Southern Jaguars vs Minnesota Golden Gophers basketball final score
Thu, Nov 12 · 8:00 PM ET · The Barn by Blue Cross and Blue Shield of Minnesota, Minneapolis, MN
Non-conferenceB1G+The Barn by Blue Cross and Blue Shield of Minnesota, Minneapolis, MN
Southern
0-4 · 0-0 conf
Efficiency #320
@
Minnesota
3-0 · 0-0 conf
Efficiency #60
Final
6191
Final score
Projected 59.6 – 85.7
SOU win 1%MINN win 99%
MarketClose
Spread
MINN −26.5
open MINN −24.5
Total
141.5
open 140.0
Our line
MINN −26.1
Our total
145.3
as of Thu, Nov 12 · 7:54 PM ET
Our play
How our line is built
each step, from an even game to our lineSpread
Even game
0.0
Minnesotarated 13.6 above average
+13.6
Southernrated 8.9 below average
+8.9
Home court
+3.6
Our line
MINN −26.1
◂ Southern sideMinnesota side ▸
Total
Average D-I game
151.4
Minnesotalower-scoring games
−6.0
Southernlower-scoring games
−0.1
Our line
145.3
Axis starts at 140 pointsPoints added or removed at each step
The spread is seen from the home side: a plus moves it toward Minnesota.
Pace & total
possessions per 40 minutesTempo, possessions per 40 minutes
Projected possessions: 68.9, from each team's opponent-adjusted tempo. On raw season pace, Southern is the faster team (74.2, #80 of 365) and Minnesota the slower (66.2, #317). When tempos clash, the slower team usually pulls the pace harder (weights 0.80 vs 0.66).
Projected possessions
68.9
per team, 40 min
Market total
141.5
Market close · open 140.0
Adjusted tempo, vs an average opponent
72.8#64
Southern
66.6#351
Minnesota
How this game plays
points this game from the four factors, vs an average D-I matchupOur line
MINN −26.1
Four factors 22.6Not in these stats 3.5
From the four factors
Minnesota has the ball+6.9
Southern has the ball−15.7
Minnesota has the ball
✓Shoots it welleFG% 53.7% #121 · SOU allows 55.7% #286+4.6
✓Wins second chancesOR% 37.1% #76 · SOU allows 40.0% #326+3.4
✗Coughs it upTO% 18.6% #213 · SOU forces 20.9% #81 · ~14 turnovers−1.7
✓Gets to the lineFTR 25.8% #310 · SOU allows 55.5% #341 · FT 71.7% #150+0.6
Southern has the ball
✗Tough shooting lookeFG% 45.2% #280 · MINN allows 39.9% #19−8.0
✗Coughs it upTO% 30.7% #361 · MINN forces 15.6% #260 · ~16 turnovers−4.7
✗Few second chancesOR% 27.8% #252 · MINN allows 23.6% #35−2.6
✗Few trips to the lineFTR 32.4% #236 · MINN allows 28.2% #75 · FT 75.0% #91−0.4
Shot diet
Where each offense shoots from and where each defense lets teams shootSouthernoffense vsMinnesotadefense
Share of shots by zone
Southern shoots
38.1
6.5
23.2
32.1
Minnesota allows
31.1
2.6
11.3
55.0
D-I average
38.1
8.1
12.5
41.4
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 53.1%#256 | 59.6%#197 | 58.0% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 18.2%#316 | 50.0%#257 | 38.0% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 35.9%#171 | 29.4%#108 | 35.6% |
| Three | 32.3%#179 | 20.4%#6 | 32.5% |
Minnesotaoffense vsSoutherndefense
Share of shots by zone
Minnesota shoots
43.8
4.6
2.0
49.7
Southern allows
40.7
9.6
6.6
43.1
D-I average
38.1
8.1
12.5
41.4
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 53.7%#245 | 72.1%#334 | 58.0% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 57.1%#52 | 25.0%#68 | 38.0% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 33.3%#189 | 45.5%#269 | 35.6% |
| Three | 34.1%#143 | 36.1%#263 | 32.5% |
RimShort 2 (≤9 ft)Mid 2 (10 ft+)Three
Zones from play-by-play shot descriptions; garbage time removed. Bars show the share of field-goal attempts in each zone; where a slice is too thin for its number, the shares are listed under the bar. FG% ranks: #1 = best for that side (most accurate shooting, stingiest defense).
