Bradley Braves vs Coppin State Eagles basketball final score
Thu, Nov 12 · 6:00 PM ET · McArthur Center, St. Petersburg, FL (neutral site)
Showdown in St. PeteNeutral siteNon-conferenceYouTubeMcArthur Center, St. Petersburg, FL
Bradley
1-2 · 0-0 conf
Efficiency #185
vs
Coppin St
1-2 · 0-0 conf
Efficiency #358
Final
5654
Final score
Projected 78.3 – 64.0
BRAD win 89%COPP win 11%
MarketClose
Spread
BRAD −12.0
open BRAD −7.5
Total
133.0
open 135.5
Our line
BRAD −14.3
Our total
142.3
as of Thu, Nov 12 · 3:51 PM ET
Our play
How our line is built
each step, from an even game to our lineSpread
Even game
0.0
Coppin Strated 16.2 below average
−16.2
Bradleyrated 1.9 below average
+1.9
Our line
BRAD −14.3
◂ Bradley sideCoppin St side ▸
Total
Average D-I game
151.4
Coppin Stlower-scoring games
−3.0
Bradleylower-scoring games
−6.1
Our line
142.3
Axis starts at 135 pointsPoints added or removed at each step
The spread is seen from the home side: a plus moves it toward Coppin St.
Pace & total
possessions per 40 minutesTempo, possessions per 40 minutes
Projected possessions: 69.5, from each team's opponent-adjusted tempo. On raw season pace, Coppin St is the faster team (68.8, #245 of 365) and Bradley the slower (65.6, #331). When tempos clash, the slower team usually pulls the pace harder (weights 0.80 vs 0.66).
Projected possessions
69.5
per team, 40 min
Market total
133.0
Market close · open 135.5
Adjusted tempo, vs an average opponent
69.4#254
Bradley
70.6#185
Coppin St
How this game plays
points this game from the four factors, vs an average D-I matchupOur line
BRAD −14.3
Four factors 6.8Not in these stats 7.5
From the four factors
Coppin St has the ball−15.4
Bradley has the ball−8.6
Coppin St has the ball
✗Tough shooting lookeFG% 40.4% #331 · BRAD allows 45.9% #84−7.9
✗Coughs it upTO% 30.5% #360 · BRAD forces 20.6% #88 · ~19 turnovers−7.4
✗Few trips to the lineFTR 38.4% #154 · BRAD allows 33.3% #141 · FT 65.8% #263−0.4
✓Wins second chancesOR% 30.2% #212 · BRAD allows 34.2% #240+0.2
Bradley has the ball
✗Tough shooting lookeFG% 35.4% #358 · COPP allows 55.0% #276−6.1
✗Coughs it upTO% 25.1% #347 · COPP forces 19.6% #114 · ~16 turnovers−4.2
✓Wins second chancesOR% 30.9% #199 · COPP allows 40.3% #328+1.7
✓Gets to the lineFTR 20.4% #349 · COPP allows 46.8% #293 · FT 73.9% #1120.0
Shot diet
Where each offense shoots from and where each defense lets teams shootBradleyoffense vsCoppin Stdefense
Share of shots by zone
Bradley shoots
20.4
15.3
20.4
43.9
Coppin St allows
40.4
9.0
15.7
34.8
D-I average
38.1
8.1
12.5
41.4
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 50.0%#280 | 55.6%#141 | 58.0% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 26.7%#260 | 50.0%#257 | 38.0% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 20.0%#298 | 35.7%#177 | 35.6% |
| Three | 24.0%#330 | 39.0%#313 | 32.5% |
Coppin Stoffense vsBradleydefense
Share of shots by zone
Coppin St shoots
27.8
2.8
40.3
29.2
Bradley allows
21.0
19.0
19.0
41.0
D-I average
38.1
8.1
12.5
41.4
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 55.0%#229 | 54.5%#124 | 58.0% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 50.0%#81 | 45.0%#229 | 38.0% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 41.4%#122 | 35.0%#168 | 35.6% |
| Three | 22.2%#338 | 30.4%#138 | 32.5% |
RimShort 2 (≤9 ft)Mid 2 (10 ft+)Three
Zones from play-by-play shot descriptions; garbage time removed. Bars show the share of field-goal attempts in each zone; where a slice is too thin for its number, the shares are listed under the bar. FG% ranks: #1 = best for that side (most accurate shooting, stingiest defense).
