LSU New Orleans Privateers vs LSU Tigers basketball final score
Tue, Nov 3 · 8:00 PM ET · Pete Maravich Assembly Center, Baton Rouge, LA
Non-conferenceSECN+Pete Maravich Assembly Center, Baton Rouge, LA
LSU N Orleans
2025-26: 15-18 · 13-11 conf
Efficiency #211
@
LSU
2025-26: 15-17 · 3-16 conf
Efficiency #85
Final
57100
Final score
Projected 68.6 – 89.9
NOLA win 3%LSU win 97%
MarketClose
Spread
LSU −27.5
open LSU −21.5
Total
161.5
open 158.5
Our line
LSU −21.3
as of Tue, Nov 3 · 7:52 PM ET
Our play
Pace & total
possessions per 40 minutesTempo, possessions per 40 minutes
Projected possessions: 71.4, from each team's opponent-adjusted tempo. On raw 2025-26 season pace, LSU N Orleans is the faster team (69.7, #107 of 365) and LSU the slower (68.6, #168). When tempos clash, the slower team usually pulls the pace harder (weights 0.80 vs 0.66).
Projected possessions
71.4
per team, 40 min
Market total
161.5
Market close · open 158.5
Adjusted tempo, vs an average opponent
71.8#78
LSU N Orleans
69.9#231
LSU
How this game plays
points this game from the four factors, vs an average D-I matchupOur line
LSU −21.3
Four factors 2.6Not in these stats 18.7
From the four factors
LSU has the ball+5.6
LSU N Orleans has the ball+3.0
LSU has the ball
✓Takes care of the ballTO% 15.6% #107 · NOLA forces 14.9% #302 · ~10 turnovers+3.1
✓Wins second chancesOR% 33.1% #87 · NOLA allows 34.5% #325+1.3
✓Gets to the lineFTR 40.9% #49 · NOLA allows 39.5% #296 · FT 76.4% #43+0.8
✓Shoots it welleFG% 52.8% #111 · NOLA allows 49.0% #71+0.5
LSU N Orleans has the ball
✓Wins second chancesOR% 35.6% #34 · LSU allows 31.7% #239+1.5
✓Takes care of the ballTO% 20.5% #353 · LSU forces 13.9% #338 · ~12 turnovers+1.2
✓Gets to the lineFTR 46.4% #1 · LSU allows 37.8% #256 · FT 74.3% #114+0.8
✗Tough shooting lookeFG% 49.6% #258 · LSU allows 50.9% #150−0.4
Shot diet
Where each offense shoots from and where each defense lets teams shoot · 2025-26 numbersLSU N Orleansoffense vsLSUdefense
Share of shots by zone
LSU N Orleans shoots
41.8
5.8
19.2
33.2
LSU allows
39.5
6.9
16.5
37.1
D-I average
38.1
7.3
13.6
41.0
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 56.9%#244 | 56.4%#98 | 58.8% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 43.8%#86 | 34.2%#47 | 37.0% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 38.4%#177 | 39.9%#241 | 36.1% |
| Three | 31.8%#287 | 35.4%#271 | 32.7% |
LSUoffense vsLSU N Orleansdefense
Share of shots by zone
LSU shoots
40.3
9.4
15.8
34.5
LSU N Orleans allows
37.6
5.7
17.1
39.7
D-I average
38.1
7.3
13.6
41.0
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 62.8%#56 | 54.3%#46 | 58.8% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 37.3%#240 | 36.9%#108 | 37.0% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 39.8%#115 | 41.2%#280 | 36.1% |
| Three | 33.1%#225 | 32.4%#86 | 32.7% |
RimShort 2 (≤9 ft)Mid 2 (10 ft+)Three
Zones from play-by-play shot descriptions; garbage time removed. Bars show the share of field-goal attempts in each zone; where a slice is too thin for its number, the shares are listed under the bar. FG% ranks: #1 = best for that side (most accurate shooting, stingiest defense).
Shot volume
Extra scoring chances from rebounds, turnovers and the foul line · 2025-26 numbersLSU N Orleans
−1.5extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#256 of 365
Off reb %
35.6%
#34
Def reb %
65.5%
#325
Turnover %
20.5%
#353
Forced TO %
14.9%
#302
FT rate
46.4%
#1
FT allowed
39.5%
#296
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding+1.7
Defensive rebounding−1.2
Ball security−2.5
Forcing turnovers−1.3
Foul shots drawn+2.9
Foul shots allowed−1.1
LSU
+0.3extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#170 of 365
Off reb %
33.1%
#87
Def reb %
68.3%
#239
Turnover %
15.6%
#107
Forced TO %
13.9%
#338
FT rate
40.9%
#49
FT allowed
37.8%
#256
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding+0.9
Defensive rebounding−0.3
Ball security+0.8
Forcing turnovers−1.9
Foul shots drawn+1.5
Foul shots allowed−0.7
LSU has more extra scoring chances per game: +0.3 (#170 of 365) to LSU N Orleans’s −1.5 (#256).
