Southeast Missouri State Redhawks vs Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders basketball final score
Fri, Nov 13 · 7:30 PM ET · Murphy Center, Murfreesboro, TN
Non-conferenceESPN+Murphy Center, Murfreesboro, TN
SE Missouri
2-1 · 0-0 conf
Efficiency #171
@
MTSU
2-1 · 0-0 conf
Efficiency #243
Final
7588
Final score
Projected 72.4 – 81.0
SEMO win 23%MTSU win 77%
MarketClose
Spread
MTSU −6.0
open MTSU −5.5
Total
148.5
open 145.75
Our line
MTSU −8.7
Our total
153.4
as of Fri, Nov 13 · 7:21 PM ET
Our play
How our line is built
each step, from an even game to our lineSpread
Even game
0.0
MTSUrated 1.7 below average
−1.7
SE Missourirated 7.0 below average
+7.0
Home court
+3.4
Our line
MTSU −8.7
◂ SE Missouri sideMTSU side ▸
Total
Average D-I game
151.3
MTSUhigher-scoring games
+0.4
SE Missourihigher-scoring games
+1.7
Our line
153.4
Axis starts at 150 pointsPoints added or removed at each step
The spread is seen from the home side: a plus moves it toward MTSU.
Pace & total
possessions per 40 minutesTempo, possessions per 40 minutes
Projected possessions: 71.9, from each team's opponent-adjusted tempo. On raw season pace, SE Missouri is the faster team (74.3, #76 of 365) and MTSU the slower (70.2, #201). When tempos clash, the slower team usually pulls the pace harder (weights 0.80 vs 0.66).
Projected possessions
71.9
per team, 40 min
Market total
148.5
Market close · open 145.75
Adjusted tempo, vs an average opponent
73.0#59
SE Missouri
69.3#257
MTSU
How this game plays
points this game from the four factors, vs an average D-I matchupOur line
MTSU −8.7
Four factors −12.2 · not in these stats +20.9
From the four factors
MTSU has the ball−9.5
SE Missouri has the ball+2.7
MTSU has the ball
✗Tough shooting lookeFG% 41.3% #328 · SEMO allows 49.1% #150−6.0
✗Coughs it upTO% 20.7% #277 · SEMO forces 20.2% #98 · ~15 turnovers−2.4
✗Few second chancesOR% 29.1% #232 · SEMO allows 29.2% #139−1.2
✓Gets to the lineFTR 24.8% #321 · SEMO allows 60.7% #356 · FT 60.0% #329+0.1
SE Missouri has the ball
✓Shoots it welleFG% 52.8% #134 · MTSU allows 55.5% #282+4.1
✗Few second chancesOR% 22.9% #321 · MTSU allows 30.9% #169−2.8
✓Takes care of the ballTO% 16.2% #119 · MTSU forces 16.4% #227 · ~11 turnovers+2.0
✗Few trips to the lineFTR 25.6% #316 · MTSU allows 34.7% #159 · FT 68.8% #209−0.7
Shot diet
Where each offense shoots from and where each defense lets teams shootSE Missourioffense vsMTSUdefense
Share of shots by zone
SE Missouri shoots
47.1
7.4
17.4
28.1
MTSU allows
36.3
7.7
9.9
46.2
D-I average
38.2
8.1
12.3
41.4
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 45.6%#326 | 60.6%#214 | 58.1% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 44.4%#122 | 42.9%#216 | 37.9% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 47.6%#72 | 33.3%#143 | 36.0% |
| Three | 47.1%#5 | 32.1%#177 | 32.4% |
MTSUoffense vsSE Missouridefense
Share of shots by zone
MTSU shoots
32.6
13.0
15.2
39.1
SE Missouri allows
53.8
5.7
6.6
34.0
D-I average
38.2
8.1
12.3
41.4
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 70.0%#44 | 50.9%#77 | 58.1% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 41.7%#145 | 33.3%#131 | 37.9% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 21.4%#302 | 14.3%#24 | 36.0% |
| Three | 24.5%#329 | 36.1%#263 | 32.4% |
RimShort 2 (≤9 ft)Mid 2 (10 ft+)Three
Zones from play-by-play shot descriptions; garbage time removed. Bars show the share of field-goal attempts in each zone; where a slice is too thin for its number, the shares are listed under the bar. FG% ranks: #1 = best for that side (most accurate shooting, stingiest defense).
