Ohio State Buckeyes vs BYU Cougars basketball final score

Mon, Nov 2 · 9:00 PM ET · Delta Center, Salt Lake City, UT (neutral site)

Bad Boy Mowers SeriesNeutral siteNon-conferenceFS1Delta Center, Salt Lake City, UT
Ohio State
2025-26: 21-13 · 13-9 conf
Efficiency #31
vs
25BYU
2025-26: 23-12 · 11-10 conf
Efficiency #26
Final
8394
Final score
Projected 78.1 – 81.9
OSU win 37%BYU win 63%
MarketClose
Spread
BYU −3.5
open BYU −1.5
Total
160.5
open 160.0
Our line
BYU −3.8
as of Mon, Nov 2 · 8:51 PM ET

Our play

How our line is built

each step, from an even game to our line
Spread
Even game
0.0
BYUrated 18.4 above average
+18.4
Ohio Staterated 14.6 above average
−14.6
Our line
BYU −3.8
◂ Ohio State sideBYU side ▸

The spread is seen from the home side: a plus moves it toward BYU. Our total joins once both teams have played 3 games.

Pace & total

possessions per 40 minutes
Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes

Projected possessions: 69.0, from each team's opponent-adjusted tempo. On raw 2025-26 season pace, BYU is the faster team (70.4, #80 of 365) and Ohio State the slower (66.4, #278). When tempos clash, the slower team usually pulls the pace harder (weights 0.80 vs 0.66).

Projected possessions
69.0
per team, 40 min
Market total
160.5
Market close · open 160.0
Adjusted tempo, vs an average opponent
67.5#255
Ohio State
69.9#56
BYU

How this game plays

points this game from the four factors, vs an average D-I matchup
Our line
BYU −3.8
Four factors 0.2Not in these stats 3.6
From the four factors
BYU has the ball+3.9
Ohio State has the ball+3.8
BYU has the ball
✓Takes care of the ballTO% 15.2% #80 · OSU forces 15.6% #242 · ~10 turnovers+1.4
✓Shoots it welleFG% 54.4% #54 · OSU allows 50.2% #114+1.3
✓Wins second chancesOR% 34.3% #61 · OSU allows 30.0% #160+1.1
✓Gets to the lineFTR 34.4% #198 · OSU allows 34.7% #170 · FT 74.7% #94+0.1
Ohio State has the ball
✓Shoots it welleFG% 56.2% #19 · BYU allows 51.2% #174+2.9
✓Takes care of the ballTO% 15.3% #91 · BYU forces 16.4% #196 · ~11 turnovers+1.0
✗Few second chancesOR% 30.4% #185 · BYU allows 29.6% #145−0.2
✓Gets to the lineFTR 37.2% #122 · BYU allows 28.9% #42 · FT 77.7% #21+0.1

Shot diet

Where each offense shoots from and where each defense lets teams shoot · 2025-26 numbers
Ohio Stateoffense vs#25BYUdefense
Share of shots by zone
Ohio State shoots
BYU allows
D-I average
FG% by zone
ZoneD-I avg
Rim66.1%#1461.2%#27458.5%
Short 2 (≤9 ft)50.3%#1235.4%#7039.4%
Mid 2 (10 ft+)47.6%#441.0%#27638.1%
Three35.7%#7235.3%#26933.7%
#25BYUoffense vsOhio Statedefense
Share of shots by zone
BYU shoots
Ohio State allows
D-I average
FG% by zone
ZoneD-I avg
Rim65.4%#1759.8%#22058.5%
Short 2 (≤9 ft)40.5%#16438.4%#14339.4%
Mid 2 (10 ft+)44.0%#2642.7%#32838.1%
Three34.5%#14531.9%#5733.7%
RimShort 2 (≤9 ft)Mid 2 (10 ft+)Three

Zones from play-by-play shot descriptions; garbage time removed. Bars show the share of field-goal attempts in each zone; where a slice is too thin for its number, the shares are listed under the bar. FG% ranks: #1 = best for that side (most accurate shooting, stingiest defense).

