New York Jets @ Los Angeles Chargers — Prediction & Odds, NFL Week 11 2026

Sunday, November 22, 2026 · 4:05 PM ET · SoFi Stadium (indoors)

Prediction: Chargers 22, Jets 21 (market-implied). The market gives the Los Angeles Chargers a 53% chance to win. · Updated

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Every angle of Jets @ Chargers, on one screen.

Jets20.8win 47%
Market-implied score
Chargers22.3win 53%
SpreadLAC -1.5
Total43
Moneyline+105 / -125
  • The market-implied score next to the spread and total
  • Player projections against their prop lines, with the best price
  • What decides it: each passing matchup, protection and pace
  • Who is out and how much they play, and the best price on every side
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Jets vs Chargers prediction

The market makes Los Angeles Chargers a 1.5-point favorite over New York Jets, with the game total at 43.

Moneylines sit at +105 for New York Jets and -125 for Los Angeles Chargers, a devigged 53% win probability for Los Angeles Chargers; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 20.8 for New York Jets and 22.3 for Los Angeles Chargers.

The Sport Stack's nflsim engine projects New York Jets — Geno Smith (QB) at 205 passing yards and 9 rushing yards, Breece Hall (RB) at 58 rushing yards and 17 receiving yards; Los Angeles Chargers — Justin Herbert (QB) at 218 passing yards and 23 rushing yards, Omarion Hampton (RB) at 53 rushing yards and 14 receiving yards.

Kickoff is Sunday, November 22, 2026 · 4:05 PM ET, at SoFi Stadium, indoors.

New to these numbers? How devigging turns a price into a probability, how sportsbooks set these lines, what expected value means, and why to shop the number.

Consensus market

Consensus market for Jets at Chargers — lines as of Fri, 11/13 · 10:45 PM ET
MarketConsensus
SpreadLAC -1.5 (open LAC -1.75)
Total43 (open 42.75)
Moneyline (NYJ / LAC)+105 / -125
LAC implied win probability53%
Implied team totals (NYJ — LAC)20.8 — 22.3

Devigged cross-book consensus, updated as lines move. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.

Jets and Chargers this season

Games before Week 11. Against the spread and over/under are graded against the consensus line.
TeamRecordAgainst the spreadOver/underPoints forPoints againstDays of rest
New York Jets2-73-4-24-520.224.87
Los Angeles Chargers0-80-7-12-615.127.46

Jets' last 3 games: L 12-35 @ KC · L 33-38 vs LV · L 25-28 vs MIA.

Chargers' last 3 games: L 22-44 vs HOU · L 9-24 @ LA · L 6-22 @ KC.

Player projections

New York Jets · 20.8 market-implied pts
Geno Smith (QB) — 205 pass yds · 9 rush yds
Breece Hall (RB) — 58 rush yds · 17 rec yds
Braelon Allen (RB) — 50 rush yds · 11 rec yds
Los Angeles Chargers · 22.3 market-implied pts
Justin Herbert (QB) — 218 pass yds · 23 rush yds
Omarion Hampton (RB) — 53 rush yds · 14 rec yds
Ladd McConkey (WR) — 42 rec yds · 3.5 rec

Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.

What decides Jets @ Chargers, who is out and how much they play, the best price on every side, and every book's number.

Open the Jets @ Chargers matchup →

Played indoors, so weather is not a factor. Every game's conditions are on the NFL slate.

More Week 11 games

← Week 10 · Week 12 → · Full 2026 schedule

Jets 2026 schedule

Chargers 2026 schedule