Purdue Boilermakers vs Gonzaga Bulldogs basketball final score
Mon, Nov 2 · 7:30 PM ET · T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, NV (neutral site)
Hall of Fame Series - Las VegasNeutral siteNon-conferenceTNTT-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, NV
Purdue
2025-26: 30-9 · 17-7 conf
Efficiency #9
vs
15Gonzaga
2025-26: 31-4 · 18-2 conf
Efficiency #8
Final
7278
Final score
Projected 77.2 – 78.3
PUR win 46%GONZ win 54%
MarketClose
Spread
GONZ −5.0
open PUR −4.5
Total
153.5
open 155.5
Our line
GONZ −1.1
as of Mon, Nov 2 · 7:21 PM ET
Our play
Pace & total
possessions per 40 minutesTempo, possessions per 40 minutes
Projected possessions: 67.2, from each team's opponent-adjusted tempo. On raw 2025-26 season pace, Gonzaga is the faster team (70.2, #88 of 365) and Purdue the slower (65.2, #324). When tempos clash, the slower team usually pulls the pace harder (weights 0.80 vs 0.66).
Projected possessions
67.2
per team, 40 min
Market total
153.5
Market close · open 155.5
Adjusted tempo, vs an average opponent
66.3#329
Purdue
69.2#103
Gonzaga
How this game plays
points this game from the four factors, vs an average D-I matchupOur line
GONZ −1.1
Four factors +3.8 · not in these stats −2.7
From the four factors
Gonzaga has the ball+5.2
Purdue has the ball+1.4
Gonzaga has the ball
✓Shoots it welleFG% 55.6% #25 · PUR allows 52.4% #232+3.0
✓Takes care of the ballTO% 13.6% #16 · PUR forces 15.3% #263 · ~9 turnovers+2.3
✗Few trips to the lineFTR 31.0% #282 · PUR allows 25.5% #9 · FT 70.7% #248−0.7
✓Wins second chancesOR% 34.8% #52 · PUR allows 27.1% #39+0.6
Purdue has the ball
✓Shoots it welleFG% 57.6% #10 · GONZ allows 46.3% #15+1.1
✓Wins second chancesOR% 36.4% #19 · GONZ allows 25.7% #16+0.8
✗Few trips to the lineFTR 28.6% #336 · GONZ allows 30.9% #81 · FT 74.6% #99−0.3
✗Coughs it upTO% 13.7% #17 · GONZ forces 20.0% #24 · ~11 turnovers−0.2
Shot diet
Where each offense shoots from and where each defense lets teams shoot · 2025-26 numbersPurdueoffense vs#15Gonzagadefense
Share of shots by zone
Purdue shoots
28.0
8.8
23.5
39.7
Gonzaga allows
29.2
9.2
18.8
42.8
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 71.4%#1 | 56.8%#109 | 58.5% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 44.6%#70 | 39.7%#186 | 39.4% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 45.2%#13 | 31.6%#14 | 38.1% |
| Three | 38.3%#11 | 30.6%#23 | 33.7% |
#15Gonzagaoffense vsPurduedefense
Share of shots by zone
Gonzaga shoots
40.0
7.3
21.8
30.9
Purdue allows
28.2
7.0
20.0
44.7
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 65.5%#16 | 62.6%#316 | 58.5% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 44.4%#73 | 44.3%#276 | 39.4% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 47.6%#3 | 43.0%#329 | 38.1% |
| Three | 33.3%#212 | 34.1%#192 | 33.7% |
RimShort 2 (≤9 ft)Mid 2 (10 ft+)Three
Zones from play-by-play shot descriptions; garbage time removed. Bars show the share of field-goal attempts in each zone; where a slice is too thin for its number, the shares are listed under the bar. FG% ranks: #1 = best for that side (most accurate shooting, stingiest defense).