Shot volume
Extra scoring chances from rebounds, turnovers and the foul lineSE Missouri
−8.2extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#300 of 365
Off reb %
22.9%
#321
Def reb %
70.8%
#139
Turnover %
16.2%
#119
Forced TO %
20.2%
#98
FT rate
25.6%
#316
FT allowed
60.7%
#356
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding−2.9
Defensive rebounding+0.9
Ball security+1.5
Forcing turnovers+1.5
Foul shots drawn−3.1
Foul shots allowed−6.1
MTSU
−6.0extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#273 of 365
Off reb %
29.1%
#232
Def reb %
69.1%
#169
Turnover %
20.7%
#277
Forced TO %
16.4%
#227
FT rate
24.8%
#321
FT allowed
34.7%
#159
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding−0.8
Defensive rebounding+0.3
Ball security−1.7
Forcing turnovers−1.2
Foul shots drawn−3.3
Foul shots allowed+0.7
MTSU has more extra scoring chances per game: −6.0 (#273 of 365) to SE Missouri’s −8.2 (#300).
Grade = extra shots and foul-line trips per game compared with a D-I average team, built from six season rates. Cell shading is the national rank for each rate (greener = better for that team).
Rotation
Who has been playing, and who has notSE Missouri2026-27 numbers · last game: South Carolina, Nov 8
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | Min/40, last 8 | Last 3 vs before | Status | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | G | Sr | 6'2" | 3-3 | 28.7 | 30 | — | Started last | 13.7 | 4.0 | 3.7 | 1.7 | 54.5% | 50.0% | 4.0 | 62.5% | 24.5% | |
| 55 | G | Sr | 6'3" | 3-3 | 28.3 | 29 | — | Started last | 13.0 | 6.7 | 2.7 | 2.3 | 46.6% | 50.0% | 0.7 | 70.6% | 26.2% | |
| 10 | F | Jr | 6'9" | 3-3 | 20.7 | 20 | — | Started last | 7.3 | 4.0 | 0.7 | 1.7 | 50.0% | 0.0% | 0.3 | 100.0% | 20.2% | |
| 7 | G | Jr | 6'5" | 3-3 | 20.3 | 26 | — | Started last | 8.3 | 2.3 | 0.3 | 1.7 | 50.0% | 22.2% | 3.0 | 33.3% | 25.6% | |
| 1 | G | So | 6'0" | 3-0 | 20.0 | 20 | — | Bench | 5.7 | 3.0 | 2.7 | 1.0 | 43.8% | 25.0% | 2.7 | 50.0% | 18.5% | |
| 2 | G | So | 6'0" | 3-0 | 18.7 | 17 | — | Bench | 10.3 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.7 | 60.5% | 50.0% | 2.0 | 66.7% | 24.1% | |
| 33 | F | Sr | 6'9" | 3-3 | 17.7 | 23 | — | Started last | 6.0 | 7.0 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 52.9% | — | 0.0 | 0.0% | 21.1% | |
| 11 | F | So | 6'8" | 3-0 | 16.7 | 17 | — | Bench | 9.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 65.8% | 45.5% | 3.7 | 66.7% | 21.9% | |
| 0 | G | Jr | 6'4" | 3-0 | 14.7 | 15 | — | Bench | 5.7 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 68.2% | 60.0% | 1.7 | 40.0% | 20.4% | |
| 5 | F | Fr | 6'7" | 3-0 | 12.3 | 5 | — | Bench | 2.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 42.9% | 0.0% | 0.3 | 50.0% | 11.8% | |
| 3 | F | So | 7'0" | 2-0 | 3.5 | 0 | — | Missed last game | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | 0.0% |
Competitive minutes leave out garbage time (provisional rule: a second-half lead of 25+ inside 15:00, 20+ inside 10:00, 15+ inside 5:00 or 10+ inside 2:00, held to the end) and are shown per 40 minutes. Status says only whether a player appeared; the reason is not published.
