Navy Midshipmen vs George Washington Revolutionaries basketball final score
Mon, Nov 2 · 7:30 PM ET · Charles E. Smith Center, Washington, DC
Non-conferenceESPN+Charles E. Smith Center, Washington, DC
Navy
2025-26: 26-8 · 18-2 conf
Efficiency #104
@
G Washington
2025-26: 19-16 · 9-11 conf
Efficiency #68
Final
3991
Final score
Projected 68.5 – 81.0
NAVY win 14%GW win 86%
MarketClose
Spread
GW −19.0
open GW −13.5
Total
149.5
open 149.5
Our line
GW −12.6
as of Mon, Nov 2 · 7:21 PM ET
Our play
How our line is built
each step, from an even game to our lineSpread
Even game
0.0
G Washingtonrated 8.2 above average
+8.2
Navyrated 0.9 below average
+0.9
Home court
+3.5
Our line
GW −12.6
◂ Navy sideG Washington side ▸
The spread is seen from the home side: a plus moves it toward G Washington. Our total joins once both teams have played 3 games.
Pace & total
possessions per 40 minutesTempo, possessions per 40 minutes
Projected possessions: 68.0, from each team's opponent-adjusted tempo. On raw 2025-26 season pace, G Washington is the faster team (69.9, #97 of 365) and Navy the slower (65.2, #327). When tempos clash, the slower team usually pulls the pace harder (weights 0.80 vs 0.66).
Projected possessions
68.0
per team, 40 min
Market total
149.5
Market close · open 149.5
Adjusted tempo, vs an average opponent
66.8#302
Navy
69.5#83
G Washington
How this game plays
points this game from the four factors, vs an average D-I matchupOur line
GW −12.6
Four factors −2.1 · not in these stats +14.7
From the four factors
G Washington has the ball−0.6
Navy has the ball+1.5
G Washington has the ball
✗Coughs it upTO% 18.2% #282 · NAVY forces 18.3% #83 · ~13 turnovers−1.4
✓Wins second chancesOR% 35.8% #26 · NAVY allows 27.4% #49+1.0
✗Few trips to the lineFTR 34.9% #184 · NAVY allows 26.0% #13 · FT 72.3% #194−0.5
✓Shoots it welleFG% 54.4% #55 · NAVY allows 48.3% #42+0.3
Navy has the ball
✓Shoots it welleFG% 53.1% #100 · GW allows 52.4% #234+1.6
✗Coughs it upTO% 16.8% #190 · GW forces 17.7% #114 · ~12 turnovers−0.4
✓Gets to the lineFTR 38.8% #82 · GW allows 34.9% #178 · FT 73.6% #145+0.2
✓Wins second chancesOR% 31.9% #126 · GW allows 28.7% #91+0.1
Shot diet
Where each offense shoots from and where each defense lets teams shoot · 2025-26 numbersNavyoffense vsG Washingtondefense
Share of shots by zone
Navy shoots
42.2
6.0
19.4
32.4
G Washington allows
37.6
5.4
13.8
43.2
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 59.8%#123 | 62.2%#303 | 58.5% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 48.4%#19 | 36.1%#92 | 39.4% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 38.5%#172 | 34.3%#55 | 38.1% |
| Three | 35.8%#64 | 33.9%#175 | 33.7% |
G Washingtonoffense vsNavydefense
Share of shots by zone
G Washington shoots
43.1
3.7
6.2
47.0
Navy allows
29.4
7.8
17.3
45.5
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 59.6%#138 | 61.7%#295 | 58.5% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 40.6%#161 | 36.1%#91 | 39.4% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 33.6%#319 | 38.0%#159 | 38.1% |
| Three | 35.1%#106 | 30.0%#7 | 33.7% |
RimShort 2 (≤9 ft)Mid 2 (10 ft+)Three
Zones from play-by-play shot descriptions; garbage time removed. Bars show the share of field-goal attempts in each zone; where a slice is too thin for its number, the shares are listed under the bar. FG% ranks: #1 = best for that side (most accurate shooting, stingiest defense).
