Miami Hurricanes vs Florida Gators basketball final score
Mon, Nov 2 · 6:00 PM ET · Benchmark International Arena, Tampa, FL (neutral site)
Orion180 Tipoff ClassicNeutral siteNon-conferenceESPNEWSBenchmark International Arena, Tampa, FL
14Miami
2025-26: 26-9 · 14-6 conf
Efficiency #30
vs
1Florida
2025-26: 27-8 · 17-3 conf
Efficiency #5
Final
6777
Final score
Projected 74.5 – 85.0
MIA win 18%FLA win 82%
MarketClose
Spread
FLA −7.0
open FLA −6.5
Total
159.5
open 159.5
Our line
FLA −10.5
as of Mon, Nov 2 · 5:51 PM ET
Our play
How our line is built
each step, from an even game to our lineSpread
Even game
0.0
Floridarated 25.1 above average
+25.1
Miamirated 14.6 above average
−14.6
Our line
FLA −10.5
◂ Miami sideFlorida side ▸
The spread is seen from the home side: a plus moves it toward Florida. Our total joins once both teams have played 3 games.
Pace & total
possessions per 40 minutesTempo, possessions per 40 minutes
Projected possessions: 70.6, from each team's opponent-adjusted tempo. On raw 2025-26 season pace, Florida is the faster team (72.0, #23 of 365) and Miami the slower (69.2, #137). When tempos clash, the slower team usually pulls the pace harder (weights 0.80 vs 0.66).
Projected possessions
70.6
per team, 40 min
Market total
159.5
Market close · open 159.5
Adjusted tempo, vs an average opponent
68.7#145
Miami
70.2#35
Florida
How this game plays
points this game from the four factors, vs an average D-I matchupOur line
FLA −10.5
Four factors 2.6Not in these stats 7.9
From the four factors
Florida has the ball+4.2
Miami has the ball+1.6
Florida has the ball
✓Wins second chancesOR% 43.3% #2 · MIA allows 25.9% #19+2.9
✓Shoots it welleFG% 54.1% #63 · MIA allows 51.7% #198+2.0
✗Coughs it upTO% 16.3% #160 · MIA forces 18.2% #88 · ~12 turnovers−0.5
✗Few trips to the lineFTR 39.0% #80 · MIA allows 29.5% #50 · FT 71.2% #232−0.2
Miami has the ball
✓Takes care of the ballTO% 16.2% #150 · FLA forces 15.3% #269 · ~11 turnovers+1.2
✓Wins second chancesOR% 37.2% #14 · FLA allows 24.8% #7+0.9
✗Tough shooting lookeFG% 55.3% #32 · FLA allows 46.1% #10−0.2
✗Few trips to the lineFTR 37.1% #125 · FLA allows 34.0% #153 · FT 68.3% #320−0.2
Shot diet
Where each offense shoots from and where each defense lets teams shoot · 2025-26 numbers#14Miamioffense vs#1Floridadefense
Share of shots by zone
Miami shoots
46.5
7.6
14.7
31.1
Florida allows
38.8
7.9
20.9
32.4
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 64.2%#34 | 50.6%#5 | 58.5% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 35.6%#275 | 34.8%#53 | 39.4% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 42.0%#54 | 34.9%#73 | 38.1% |
| Three | 34.9%#127 | 32.1%#66 | 33.7% |
#1Floridaoffense vs#14Miamidefense
Share of shots by zone
Florida shoots
44.2
7.3
10.3
38.2
Miami allows
33.7
7.8
17.9
40.6
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 64.9%#24 | 59.8%#219 | 58.5% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 45.9%#52 | 44.3%#277 | 39.4% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 40.4%#97 | 37.3%#138 | 38.1% |
| Three | 31.2%#315 | 35.8%#296 | 33.7% |
RimShort 2 (≤9 ft)Mid 2 (10 ft+)Three
Zones from play-by-play shot descriptions; garbage time removed. Bars show the share of field-goal attempts in each zone; where a slice is too thin for its number, the shares are listed under the bar. FG% ranks: #1 = best for that side (most accurate shooting, stingiest defense).
