Tennessee Titans @ Dallas Cowboys — Prediction & Odds, NFL Week 11 2026

Sunday, November 22, 2026 · 1:00 PM ET · AT&T Stadium (retractable roof)

Prediction: Cowboys 29, Titans 22 (market-implied). The market gives the Dallas Cowboys a 78% chance to win. · Updated

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Every angle of Titans @ Cowboys, on one screen.

Titans21.6win 22%
Market-implied score
Cowboys29.1win 78%
SpreadDAL -7.5
Total50.75
Moneyline+340 / -440
  • The market-implied score next to the spread and total
  • Player projections against their prop lines, with the best price
  • What decides it: each passing matchup, protection and pace
  • Who is out and how much they play, and the best price on every side
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Titans vs Cowboys prediction

The market makes Dallas Cowboys a 7.5-point favorite over Tennessee Titans, with the game total at 50.75.

Moneylines sit at +340 for Tennessee Titans and -440 for Dallas Cowboys, a devigged 78% win probability for Dallas Cowboys; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 21.6 for Tennessee Titans and 29.1 for Dallas Cowboys.

The total has moved from 49.75 to 50.75.

The Sport Stack's nflsim engine projects Tennessee Titans — Cam Ward (QB) at 213 passing yards and 14 rushing yards, Tony Pollard (RB) at 68 rushing yards and 12 receiving yards; Dallas Cowboys — Dak Prescott (QB) at 261 passing yards and 12 rushing yards, CeeDee Lamb (WR) at 1 rushing yards and 89 receiving yards.

Kickoff is Sunday, November 22, 2026 · 1:00 PM ET, at AT&T Stadium, indoors.

New to these numbers? How devigging turns a price into a probability, how sportsbooks set these lines, what expected value means, and why to shop the number.

Consensus market

Consensus market for Titans at Cowboys — lines as of Fri, 11/13 · 10:45 PM ET
MarketConsensus
SpreadDAL -7.5
Total50.75 (open 49.75)
Moneyline (TEN / DAL)+340 / -440
DAL implied win probability78%
Implied team totals (TEN — DAL)21.6 — 29.1

Devigged cross-book consensus, updated as lines move. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.

Titans and Cowboys this season

Games before Week 11. Against the spread and over/under are graded against the consensus line.
TeamRecordAgainst the spreadOver/underPoints forPoints againstDays of rest
Tennessee Titans1-74-44-418.024.97
Dallas Cowboys4-55-46-327.326.27

Titans' last 3 games: L 36-43 @ CIN · L 24-27 vs CLE · W 26-20 @ IND.

Cowboys' last 3 games: W 27-23 @ IND · L 30-33 vs ARI · W 38-21 @ PHI.

Player projections

Tennessee Titans · 21.6 market-implied pts
Cam Ward (QB) — 213 pass yds · 14 rush yds
Tony Pollard (RB) — 68 rush yds · 12 rec yds
Carnell Tate (WR) — 55 rec yds · 4.7 rec
Dallas Cowboys · 29.1 market-implied pts
Dak Prescott (QB) — 261 pass yds · 12 rush yds
CeeDee Lamb (WR) — 1 rush yds · 89 rec yds
Javonte Williams (RB) — 72 rush yds · 14 rec yds

Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.

What decides Titans @ Cowboys, who is out and how much they play, the best price on every side, and every book's number.

Open the Titans @ Cowboys matchup →

Retractable-roof stadium: the outdoor forecast applies only if the roof is open. Every game's conditions are on the NFL slate.

More Week 11 games

← Week 10 · Week 12 → · Full 2026 schedule

Titans 2026 schedule

Cowboys 2026 schedule