Central Connecticut Blue Devils vs Sacred Heart Pioneers basketball final score

Thu, Nov 12 · 7:00 PM ET · William H. Pitt Center, Fairfield, CT

Non-conferenceESPN+William H. Pitt Center, Fairfield, CT

C Connecticut

1-2 · 0-0 conf

Efficiency #316

Sacred Heart

2-1 · 0-0 conf

Efficiency #266

Final

7975

Final score

Projected 69.5 – 74.6

CCSU win 33%SHU win 67%

MarketClose

Spread

SHU −6.0

open SHU −4.5

Total

144.0

open 147.5

Our line

SHU −5.1

Our total

144.2

as of Thu, Nov 12 · 6:51 PM ET

Our play

How our line is built

each step, from an even game to our line

Spread

Even game

0.0

Sacred Heartrated 9.4 below average

−9.4

C Connecticutrated 11.0 below average

+11.0

Home court

+3.6

Our line

SHU −5.1

◂ C Connecticut sideSacred Heart side ▸

Total

Average D-I game

151.4

Sacred Heartaverage-scoring games

0.0

C Connecticutlower-scoring games

−7.2

Our line

144.2

Axis starts at 140 pointsPoints added or removed at each step

Steps are rounded to one decimal, so they can differ from the line by 0.1. The spread is seen from the home side: a plus moves it toward Sacred Heart.

Pace & total

possessions per 40 minutes

Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes

Projected possessions: 68.9, from each team's opponent-adjusted tempo. On raw season pace, Sacred Heart is the faster team (71.9, #136 of 365) and C Connecticut the slower (65.5, #334). When tempos clash, the slower team usually pulls the pace harder (weights 0.80 vs 0.66).

Projected possessions

68.9

per team, 40 min

Market total

144.0

Market close · open 147.5

Adjusted tempo, vs an average opponent

67.4#340

C Connecticut

72.1#92

Sacred Heart

How this game plays

points this game from the four factors, vs an average D-I matchup

Our line

SHU −5.1

Four factors +9.2 · not in these stats −4.1

From the four factors

Sacred Heart has the ball+1.3

C Connecticut has the ball−7.9

Sacred Heart has the ball

✓Takes care of the ballTO% 13.7% #50 · CCSU forces 15.6% #259 · ~10 turnovers+3.5

✗Tough shooting lookeFG% 41.2% #324 · CCSU allows 55.7% #287−2.4

✓Gets to the lineFTR 34.3% #207 · CCSU allows 29.5% #90 · FT 85.1% #9+0.4

✗Few second chancesOR% 28.6% #236 · CCSU allows 34.7% #252−0.1

C Connecticut has the ball

✗Few second chancesOR% 22.4% #322 · SHU allows 17.9% #5−5.4

✗Tough shooting lookeFG% 45.6% #274 · SHU allows 49.6% #166−3.0

✓Takes care of the ballTO% 17.6% #173 · SHU forces 15.1% #278 · ~11 turnovers+1.9

✗Few trips to the lineFTR 24.6% #322 · SHU allows 25.2% #40 · FT 64.3% #285−1.5

Shot diet

Where each offense shoots from and where each defense lets teams shoot

C Connecticutoffense vsSacred Heartdefense

Share of shots by zone

C Connecticut shoots

36.4

8.5

21.7

33.3

Sacred Heart allows

28.3

9.4

19.7

42.5

D-I average

38.1

8.1

12.5

41.4

FG% by zone

Zone			D-I avg
Rim	44.7%#327	55.6%#141	58.0%
Short 2 (≤9 ft)	45.5%#116	25.0%#68	38.0%
Mid 2 (10 ft+)	21.4%#294	40.0%#213	35.6%
Three	32.8%#171	37.0%#280	32.5%