Shot volume
Extra scoring chances from rebounds, turnovers and the foul line · 2025-26 numbers#14Miami
+7.2extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#7 of 365
Off reb %
37.2%
#14
Def reb %
74.1%
#19
Turnover %
16.2%
#150
Forced TO %
18.2%
#88
FT rate
37.1%
#125
FT allowed
29.5%
#50
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding+2.2
Defensive rebounding+1.5
Ball security+0.4
Forcing turnovers+1.0
Foul shots drawn+0.5
Foul shots allowed+1.5
#1Florida
+6.7extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#8 of 365
Off reb %
43.3%
#2
Def reb %
75.2%
#7
Turnover %
16.3%
#160
Forced TO %
15.3%
#269
FT rate
39.0%
#80
FT allowed
34.0%
#153
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding+4.2
Defensive rebounding+1.9
Ball security+0.3
Forcing turnovers−1.0
Foul shots drawn+1.0
Foul shots allowed+0.3
Miami has more extra scoring chances per game: +7.2 (#7 of 365) to Florida’s +6.7 (#8).
Grade = extra shots and foul-line trips per game compared with a D-I average team, built from six season rates. Cell shading is the national rank for each rate (greener = better for that team).
Rotation
#14Miami2025-26 numbers
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 55 | G | So | 6'2" | 3-3 | 32.7 | 10.3 | 3.7 | 4.3 | 2.3 | 39.4% | 16.7% | 4.0 | 83.3% | 23.5% | |
| 7 | F | So | 6'6" | 3-3 | 28.3 | 13.3 | 6.3 | 3.0 | 1.7 | 43.6% | 0.0% | 2.0 | 85.7% | 30.0% | |
| 11 | F | Fr | 6'8" | 3-3 | 22.3 | 9.0 | 4.7 | 1.0 | 1.7 | 54.3% | 37.5% | 2.7 | 40.0% | 24.4% | |
| 2 | C | Jr | 6'11" | 3-3 | 22.0 | 10.7 | 5.7 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 57.1% | — | 0.0 | 80.0% | 20.0% | |
| 5 | F | Sr | 6'9" | 3-3 | 21.3 | 11.0 | 4.3 | 1.0 | 1.7 | 60.9% | 50.0% | 1.3 | 55.6% | 27.3% | |
| 35 | G | So | 6'4" | 3-0 | 19.0 | 6.3 | 5.0 | 3.3 | 1.7 | 42.9% | 0.0% | 2.0 | 87.5% | 21.5% | |
| 3 | G | Sr | 6'7" | 3-0 | 15.3 | 4.7 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 43.8% | 28.6% | 4.7 | — | 22.0% | |
| 6 | F | Jr | 6'10" | 3-0 | 14.3 | 7.7 | 3.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 76.9% | — | 0.0 | 75.0% | 18.4% | |
| 1 | G | Sr | 6'3" | 3-0 | 13.7 | 4.3 | 2.0 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 40.6% | 25.0% | 4.0 | 0.0% | 24.2% | |
| 10 | C | Sr | 6'11" | 3-0 | 6.0 | 2.3 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 37.5% | — | 0.0 | 50.0% | 30.1% | |
| 0 | F | Jr | 6'8" | 2-0 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.5 | — | 7.6% | |
| 8 | F | Fr | 6'10" | 1-0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | 56.7% |
Trends
Results against the closing spread and total, last ten games, entering this game#14Miami