Shot volume
Extra scoring chances from rebounds, turnovers and the foul lineSouthern
−16.7extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#360 of 365
Off reb %
27.8%
#252
Def reb %
60.0%
#326
Turnover %
30.7%
#361
Forced TO %
20.9%
#81
FT rate
32.4%
#236
FT allowed
55.5%
#341
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding−1.2
Defensive rebounding−2.8
Ball security−8.9
Forcing turnovers+2.1
Foul shots drawn−1.2
Foul shots allowed−4.7
Minnesota
+2.1extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#146 of 365
Off reb %
37.1%
#76
Def reb %
76.4%
#35
Turnover %
18.6%
#213
Forced TO %
15.6%
#260
FT rate
25.8%
#310
FT allowed
28.2%
#75
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding+1.9
Defensive rebounding+2.7
Ball security−0.4
Forcing turnovers−1.7
Foul shots drawn−3.0
Foul shots allowed+2.4
Minnesota has more extra scoring chances per game: +2.1 (#146 of 365) to Southern’s −16.7 (#360).
Grade = extra shots and foul-line trips per game compared with a D-I average team, built from six season rates. Cell shading is the national rank for each rate (greener = better for that team).
Rotation
Who has been playing, and who has notSouthern2026-27 numbers through Thu, Nov 12 · last game: Iowa State, Nov 10
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | Min/40, last 8 | Last 3 vs before | Status | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | G | Jr | 5'10" | 5-1 | 25.0 | 26 | — | Bench | 8.8 | 1.4 | 3.6 | 4.8 | 47.5% | 40.0% | 3.0 | 75.0% | 29.8% | |
| 1 | G | Sr | 6'4" | 5-1 | 21.2 | 26 | — | Bench | 7.8 | 2.0 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 44.2% | 33.3% | 1.8 | 72.7% | 20.8% | |
| 23 | F | So | 6'7" | 5-1 | 20.6 | 27 | — | Bench | 7.2 | 3.8 | 1.0 | 2.2 | 56.5% | — | 0.0 | 71.4% | 21.6% | |
| 5 | G | Sr | 6'5" | 5-4 | 19.2 | 10 | — | Started last | 6.6 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 48.3% | 45.5% | 2.2 | 66.7% | 21.1% | |
| 13 | G | Sr | 6'6" | 5-3 | 17.6 | 11 | — | Bench | 3.6 | 2.6 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 50.0% | — | 0.0 | 40.0% | 14.6% | |
| 11 | G | Jr | 6'0" | 5-3 | 14.4 | 22 | — | Bench | 5.2 | 1.4 | 0.6 | 1.4 | 59.1% | 57.1% | 1.4 | — | 22.2% | |
| 4 | F | Sr | 6'8" | 5-2 | 14.2 | 22 | — | Started last | 4.6 | 2.6 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 38.6% | 20.0% | 1.0 | 85.7% | 23.2% | |
| 0 | G | Sr | 6'3" | 4-2 | 14.5 | 18 | — | Started last | 4.8 | 1.5 | 2.3 | 0.3 | 37.5% | 30.0% | 2.5 | 80.0% | 22.4% | |
| 2 | G | Jr | 6'3" | 5-2 | 11.0 | 0 | — | Bench | 2.4 | 1.8 | 0.4 | 1.6 | 35.7% | 0.0% | 0.6 | 40.0% | 24.7% | |
| 35 | C | Sr | 6'10" | 5-1 | 10.4 | 10 | — | Started last | 2.0 | 1.4 | 0.2 | 1.2 | 83.3% | — | 0.0 | 0.0% | 14.1% | |
| 9 | G | Fr | 6'2" | 5-1 | 9.8 | 14 | — | Bench | 2.0 | 1.8 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 33.3% | 22.2% | 1.8 | 100.0% | 19.6% | |
| 6 | G | Fr | 6'2" | 4-1 | 8.3 | — | — | 2.5 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 40.0% | 0.0% | 0.5 | 100.0% | 27.3% | ||
| 8 | G | So | 6'6" | 5-0 | 6.2 | — | — | 1.4 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 70.0% | 33.3% | 0.6 | — | 14.2% | ||
| 7 | G | So | 6'6" | 5-0 | 5.2 | — | — | 1.2 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 25.0% | 0.0% | 0.2 | 66.7% | 24.3% | ||
| 10 | C | So | 6'10" | 4-3 | 6.0 | — | — | 2.3 | 1.8 | 0.3 | 1.3 | 50.0% | — | 0.0 | 75.0% | 29.2% | ||
| 24 | C | Sr | 7'0" | 5-0 | 2.2 | — | — | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0% | — | 0.0 | — | 10.1% |
Into the starting lineup: Ibrahim Olajuwon.Into the starting lineup: Karez Demory.Out of the starting lineup: Armonii Benjamin.Out of the starting lineup: Lionel Bell.