Shot volume
Extra scoring chances from rebounds, turnovers and the foul line · 2025-26 numbersPurdue
+5.1extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#20 of 365
Off reb %
36.4%
#19
Def reb %
72.9%
#39
Turnover %
13.7%
#17
Forced TO %
15.3%
#263
FT rate
28.6%
#336
FT allowed
25.5%
#9
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding+1.9
Defensive rebounding+1.1
Ball security+2.1
Forcing turnovers−0.9
Foul shots drawn−1.7
Foul shots allowed+2.5
#15Gonzaga
+7.5extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#5 of 365
Off reb %
34.8%
#52
Def reb %
74.3%
#16
Turnover %
13.6%
#16
Forced TO %
20.0%
#24
FT rate
31.0%
#282
FT allowed
30.9%
#81
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding+1.4
Defensive rebounding+1.6
Ball security+2.1
Forcing turnovers+2.3
Foul shots drawn−1.0
Foul shots allowed+1.1
Gonzaga has more extra scoring chances per game: +7.5 (#5 of 365) to Purdue’s +5.1 (#20).
Grade = extra shots and foul-line trips per game compared with a D-I average team, built from six season rates. Cell shading is the national rank for each rate (greener = better for that team).
Rotation
Purdue2025-26 numbers
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | G | Jr | 6'3" | 3-3 | 36.0 | 11.3 | 5.3 | 3.0 | 1.7 | 48.1% | 9.1% | 3.7 | 90.0% | 20.8% | |
| 12 | C | Jr | 7'4" | 3-3 | 33.7 | 23.3 | 8.0 | 2.3 | 2.3 | 76.6% | 33.3% | 1.0 | 84.0% | 31.9% | |
| 8 | F | Sr | 6'7" | 3-3 | 30.7 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 50.0% | 33.3% | 2.0 | — | 10.3% | |
| 24 | G | Jr | 6'3" | 3-2 | 25.0 | 8.3 | 3.3 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 57.7% | 50.0% | 2.0 | 90.9% | 16.9% | |
| 1 | G | Fr | 6'3" | 3-1 | 24.7 | 11.3 | 1.3 | 2.3 | 1.7 | 53.8% | 26.7% | 5.0 | 60.0% | 30.7% | |
| 17 | G | So | 6'4" | 3-2 | 21.7 | 4.3 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 0.7 | 18.0% | 10.0% | 3.3 | 66.7% | 28.7% | |
| 14 | G | So | 6'6" | 3-1 | 20.3 | 7.3 | 3.0 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 57.1% | 40.0% | 3.3 | 100.0% | 17.7% | |
| 2 | G | Fr | 6'2" | 3-0 | 14.0 | 2.7 | 2.0 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 50.0% | 33.3% | 2.0 | 0.0% | 17.4% | |
| 34 | F | So | 6'11" | 3-0 | 5.7 | 2.7 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 42.9% | 0.0% | 0.3 | 100.0% | 33.2% | |
| 18 | F | Sr | 6'9" | 2-0 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 50.0% | — | 0.0 | — | 26.4% |
Trends
Results against the closing spread and total, last ten games, entering this gamePurdue
Against the spread
Season
17-21-1
Home
5-12
Road
6-5
Last 10
4-5-1
avg cover −0.2
Missed the spread 2 straightCovered 3 of 8 as a favorite, 1 push
Over / under
Season
22-17
Home
12-5
Road
5-6
Last 10
6-4
avg vs total +3.5
Under in the last gameOver in 5 of 8 as a favorite
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28 | #1Arizona | N | L 64–79 | +5.0 | L−10.0 | 152.5 | U143 | 98.0 | 121.0 | 65.3 |
| Mar 26 | #11Texas | N | W 79–77 | −8.5 | L−6.5 | 146.5 | O156 | 129.9 | 126.6 | 60.8 |
| Mar 22 | #7Miami | N | W 79–69 | −8.0 | W+2.0 | 146.5 | O148 | 120.4 | 105.2 | 65.6 |
| Mar 20 | #15Queens | N | W 104–71 | −25.5 | W+7.5 | 159.5 | O175 | 154.0 | 105.1 | 67.5 |
