Coastal Carolina Chanticleers vs Duke Blue Devils basketball final score

Thu, Nov 5 · 8:00 PM ET · Cameron Indoor Stadium, Durham, NC

Non-conferenceACC NetworkCameron Indoor Stadium, Durham, NC
Coastal
0-1 · 0-0 conf
Efficiency #247
@
2Duke
1-0 · 0-0 conf
Efficiency #2
Final
52113
Final score
Projected 53.8 – 92.7
CCU win 0%DUKE win 100%
MarketClose
Spread
DUKE −41.0
open DUKE −38.5
Total
149.5
open 146.5
Our line
DUKE −38.9
as of Thu, Nov 5 · 7:52 PM ET

Our play

How our line is built

each step, from an even game to our line
Spread
Even game
0.0
Dukerated 27.3 above average
+27.3
Coastalrated 6.9 below average
+6.9
Home court
+4.7
Our line
DUKE −38.9
◂ Coastal sideDuke side ▸

The spread is seen from the home side: a plus moves it toward Duke. Our total joins once both teams have played 3 games.

Pace & total

possessions per 40 minutes
Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes

Projected possessions: 68.8, from each team's opponent-adjusted tempo. On raw season pace, Duke is the faster team (70.3, #177 of 365) and Coastal the slower (66.7, #243). When tempos clash, the slower team usually pulls the pace harder (weights 0.80 vs 0.66).

Projected possessions
68.8
per team, 40 min
Market total
149.5
Market close · open 146.5
Adjusted tempo, vs an average opponent
69.7#266
Coastal
69.8#257
Duke

How this game plays

points this game from the four factors, vs an average D-I matchup
Our line
DUKE −38.9
Four factors 21.3Not in these stats 17.6
From the four factors
Duke has the ball+6.9
Coastal has the ball−14.4
Duke has the ball
✓Takes care of the ballTO% 18.5% #153 · CCU forces 10.5% #277 · ~9 turnovers+4.1
✓Gets to the lineFTR 44.1% #83 · CCU allows 54.7% #253 · FT 84.6% #24+2.2
✓Wins second chancesOR% 43.8% #32 · CCU allows 23.5% #58+2.1
✗Tough shooting lookeFG% 52.5% #118 · CCU allows 45.3% #92−1.4
Coastal has the ball
✗Coughs it upTO% 19.5% #178 · DUKE forces 34.1% #2 · ~20 turnovers−9.2
✗Tough shooting lookeFG% 48.4% #169 · DUKE allows 42.3% #59−5.3
✗Few trips to the lineFTR 26.2% #218 · DUKE allows 17.3% #21 · FT 68.8% #144−1.4
✓Wins second chancesOR% 36.8% #73 · DUKE allows 30.3% #138+1.4

Shot diet

Where each offense shoots from and where each defense lets teams shoot
Coastaloffense vs#2Dukedefense
Share of shots by zone
Coastal shoots
Duke allows
D-I average
FG% by zone
ZoneD-I avg
Rim55.0%#17045.5%#5458.7%
Short 2 (≤9 ft)37.5%#11366.7%#22836.5%
Mid 2 (10 ft+)55.6%#4320.0%#7135.6%
Three29.2%#17726.7%#8732.5%
#2Dukeoffense vsCoastaldefense
Share of shots by zone
Duke shoots
Coastal allows
D-I average
FG% by zone
ZoneD-I avg
Rim72.7%#4743.5%#4658.7%
Short 2 (≤9 ft)0.0%#20816.7%#6936.5%
Mid 2 (10 ft+)0.0%#23740.0%#16735.6%
Three18.2%#26942.9%#24632.5%
RimShort 2 (≤9 ft)Mid 2 (10 ft+)Three

Zones from play-by-play shot descriptions; garbage time removed. Bars show the share of field-goal attempts in each zone; where a slice is too thin for its number, the shares are listed under the bar. FG% ranks: #1 = best for that side (most accurate shooting, stingiest defense).

Shot volume

Extra scoring chances from rebounds, turnovers and the foul line
Coastal
−9.6extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#228 of 365
Off reb %
36.8%
#73
Def reb %
76.5%
#58
Turnover %
19.5%
#178
Forced TO %
10.5%
#277
FT rate
26.2%
#218
FT allowed
54.7%
#253
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding+1.7
Defensive rebounding+2.7
Ball security−0.7
Forcing turnovers−5.8
Foul shots drawn−2.8
Foul shots allowed−4.6
#2Duke
+22.5extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#11 of 365
Off reb %
43.8%
#32
Def reb %
69.7%
#138
Turnover %
18.5%
#153
Forced TO %
34.1%
#2
FT rate
44.1%
#83
FT allowed
17.3%
#21
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding+4.0
Defensive rebounding+0.4
Ball security0.0
Forcing turnovers+11.1
Foul shots drawn+1.8
Foul shots allowed+5.2

Duke has more extra scoring chances per game: +22.5 (#11 of 365) to Coastal’s −9.6 (#228).

Grade = extra shots and foul-line trips per game compared with a D-I average team, built from six season rates. Cell shading is the national rank for each rate (greener = better for that team).