Against the spread
Season
19-15-1
Home
8-9-1
Road
8-2
Last 10
6-4
avg cover +1.5
Missed the spread in the last gameCovered 3 of 5 as a favoriteCovered 3 of 5 as an underdog
Over / under
Season
22-13
Home
13-5
Road
6-4
Last 10
6-4
avg vs total +1.1
Over 3 straightOver in 3 of 5 as a favoriteOver in 3 of 5 as an underdog
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22 | #2Purdue | N | L 69–79 | +8.0 | L−2.0 | 146.5 | O148 | 105.2 | 120.4 | 65.6 |
| Mar 20 | #10Missouri | N | W 80–66 | −1.0 | W+13.0 | 145.5 | O146 | 119.1 | 98.3 | 67.2 |
| Mar 13 | #10Virginia | N | L 62–84 | +3.5 | L−18.5 | 145.0 | O146 | 99.3 | 134.6 | 62.4 |
| Mar 12 | #24Louisville | N | W 78–73 | +1.5 | W+6.5 | 153.5 | U151 | 114.0 | 106.7 | 68.4 |
| Mar 7 | Louisville | H | L 89–92 | −1.5 | L−4.5 | 155.5 | O181 | 138.1 | 142.7 | 64.5 |
| Mar 4 | SMU | A | W 77–69 | +1.5 | W+9.5 | 156.5 | U146 | 111.0 | 99.4 | 69.4 |
| Feb 28 | Boston College | H | W 76–54 | −16.0 | W+6.0 | 144.5 | U130 | 117.6 | 83.6 | 64.6 |
| Feb 24 | Florida St | A | W 83–73 | −2.0 | W+8.0 | 153.5 | O156 | 117.2 | 103.1 | 70.8 |
| Feb 21 | #14Virginia | A | L 83–86 | +7.5 | W+4.5 | 146.5 | O169 | 128.1 | 132.7 | 64.8 |
| Feb 17 | Virginia Tech | H | W 67–66 | −8.5 | L−7.5 | 148.0 | U133 | 106.7 | 105.1 | 62.8 |
#1Florida
Against the spread
Season
19-16
Home
7-8
Road
9-1
Last 10
6-4
avg cover +2.8
Missed the spread in the last gameCovered 6 of 10 as a favoriteCovered 4 of 7 with a line of 10+
Over / under
Season
14-20-1
Home
6-9
Road
3-7
Last 10
5-4-1
avg vs total +3.0
Over in 5 of 10 as a favorite, 1 pushOver in 4 of 7 with a line of 10+, 1 push
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22 | #9Iowa | N | L 72–73 | −10.0 | L−11.0 | 145.0 | P145 | 117.8 | 119.4 | 61.1 |
| Mar 20 | #16Prairie View | N | W 114–55 | −35.0 | W+24.0 | 154.0 | O169 | 164.5 | 79.4 | 69.3 |
| Mar 14 | #22Vanderbilt | N | L 74–91 | −7.0 | L−24.0 | 160.0 | O165 | 115.8 | 142.4 | 63.9 |
| Mar 13 | Kentucky | N | W 71–63 | −10.0 | L−2.0 | 160.5 | U134 | 97.1 | 86.2 | 73.1 |
| Mar 7 | Kentucky | A | W 84–77 | −5.5 | W+1.5 | 162.0 | U161 | 117.3 | 107.6 | 71.6 |
| Mar 3 | Mississippi St | H | W 108–74 | −21.0 | W+13.0 | 160.5 | O182 | 143.9 | 98.6 | 75.1 |
| Feb 28 | #20Arkansas | H | W 111–77 | −10.5 | W+23.5 | 170.0 | O188 | 137.4 | 95.3 | 80.8 |
| Feb 25 | Texas | A | W 84–71 | −7.0 | W+6.0 | 158.5 | U155 | 130.1 | 110.0 | 64.5 |
| Feb 21 | Ole Miss | A | W 94–75 | −13.5 | W+5.5 | 150.5 | O169 | 122.2 | 97.5 | 76.9 |
| Feb 17 | South Carolina | H | W 76–62 | −23.0 | L−9.0 | 155.0 | U138 | 113.4 | 92.5 | 67.0 |
Records vs the closing line describe the past; ten games is a small sample.