| Mar 15 | #3Michigan | N | W 80–72 | +5.5 | W+13.5 | 149.5 | O152 | 127.7 | 114.9 | 62.7 |
| Mar 14 | UCLA | N | W 73–66 | −7.0 | P0.0 | 145.0 | U139 | 122.4 | 110.7 | 59.6 |
| Mar 13 | #11Nebraska | N | W 74–58 | −4.5 | W+11.5 | 146.0 | U132 | 122.4 | 95.9 | 60.5 |
| Mar 12 | Northwestern | N | W 81–68 | −13.5 | L−0.5 | 140.0 | O149 | 136.3 | 114.4 | 59.4 |
| Mar 7 | Wisconsin | H | L 93–97 | −9.5 | L−13.5 | 154.0 | O190 | 141.5 | 147.6 | 65.7 |
| Mar 4 | Northwestern | A | W 70–66 | −10.5 | L−6.5 | 145.5 | U136 | 121.8 | 114.9 | 57.5 |
#15Gonzaga
Against the spread
Season
18-16-1
Home
8-7
Road
6-4
Last 10
5-5
avg cover −2.7
Missed the spread 2 straightCovered 5 of 10 as a favoriteCovered 3 of 6 with a line of 10+
Over / under
Season
9-24-2
Home
2-12-1
Road
3-6-1
Last 10
1-9
avg vs total −10.2
Under 8 straightOver in 1 of 10 as a favoriteOver in 0 of 6 with a line of 10+
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21 | #11Texas | N | L 68–74 | −6.0 | L−12.0 | 147.5 | U142 | 106.3 | 115.6 | 64.0 |
| Mar 19 | #14Kennesaw St | N | W 73–64 | −20.5 | L−11.5 | 151.5 | U137 | 105.6 | 92.6 | 69.1 |
| Mar 10 | Santa Clara | N | W 79–68 | −8.0 | W+3.0 | 156.5 | U147 | 130.9 | 112.7 | 60.4 |
| Mar 9 | Oregon St | N | W 65–56 | −20.5 | L−11.5 | 145.0 | U121 | 102.9 | 88.7 | 63.1 |
| Feb 28 | Saint Mary's | A | L 59–70 | −2.5 | L−13.5 | 143.0 | U129 | 92.2 | 109.4 | 64.0 |
| Feb 25 | Portland | H | W 89–48 | −27.0 | W+14.0 | 150.0 | U137 | 131.9 | 71.2 | 67.5 |
| Feb 21 | Pacific | H | W 71–62 | −21.5 | L−12.5 | 143.5 | U133 | 116.0 | 101.3 | 61.2 |
| Feb 18 | San Francisco | A | W 80–59 | −15.5 | W+5.5 | 151.0 | U139 | 119.2 | 87.9 | 67.1 |
| Feb 14 | Santa Clara | A | W 94–86 | −5.0 | W+3.0 | 158.5 | O180 | 123.1 | 112.6 | 76.4 |
| Feb 10 | Washington St | H | W 83–53 | −21.5 | W+8.5 | 156.0 | U136 | 117.1 | 74.8 | 70.9 |
Records vs the closing line describe the past; ten games is a small sample.
Team comparison
national rank toned left for away, right for homePurdue#15Gonzaga
Efficiency
122.4
116.4
103.3
96.9
66.3
69.2
Shooting
57.6%
55.6%
57.7%
58.2%
38.3%
33.3%
74.6%
70.7%
28.6%
31.0%
Ball control & glass
13.7%
13.6%
15.3%
20.0%
36.4%
34.8%
27.1%
25.7%
8.0%
7.6%
6.4%
6.0%
Style
40.2%
30.8%
40.7%
52.5%
9.4%
17.7%
65.6%
57.5%
29.8%
40.4%
Roster
2.66
3.30
6'5.7"
6'6.3"
41.2%
13.7%
Offseason
roster movement into this season — descriptive, not a model inputPurdue
Returning minutes: 41.2%Returning production: 31.7%
Lost
- Braden Smith 34.5 mpg, 14.3 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Fletcher Loyer 29.3 mpg, 14.1 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Trey Kaufman-Renn 26.7 mpg, 13.4 ppg · transferred to Kansas
- Oscar Cluff 24.7 mpg, 10.6 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Liam Murphy 2.3 mpg, 0.7 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Aaron Fine 0.6 mpg, 0.3 ppg · transferred to Ball State
Added
- Sinan Huan no D1 minutes last season
- Raleigh Burgess no D1 minutes last season
- Antione West Jr no D1 minutes last season
- Jacob Webber no D1 minutes last season
- Luke Ertel no D1 minutes last season
- Caden Pierce no D1 minutes last season
No incoming D1 transfers are listed on ESPN's roster yet — until they are, returning shares read high.
