Southern Utah Thunderbirds vs High Point Panthers basketball final score

Thu, Nov 12 · 7:00 PM ET · Qubein Center, High Point, NC

Non-conferenceESPN+Qubein Center, High Point, NC

Southern Utah

2025-26: 10-22 · 6-13 conf

Efficiency #270

High Point

3-0 · 0-0 conf

Efficiency #67

Final

5988

Final score

Projected 68.3 – 91.1

SUU win 2%HPU win 98%

MarketClose

Spread

HPU −22.0

open HPU −20.5

Total

158.5

open 148.5

Our line

HPU −22.8

Our total

159.4

as of Thu, Nov 12 · 6:51 PM ET

Our play

How our line is built

each step, from an even game to our line

Spread

Even game

0.0

High Pointrated 10.7 above average

+10.7

Southern Utahrated 8.6 below average

+8.6

Home court

+3.6

Our line

HPU −22.8

◂ Southern Utah sideHigh Point side ▸

Total

Average D-I game

151.4

High Pointhigher-scoring games

+5.4

Southern Utahhigher-scoring games

+2.6

Our line

159.4

Axis starts at 145 pointsPoints added or removed at each step

Steps are rounded to one decimal, so they can differ from the line by 0.1. The spread is seen from the home side: a plus moves it toward High Point.

Pace & total

possessions per 40 minutes

Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes

Projected possessions: 71.8, from each team's opponent-adjusted tempo. On raw season pace, Southern Utah is the faster team (70.9, #59 of 365) and High Point the slower (65.7, #330). When tempos clash, the slower team usually pulls the pace harder (weights 0.80 vs 0.66).

Projected possessions

71.8

per team, 40 min

Market total

158.5

Market close · open 148.5

Adjusted tempo, vs an average opponent

72.5#74

Southern Utah

69.9#219

High Point

How this game plays

points this game from the four factors, vs an average D-I matchup

Our line

HPU −22.8

Four factors 13.7Not in these stats 9.1

From the four factors

High Point has the ball+5.5

Southern Utah has the ball−8.1

High Point has the ball

✓Shoots it welleFG% 56.8% #75 · SUU allows 53.2% #276+5.4

✓Takes care of the ballTO% 20.8% #275 · SUU forces 14.8% #303 · ~13 turnovers+0.5

✗Few second chancesOR% 28.4% #242 · SUU allows 33.6% #309−0.4

✓Gets to the lineFTR 48.0% #56 · SUU allows 29.8% #55 · FT 70.4% #173+0.1

Southern Utah has the ball

✗Tough shooting lookeFG% 50.7% #200 · HPU allows 43.5% #48−3.3

✗Coughs it upTO% 20.3% #352 · HPU forces 21.3% #69 · ~15 turnovers−2.9

✗Few second chancesOR% 28.8% #239 · HPU allows 27.9% #109−1.5

✗Few trips to the lineFTR 33.1% #235 · HPU allows 30.2% #102 · FT 71.5% #221−0.4

Shot diet

Where each offense shoots from and where each defense lets teams shoot

Southern Utahoffense vsHigh Pointdefense

Share of shots by zone

Southern Utah shoots

41.8

6.9

15.9

35.4

High Point allows

36.3

7.5

11.6

44.5

D-I average

38.1

8.1

12.5

41.4

FG% by zone

Zone			D-I avg
Rim	60.3%#113	45.3%#32	58.0%
Short 2 (≤9 ft)	38.1%#219	18.2%#38	38.0%
Mid 2 (10 ft+)	35.0%#291	23.5%#64	35.6%
Three	33.0%#231	31.5%#162	32.5%

High Pointoffense vsSouthern Utahdefense

Share of shots by zone

High Point shoots

47.4

4.5

6.0

42.1

Southern Utah allows

46.3

5.6

19.0

29.2

D-I average

38.1

8.1

12.5

41.4

FG% by zone

Zone			D-I avg
Rim	69.8%#49	57.5%#132	58.0%
Short 2 (≤9 ft)	50.0%#81	35.1%#60	38.0%
Mid 2 (10 ft+)	50.0%#44	42.7%#324	35.6%
Three	31.7%#194	38.0%#358	32.5%

RimShort 2 (≤9 ft)Mid 2 (10 ft+)Three

Zones from play-by-play shot descriptions; garbage time removed. Bars show the share of field-goal attempts in each zone; where a slice is too thin for its number, the shares are listed under the bar. FG% ranks: #1 = best for that side (most accurate shooting, stingiest defense).