Shot volume

Extra scoring chances from rebounds, turnovers and the foul line · 2025-26 numbers
Ohio State
+1.2extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#132 of 365
Off reb %
30.4%
#185
Def reb %
70.0%
#160
Turnover %
15.3%
#91
Forced TO %
15.6%
#242
FT rate
37.2%
#122
FT allowed
34.7%
#170
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding0.0
Defensive rebounding+0.2
Ball security+1.0
Forcing turnovers−0.7
Foul shots drawn+0.6
Foul shots allowed+0.1
#25BYU
+3.9extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#38 of 365
Off reb %
34.3%
#61
Def reb %
70.4%
#145
Turnover %
15.2%
#80
Forced TO %
16.4%
#196
FT rate
34.4%
#198
FT allowed
28.9%
#42
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding+1.3
Defensive rebounding+0.3
Ball security+1.1
Forcing turnovers−0.2
Foul shots drawn−0.2
Foul shots allowed+1.6

BYU has more extra scoring chances per game: +3.9 (#38 of 365) to Ohio State’s +1.2 (#132).

Grade = extra shots and foul-line trips per game compared with a D-I average team, built from six season rates. Cell shading is the national rank for each rate (greener = better for that team).

Rotation

Ohio State2025-26 numbers
#PlayerPosClHtGP-GSMPGPPGRPGAPGTOVeFG%3P%3PA/gFT%Usage
0GJr6'2"3-332.019.32.35.01.764.1%36.8%6.394.4%25.9%
1FSo6'8"3-331.715.05.72.72.762.0%33.3%3.087.5%23.5%
10GJr6'4"3-325.010.34.02.32.055.3%50.0%2.066.7%23.5%
4FJr6'11"3-323.315.07.30.71.061.8%28.6%2.3100.0%29.9%
6FFr6'9"3-319.05.74.00.70.327.8%18.2%3.777.8%22.4%
3GSr6'4"3-018.08.03.31.30.737.5%10.0%3.3100.0%26.5%
14GFr6'4"3-016.72.71.71.71.020.8%14.3%2.375.0%18.5%
17FSr6'10"3-013.33.31.70.00.342.9%—0.066.7%15.0%
2GJr6'3"3-012.72.71.71.01.362.5%33.3%1.075.0%14.5%
23FFr6'9"3-04.00.70.00.00.3100.0%—0.0—9.5%
7CJr7'2"3-03.32.30.00.00.0100.0%—0.050.0%21.4%
9FFr6'9"1-01.01.01.00.00.0——0.050.0%52.7%
55GJr6'3"1-01.00.00.00.00.0——0.0—0.0%
88FFr7'1"1-01.00.00.00.00.0——0.0—0.0%

Team comparison

national rank toned left for away, right for home
Ohio State#25BYU
Efficiency
117.1
117.9
104.6
104.2
67.5
69.9
Shooting
56.2%
54.4%
58.0%
56.2%
35.7%
34.5%
77.7%
74.7%
37.2%
34.4%
Ball control & glass
15.3%
15.2%
15.6%
16.4%
30.4%
34.3%
30.0%
29.6%
8.1%
8.9%
8.9%
8.1%
Style
40.1%
39.8%
43.4%
45.4%
8.5%
15.6%
52.6%
45.0%
23.7%
26.2%
Roster
3.00
3.35
6'5.5"
6'6.8"
33.5%
26.7%