Competitive minutes leave out garbage time (provisional rule: a second-half lead of 25+ inside 15:00, 20+ inside 10:00, 15+ inside 5:00 or 10+ inside 2:00, held to the end) and are shown per 40 minutes. Status says only whether a player appeared; the reason is not published.
Trends
Results against the closing spread and total, last ten games, entering this gameSouthern
Against the spread
Season
2-2
Home
0-0
Road
2-2
Last 10
2-2
avg cover −1.8
Missed the spread in the last gameCovered 2 of 4 as an underdogCovered 2 of 4 with a line of 10+
Over / under
Season
1-3
Home
0-0
Road
1-3
Last 10
1-3
avg vs total −4.9
Under 2 straightOver in 1 of 4 as an underdogOver in 1 of 4 with a line of 10+
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10 | Iowa State | A | L 47–84 | +35.5 | L−1.5 | 146.5 | U131 | 60.8 | 108.6 | 77.3 |
| Nov 8 | Drake | A | L 68–75 | +14.0 | W+7.0 | 151.0 | U143 | 95.7 | 105.5 | 71.1 |
| Nov 6 | TCU | A | L 54–106 | +27.0 | L−25.0 | 153.0 | O160 | 74.1 | 145.5 | 72.8 |
| Nov 2 | SMU | A | L 72–85 | +25.5 | W+12.5 | 160.0 | U157 | 95.3 | 112.5 | 75.6 |
| Mar 14 | Prairie View | N | L 66–72 | −3.5 | L−9.5 | 145.0 | U138 | 100.2 | 109.3 | 65.9 |
| Mar 13 | Florida A&M | N | W 73–70 | −2.0 | W+1.0 | 140.5 | O143 | 101.9 | 97.7 | 71.6 |
| Mar 12 | AR-Pine Bluff | N | W 84–81 | −5.0 | L−2.0 | 150.5 | O165 | 128.4 | 123.9 | 65.4 |
| Mar 5 | Alabama A&M | A | W 88–85 | −1.0 | W+2.0 | 145.0 | O173 | 121.1 | 117.0 | 72.7 |
| Mar 3 | Alabama St | A | W 71–64 | −1.0 | W+6.0 | 153.0 | U135 | 100.0 | 90.2 | 71.0 |
| Feb 28 | Bethune | H | L 79–82 | −2.0 | L−5.0 | 153.0 | O161 | 106.6 | 110.6 | 74.1 |
Minnesota
Against the spread
Season
2-1
Home
1-1
Road
1-0
Last 10
2-1
avg cover +5.7
Covered the last game
Over / under
Season
0-3
Home
0-2
Road
0-1
Last 10
0-3
avg vs total −15.2
Under 3 straight
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9 | Cincinnati | A | W 63–61 | +7.5 | W+9.5 | 144.5 | U124 | 96.2 | 93.2 | 65.5 |
| Nov 6 | St Thomas | H | W 76–62 | −15.5 | L−1.5 | 149.0 | U138 | 117.8 | 96.1 | 64.5 |
| Nov 2 | North Dakota | H | W 85–50 | −26.0 | W+9.0 | 149.0 | U135 | 123.9 | 72.9 | 68.6 |
| Apr 1 | Baylor | N | L 48–67 | +3.5 | L−15.5 | 146.5 | U115 | 80.7 | 112.7 | 59.5 |
| Mar 11 | Rutgers | N | L 67–72 | −6.0 | L−11.0 | 136.0 | O139 | 104.9 | 112.7 | 63.9 |
| Mar 7 | Northwestern | H | W 67–66 | −4.0 | L−3.0 | 133.5 | U133 | 121.5 | 119.7 | 55.1 |
| Mar 4 | Indiana | A | L 47–77 | +6.5 | L−23.5 | 138.5 | U124 | 76.7 | 125.7 | 61.3 |
| Feb 28 | UCLA | H | W 78–73 | +1.5 | W+6.5 | 135.5 | O151 | 140.4 | 131.4 | 55.6 |
| Feb 24 | #3Michigan | A | L 67–77 | +22.5 | W+12.5 | 146.0 | U144 | 103.7 | 119.2 | 64.6 |