Grade = extra shots and foul-line trips per game compared with a D-I average team, built from six season rates. Cell shading is the national rank for each rate (greener = better for that team).
Rotation
LSU N Orleans2025-26 numbers
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | F | Sr | 6'7" | 2-1 | 26.0 | 10.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 40.0% | 0.0% | 2.5 | 100.0% | 24.3% | |
| 2 | G | Fr | 6'3" | 2-1 | 26.0 | 11.0 | 1.5 | 2.5 | 2.0 | 50.0% | 37.5% | 4.0 | 83.3% | 23.4% | |
| 11 | G | Sr | 6'3" | 2-2 | 24.5 | 12.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 50.0% | 27.3% | 5.5 | 100.0% | 24.8% | |
| 25 | F | So | 6'9" | 2-2 | 20.0 | 10.5 | 5.0 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 59.4% | 20.0% | 2.5 | 66.7% | 24.8% | |
| 4 | F | Jr | 6'8" | 2-1 | 18.5 | 3.5 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 40.0% | — | 0.0 | 75.0% | 9.5% | |
| 24 | G | Jr | 6'7" | 2-1 | 15.5 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 33.3% | 0.0% | 1.0 | — | 21.4% | |
| 0 | G | Jr | 6'5" | 2-0 | 15.0 | 10.5 | 4.0 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 40.6% | 33.3% | 1.5 | 66.7% | 41.9% | |
| 7 | F | Fr | 6'10" | 2-0 | 11.0 | 2.5 | 3.5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 33.3% | 0.0% | 0.5 | 14.3% | 21.5% | |
| 5 | G | Sr | 6'2" | 1-1 | 22.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 3.0 | 50.0% | 28.8% | |
| 10 | F | So | 6'8" | 2-1 | 8.0 | 4.5 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 2.5 | 57.1% | — | 0.0 | 100.0% | 39.4% | |
| 14 | F | Sr | 6'7" | 2-0 | 8.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 50.0% | 0.0% | 0.5 | 0.0% | 10.9% | |
| 20 | G | So | 6'3" | 2-0 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 3.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 25.0% | 0.0% | 1.0 | 100.0% | 21.3% | |
| 15 | G | So | 6'6" | 2-0 | 3.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.5 | — | 14.8% | |
| 23 | F | Sr | 6'8" | 1-0 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0% | — | 0.0 | — | 7.1% | |
| 3 | G | Fr | 6'1" | 2-0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0% | — | 0.0 | — | 17.1% | |
| 34 | C | Jr | 6'10" | 2-0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | 0.0% |
Trends
Results against the closing spread and total, last ten games, entering this gameLSU N Orleans
Against the spread
Season
18-14-1
Home
7-4
Road
10-9-1
Last 10
6-3-1
avg cover +2.7
Missed the spread in the last gameCovered 5 of 8 as an underdog, 1 push
Over / under
Season
19-14
Home
9-2
Road
10-10
Last 10
4-6
avg vs total −3.3
Under 2 straightOver in 3 of 8 as an underdog
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9 | Texas A&M-CC | N | L 61–74 | +2.0 | L−11.0 | 147.5 | U135 | 104.8 | 127.1 | 58.2 |
| Mar 8 | Hou Christian | N | W 73–60 | −4.0 | W+9.0 | 143.0 | U133 | 103.3 | 84.9 | 70.7 |
| Mar 2 | SE Louisiana | H | L 78–82 | −7.0 | L−11.0 | 144.0 | O160 | 104.8 | 110.2 | 74.4 |
| Feb 28 | McNeese | H | L 63–66 | +10.0 | W+7.0 | 150.5 | U129 | 97.5 | 102.1 | 64.6 |
| Feb 23 | SF Austin | A | W 77–73 | +11.5 | W+15.5 | 152.0 | U150 | 113.4 | 107.5 | 67.9 |