Offseason

roster movement into this season — descriptive, not a model input
Ohio State
Returning minutes: 33.5%Returning production: 32.0%
Lost
  • Bruce Thornton 36.6 mpg, 19.9 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
  • Devin Royal 30.6 mpg, 12.9 ppg · transferred to Villanova
  • Christoph Tilly 24.5 mpg, 10.4 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
  • Gabe Cupps 11.9 mpg, 1.6 ppg · transferred to UIC
  • Taison Chatman 10.6 mpg, 3.6 ppg · transferred to Utah
  • Brandon Noel 8.9 mpg, 3.1 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
Added
  • Jimmie Williams from Duquesne · 29.7 mpg, 15.1 ppg last season
  • Justin Pippen from California · 29.0 mpg, 13.4 ppg last season
  • Curtis Givens III from Memphis · 20.0 mpg, 7.4 ppg last season
  • Andrija Jelavic from Kentucky · 14.0 mpg, 4.9 ppg last season
  • LJ Smith no D1 minutes last season
  • Vuk Lazarevic no D1 minutes last season

Returns 33% of last season's minutes; lost 3 of its top 5 (1 transferred). Teams returning under 40% of last season's minutes have historically fallen about 0.8 points of AdjEM (n=716 team-seasons, 2022-2026).

#25BYU
Returning minutes: 26.7%Returning production: 25.8%
Lost
  • AJ Dybantsa 34.8 mpg, 25.5 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
  • Kennard Davis Jr. 27.0 mpg, 7.7 ppg · transferred to Missouri
  • Richie Saunders 22.3 mpg, 12.9 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
  • Keba Keita 21.3 mpg, 5.9 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
  • Mihailo Boskovic 11.6 mpg, 2.9 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
  • Aleksej Kostic 9.2 mpg, 3.4 ppg · transferred to Northwestern
Added
  • Jaxon Kohler from Michigan St · 27.7 mpg, 12.5 ppg last season
  • Collin Chandler from Kentucky · 27.1 mpg, 9.7 ppg last season
  • Jake Wahlin from Clemson · 20.5 mpg, 5.3 ppg last season
  • Tyler Betsey from Syracuse · 17.5 mpg, 6.5 ppg last season
  • Adam Stewart from TCU · 0.1 mpg, 0.1 ppg last season
  • Brooks Bahr no D1 minutes last season

Returns 27% of last season's minutes; lost 4 of its top 5 (1 transferred). Teams returning under 40% of last season's minutes have historically fallen about 0.8 points of AdjEM (n=716 team-seasons, 2022-2026).

Line history

Market line, home spread or game total

Lines by book

BookSpread (home) open → nowTotal open → nowML homeML away
DraftKings-1.5→-3.5-110160.5o-112 u-108-166+140
FanDuel-2.5→-3.5-115160.5o-110 u-110-176+146
BetMGM—160.5o-110 u-110-170+140
BetRivers-2.5→-3.5-113160.5→159.5o-113 u-110-162+130
Caesars-2.5→-3.5-110160→160.5o-110 u-110-165+140
Fanatics-1.5→-3.5-110160→160.5o-110 u-110-165+135
BetOnline-2.5→-3.5-110161→160.5o-110 u-110-160+140
Bovada-3.5-105160.5→161o-110 u-110-160+135
theScore Bet-1.5→-3.5+100160.5o-110 u-110-165+140
Hard Rock-2.5→-3.5-110160.5→159.5o-110 u-110-170+145
Kalshi-1.5→-3.5-104160.5o-108 u+104-163+150
Polymarket——-156+150
Novig-2.5→-3.5-102160.5o-108 u+102-153+150
open = first-sighted line for this event · now = latest capture

Head-to-head

this season and last
No meetings the last two seasons.

More games on Mon, Nov 2

← Sun, Nov 1 · Tue, Nov 3 → · Full season schedule

The CBB Matchups tab lays out the day's Division I slate: matchup, tip time, records and rank, and — once posted — the market spread and total (the median across books when no market line is up). Three views switch the table between projected scores, pace and totals, and each team's offensive and defensive tendencies. Each game opens into opponent-adjusted possessions, efficiency and four-factor tendencies for both teams, plus recent form, rotation and head-to-head history. Every game also carries our projected score, spread and total, from our line: the same view our bets are made from.

What these numbers mean: line shopping.