Sacred Heartoffense vsC Connecticutdefense

Share of shots by zone

Sacred Heart shoots

43.8

5.1

16.1

35.0

C Connecticut allows

39.0

7.8

6.4

46.8

D-I average

38.1

8.1

12.5

41.4

FG% by zone

Zone			D-I avg
Rim	50.0%#280	69.1%#309	58.0%
Short 2 (≤9 ft)	28.6%#236	54.5%#300	38.0%
Mid 2 (10 ft+)	9.1%#342	22.2%#58	35.6%
Three	31.3%#206	28.9%#103	32.5%

RimShort 2 (≤9 ft)Mid 2 (10 ft+)Three

Zones from play-by-play shot descriptions; garbage time removed. Bars show the share of field-goal attempts in each zone; where a slice is too thin for its number, the shares are listed under the bar. FG% ranks: #1 = best for that side (most accurate shooting, stingiest defense).

Shot volume

Extra scoring chances from rebounds, turnovers and the foul line

C Connecticut

−6.5extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#279 of 365

Off reb %

22.4%

#322

Def reb %

65.3%

#252

Turnover %

17.6%

#173

Forced TO %

15.6%

#259

FT rate

24.6%

#322

FT allowed

29.5%

#90

Where the chances come from (per game)

Offensive rebounding−3.0

Defensive rebounding−1.0

Ball security+0.4

Forcing turnovers−1.7

Foul shots drawn−3.3

Foul shots allowed+2.1

Sacred Heart

+7.2extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#78 of 365

Off reb %

28.6%

#236

Def reb %

82.1%

Turnover %

13.7%

#50

Forced TO %

15.1%

#278

FT rate

34.3%

#207

FT allowed

25.2%

#40

Where the chances come from (per game)

Offensive rebounding−0.9

Defensive rebounding+4.6

Ball security+3.1

Forcing turnovers−2.1

Foul shots drawn−0.7

Foul shots allowed+3.2

Sacred Heart has more extra scoring chances per game: +7.2 (#78 of 365) to C Connecticut’s −6.5 (#279).

Grade = extra shots and foul-line trips per game compared with a D-I average team, built from six season rates. Cell shading is the national rank for each rate (greener = better for that team).

Rotation

Who has been playing, and who has not

C Connecticut2026-27 numbers through Thu, Nov 12 · last game: Dartmouth, Nov 8

#	Pos	Cl	Ht	GP-GS	MPG	Min/40, last 8	Last 3 vs before	Status	PPG	RPG	APG	TOV	eFG%	3P%	3PA/g	FT%	Usage
24	G	Jr	6'6"	4-4	33.0	35	—	Started last	6.0	7.3	1.3	1.0	39.6%	20.0%	1.3	55.6%	15.2%
2	G	Jr	6'2"	4-3	31.3	30	—	Started last	8.5	2.8	3.0	2.8	41.7%	33.3%	4.5	66.7%	24.8%
1	G	Jr	6'3"	4-4	30.5	30	—	Started last	18.8	5.5	1.0	2.5	50.8%	38.1%	5.3	81.3%	40.2%
11	F	Jr	6'9"	4-4	24.0	28	—	Started last	5.0	3.0	0.8	0.5	37.0%	20.0%	1.3	75.0%	17.4%
13	G	So	6'4"	3-1	28.3	26	—	Started last	13.3	4.3	1.0	1.3	58.6%	30.8%	4.3	66.7%	26.8%
15	G	Jr	6'4"	3-1	21.0	24	—	Bench	12.7	1.3	0.7	2.0	95.0%	66.7%	5.0	—	26.8%
0	G	So	6'3"	4-0	15.5	13	—	Bench	2.0	2.3	1.8	0.5	37.5%	0.0%	0.8	50.0%	11.8%
7	F	Jr	6'8"	3-0	14.3	12	—	Bench	3.7	0.7	1.0	1.0	35.7%	0.0%	1.0	33.3%	26.1%
23	F	So	6'9"	4-2	6.8	1	—	Bench	0.3	0.8	0.5	0.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.8	50.0%	11.2%
22	F	Sr	6'8"	1-0	22.0	—	—		5.0	6.0	1.0	0.0	50.0%	50.0%	2.0	0.0%	16.1%
6	G	So	6'2"	3-1	6.3	1	—	Bench	0.0	0.0	0.0	1.3	0.0%	0.0%	0.3	—	22.0%
3	G	Jr	6'1"	3-0	4.3	0	—	Missed last game	1.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	50.0%	33.3%	1.0	—	14.0%
5	G	Fr	6'4"	1-0	7.0	—	—		3.0	1.0	1.0	0.0	150.0%	100.0%	1.0	—	9.3%
14	F	Jr	6'11"	1-0	6.0	—	—		0.0	1.0	0.0	0.0	—	—	0.0	—	0.0%