Shot volume
Extra scoring chances from rebounds, turnovers and the foul lineBradley
−7.5extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#291 of 365
Off reb %
30.9%
#199
Def reb %
65.8%
#240
Turnover %
25.1%
#347
Forced TO %
20.6%
#88
FT rate
20.4%
#349
FT allowed
33.3%
#141
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding−0.2
Defensive rebounding−0.8
Ball security−5.0
Forcing turnovers+1.9
Foul shots drawn−4.4
Foul shots allowed+1.1
Coppin St
−13.0extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#340 of 365
Off reb %
30.2%
#212
Def reb %
59.7%
#328
Turnover %
30.5%
#360
Forced TO %
19.6%
#114
FT rate
38.4%
#154
FT allowed
46.8%
#293
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding−0.4
Defensive rebounding−2.9
Ball security−8.8
Forcing turnovers+1.2
Foul shots drawn+0.3
Foul shots allowed−2.5
Bradley has more extra scoring chances per game: −7.5 (#291 of 365) to Coppin St’s −13.0 (#340).
Grade = extra shots and foul-line trips per game compared with a D-I average team, built from six season rates. Cell shading is the national rank for each rate (greener = better for that team).
Rotation
Who has been playing, and who has notBradley2026-27 numbers through Thu, Nov 12 · last game: Davidson, Nov 10
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | Min/40, last 8 | Last 3 vs before | Status | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | G | Sr | 6'6" | 4-4 | 31.5 | 31 | — | Started last | 13.8 | 2.8 | 2.0 | 2.3 | 47.8% | 34.6% | 6.5 | 92.3% | 29.6% | |
| 0 | F | So | 6'8" | 4-2 | 24.5 | 28 | — | Bench | 6.8 | 4.8 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 47.6% | 33.3% | 3.0 | 63.6% | 19.6% | |
| 4 | F | Jr | 6'8" | 4-1 | 24.0 | 23 | — | Bench | 9.8 | 4.0 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 57.4% | 30.0% | 2.5 | 61.5% | 22.7% | |
| 6 | G | Fr | 6'4" | 4-3 | 21.5 | 19 | — | Started last | 3.8 | 1.3 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 38.9% | 26.7% | 3.8 | 50.0% | 22.3% | |
| 3 | F | So | 6'8" | 4-4 | 21.5 | 11 | — | Started last | 7.0 | 5.8 | 1.3 | 2.0 | 43.8% | 16.7% | 1.5 | 63.6% | 26.9% | |
| 19 | F | Jr | 6'10" | 3-3 | 27.0 | 27 | — | Started last | 10.0 | 8.0 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 56.0% | 40.0% | 3.3 | 40.0% | 24.3% | |
| 2 | G | Sr | 6'6" | 4-0 | 15.0 | 4 | — | Bench | 2.8 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 26.7% | 0.0% | 1.5 | 75.0% | 20.8% | |
| 10 | G | Jr | 6'8" | 2-2 | 22.0 | 21 | — | Started last | 3.5 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 15.6% | 20.0% | 2.5 | 100.0% | 28.1% | |
| 5 | G | Fr | 6'5" | 4-0 | 10.8 | 12 | — | Bench | 3.5 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 43.3% | 30.0% | 2.5 | 33.3% | 23.3% | |
| 8 | G | Fr | 6'4" | 4-0 | 7.5 | 14 | — | Bench | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.5 | — | 14.2% | |
| 1 | G | So | 6'7" | 1-1 | 25.0 | — | — | 8.0 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 40.0% | 0.0% | 2.0 | — | 33.9% | ||
| 17 | C | Fr | 6'11" | 3-0 | 7.7 | 10 | — | Bench | 1.3 | 3.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 50.0% | — | 0.0 | — | 13.3% | |
| 23 | G | Jr | 6'2" | 1-0 | 2.0 | — | — | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 1.0 | — | 30.3% |
Competitive minutes leave out garbage time (provisional rule: a second-half lead of 25+ inside 15:00, 20+ inside 10:00, 15+ inside 5:00 or 10+ inside 2:00, held to the end) and are shown per 40 minutes. Status says only whether a player appeared; the reason is not published.
