Road
1-1
Last 10
1-2
avg vs total −12.7
Under 2 straight
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10 | G Washington | A | L 50–69 | +13.5 | L−5.5 | 147.0 | U119 | 73.6 | 101.6 | 67.9 |
| Nov 6 | UNC Greensboro | H | W 74–65 | −8.5 | W+0.5 | 150.0 | U139 | 110.3 | 96.9 | 67.1 |
| Nov 2 | Columbia | A | W 84–71 | +4.0 | W+17.0 | 154.0 | O155 | 126.1 | 106.6 | 66.6 |
| Mar 7 | William & Mary | N | L 62–72 | +5.5 | L−4.5 | 163.5 | U134 | 91.6 | 106.4 | 67.7 |
| Mar 3 | UNC Wilmington | H | L 57–76 | +5.0 | L−14.0 | 145.5 | U133 | 85.2 | 113.6 | 66.9 |
| Feb 28 | Monmouth | A | L 57–73 | +3.5 | L−12.5 | 153.0 | U130 | 90.3 | 115.7 | 63.1 |
| Feb 26 | Towson | A | L 56–58 | +5.5 | W+3.5 | 144.0 | U114 | 90.9 | 94.1 | 61.6 |
| Feb 21 | NC A&T | H | L 82–102 | −8.0 | L−28.0 | 152.5 | O184 | 121.1 | 150.6 | 67.7 |
| Feb 14 | William & Mary | A | W 81–78 | +8.0 | W+11.0 | 165.5 | U159 | 113.8 | 109.6 | 71.2 |
| Feb 12 | UNC Wilmington | A | L 54–65 | +8.0 | L−3.0 | 149.5 | U119 | 89.7 | 108.0 | 60.2 |
Records vs the closing line describe the past; ten games is a small sample.
Team comparison
national rank toned left for away, right for homeChattanoogaElon
Efficiency
107.7
106.5
111.5
106.4
71.0
69.0
11.2
2.3
Shooting
57.3%
48.0%
60.0%
47.9%
36.5%
32.0%
59.5%
78.6%
30.1%
32.7%
Ball control & glass
19.8%
19.8%
15.7%
17.4%
32.9%
36.5%
42.9%
28.0%
13.0%
9.9%
8.3%
11.6%
Style
51.2%
29.2%
41.7%
48.1%
14.1%
10.1%
69.5%
52.7%
33.8%
35.5%
Roster
1.88
2.83
6'5.1"
6'6.1"
10.0%
27.8%
Offseason
roster movement into this season — descriptive, not a model inputChattanooga
Returning minutes: 22.9%Returning production: 20.2%
Lost
- Jordan Frison 29.9 mpg, 16.4 ppg · transferred to Wichita St
- Brennan Watkins 25.2 mpg, 10.2 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Billy Smith 23.0 mpg, 8.4 ppg · transferred to IU Indy
- Teddy Washington Jr. 21.2 mpg, 8.8 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Makai Richards 13.1 mpg, 3.4 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Collin Mulholland 12.4 mpg, 5.4 ppg · transferred to Utah State
Added
- Tyler Houser from Delaware · 28.0 mpg, 11.9 ppg last season
- Yonatan Levy from Pepperdine · 20.5 mpg, 5.2 ppg last season
- Christian Matos no D1 minutes last season
- Lenny Anigbata no D1 minutes last season
- Caleb Hardaway no D1 minutes last season
- Zach Bleshoy no D1 minutes last season
Returns 23% of last season's minutes; lost 4 of its top 5 (2 transferred). Teams returning under 40% of last season's minutes have historically fallen about 0.8 points of AdjEM (n=716 team-seasons, 2022-2026).
Elon
Returning minutes: 27.9%Returning production: 24.7%
Lost
- Chandler Cuthrell 28.2 mpg, 19.8 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Isaac Harrell 25.8 mpg, 7.4 ppg · transferred to Tarleton St
- Ja'Juan Carr 25.1 mpg, 7.5 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Kacper Klaczek 21.0 mpg, 8.5 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Ned Hull 17.9 mpg, 4.5 ppg · transferred to Virginia Tech
- DeMarco Johnson 14.3 mpg, 2.8 ppg · transferred to Marshall
Added
- Isaiah Mbeng from East Carolina · 23.1 mpg, 4.5 ppg last season
- Cam Thrower from Penn · 15.3 mpg, 5.4 ppg last season
- Josh Dalton from LMU · 11.7 mpg, 3.3 ppg last season
- Raúl Villar from Charlotte · 11.2 mpg, 3.1 ppg last season
- Hunter Harding from Indiana St · 2.9 mpg, 0.8 ppg last season
- Ben Safran no D1 minutes last season
Returns 28% of last season's minutes; lost 3 of its top 5 (1 transferred). Teams returning under 40% of last season's minutes have historically fallen about 0.8 points of AdjEM (n=716 team-seasons, 2022-2026).
Line history
Market line, home spread or game totalLines by book
| Book | Spread (home) open → now | Total open → now | ML home | ML away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | -3.5→-2.5-105 | 150.5→151.5o-112 u-108 | -130 | +110 |
| FanDuel | -3.5→-1.5-110 | 151.5o-115 u-105 | -126 | +105 |
| BetMGM | -3.5→-2.5-105 | 150.5→151.5o-115 u-105 | -135 | +110 |
| BetRivers | -2.5→-1.5-113 | 151.5o-113 u-110 | -132 | +106 |
| Caesars | -3.5→-2-110 | 150.5→152o-110 u-110 | -130 | +110 |
| Fanatics | -4→-2-110 | 150.5→152o-110 u-110 | -130 | +110 |
| BetOnline | -4→-2-110 | 150.5→150o-130 u+110 | -130 | +110 |
| Bovada | -2.5→-2-110 | 150.5→152o-110 u-110 | -125 | +105 |
| theScore Bet | -3.5→-1.5-120 | 149.5→152.5o-110 u-110 | -130 | +110 |
| Hard Rock | -2.5→-1.5-110 | 151.5o-110 u-110 | -130 | +105 |
| Kalshi | -1.5-113 | 150.5→152.5o+104 u-108 | -122 | +117 |
| Polymarket | -3.5→-2.5+108 | 151.5o-108 u+104 | -122 | +117 |
| Novig | -3.5→— | 150.5→152.5o+100 u-102 | -122 | +120 |
DraftKings
FanDuel
BetMGM
BetRivers
Caesars
Fanatics
BetOnline
Bovada
theScore Bet
Hard Rock
Kalshi
Polymarket
Novigopen = first-sighted line for this event · now = latest capture
Head-to-head
this season and lastNo meetings the last two seasons.
More games on Fri, Nov 13
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The CBB Matchups tab lays out the day's Division I slate: matchup, tip time, records and rank, and — once posted — the market spread and total (the median across books when no market line is up). Three views switch the table between projected scores, pace and totals, and each team's offensive and defensive tendencies. Each game opens into opponent-adjusted possessions, efficiency and four-factor tendencies for both teams, plus recent form, rotation and head-to-head history. Every game also carries our projected score, spread and total, from our line: the same view our bets are made from.
What these numbers mean: line shopping.