Shot volume

Extra scoring chances from rebounds, turnovers and the foul line

Southern Utah

−4.2extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#333 of 365

Off reb %

28.8%

#239

Def reb %

66.4%

#309

Turnover %

20.3%

#352

Forced TO %

14.8%

#303

FT rate

33.1%

#235

FT allowed

29.8%

#55

Where the chances come from (per game)

Offensive rebounding−0.5

Defensive rebounding−1.0

Ball security−2.4

Forcing turnovers−1.3

Foul shots drawn−0.5

Foul shots allowed+1.4

High Point

+5.5extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#100 of 365

Off reb %

28.4%

#242

Def reb %

72.1%

#109

Turnover %

20.8%

#275

Forced TO %

21.3%

#69

FT rate

48.0%

#56

FT allowed

30.2%

#102

Where the chances come from (per game)

Offensive rebounding−1.0

Defensive rebounding+1.3

Ball security−1.9

Forcing turnovers+2.4

Foul shots drawn+2.8

Foul shots allowed+1.9

High Point has more extra scoring chances per game: +5.5 (#100 of 365) to Southern Utah’s −4.2 (#333).

Grade = extra shots and foul-line trips per game compared with a D-I average team, built from six season rates. Cell shading is the national rank for each rate (greener = better for that team).

Rotation

Who has been playing, and who has not

Southern Utah2025-26 numbers

#	Pos	Cl	Ht	GP-GS	MPG	PPG	RPG	APG	TOV	eFG%	3P%	3PA/g	FT%	Usage
35	F	Sr	6'9"	4-4	19.3	8.8	6.0	1.5	0.8	86.8%	50.0%	2.5	40.0%	16.5%
3	G	Fr	5'10"	4-0	17.8	4.8	2.3	4.8	1.5	34.1%	16.7%	1.5	44.4%	23.4%
5	G	Jr	6'4"	4-4	16.3	8.3	1.8	0.8	0.5	57.4%	29.4%	4.3	100.0%	24.0%
24	F	So	6'8"	4-4	15.3	9.0	3.5	3.8	0.3	71.4%	0.0%	0.8	66.7%	22.4%
11	F	Jr	6'8"	4-0	15.0	4.8	4.3	2.3	0.5	40.5%	25.0%	1.0	66.7%	21.0%
22	G	So	6'2"	4-0	14.8	14.3	4.0	2.5	1.3	68.4%	47.6%	5.3	62.5%	40.8%
33	G	So	6'4"	4-4	14.3	7.0	3.5	1.8	0.5	64.7%	50.0%	3.0	100.0%	19.7%
7	F	Jr	6'9"	4-4	13.8	11.3	4.3	1.3	1.5	76.0%	—	0.0	53.8%	34.8%
10	G	So	6'1"	4-0	12.0	7.3	3.5	2.8	0.3	46.2%	26.7%	3.8	100.0%	31.4%
2	G	Fr	6'3"	4-0	11.3	9.5	2.8	1.0	0.5	69.4%	50.0%	0.5	86.7%	30.7%
6	F	Fr	6'10"	4-0	11.3	7.3	5.3	1.5	0.3	67.5%	33.3%	0.8	100.0%	24.6%
0	G	Jr	6'1"	4-0	10.5	1.3	1.3	1.0	0.3	25.0%	25.0%	1.0	100.0%	9.5%
4	G	So	6'7"	4-0	10.3	0.8	2.8	0.5	0.5	30.0%	33.3%	0.8	—	8.6%
32	C	Fr	7'1"	4-0	9.3	7.0	1.5	0.3	1.5	100.0%	—	0.0	50.0%	28.7%
1	F	So	6'6"	4-0	9.0	7.3	2.0	1.5	0.8	77.8%	50.0%	2.0	50.0%	30.7%

Competitive minutes leave out garbage time (provisional rule: a second-half lead of 25+ inside 15:00, 20+ inside 10:00, 15+ inside 5:00 or 10+ inside 2:00, held to the end) and are shown per 40 minutes. Status says only whether a player appeared; the reason is not published.