Into the starting lineup: Ashton Reynolds.Out of the starting lineup: Rashawn Tibby.

Competitive minutes leave out garbage time (provisional rule: a second-half lead of 25+ inside 15:00, 20+ inside 10:00, 15+ inside 5:00 or 10+ inside 2:00, held to the end) and are shown per 40 minutes. Status says only whether a player appeared; the reason is not published.

Trends

Results against the closing spread and total, last ten games, entering this game

C Connecticut

Against the spread

Season

2-1

Home

0-0

Road

2-1

Last 10

2-1

avg cover −3.8

Covered the last game

Over / under

Season

2-1

Home

0-0

Road

2-1

Last 10

2-1

avg vs total +1.2

Over 2 straight

Last 10 games, newest first

Date	Opponent	Site	Result			Total		PPP for	PPP vs	Pace
Nov 8	DartmouthAdjEM #212	A	W 78–71 OT	+8.5	W+15.5	140.5	O149	110.1	100.2	70.8
Nov 5	SyracuseAdjEM #50	A	L 49–102	+23.5	L−29.5	134.5	O151	73.1	152.2	67.0
Nov 2	TempleAdjEM #242	A	L 56–68	+14.5	W+2.5	145.5	U124	83.6	101.5	67.0
Mar 4	WagnerAdjEM #333	H	L 60–70	−3.5	L−13.5	138.5	U130	97.7	114.0	61.4
Feb 28	Saint Francis Red Wolves	H	W 69–64	−8.0	L−3.0	153.0	U133	106.3	98.6	64.9
Feb 26	MercyhurstAdjEM #312	H	W 80–78	−4.0	L−2.0	141.0	O158	117.7	114.7	68.0
Feb 21	Chicago StAdjEM #322	A	L 51–70	−3.0	L−22.0	138.5	U121	82.4	113.1	61.9
Feb 19	Le MoyneAdjEM #314	H	W 78–77	−3.5	L−2.5	146.5	O155	110.2	108.8	70.8
Feb 14	FDUAdjEM #354	A	W 63–57	−1.0	W+5.0	134.0	U120	111.5	100.9	56.5
Feb 12	New HavenAdjEM #311	A	W 81–76	−3.0	W+2.0	129.0	O157	117.5	110.2	69.0