Shot volume
Extra scoring chances from rebounds, turnovers and the foul line · 2025-26 numbersNavy
+6.0extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#14 of 365
Off reb %
31.9%
#126
Def reb %
72.6%
#49
Turnover %
16.8%
#190
Forced TO %
18.3%
#83
FT rate
38.8%
#82
FT allowed
26.0%
#13
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding+0.5
Defensive rebounding+1.0
Ball security0.0
Forcing turnovers+1.1
Foul shots drawn+1.0
Foul shots allowed+2.4
G Washington
+2.1extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#93 of 365
Off reb %
35.8%
#26
Def reb %
71.3%
#91
Turnover %
18.2%
#282
Forced TO %
17.7%
#114
FT rate
34.9%
#184
FT allowed
34.9%
#178
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding+1.8
Defensive rebounding+0.6
Ball security−1.0
Forcing turnovers+0.7
Foul shots drawn0.0
Foul shots allowed+0.1
Navy has more extra scoring chances per game: +6.0 (#14 of 365) to G Washington’s +2.1 (#93).
Grade = extra shots and foul-line trips per game compared with a D-I average team, built from six season rates. Cell shading is the national rank for each rate (greener = better for that team).
Rotation
Navy2025-26 numbers
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | G | Sr | 6'3" | 4-4 | 30.0 | 7.8 | 3.5 | 2.8 | 1.5 | 26.5% | 23.5% | 4.3 | 100.0% | 21.6% | |
| 2 | G | Sr | 6'2" | 4-4 | 27.8 | 7.3 | 1.8 | 3.3 | 4.0 | 46.3% | 35.7% | 3.5 | 66.7% | 23.1% | |
| 7 | G | Jr | 6'4" | 4-4 | 27.5 | 11.5 | 9.3 | 1.0 | 2.5 | 54.5% | 66.7% | 1.5 | 50.0% | 26.8% | |
| 11 | F | So | 6'8" | 4-4 | 23.8 | 6.3 | 6.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 55.0% | — | 0.0 | 50.0% | 13.5% | |
| 21 | G | Sr | 6'0" | 3-3 | 30.0 | 22.7 | 3.3 | 1.3 | 2.3 | 54.9% | 42.9% | 7.0 | 69.7% | 40.1% | |
| 18 | G | Fr | 6'2" | 4-1 | 13.8 | 6.3 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 63.9% | 38.5% | 3.3 | 100.0% | 19.3% | |
| 17 | F | Fr | 6'8" | 4-0 | 13.5 | 7.0 | 2.8 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 50.0% | 37.5% | 4.0 | 50.0% | 31.1% | |
| 55 | G | Fr | 6'2" | 4-0 | 13.3 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.8 | 75.0% | 10.5% | |
| 22 | F | Fr | 6'6" | 4-0 | 7.5 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 20.0% | 0.0% | 1.0 | 66.7% | 28.9% | |
| 6 | G | Fr | 5'10" | 3-0 | 7.0 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 35.7% | 25.0% | 1.3 | — | 24.3% | |
| 42 | F | Jr | 6'7" | 2-0 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 50.0% | — | 0.0 | 100.0% | 16.3% | |
| 3 | G | Sr | 6'3" | 2-0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 50.0% | 0.0% | 0.5 | 100.0% | 27.8% | |
| 1 | G | Fr | 6'4" | 1-0 | 10.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 33.3% | 0.0% | 2.0 | — | 17.5% | |
| 24 | G | So | 5'11" | 2-0 | 4.5 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 75.0% | 100.0% | 0.5 | — | 12.5% | |
| 25 | C | Fr | 6'10" | 1-0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 50.0% | — | 0.0 | — | 43.9% | |