| Feb 21 | Rutgers | H | W 80–61 | −8.5 | W+10.5 | 133.5 | O141 | 136.6 | 104.2 | 58.6 |
Records vs the closing line describe the past; ten games is a small sample.
Team comparison
national rank toned left for away, right for homeSouthernMinnesota
Efficiency
98.0
109.2
109.7
97.9
72.8
66.6
11.1
1.6
Shooting
45.2%
53.7%
43.9%
55.9%
32.3%
34.1%
75.0%
71.7%
32.4%
25.8%
Ball control & glass
30.7%
18.6%
20.9%
15.6%
27.8%
37.1%
40.0%
23.6%
18.5%
9.6%
12.2%
12.9%
Style
29.5%
47.8%
41.5%
45.5%
18.7%
12.1%
50.6%
74.1%
68.0%
27.2%
Roster
3.11
3.37
6'4.3"
6'5.9"
12.5%
60.5%
Offseason
roster movement into this season — descriptive, not a model inputSouthern
Returning minutes: 12.5%Returning production: 10.6%
Lost
- Michael Jacobs 30.2 mpg, 16.3 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- DaMariee Jones 22.4 mpg, 8.7 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Terrance Dixon Jr. 20.5 mpg, 9.0 ppg · transferred to Georgia St
- Fazl Oshodi 20.3 mpg, 8.9 ppg · transferred to Marshall
- Brandon Hardy 18.4 mpg, 3.7 ppg · transferred to Grambling
- AJ Barnes 18.1 mpg, 6.9 ppg · transferred to Grambling
Added
- Justin Page from Niagara · 21.1 mpg, 8.5 ppg last season
- Ibrahim Olajuwon from FIU · 14.2 mpg, 4.0 ppg last season
- Malik Ferguson from Tennessee Tech · 12.5 mpg, 3.7 ppg last season
- Daniel Dormu from Tarleton St · 11.8 mpg, 3.4 ppg last season
- R'Chaun King from Alabama St · 11.6 mpg, 4.5 ppg last season
- Noah Boyde from Western KY · 8.0 mpg, 1.8 ppg last season
Returns 13% of last season's minutes; lost 4 of its top 5 (2 transferred). Teams returning under 40% of last season's minutes have historically fallen about 0.8 points of AdjEM (n=716 team-seasons, 2022-2026).
Minnesota
Returning minutes: 60.5%Returning production: 54.0%
Lost
- Cade Tyson 35.6 mpg, 19.0 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Langston Reynolds 33.2 mpg, 11.6 ppg · transferred to N Colorado
- Chansey Willis Jr. 5.6 mpg, 1.3 ppg · transferred to Kent State
- Robert Vaihola 3.2 mpg, 0.8 ppg · transferred to San José St
- Nehemiah Turner 1.2 mpg, 0.2 ppg · transferred to Jacksonville
- Maximus Gizzi 0.8 mpg, 0.1 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
Added
- Malachi Palmer from Villanova · 18.3 mpg, 4.6 ppg last season
- Kyan Evans from North Carolina · 17.6 mpg, 4.0 ppg last season
- Nolan Groves from Texas Tech · 3.9 mpg, 0.6 ppg last season
- Malick Kordel from Michigan · 1.4 mpg, 0.4 ppg last season
- Winters Grady from Michigan · 1.3 mpg, 0.7 ppg last season
- Cedric Tomes no D1 minutes last season
Returns 60% of last season's minutes; lost 2 of its top 5 (1 transferred).