Team comparison
national rank toned left for away, right for home#14Miami#1Florida
Efficiency
115.6
118.9
102.9
97.6
68.7
70.2
Shooting
55.3%
54.1%
56.7%
58.5%
34.9%
31.2%
68.3%
71.2%
37.1%
39.0%
Ball control & glass
16.2%
16.3%
18.2%
15.3%
37.2%
43.3%
25.9%
24.8%
9.7%
9.0%
10.2%
7.0%
Style
31.9%
37.0%
51.9%
50.2%
14.2%
18.2%
54.4%
55.0%
25.0%
27.5%
Roster
3.04
3.71
6'5.9"
6'6.5"
42.5%
78.8%
Offseason
roster movement into this season — descriptive, not a model input#14Miami
Returning minutes: 42.5%Returning production: 45.1%
Lost
- Tre Donaldson 34.1 mpg, 16.4 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Ernest Udeh Jr. 26.7 mpg, 6.3 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Tru Washington 24.3 mpg, 10.6 ppg · transferred to Xavier
- Timo Malovec 14.1 mpg, 3.9 ppg · transferred to Kansas St
- Noam Dovrat 7.3 mpg, 2.9 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Salih Altuntas 7.1 mpg, 1.5 ppg · transferred to Saint Mary's
Added
- Brent Bland from Saint Peter's · 33.1 mpg, 13.9 ppg last season
- DeSean Goode from Robert Morris · 31.0 mpg, 15.2 ppg last season
- Acaden Lewis from Villanova · 30.5 mpg, 12.2 ppg last season
- Nick Dorn from Indiana · 21.8 mpg, 7.6 ppg last season
- Somto Cyril from Georgia · 21.1 mpg, 9.3 ppg last season
- Robert Miller III from LSU · 18.8 mpg, 5.9 ppg last season
Returns 42% of last season's minutes; lost 3 of its top 5 (1 transferred).
#1Florida
Returning minutes: 78.8%Returning production: 79.0%
Lost
- Xaivian Lee 27.4 mpg, 11.6 ppg · transferred to Gonzaga
- Micah Handlogten 14.4 mpg, 4.0 ppg · transferred to Ole Miss
- Olivier Rioux 0.5 mpg, 0.2 ppg · transferred to UC Irvine
- Cooper Josefsberg 0.1 mpg, 0.1 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
Added
- Denzel Aberdeen from Kentucky · 30.6 mpg, 13.5 ppg last season
- Jones Lay no D1 minutes last season
- Arturas Butajevas no D1 minutes last season
- AJ Brown no D1 minutes last season
- Domen Petrovic no D1 minutes last season
Returns 79% of last season's minutes; lost 1 of its top 5 (1 transferred). Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026).
Line history
Market line, home spread or game totalLines by book
| Book | Spread (home) open → now | Total open → now | ML home | ML away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | -6.5-112 | 159.5o-105 u-115 | -278 | +225 |
| FanDuel | -6.5-114 | 159.5o-106 u-114 | -260 | +210 |
| BetMGM | — | 161.5→158.5o-118 u-102 | -275 | +220 |
| BetRivers | -6.5-118 | 159.5o-110 u-113 | -250 | +190 |
| Caesars | -6-110 | 160→159o-110 u-110 | -278 | +222 |
| Fanatics | -6.5-115 | 159.5o-105 u-115 | -260 | +210 |
| BetOnline | -5.5→-6-108 | 161.5→159.5o-110 u-110 | -270 | +222 |
| Bovada | -4.5→-6.5-105 | 161.5→159o-110 u-110 | -290 | +240 |
| theScore Bet | -6.5-110 | 159.5o-105 u-115 | -275 | +225 |
| Hard Rock | -6.5-115 | 159.5o-110 u-110 | -260 | +220 |
| Kalshi | -4.5→-6.5-104 | 159.5o+100 u-104 | -285 | +270 |
| Polymarket | — | — | -270 | +257 |
| Novig | -5.5→— | 159.5o+102 u-104 | -277 | +264 |
DraftKings
FanDuel
BetMGM
BetRivers
Caesars
Fanatics
BetOnline
Bovada
theScore Bet
Hard Rock
Kalshi
Polymarket
Novigopen = first-sighted line for this event · now = latest capture
Head-to-head
this season and last| Date | Season | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Sun, Nov 16 | 2025-26 | Miami 68 – 82 Florida(N) |
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The CBB Matchups tab lays out the day's Division I slate: matchup, tip time, records and rank, and — once posted — the market spread and total (the median across books when no market line is up). Three views switch the table between projected scores, pace and totals, and each team's offensive and defensive tendencies. Each game opens into opponent-adjusted possessions, efficiency and four-factor tendencies for both teams, plus recent form, rotation and head-to-head history. Every game also carries our projected score, spread and total, from our line: the same view our bets are made from.
What these numbers mean: line shopping.