Trends
Results against the closing spread and total, last ten games, entering this gameSE Missouri
Against the spread
Season
2-0
Home
1-0
Road
1-0
Last 10
2-0
avg cover +7.8
Covered 2 straight
Over / under
Season
2-0
Home
1-0
Road
1-0
Last 10
2-0
avg vs total +4.8
Over 2 straight
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | South Carolina | A | L 68–78 | +17.0 | W+7.0 | 145.0 | O146 | 95.5 | 109.5 | 71.2 |
| Nov 4 | Webster Gorloks | H | W 90–65 | — | — | — | — | 101.4 | 73.2 | 88.8 |
| Nov 2 | Lipscomb | H | W 86–79 | +1.5 | W+8.5 | 156.5 | O165 | 111.2 | 102.2 | 77.3 |
| Mar 6 | Morehead St | N | L 61–66 | −4.0 | L−9.0 | 139.5 | U127 | 94.4 | 102.1 | 64.6 |
| Mar 5 | Lindenwood | N | W 68–66 | −3.0 | L−1.0 | 149.0 | U134 | 100.1 | 97.2 | 67.9 |
| Feb 28 | Tennessee Tech | H | W 89–73 | −7.5 | W+8.5 | 142.0 | O162 | 130.8 | 107.3 | 68.1 |
| Feb 26 | Tennessee St | H | L 71–79 | −3.5 | L−11.5 | 152.0 | U150 | 96.4 | 107.3 | 73.6 |
| Feb 21 | Little Rock | A | W 70–65 | −2.5 | W+2.5 | 144.0 | U135 | 102.6 | 95.3 | 68.2 |
| Feb 17 | UT Martin | A | W 56–53 OT | +2.5 | W+5.5 | 138.5 | U109 | 78.4 | 74.2 | 71.5 |
| Feb 14 | Lindenwood | A | W 73–61 | +2.0 | W+14.0 | 156.5 | U134 | 100.8 | 84.2 | 72.4 |
MTSU
Against the spread
Season
0-2
Home
0-1
Road
0-1
Last 10
0-2
avg cover −10.0
Missed the spread 2 straight
Over / under
Season
0-2
Home
0-1
Road
0-1
Last 10
0-2
avg vs total −12.5
Under 2 straight
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10 | Evansville | H | W 73–68 | −9.5 | L−4.5 | 143.0 | U141 | 103.5 | 96.5 | 70.5 |
| Nov 6 | #17Kansas | A | L 45–89 | +28.5 | L−15.5 | 157.0 | U134 | 64.4 | 127.4 | 69.9 |
| Nov 2 | Fisk Bulldogs | H | W 117–73 | — | — | — | — | 150.5 | 93.9 | 77.8 |
| Mar 12 | Louisiana Tech | N | L 69–80 | −2.0 | L−13.0 | 133.5 | O149 | 104.0 | 120.6 | 66.3 |
| Mar 7 | Missouri St | A | W 75–63 | +2.5 | W+14.5 | 146.5 | U138 | 113.1 | 95.0 | 66.3 |
| Mar 5 | FIU | A | W 73–67 | −1.0 | W+5.0 | 153.5 | U140 | 106.1 | 97.4 | 68.8 |
| Feb 28 | New Mexico St | H | W 86–85 OT | −5.5 | L−4.5 | 148.0 | O171 | 114.3 | 113.0 | 75.2 |
| Feb 26 | UTEP | H | W 77–67 | −8.5 | W+1.5 | 139.5 | O144 | 112.8 | 98.2 | 68.3 |
| Feb 21 | Delaware | H | W 78–66 | −10.0 | W+2.0 | 137.5 | O144 | 125.8 | 106.5 | 62.0 |
| Feb 18 | Sam Houston | A | L 70–78 | +4.0 | L−4.0 | 151.5 | U148 | 100.5 | 112.0 | 69.6 |
Records vs the closing line describe the past; ten games is a small sample.