Sacred Heart

Against the spread

Season

1-1

Home

0-1

Road

1-0

Last 10

1-1

avg cover −1.0

Covered the last game

Over / under

Season

2-0

Home

1-0

Road

1-0

Last 10

2-0

avg vs total +7.0

Over 2 straight

Last 10 games, newest first

Date	Opponent	Site	Result			Total		PPP for	PPP vs	Pace
Nov 8	New HampshireAdjEM #292	A	W 81–76 OT	+1.0	W+6.0	146.0	O157	100.6	94.4	80.5
Nov 5	MaineAdjEM #305	H	L 72–74	−6.0	L−8.0	143.0	O146	99.6	102.4	72.3
Nov 2	Coast Guard Bears	H	W 111–44	—	—	—	—	130.1	51.6	85.3
Mar 6	MerrimackAdjEM #204	N	L 48–70	+7.0	L−15.0	143.0	U118	78.6	114.6	61.1
Mar 5	IonaAdjEM #228	N	W 91–80	+3.5	W+14.5	149.5	O171	132.9	116.8	68.5
Feb 27	Mount St MarysAdjEM #289	H	W 77–69	−2.5	W+5.5	150.5	U146	116.9	104.7	65.9
Feb 22	MaristAdjEM #179	A	L 63–65	+7.5	W+5.5	146.5	U128	93.1	96.0	67.7
Feb 20	FairfieldAdjEM #293	A	L 68–78	+5.0	L−5.0	158.0	U146	98.7	113.2	68.9
Feb 15	RiderAdjEM #361	H	W 86–75	−9.0	W+2.0	146.5	O161	124.5	108.6	69.1
Feb 13	Saint Peter'sAdjEM #327	H	W 78–71	+1.5	W+8.5	148.0	O149	121.5	110.6	64.2

Records vs the closing line describe the past; ten games is a small sample.

Team comparison

national rank toned left for away, right for home

C ConnecticutSacred Heart

Efficiency

100.1

104.2

111.5

110.8

67.4

72.1

1.2

-9.9

Shooting

45.6%

41.2%

43.6%

38.2%

32.8%

31.3%

64.3%

85.1%

24.6%

34.3%

Ball control & glass

17.6%

13.7%

15.6%

15.1%

22.4%

28.6%

34.7%

17.9%

14.6%

8.5%

11.8%

11.2%

Style

35.7%

35.0%

47.0%

40.5%

9.8%

15.0%

48.5%

53.1%

38.1%

37.3%

Roster

2.73

3.13

6'4.8"

29.5%

16.0%

Offseason

roster movement into this season — descriptive, not a model input

C Connecticut

Returning minutes: 35.3%Returning production: 24.6%

Lost

Darin Smith Jr. 32.7 mpg, 20.7 ppg · transferred to Rutgers
Jay Rodgers 29.2 mpg, 11.0 ppg · transferred to Penn State
Max Frazier 28.2 mpg, 12.0 ppg · transferred to Hampton
Melo Sanchez 23.9 mpg, 9.2 ppg · transferred to South Dakota
Nico Ashley 5.9 mpg, 2.0 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
Gabe Spinelli 5.4 mpg, 1.7 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet

Added

Raphel Laurent new to D1 · 36.0 mpg, 19.0 ppg last season
Victor Payne Jr. new to D1 · 23.9 mpg, 6.8 ppg last season
Matt Goodwin no D1 minutes last season
David Smith no D1 minutes last season
Rashawn Tibby no D1 minutes last season
Jacori Ervin no D1 minutes last season

No incoming D1 transfers are listed on ESPN's roster yet — until they are, returning shares read high.

Returns 35% of last season's minutes; lost 4 of its top 5 (4 transferred). Teams returning under 40% of last season's minutes have historically fallen about 0.8 points of AdjEM (n=716 team-seasons, 2022-2026).

Sacred Heart

Returning minutes: 16.0%Returning production: 11.8%

Lost

Dashon Gittens 33.0 mpg, 13.1 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
Yann Farell 29.8 mpg, 11.4 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
Nyle Ralph-Beyer 28.7 mpg, 13.3 ppg · transferred to VCU
Mekhi Conner 27.8 mpg, 7.2 ppg · transferred to Incarnate Word
Anquan Hill 26.6 mpg, 14.4 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
Fallou Gueye 10.8 mpg, 2.7 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet

Added

Jo Van Buggenhout from Indiana St · 16.9 mpg, 5.1 ppg last season
Jaylen Robinson from Richmond · 10.0 mpg, 2.6 ppg last season
Samson Reilly from Quinnipiac · 7.8 mpg, 3.8 ppg last season
Jojo Wallace no D1 minutes last season
Mooda Gittens no D1 minutes last season
Kedrick Curtis no D1 minutes last season

Returns 16% of last season's minutes; lost 5 of its top 5 (2 transferred). Teams returning under 40% of last season's minutes have historically fallen about 0.8 points of AdjEM (n=716 team-seasons, 2022-2026).