| 23 | F | Fr | 6'7" | 1-0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 150.0% | 100.0% | 1.0 | — | 14.6% | |
| 33 | F | Jr | 6'7" | 1-0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | 14.6% | |
| 20 | G | Fr | 6'4" | 1-0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0% | — | 0.0 | 66.7% | 47.3% | |
| 9 | G | Fr | 5'11" | 1-0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | 0.0% |
Trends
Results against the closing spread and total, last ten games, entering this gameNavy
Against the spread
Season
20-11-1
Home
9-6
Road
10-4-1
Last 10
7-2-1
avg cover +5.2
Covered 7 of 9 as a favorite
Over / under
Season
14-17-1
Home
9-6
Road
5-9-1
Last 10
7-2-1
avg vs total +5.4
Over 4 straightOver in 6 of 9 as a favorite, 1 push
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18 | Wake Forest | A | L 72–82 | +10.0 | P0.0 | 147.5 | O154 | 109.0 | 124.1 | 66.1 |
| Mar 8 | Boston U | H | L 72–73 | −7.0 | L−8.0 | 136.5 | O145 | 117.4 | 119.1 | 61.3 |
| Mar 5 | Bucknell | H | W 74–69 | −14.5 | L−9.5 | 132.5 | O143 | 118.1 | 110.1 | 62.7 |
| Feb 28 | Colgate | H | W 85–69 | −6.5 | W+9.5 | 142.0 | O154 | 127.8 | 103.7 | 66.5 |
| Feb 25 | Loyola MD | A | W 78–51 | −6.5 | W+20.5 | 146.5 | U129 | 128.1 | 83.8 | 60.9 |
| Feb 21 | Army | A | W 81–63 | −7.5 | W+10.5 | 137.5 | O144 | 126.5 | 98.4 | 64.0 |
| Feb 18 | Lehigh | H | W 72–49 | −10.0 | W+13.0 | 139.5 | U121 | 111.7 | 76.0 | 64.5 |
| Feb 14 | Colgate | A | W 84–80 OT | −2.0 | W+2.0 | 139.0 | O164 | 117.4 | 111.8 | 71.6 |
| Feb 9 | Bucknell | A | W 76–60 | −6.5 | W+9.5 | 136.0 | P136 | 109.9 | 86.7 | 69.2 |
| Feb 7 | American | H | W 82–73 | −4.5 | W+4.5 | 134.0 | O155 | 127.1 | 113.2 | 64.5 |
G Washington
Against the spread
Season
15-17-2
Home
8-5-2
Road
4-8
Last 10
4-6
avg cover −0.9
Missed the spread in the last gameCovered 3 of 6 as a favoriteCovered 1 of 4 as an underdog
Over / under
Season
16-18
Home
6-9
Road
5-7
Last 10
5-5
avg vs total −2.6
Under in the last gameOver in 2 of 6 as a favoriteOver in 3 of 4 as an underdog
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22 | New Mexico | A | L 61–86 | +7.0 | L−18.0 | 161.5 | U147 | 89.2 | 125.8 | 68.4 |
| Mar 18 | Utah Valley | A | W 79–78 | +1.5 | W+2.5 | 153.0 | O157 | 114.5 | 113.1 | 69.0 |
| Mar 13 | Saint Louis | N | L 81–88 | +6.5 | L−0.5 | 162.5 | O169 | 108.8 | 118.2 | 74.4 |
| Mar 12 | Fordham | N | W 66–62 | −6.0 | L−2.0 | 141.0 | U128 | 103.5 | 97.2 | 63.8 |
| Mar 7 | Loyola Chicago | A | L 62–68 | −9.5 | L−15.5 | 148.0 | U130 | 97.4 | 106.8 | 63.7 |
| Mar 4 | St Bonaventure | H | W 91–82 OT | −7.5 | W+1.5 | 157.0 | O173 | 115.1 | 103.7 | 79.1 |
| Feb 27 | Dayton | H | L 66–68 | −2.5 | L−4.5 | 152.0 | U134 | 98.7 | 101.7 | 66.9 |
| Feb 24 | La Salle | A | W 104–77 | −7.5 | W+19.5 | 148.0 | O181 | 143.5 | 106.3 | 72.5 |
| Feb 17 | VCU | A | L 75–89 | +6.0 | L−8.0 | 161.5 | O164 | 109.7 | 130.2 | 68.3 |
| Feb 13 | George Mason | H | W 72–53 | −3.5 | W+15.5 | 150.0 | U125 | 122.6 | 90.2 | 58.8 |
Records vs the closing line describe the past; ten games is a small sample.