Rotation

Coastal2026-27 numbers through Thu, Nov 12
#PlayerPosClHtGP-GSMPGPPGRPGAPGTOVeFG%3P%3PA/gFT%Usage
0GSo6'1"4-425.514.04.53.02.842.1%21.1%4.8100.0%39.2%
1GSo6'5"4-422.56.03.51.81.834.5%28.6%1.857.1%24.4%
5GSo6'5"4-021.58.52.83.02.040.5%18.2%2.850.0%31.7%
9GSo6'4"4-421.57.85.82.32.057.7%40.0%3.833.3%23.1%
3GJr6'1"4-015.86.01.51.00.333.3%21.4%7.080.0%28.7%
10CJr6'11"4-115.53.55.00.50.846.2%—0.050.0%16.0%
15FJr6'9"4-315.33.54.50.00.377.8%—0.0—9.2%
6FSr6'8"4-214.86.53.80.30.588.5%60.0%1.350.0%16.9%
2GSo6'6"3-015.07.04.00.01.065.6%42.9%2.3—22.4%
7FSr6'8"4-111.02.52.00.80.350.0%28.6%1.8—13.4%
4GFr5'9"3-013.06.01.01.71.057.7%50.0%0.750.0%25.6%
11FFr6'9"3-112.71.05.00.70.720.0%—0.050.0%11.2%
20FSr6'8"2-08.56.51.50.00.050.0%14.3%3.5100.0%35.8%
30GFr5'10"1-04.00.01.01.00.00.0%0.0%2.0—38.0%
12GFr6'3"2-01.01.00.00.00.050.0%0.0%0.5—51.1%

Team comparison

national rank toned left for away, right for home
Coastal#2Duke
Efficiency
101.3
117.4
105.7
91.3
69.7
69.8
-2.7
-11.7
Shooting
48.4%
52.5%
51.4%
67.6%
29.2%
18.2%
68.8%
84.6%
26.2%
44.1%
Ball control & glass
19.5%
18.5%
10.5%
34.1%
36.8%
43.8%
23.5%
30.3%
10.5%
7.1%
10.8%
8.1%
Style
39.3%
37.3%
45.7%
59.5%
14.3%
29.8%
34.6%
44.8%
42.5%
46.0%
Roster
2.44
2.32
6'5.4"
6'7.6"
20.7%
43.2%

Offseason

roster movement into this season — descriptive, not a model input
Coastal
Returning minutes: 20.7%Returning production: 16.3%
Lost
  • Rasheed Jones 36.2 mpg, 14.8 ppg · transferred to Rutgers
  • AJ Dancler 33.2 mpg, 15.6 ppg · transferred to South Florida
  • Joshua Beadle 32.2 mpg, 17.8 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
  • Reggie Hill 24.4 mpg, 6.4 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
  • Nadjrick Peat 23.1 mpg, 4.3 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
  • Jerry Ngopot 6.4 mpg, 1.7 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
Added
  • Jaevian Alston new to D1 · 18.0 mpg, 14.0 ppg last season
  • Ashton Hardaway from Memphis · 15.3 mpg, 4.3 ppg last season
  • Trey Perry from Miami OH · 12.4 mpg, 5.4 ppg last season
  • Darius Washington III from Kennesaw St · 10.4 mpg, 3.6 ppg last season
  • Caleb Middleton from Elon · 9.2 mpg, 2.8 ppg last season
  • Drew Fuquay from Marshall · 6.8 mpg, 2.5 ppg last season

Returns 21% of last season's minutes; lost 5 of its top 5 (2 transferred). Teams returning under 40% of last season's minutes have historically fallen about 0.8 points of AdjEM (n=716 team-seasons, 2022-2026).

#2Duke
Returning minutes: 43.2%Returning production: 36.9%
Lost
  • Cameron Boozer 33.5 mpg, 22.5 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
  • Isaiah Evans 28.3 mpg, 15.0 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
  • Maliq Brown 20.2 mpg, 4.9 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
  • Nik Khamenia 19.7 mpg, 5.7 ppg · transferred to UConn
  • Darren Harris 9.1 mpg, 3.1 ppg · transferred to Indiana
  • Cameron Sheffield 1.2 mpg, 0.2 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
Added
  • John Blackwell from Wisconsin · 32.8 mpg, 18.6 ppg last season
  • Drew Scharnowski from Belmont · 20.3 mpg, 10.1 ppg last season
  • Jacob Theodosiou from Loyola MD · 19.7 mpg, 11.0 ppg last season
  • Cameron Williams no D1 minutes last season
  • Nick Arnold no D1 minutes last season
  • Deron Rippey Jr. no D1 minutes last season

Returns 43% of last season's minutes; lost 2 of its top 5.

Line history

Market line, home spread or game total

Lines by book

BookSpread (home) open → nowTotal open → nowML homeML away
DraftKings-40.5-110148.5→149.5o-115 u-105——
FanDuel-38.5→-40.5-115146.5→149.5o-110 u-110——
BetMGM-40.5-115148.5→149.5o-110 u-110—+3300
BetRivers-40.5-118148.5→149.5o-117 u-107——
Caesars-40.5-110148.5→150o-110 u-110——
Fanatics-38.5→-40.5-115146.5→150o-110 u-110——
BetOnline-39→-40.5-110145.5→149.5o-111 u-109——
Bovada-40.5→-41-105148.5→150o-110 u-110——
theScore Bet-40.5-105148.5→149.5o-115 u-105——
Hard Rock-40.5-115148.5→149.5o-115 u-105——
Kalshi—148.5→150.5o+108 u-113——
Polymarket-40.5-104150.5→149.5o-108 u+104——
Novig-40.5-106150.5o+104 u-113——
open = first-sighted line for this event · now = latest capture

Head-to-head

this season and last
No meetings the last two seasons.

More games on Thu, Nov 5

← Wed, Nov 4 · Fri, Nov 6 → · Full season schedule

The CBB Matchups tab lays out the day's Division I slate: matchup, tip time, records and rank, and — once posted — the market spread and total (the median across books when no market line is up). Three views switch the table between projected scores, pace and totals, and each team's offensive and defensive tendencies. Each game opens into opponent-adjusted possessions, efficiency and four-factor tendencies for both teams, plus recent form, rotation and head-to-head history. Every game also carries our projected score, spread and total, from our line: the same view our bets are made from.

What these numbers mean: line shopping.