Trends

Results against the closing spread and total, last ten games, entering this game

Southern Utah

Against the spread

Season

15-13-1

Home

5-5

Road

9-7-1

Last 10

6-4

avg cover +3.2

Missed the spread 2 straightCovered 6 of 9 as an underdog

Over / under

Season

17-12

Home

6-4

Road

11-6

Last 10

7-3

avg vs total +4.0

Under in the last gameOver in 7 of 9 as an underdog

Last 10 games, newest first

Date	Opponent	Site	Result			Total		PPP for	PPP vs	Pace
Nov 7	Bethesda Flames	H	W 143–49	—	—	—	—	179.2	61.4	79.8
Nov 5	Grace University Lancers	H	W 97–53	—	—	—	—	131.3	71.7	73.9
Nov 2	West Coast Baptist Eagles	H	W 134–69	—	—	—	—	162.4	83.6	82.5
Mar 12	UT ArlingtonAdjEM #163	N	L 63–69	+5.0	L−1.0	141.5	U132	88.3	96.7	71.3
Mar 7	CA BaptistAdjEM #299	H	L 75–82	+6.5	L−0.5	149.0	O157	107.2	117.2	69.9
Mar 5	Utah ValleyAdjEM #97	H	L 88–92	+10.0	W+6.0	150.0	O180	123.5	129.1	71.3
Feb 28	Utah TechAdjEM #271	H	W 81–67	+2.0	W+16.0	156.0	U148	122.1	101.0	66.3
Feb 21	Abilene ChrstnAdjEM #296	A	L 83–87	+8.0	W+4.0	143.5	O170	110.6	115.9	75.1
Feb 19	Tarleton StAdjEM #215	A	L 74–78	+5.0	W+1.0	145.0	O152	110.5	116.5	67.0
Feb 14	UT ArlingtonAdjEM #163	A	W 78–73	+8.5	W+13.5	144.5	O151	111.7	104.5	69.8

High Point

Against the spread

Season

1-2

Home

0-2

Road

0-0

Last 10

1-2

avg cover −5.2

Missed the spread 2 straight

Over / under

Season

0-3

Home

0-2

Road

0-0

Last 10

0-3

avg vs total −21.0

Under 3 straight

Last 10 games, newest first

Date	Opponent	Site	Result			Total		PPP for	PPP vs	Pace
Nov 7	Washington StAdjEM #186	H	W 83–71	−13.0	L−1.0	156.5	U154	131.3	112.3	63.2
Nov 4	MD EasternAdjEM #346	H	W 63–49	−34.0	L−20.0	146.5	U112	92.8	72.2	67.9
Nov 1	LibertyAdjEM #145	N	W 72–57	−9.5	W+5.5	155.0	U129	109.2	86.5	65.9
Mar 21	#4ArkansasAdjEM #39	N	L 88–94	+12.0	W+6.0	170.5	O182	113.8	121.5	77.4
Mar 19	#5WisconsinAdjEM #43	N	W 83–82	+10.0	W+11.0	161.5	O165	113.7	112.3	73.0
Mar 8	WinthropAdjEM #184	N	W 91–76	−7.0	W+8.0	157.5	O167	116.0	96.9	78.5
Mar 7	UNC AshevilleAdjEM #249	N	W 75–71	−13.0	L−9.0	147.5	U146	110.5	104.6	67.9
Mar 6	Gardner-WebbAdjEM #362	N	W 81–59	−27.5	L−5.5	156.5	U140	115.3	84.0	70.3
Feb 26	PresbyterianAdjEM #285	A	W 79–73	−11.5	L−5.5	151.5	O152	115.6	106.8	68.3
Feb 21	WinthropAdjEM #184	H	W 89–87	−9.5	L−7.5	166.5	O176	120.5	117.8	73.9

Records vs the closing line describe the past; ten games is a small sample.

Team comparison

national rank toned left for away, right for home

Southern UtahHigh Point

Efficiency

103.1

110.7

110.0

100.3

72.5

69.9

—

-4.9

Shooting

50.7%

56.8%

51.4%

63.5%

33.0%

31.7%

71.5%

70.4%

33.1%

48.0%

Ball control & glass

20.3%

20.8%

14.8%

21.3%

28.8%

28.4%

33.6%

27.9%

12.4%

11.7%

10.2%

14.1%

Style

35.5%

42.6%

48.0%

46.8%

13.2%

19.7%

49.6%

47.3%

32.1%

43.2%

Roster

3.20

3.34

6'8.5"

6'5.5"

24.2%

31.7%

Offseason

roster movement into this season — descriptive, not a model input

Southern Utah

Returning minutes: 24.2%Returning production: 28.7%

Lost

Tanner Hayhurst 28.3 mpg, 10.0 ppg · transferred to W Michigan
Elijah Duval 25.6 mpg, 14.8 ppg · transferred to UAB
Isaiah Cottrell 25.5 mpg, 8.8 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
Dylan Jones 23.2 mpg, 7.6 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
Kai Burdick 13.7 mpg, 4.0 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
Lorenzo Abellar 11.2 mpg, 2.9 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet

Added

JaJuan Nicholls from Tennessee Tech · 17.9 mpg, 11.2 ppg last season
Dylan Sanders no D1 minutes last season
Chase Degraffenried no D1 minutes last season
Jordan Brown no D1 minutes last season
Dezhon Hall no D1 minutes last season
Jalik Nicholls no D1 minutes last season

Returns 24% of last season's minutes; lost 4 of its top 5 (2 transferred). Teams returning under 40% of last season's minutes have historically fallen about 0.8 points of AdjEM (n=716 team-seasons, 2022-2026).