Line history
Market line, home spread or game totalLines by book
| Book | Spread (home) open → now | Total open → now | ML home | ML away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | -24.5→-26.5-108 | 140.5→142.5o-105 u-115 | — | +3000 |
| FanDuel | -24.5→-25.5-118 | 140.5→141.5o-115 u-105 | — | +4000 |
| BetMGM | -24.5→-26.5-105 | 140.5→142.5o-105 u-115 | — | +2800 |
| BetRivers | -24.5→-26.5-108 | 140.5→141.5o-112 u-112 | — | — |
| Caesars | -24.5→-26.5-110 | 140.5→142o-110 u-110 | — | +2500 |
| Fanatics | -24.5→-26.5-105 | 140→142.5o-110 u-110 | — | +3500 |
| BetOnline | -25→-26.5-105 | 140→142o-110 u-110 | — | — |
| Bovada | -24.5→-26.5-105 | 140.5→142o-105 u-115 | — | +2800 |
| theScore Bet | -24.5→-26.5-105 | 140.5→142.5o-105 u-115 | — | +3500 |
| Hard Rock | -24.5→-26.5-105 | 140.5→141.5o-110 u-110 | — | — |
| Kalshi | — | 138.5→142.5o-104 u+100 | — | +4900 |
| Polymarket | -25.5-122 | 142.5o+100 u-104 | — | — |
| Novig | -24.5→-26.5-104 | 142.5o-104 u+100 | — | +4900 |
DraftKings
FanDuel
BetMGM
BetRivers
Caesars
Fanatics
BetOnline
Bovada
theScore Bet
Hard Rock
Kalshi
Polymarket
Novigopen = first-sighted line for this event · now = latest capture
Head-to-head
this season and lastNo meetings the last two seasons.
More games on Thu, Nov 12
- Kansas City vs George Mason · 3:00 PM ET
- Morgan St at UMBC · 6:00 PM ET
- Bradley vs Coppin St · 6:00 PM ET
- Tennessee Tech at Indiana · 6:30 PM ET
- Mercyhurst at Penn State · 6:30 PM ET
- Niagara at Bowling Green · 7:00 PM ET
- Canisius at Brown · 7:00 PM ET
- MD Eastern at Rhode Island · 7:00 PM ET
- Bakersfield at W Illinois · 7:00 PM ET
- Southern Utah at High Point · 7:00 PM ET
- Loyola MD at Towson · 7:00 PM ET
- Mercer at West Virginia · 7:00 PM ET
- Stetson at Howard · 7:00 PM ET
- Monmouth at Quinnipiac · 7:00 PM ET
- C Connecticut at Sacred Heart · 7:00 PM ET
- W Michigan at Purdue FW · 7:00 PM ET
- Richmond at S Illinois · 8:00 PM ET
- LMU vs South Alabama · 8:00 PM ET
- Oklahoma St at Texas A&M · 8:00 PM ET
- West Florida at Alabama A&M · 8:00 PM ET
- New Mexico St at UTEP · 9:00 PM ET
- Montana St at BYU · 9:00 PM ET
- UC Riverside at San José St · 10:00 PM ET
The CBB Matchups tab lays out the day's Division I slate: matchup, tip time, records and rank, and — once posted — the market spread and total (the median across books when no market line is up). Three views switch the table between projected scores, pace and totals, and each team's offensive and defensive tendencies. Each game opens into opponent-adjusted possessions, efficiency and four-factor tendencies for both teams, plus recent form, rotation and head-to-head history. Every game also carries our projected score, spread and total, from our line: the same view our bets are made from.
What these numbers mean: line shopping.