Team comparison
national rank toned left for away, right for homeNavyG Washington
Efficiency
108.2
113.9
104.6
106.7
66.8
69.5
Shooting
53.1%
54.4%
52.7%
55.9%
35.8%
35.1%
73.6%
72.3%
38.8%
34.9%
Ball control & glass
16.8%
18.2%
18.3%
17.7%
31.9%
35.8%
27.4%
28.7%
9.2%
11.4%
7.8%
10.3%
Style
33.1%
47.0%
44.8%
42.2%
11.6%
11.7%
61.2%
55.4%
25.5%
33.7%
Roster
3.91
3.43
6'2.1"
6'6.6"
40.6%
12.2%
Offseason
roster movement into this season — descriptive, not a model inputNavy
Returning minutes: 40.6%Returning production: 29.4%
Lost
- Austin Benigni 36.1 mpg, 18.0 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Aidan Kehoe 33.6 mpg, 15.2 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Donovan Draper 25.4 mpg, 8.2 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Mike Woods 22.4 mpg, 6.6 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Sam Krist 1.6 mpg, 0.5 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Cam Cormany 1.1 mpg, 0.4 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
Added
- Justin Nordin no D1 minutes last season
- RJ Roche no D1 minutes last season
- JP Baldwin no D1 minutes last season
- Colin Pollock no D1 minutes last season
- Dylan Gassaway no D1 minutes last season
- Sam Pitrof no D1 minutes last season
No incoming D1 transfers are listed on ESPN's roster yet — until they are, returning shares read high.
Returns 41% of last season's minutes; lost 3 of its top 5.
G Washington
Returning minutes: 12.2%Returning production: 12.6%
Lost
- Trey Autry 27.9 mpg, 10.7 ppg · transferred to Wisconsin
- Christian Jones 25.6 mpg, 9.7 ppg · transferred to Murray St
- Rafael Castro 22.6 mpg, 12.7 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Tyrone Marshall Jr. 22.2 mpg, 8.3 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Tre Dinkins 21.1 mpg, 8.8 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Garrett Johnson 18.7 mpg, 9.5 ppg · transferred to South Florida
Added
- Andrew Phillips from Lafayette · 33.4 mpg, 13.9 ppg last season
- Omari Witherspoon from Pitt · 27.8 mpg, 7.5 ppg last season
- Aidan Shaw from Boston College · 25.5 mpg, 4.5 ppg last season
- Dylan James from Georgia · 15.0 mpg, 4.5 ppg last season
- Terrance Arceneaux from NC State · 14.0 mpg, 3.4 ppg last season
- Felix Kossaras from Colorado · 13.9 mpg, 3.9 ppg last season
Returns 12% of last season's minutes; lost 4 of its top 5 (2 transferred). Teams returning under 40% of last season's minutes have historically fallen about 0.8 points of AdjEM (n=716 team-seasons, 2022-2026).
Line history
Market line, home spread or game totalLines by book
| Book | Spread (home) open → now | Total open → now | ML home | ML away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | -15.5→-18.5-115 | 148.5→149.5o-108 u-112 | -2800 | +1300 |
| FanDuel | -17.5→-19.5-115 | 149.5o-110 u-110 | -4500 | +1600 |
| BetMGM | -19.5-105 | 149.5o-105 u-115 | -3000 | +1250 |
| BetRivers | -15.5→-19.5-107 | 148.5→150.5o-107 u-117 | — | +1400 |
| Caesars | -16→-19-110 | 148→149o-110 u-110 | -3500 | +1350 |
| Fanatics | -16→-19-110 | 149→149.5o-105 u-115 | -4000 | +1800 |
| BetOnline | -15.5→-19-110 | 149.5→149o-110 u-110 | — | — |
| Bovada | -15.5→-18.5-105 | 149.5o-110 u-110 | — | +1300 |
| theScore Bet | -16.5→-19.5-110 | 149.5o-110 u-110 | — | +1500 |
| Hard Rock | -16.5→-19.5-105 | 148.5→149.5o-115 u-105 | — | +1400 |
| Kalshi | -16.5→-19.5+104 | 149.5o+113 u-117 | -1900 | +1567 |
| Polymarket | — | — | -1567 | +1329 |
| Novig | -16.5→-19.5+104 | 149.5o+100 u-108 | -2603 | +1438 |
DraftKings
FanDuel
BetMGM
BetRivers
Caesars
Fanatics
BetOnline
Bovada
theScore Bet
Hard Rock
Kalshi
Polymarket
Novigopen = first-sighted line for this event · now = latest capture
Head-to-head
this season and lastNo meetings the last two seasons.
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The CBB Matchups tab lays out the day's Division I slate: matchup, tip time, records and rank, and — once posted — the market spread and total (the median across books when no market line is up). Three views switch the table between projected scores, pace and totals, and each team's offensive and defensive tendencies. Each game opens into opponent-adjusted possessions, efficiency and four-factor tendencies for both teams, plus recent form, rotation and head-to-head history. Every game also carries our projected score, spread and total, from our line: the same view our bets are made from.
What these numbers mean: line shopping.