High Point

Returning minutes: 31.7%Returning production: 31.7%

Lost

Terry Anderson 26.9 mpg, 16.0 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
Rob Martin 26.6 mpg, 15.5 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
Owen Aquino 26.5 mpg, 9.3 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
Scotty Washington 18.8 mpg, 8.2 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
Chase Johnston 12.7 mpg, 6.1 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
Vincent Brady II 11.4 mpg, 3.6 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet

Added

Jason Rivera-Torres from Monmouth · 35.2 mpg, 15.8 ppg last season
Curtis Williams Jr. from Tulane · 32.1 mpg, 12.4 ppg last season
CJ Brown from South Florida · 26.6 mpg, 10.9 ppg last season
Isaac Garrett from Oakland · 25.3 mpg, 12.0 ppg last season
Frankquon Sherman from Kennesaw St · 25.2 mpg, 10.4 ppg last season
Filip Brankovic from UT Rio Grande · 23.3 mpg, 12.6 ppg last season

Returns 32% of last season's minutes; lost 3 of its top 5. Teams returning under 40% of last season's minutes have historically fallen about 0.8 points of AdjEM (n=716 team-seasons, 2022-2026).

Line history

Market line, home spread or game total

Lines by book

Book	Spread (home) open → now	Total open → now	ML home	ML away
DraftKings	-20.5→-22.5-108	151.5→158.5o-115 u-105	—	+3000
FanDuel	-20.5→-22.5-120	148.5→157.5o-115 u-105	—	+2400
BetMGM	-20.5→-22.5-110	149.5→158.5o-110 u-110	—	+1850
BetRivers	-20.5→-22.5-109	153.5→159.5o-110 u-113	—	—
Caesars	-21→-22-110	152→158.5o-110 u-110	—	—
Fanatics	-20→-22.5-105	148.5→158.5o-110 u-110	—	+3000
BetOnline	-21.5→-22.5-108	154→158.5o-115 u-105	—	—
Bovada	-21.5→-22-110	153.5→158.5o-110 u-110	—	+1600
theScore Bet	-20.5→-22.5-105	151.5→158.5o-110 u-110	—	+2500
Hard Rock	-20.5→-22.5-110	153.5→159.5o-110 u-110	—	—
Kalshi	-19.5→-22.5+104	151.5→157.5o-113 u+108	-3233	+2400
Polymarket	-20.5→-22.5+100	148.5→157.5o-113 u+108	-4248	+1941
Novig	-20.5→—	148.5→159.5o+100 u-108	-2757	+2400

open = first-sighted line for this event · now = latest capture

Head-to-head

this season and last

No meetings the last two seasons.

More games on Thu, Nov 12

Kansas City vs George Mason · 3:00 PM ET
Morgan St at UMBC · 6:00 PM ET
Bradley vs Coppin St · 6:00 PM ET
Tennessee Tech at Indiana · 6:30 PM ET
Mercyhurst at Penn State · 6:30 PM ET
Niagara at Bowling Green · 7:00 PM ET
Canisius at Brown · 7:00 PM ET
MD Eastern at Rhode Island · 7:00 PM ET
Bakersfield at W Illinois · 7:00 PM ET
Loyola MD at Towson · 7:00 PM ET
Mercer at West Virginia · 7:00 PM ET
Stetson at Howard · 7:00 PM ET
Monmouth at Quinnipiac · 7:00 PM ET
C Connecticut at Sacred Heart · 7:00 PM ET
W Michigan at Purdue FW · 7:00 PM ET
Richmond at S Illinois · 8:00 PM ET
Southern at Minnesota · 8:00 PM ET
LMU vs South Alabama · 8:00 PM ET
Oklahoma St at Texas A&M · 8:00 PM ET
West Florida at Alabama A&M · 8:00 PM ET
New Mexico St at UTEP · 9:00 PM ET
Montana St at BYU · 9:00 PM ET
UC Riverside at San José St · 10:00 PM ET

← Wed, Nov 11 · Fri, Nov 13 → · Full season schedule

The CBB Matchups tab lays out the day's Division I slate: matchup, tip time, records and rank, and — once posted — the market spread and total (the median across books when no market line is up). Three views switch the table between projected scores, pace and totals, and each team's offensive and defensive tendencies. Each game opens into opponent-adjusted possessions, efficiency and four-factor tendencies for both teams, plus recent form, rotation and head-to-head history. Every game also carries our projected score, spread and total, from our line: the same view our bets are made from.

What these numbers mean: line shopping.

Line	Our line	Close
Spread	HPU −22.8	HPU −22.0open HPU −20.5
Total	159.4	158.5open 148.5