Returns 41% of last season's minutes; lost 4 of its top 5 (1 transferred).
#15Gonzaga
Returning minutes: 13.7%Returning production: 18.5%
Lost
- Graham Ike 27.7 mpg, 17.6 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Emmanuel Innocenti 24.4 mpg, 6.0 ppg · transferred to Arizona St
- Mario Saint-Supery 23.1 mpg, 8.6 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Tyon Grant-Foster 21.5 mpg, 11.1 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Jalen Warley 20.7 mpg, 6.7 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Adam Miller 19.3 mpg, 7.3 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
Added
- Javon Bennett from Dayton · 34.5 mpg, 15.8 ppg last season
- Massamba Diop from Arizona St · 29.7 mpg, 13.6 ppg last season
- Xaivian Lee from Florida · 27.4 mpg, 11.6 ppg last season
- Chauncey Wiggins from Florida St · 27.1 mpg, 12.9 ppg last season
- Isiah Harwell from Houston · 11.9 mpg, 3.1 ppg last season
- Juwan Ekanga no D1 minutes last season
Returns 14% of last season's minutes; lost 5 of its top 5 (1 transferred). Teams returning under 40% of last season's minutes have historically fallen about 0.8 points of AdjEM (n=716 team-seasons, 2022-2026).
Line history
Market line, home spread or game totalLines by book
| Book | Spread (home) open → now | Total open → now | ML home | ML away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | -4.5→-5.5-110 | 155.5→153.5o-112 u-108 | -245 | +200 |
| FanDuel | -3.5→— | 155.5→153.5o-115 u-105 | — | — |
| BetMGM | -4.5→-5.5-110 | 155.5→153.5o-110 u-110 | -235 | +195 |
| BetRivers | -4.5→-5.5-115 | 155.5→153.5o-113 u-110 | -240 | +180 |
| Caesars | -4.5→-5.5-110 | 154.5→153.5o-110 u-110 | -250 | +205 |
| Fanatics | -4.5→-5.5-110 | 156.5→153.5o-110 u-110 | -245 | +200 |
| BetOnline | -4.5→-5.5-115 | 155→153.5o-110 u-110 | -250 | +207 |
| Bovada | -5.5-105 | 155.5→154o-110 u-110 | -235 | +195 |
| theScore Bet | -4.5→-5.5-110 | 155.5→153.5o-110 u-110 | -240 | +200 |
| Hard Rock | -4.5→-5.5-115 | 155.5→153.5o-110 u-110 | -240 | +185 |
| Kalshi | -3.5→-5.5+100 | 153.5o-104 u-104 | -223 | +212 |
| Polymarket | — | — | -233 | +223 |
| Novig | -4.5→— | 155.5→— | -223 | +217 |
DraftKings
FanDuel
BetMGM
BetRivers
Caesars
Fanatics
BetOnline
Bovada
theScore Bet
Hard Rock
Kalshi
Polymarket
Novigopen = first-sighted line for this event · now = latest capture
Head-to-head
this season and lastNo meetings the last two seasons.
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The CBB Matchups tab lays out the day's Division I slate: matchup, tip time, records and rank, and — once posted — the market spread and total (the median across books when no market line is up). Three views switch the table between projected scores, pace and totals, and each team's offensive and defensive tendencies. Each game opens into opponent-adjusted possessions, efficiency and four-factor tendencies for both teams, plus recent form, rotation and head-to-head history. Every game also carries our projected score, spread and total, from our line: the same view our bets are made from.
What these numbers mean: line shopping.