Team comparison
national rank toned left for away, right for homeSE MissouriMTSU
Efficiency
103.6
102.2
104.3
107.2
73.0
69.3
4.5
6.6
Shooting
52.8%
41.3%
46.2%
44.4%
47.1%
24.5%
68.8%
60.0%
25.6%
24.8%
Ball control & glass
16.2%
20.7%
20.2%
16.4%
22.9%
29.1%
29.2%
30.9%
6.1%
10.7%
8.8%
11.1%
Style
27.2%
40.5%
40.3%
47.5%
15.6%
6.8%
41.4%
50.0%
42.3%
37.8%
Roster
2.96
3.16
6'4.5"
6'5.5"
25.1%
24.7%
Offseason
roster movement into this season — descriptive, not a model inputSE Missouri
Returning minutes: 25.1%Returning production: 26.5%
Lost
- BJ Ward 30.2 mpg, 10.9 ppg · transferred to ETSU
- Braxton Stacker 28.2 mpg, 11.8 ppg · transferred to UNC Greensboro
- Luke Almodovar 27.0 mpg, 14.1 ppg · transferred to Memphis
- Brendan Terry 25.1 mpg, 11.3 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Troy Cole Jr. 13.5 mpg, 4.2 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- David Idada 10.7 mpg, 1.8 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
Added
- Kycen Pruett new to D1 · 22.0 mpg, 10.0 ppg last season
- Darrion Sutton from Missouri St · 13.7 mpg, 4.6 ppg last season
- Clayton Jewell no D1 minutes last season
- Fontaine Williams Jr. no D1 minutes last season
- Marcus Eaves no D1 minutes last season
- Drew Cooper no D1 minutes last season
Returns 25% of last season's minutes; lost 4 of its top 5 (3 transferred). Teams returning under 40% of last season's minutes have historically fallen about 0.8 points of AdjEM (n=716 team-seasons, 2022-2026).
MTSU
Returning minutes: 24.7%Returning production: 23.7%
Lost
- Torey Alston 29.3 mpg, 13.1 ppg · transferred to VCU
- Kamari Lands 29.2 mpg, 13.3 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Chris Loofe 24.9 mpg, 7.3 ppg · transferred to Tulsa
- Sean Smith 23.2 mpg, 9.3 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Alec Oglesby 22.5 mpg, 7.8 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Tre Green 18.1 mpg, 6.8 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
Added
- Kevin de Kovachich from North Alabama · 31.2 mpg, 11.8 ppg last season
- Ofri Naveh from Oral Roberts · 28.0 mpg, 10.8 ppg last season
- Eli Rice from Penn State · 17.9 mpg, 6.1 ppg last season
- Landyn Colyer no D1 minutes last season
- Quintero Barnett no D1 minutes last season
- Garrison White no D1 minutes last season
Returns 25% of last season's minutes; lost 4 of its top 5 (2 transferred). Teams returning under 40% of last season's minutes have historically fallen about 0.8 points of AdjEM (n=716 team-seasons, 2022-2026).
Line history
Market line, home spread or game totalLines by book
| Book | Spread (home) open → now | Total open → now | ML home | ML away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | -5.5-112 | 146.5→148.5o-112 u-108 | -230 | +190 |
| FanDuel | -5.5-114 | 145.5→148.5o-110 u-110 | -245 | +198 |
| BetMGM | -5.5-110 | 146.5→148.5o-110 u-110 | -235 | +195 |
| BetRivers | -5.5-107 | 145.5→149.5o-109 u-114 | -240 | +188 |
| Caesars | -5.5-110 | 146.5→149o-110 u-110 | -225 | +185 |
| Fanatics | -5.5-115 | 146.5→149o-110 u-110 | -235 | +190 |
| BetOnline | -5.5-110 | 146.5→148o-110 u-110 | -225 | +189 |
| Bovada | -5.5-110 | 146.5→149o-105 u-115 | -230 | +190 |
| theScore Bet | -5.5-110 | 146.5→148.5o-110 u-115 | -215 | +180 |
| Hard Rock | -5.5-105 | 145.5→149.5o-110 u-110 | -240 | +190 |
| Kalshi | -5.5+104 | 145.5→147.5o-113 u+108 | -203 | +194 |
| Polymarket | -5.5+104 | 145.5→148.5o-104 u-104 | -213 | +203 |
| Novig | -5.5→— | 145.5→— | -203 | +194 |
DraftKings
FanDuel
BetMGM
BetRivers
Caesars
Fanatics
BetOnline
Bovada
theScore Bet
Hard Rock
Kalshi
Polymarket
Novigopen = first-sighted line for this event · now = latest capture
Head-to-head
this season and lastNo meetings the last two seasons.
More games on Fri, Nov 13
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The CBB Matchups tab lays out the day's Division I slate: matchup, tip time, records and rank, and — once posted — the market spread and total (the median across books when no market line is up). Three views switch the table between projected scores, pace and totals, and each team's offensive and defensive tendencies. Each game opens into opponent-adjusted possessions, efficiency and four-factor tendencies for both teams, plus recent form, rotation and head-to-head history. Every game also carries our projected score, spread and total, from our line: the same view our bets are made from.
What these numbers mean: line shopping.