Line history

Market line, home spread or game total

Lines by book

Book	Spread (home) open → now	Total open → now	ML home	ML away
DraftKings	-4.5→-6.5-108	147.5→144.5o-108 u-112	-258	+210
FanDuel	-4.5→-5.5-120	147.5→144.5o-115 u-105	-250	+202
BetMGM	-4.5→-6.5-110	147.5→144.5o-110 u-110	-250	+200
BetRivers	-4.5→-6.5-112	147.5→145.5o-112 u-112	-305	+235
Caesars	-4.5→-6.5-110	147.5→144.5o-110 u-110	-260	+210
Fanatics	-5→-6.5-105	148→144.5o-110 u-110	-260	+210
BetOnline	-5→-6-115	148→144.5o-110 u-110	—	—
Bovada	-4.5→-6-115	147.5→144o-110 u-110	-250	+210
theScore Bet	-4.5→-6.5-105	147.5→144.5o-110 u-110	-250	+210
Hard Rock	-4.5→-6.5-110	147.5→145.5o-110 u-110	-300	+240
Kalshi	-6.5+100	147.5→144.5o-104 u+100	-245	+233
Polymarket	-4.5→-5.5-122	147.5→144.5o+100 u-104	-245	+233
Novig	-4.5→-6.5+100	144.5o-102 u+100	-245	+239

open = first-sighted line for this event · now = latest capture

Head-to-head

this season and last

Date	Season	Result
Mon, Nov 24	2025-26	Sacred Heart 106 – 108 C Connecticut

More games on Thu, Nov 12

Kansas City vs George Mason · 3:00 PM ET
Morgan St at UMBC · 6:00 PM ET
Bradley vs Coppin St · 6:00 PM ET
Tennessee Tech at Indiana · 6:30 PM ET
Mercyhurst at Penn State · 6:30 PM ET
Niagara at Bowling Green · 7:00 PM ET
Canisius at Brown · 7:00 PM ET
MD Eastern at Rhode Island · 7:00 PM ET
Bakersfield at W Illinois · 7:00 PM ET
Southern Utah at High Point · 7:00 PM ET
Loyola MD at Towson · 7:00 PM ET
Mercer at West Virginia · 7:00 PM ET
Stetson at Howard · 7:00 PM ET
Monmouth at Quinnipiac · 7:00 PM ET
W Michigan at Purdue FW · 7:00 PM ET
Richmond at S Illinois · 8:00 PM ET
Southern at Minnesota · 8:00 PM ET
LMU vs South Alabama · 8:00 PM ET
Oklahoma St at Texas A&M · 8:00 PM ET
West Florida at Alabama A&M · 8:00 PM ET
New Mexico St at UTEP · 9:00 PM ET
Montana St at BYU · 9:00 PM ET
UC Riverside at San José St · 10:00 PM ET

← Wed, Nov 11 · Fri, Nov 13 → · Full season schedule

The CBB Matchups tab lays out the day's Division I slate: matchup, tip time, records and rank, and — once posted — the market spread and total (the median across books when no market line is up). Three views switch the table between projected scores, pace and totals, and each team's offensive and defensive tendencies. Each game opens into opponent-adjusted possessions, efficiency and four-factor tendencies for both teams, plus recent form, rotation and head-to-head history. Every game also carries our projected score, spread and total, from our line: the same view our bets are made from.

What these numbers mean: line shopping.

Line	Our line	Close
Spread	SHU −5.1	SHU −6.0open SHU −4.5
Total	144.2	144.0open 147.5