Trends
Results against the closing spread and total, last ten games, entering this gameBradley
Against the spread
Season
0-2
Home
0-1
Road
0-1
Last 10
0-2
avg cover −8.8
Missed the spread 2 straight
Over / under
Season
0-2
Home
0-1
Road
0-1
Last 10
0-2
avg vs total −28.5
Under 2 straight
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10 | Davidson | A | L 45–62 | +9.5 | L−7.5 | 138.5 | U107 | 66.3 | 91.3 | 67.9 |
| Nov 7 | Pacific | H | L 52–63 | +1.0 | L−10.0 | 140.5 | U115 | 82.1 | 99.5 | 63.3 |
| Nov 2 | Monmouth (IL) Fighting Scots | H | W 85–41 | — | — | — | — | 129.0 | 62.2 | 65.9 |
| Mar 18 | Dayton | H | L 66–80 | +2.5 | L−11.5 | 141.0 | O146 | 110.4 | 133.9 | 59.8 |
| Mar 7 | Northern Iowa | N | L 69–73 | +4.5 | W+0.5 | 126.5 | O142 | 108.9 | 115.3 | 63.3 |
| Mar 6 | Valparaiso | N | W 90–84 2OT | −5.0 | W+1.0 | 138.5 | O174 | 102.6 | 95.8 | 87.7 |
| Mar 1 | Murray St | H | W 87–78 | −4.0 | W+5.0 | 158.0 | O165 | 129.4 | 116.0 | 67.2 |
| Feb 24 | UIC | A | L 86–93 2OT | +2.0 | L−5.0 | 142.0 | O179 | 109.8 | 118.8 | 78.3 |
| Feb 21 | Illinois St | H | W 74–60 | −4.5 | W+9.5 | 144.5 | U134 | 115.3 | 93.5 | 64.2 |
| Feb 18 | Valparaiso | A | L 72–79 | −2.5 | L−9.5 | 142.5 | O151 | 108.5 | 119.0 | 66.4 |
Coppin St
Against the spread
Season
1-1
Home
0-0
Road
1-1
Last 10
1-1
avg cover +4.2
Covered the last game
Over / under
Season
0-2
Home
0-0
Road
0-2
Last 10
0-2
avg vs total −15.2
Under 2 straight
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9 | Cheyney (PA) Wolves | H | W 90–53 | — | — | — | — | 128.7 | 75.8 | 69.9 |
| Nov 6 | George Mason | A | L 51–68 | +28.0 | W+11.0 | 141.0 | U119 | 78.1 | 104.2 | 65.3 |
| Nov 3 | Virginia Tech | A | L 54–88 | +31.5 | L−2.5 | 150.5 | U142 | 74.6 | 121.6 | 72.4 |
| Mar 5 | Morgan St | A | L 66–70 | +6.5 | W+2.5 | 150.5 | U136 | 95.9 | 101.7 | 68.8 |
| Mar 2 | Howard | A | L 70–90 | +18.5 | L−1.5 | 140.0 | O160 | 98.9 | 127.2 | 70.8 |
| Feb 28 | Norfolk St | H | L 69–75 | +8.0 | W+2.0 | 141.5 | O144 | 104.5 | 113.6 | 66.0 |
| Feb 21 | MD Eastern | H | W 71–65 OT | +3.0 | W+9.0 | 127.0 | O136 | 96.4 | 88.3 | 73.6 |
| Feb 16 | SC State | A | W 59–57 | +5.0 | W+7.0 | 139.0 | U116 | 87.6 | 84.6 | 67.4 |
| Feb 14 | NC Central | A | W 58–56 | +11.0 | W+13.0 | 145.5 | U114 | 92.8 | 89.6 | 62.5 |
| Feb 7 | Delaware St | H | W 65–47 | +1.0 | W+19.0 | 133.5 | U112 | 97.8 | 70.7 | 66.4 |
Records vs the closing line describe the past; ten games is a small sample.
Team comparison
national rank toned left for away, right for homeBradleyCoppin St
Efficiency
101.0
92.7
102.7
111.7
69.4
70.6
6.1
10.2
Shooting
35.4%
40.4%
34.9%
43.1%
24.0%
22.2%
73.9%
65.8%
20.4%
38.4%
Ball control & glass
25.1%
30.5%
20.6%
19.6%
30.9%
30.2%
34.2%
40.3%
13.7%
14.5%
9.5%
9.7%
Style
44.2%
27.3%
39.2%
32.4%
10.3%
13.3%
50.0%
29.7%
37.8%
50.8%
Roster
2.47
3.30
6'7.1"
6'5.3"
13.0%
39.3%
Offseason
roster movement into this season — descriptive, not a model inputBradley
Returning minutes: 13.0%Returning production: 8.7%
Lost
- Alex Huibregtse 31.2 mpg, 12.8 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Jaquan Johnson 30.4 mpg, 16.9 ppg · transferred to Iowa State
- AJ Smith 25.7 mpg, 8.4 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Ahmet Jonovic 24.7 mpg, 8.1 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Montana Wheeler 22.3 mpg, 8.5 ppg · transferred to Kansas St
- Corey Thomas 18.4 mpg, 5.4 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
Added
- Trevon Payton from AR-Pine Bluff · 33.8 mpg, 10.0 ppg last season
- Xander Alarie from Northeastern · 9.8 mpg, 3.6 ppg last season
- Josh Ibukunoluwa from High Point · 2.9 mpg, 1.3 ppg last season
- Gustavo Guimares no D1 minutes last season
- Georgi Gerganov no D1 minutes last season
- Dimitrije Pavlovic no D1 minutes last season
Returns 13% of last season's minutes; lost 4 of its top 5 (1 transferred). Teams returning under 40% of last season's minutes have historically fallen about 0.8 points of AdjEM (n=716 team-seasons, 2022-2026).
