Jacksonville Jaguars @ New York Giants — Prediction & Odds, NFL Week 11 2026

Sunday, November 22, 2026 · 1:00 PM ET · MetLife Stadium

Prediction: Jaguars 25, Giants 19 (market-implied). The market gives the Jacksonville Jaguars a 69% chance to win. · Updated

The full matchup dashboard

Every angle of Jaguars @ Giants, on one screen.

Jaguars25.3win 69%
Market-implied score
Giants19.3win 31%
SpreadJAX -6
Total44.5
Moneyline-262 / +212
  • The market-implied score next to the spread and total
  • Player projections against their prop lines, with the best price
  • What decides it: each passing matchup, protection and pace
  • Who is out and how much they play, and the best price on every side
Open the full matchup →All Access

Jaguars vs Giants prediction

The market makes Jacksonville Jaguars a 6-point favorite over New York Giants, with the game total at 44.5.

Moneylines sit at -262 for Jacksonville Jaguars and +212 for New York Giants, a devigged 31% win probability for New York Giants; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 25.3 for Jacksonville Jaguars and 19.3 for New York Giants.

The spread has moved from JAX -5.5 to JAX -6 since it opened and the total has moved from 45.25 to 44.5.

The Sport Stack's nflsim engine projects Jacksonville Jaguars — Trevor Lawrence (QB) at 230 passing yards and 14 rushing yards, Bhayshul Tuten (RB) at 68 rushing yards and 14 receiving yards; New York Giants — J.J. McCarthy (QB) at 239 passing yards and 17 rushing yards, Malik Nabers (WR) at 79 receiving yards and 6.8 catches.

Kickoff is Sunday, November 22, 2026 · 1:00 PM ET, at MetLife Stadium, New York Giants take the extra rest, 10 days to 7.

New to these numbers? How devigging turns a price into a probability, how sportsbooks set these lines, what expected value means, and why to shop the number.

Consensus market

Consensus market for Jaguars at Giants — lines as of Fri, 11/13 · 10:45 PM ET
MarketConsensus
SpreadJAX -6 (open JAX -5.5)
Total44.5 (open 45.25)
Moneyline (JAX / NYG)-262 / +212
NYG implied win probability31%
Implied team totals (JAX — NYG)25.3 — 19.3

Devigged cross-book consensus, updated as lines move. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.

Jaguars and Giants this season

Games before Week 11. Against the spread and over/under are graded against the consensus line.
TeamRecordAgainst the spreadOver/underPoints forPoints againstDays of rest
Jacksonville Jaguars6-25-34-428.615.17
New York Giants5-3-16-36-322.621.810

Jaguars' last 3 games: W 33-10 @ BAL · W 42-7 vs IND · L 31-34 vs HOU.

Giants' last 3 games: L 21-24 vs WAS · W 19-11 @ PHI · W 27-21 @ HOU.

Player projections

Jacksonville Jaguars · 25.3 market-implied pts
Trevor Lawrence (QB) — 230 pass yds · 14 rush yds
Bhayshul Tuten (RB) — 68 rush yds · 14 rec yds
Parker Washington (WR) — 1 rush yds · 55 rec yds
New York Giants · 19.3 market-implied pts
J.J. McCarthy (QB) — 239 pass yds · 17 rush yds
Malik Nabers (WR) — 79 rec yds · 6.8 rec
Cam Skattebo (RB) — 60 rush yds · 13 rec yds

Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.

What decides Jaguars @ Giants, who is out and how much they play, the best price on every side, and every book's number.

Open the Jaguars @ Giants matchup →

Kickoff forecast: 58°F, wind 5 mph from the SSW, 8% chance of precipitation. Every game's conditions are on the NFL slate.

More Week 11 games

← Week 10 · Week 12 → · Full 2026 schedule

Jaguars 2026 schedule

Giants 2026 schedule