Coppin St
Returning minutes: 52.2%Returning production: 49.4%
Lost
- Hassan Perkins 22.6 mpg, 6.6 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Khali Horton 19.8 mpg, 7.4 ppg · transferred to Morgan St
- Torrin Andrews 19.1 mpg, 5.3 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Demariontay Hall 15.6 mpg, 7.5 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Taj Thweatt 13.2 mpg, 4.4 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Chris Morgan 5.6 mpg, 1.9 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
Added
- Tafara Gapare from Villanova · 4.5 mpg, 0.8 ppg last season
- Brendan Johnson from Merrimack · 1.1 mpg, 0.2 ppg last season
- Sven Djopmo from Arizona · 0.9 mpg, 0.3 ppg last season
- Levi Lawal no D1 minutes last season
- Malik Shackleford no D1 minutes last season
- Allen Myers no D1 minutes last season
Returns 52% of last season's minutes; lost 3 of its top 5 (1 transferred).
Line history
Market line, home spread or game totalLines by book
| Book | Spread (home) open → now | Total open → now | ML home | ML away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | +7.5→+13.5-105 | 135.5→131.5o-108 u-112 | +575 | -850 |
| FanDuel | +7.5→+12.5-120 | 135.5→131.5o-115 u-105 | +720 | -1200 |
| BetMGM | +7.5→+13.5-105 | 135.5→131.5o-110 u-110 | +625 | -1000 |
| BetRivers | +8.5→+12.5-115 | 136.5→131.5o-114 u-109 | +600 | -1000 |
| Fanatics | +7.5→+13-110 | 135.5→131.5o-110 u-110 | +600 | -900 |
| BetOnline | +11→+13-110 | 134→131o-110 u-110 | — | — |
| Bovada | +9.5→— | 134.5→— | — | — |
| theScore Bet | +7.5→+13.5+100 | 135.5→131.5o+100 u-120 | +600 | -1000 |
| Hard Rock | +8.5→+12.5-115 | 136.5→131.5o-110 u-110 | +600 | -1000 |
| Kalshi | +7.5→+14.5+133 | 135.5→133.5o+113 u-117 | +733 | -809 |
| Polymarket | +7.5→+11.5-150 | 135.5→132.5o-122 u-108 | +669 | -733 |
| Novig | +12.5-104 | 135.5→— | +733 | -770 |
DraftKings
FanDuel
BetMGM
BetRivers
Fanatics
BetOnline
Bovada
theScore Bet
Hard Rock
Kalshi
Polymarket
Novigopen = first-sighted line for this event · now = latest capture
Head-to-head
this season and lastNo meetings the last two seasons.
More games on Thu, Nov 12
- Kansas City vs George Mason · 3:00 PM ET
- Morgan St at UMBC · 6:00 PM ET
- Tennessee Tech at Indiana · 6:30 PM ET
- Mercyhurst at Penn State · 6:30 PM ET
- Niagara at Bowling Green · 7:00 PM ET
- Canisius at Brown · 7:00 PM ET
- MD Eastern at Rhode Island · 7:00 PM ET
- Bakersfield at W Illinois · 7:00 PM ET
- Southern Utah at High Point · 7:00 PM ET
- Loyola MD at Towson · 7:00 PM ET
- Mercer at West Virginia · 7:00 PM ET
- Stetson at Howard · 7:00 PM ET
- Monmouth at Quinnipiac · 7:00 PM ET
- C Connecticut at Sacred Heart · 7:00 PM ET
- W Michigan at Purdue FW · 7:00 PM ET
- Richmond at S Illinois · 8:00 PM ET
- Southern at Minnesota · 8:00 PM ET
- LMU vs South Alabama · 8:00 PM ET
- Oklahoma St at Texas A&M · 8:00 PM ET
- West Florida at Alabama A&M · 8:00 PM ET
- New Mexico St at UTEP · 9:00 PM ET
- Montana St at BYU · 9:00 PM ET
- UC Riverside at San José St · 10:00 PM ET
The CBB Matchups tab lays out the day's Division I slate: matchup, tip time, records and rank, and — once posted — the market spread and total (the median across books when no market line is up). Three views switch the table between projected scores, pace and totals, and each team's offensive and defensive tendencies. Each game opens into opponent-adjusted possessions, efficiency and four-factor tendencies for both teams, plus recent form, rotation and head-to-head history. Every game also carries our projected score, spread and total, from our line: the same view our bets are made from.
What these numbers mean: line shopping.