| Feb 21 | Lamar | A | W 77–71 | +5.5 | W+11.5 | 146.5 | O148 | 109.8 | 101.3 | 70.1 |
| Feb 16 | Incarnate Word | A | W 78–64 | +2.0 | W+16.0 | 153.5 | U142 | 120.9 | 99.2 | 64.5 |
| Feb 14 | Hou Christian | A | L 60–61 | +1.0 | P0.0 | 149.0 | U121 | 96.6 | 98.2 | 62.1 |
| Feb 9 | Texas A&M-CC | H | W 84–78 OT | +1.5 | W+7.5 | 147.0 | O162 | 96.5 | 89.6 | 87.1 |
| Feb 7 | UT Rio Grande | H | L 76–95 | +1.5 | L−17.5 | 151.0 | O171 | 102.0 | 127.5 | 74.5 |
LSU
Against the spread
Season
18-14
Home
7-10
Road
8-2
Last 10
5-5
avg cover −3.1
Covered the last gameCovered 5 of 9 as an underdog
Over / under
Season
15-15-2
Home
7-8-2
Road
5-5
Last 10
6-4
avg vs total +10.2
Over 3 straightOver in 6 of 9 as an underdog
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11 | Kentucky | N | L 82–87 | +9.0 | W+4.0 | 151.5 | O169 | 116.8 | 123.9 | 70.2 |
| Mar 7 | Texas A&M | H | L 91–94 3OT | +2.5 | L−0.5 | 160.5 | O185 | 98.7 | 101.9 | 92.2 |
| Mar 3 | Auburn | A | L 74–88 | +10.5 | L−3.5 | 155.5 | O162 | 109.8 | 130.6 | 67.4 |
| Feb 28 | Oklahoma | H | L 67–83 | −2.0 | L−18.0 | 156.0 | U150 | 102.6 | 127.1 | 65.3 |
| Feb 25 | Ole Miss | A | W 106–99 2OT | +2.0 | W+9.0 | 147.0 | O205 | 125.8 | 117.5 | 84.3 |
| Feb 21 | #25Alabama | H | L 83–90 | +7.5 | W+0.5 | 172.0 | O173 | 116.9 | 126.7 | 71.0 |
| Feb 17 | Texas | A | L 85–88 | +11.0 | W+8.0 | 151.0 | O173 | 123.9 | 128.3 | 68.6 |
| Feb 14 | Tennessee | A | L 63–73 | +14.5 | W+4.5 | 143.5 | U136 | 107.7 | 124.8 | 58.5 |
| Feb 10 | #21Arkansas | H | L 62–91 | +5.0 | L−24.0 | 159.0 | U153 | 83.1 | 122.0 | 74.6 |
| Feb 7 | Georgia | H | L 71–83 | +1.0 | L−11.0 | 161.5 | U154 | 107.7 | 125.9 | 65.9 |
Records vs the closing line describe the past; ten games is a small sample.
Team comparison
national rank toned left for away, right for homeLSU N OrleansLSU
Efficiency
105.4
112.0
107.8
105.1
71.8
69.9
Shooting
49.6%
52.8%
50.6%
54.5%
31.8%
33.1%
74.3%
76.4%
46.4%
40.9%
Ball control & glass
20.5%
15.6%
14.9%
13.9%
35.6%
33.1%
34.5%
31.7%
11.1%
9.5%
9.7%
8.3%
Style
33.7%
34.5%
42.7%
46.3%
12.4%
13.4%
52.5%
52.5%
31.8%
29.8%
Roster
3.58
3.91
6'5"
6'3.4"
19.0%
0.0%
Offseason
roster movement into this season — descriptive, not a model inputLSU N Orleans
Returning minutes: 19.0%Returning production: 12.5%
Lost
- Coleton Benson 34.3 mpg, 16.2 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Jakevion Buckley 32.9 mpg, 13.4 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- MJ Thomas 25.9 mpg, 10.5 ppg · transferred to UNLV
- TJ Cope 20.7 mpg, 8.0 ppg · transferred to Tarleton St
- Churchill Abass 20.1 mpg, 8.4 ppg · transferred to UCF
- Panagiotis Pagonis 16.0 mpg, 3.7 ppg · transferred to Drexel
Added
- Kahlil Singleton from Canisius · 33.7 mpg, 13.4 ppg last season
- Nick Jones from Wagner · 30.0 mpg, 13.9 ppg last season
- Kyran Ratliff from Louisiana · 8.1 mpg, 0.9 ppg last season
- Jonathan Pace from Miss Valley St · 2.2 mpg, 0.5 ppg last season
- Marcus McDonald no D1 minutes last season
- Sam Parson no D1 minutes last season
Returns 19% of last season's minutes; lost 5 of its top 5 (3 transferred). Teams returning under 40% of last season's minutes have historically fallen about 0.8 points of AdjEM (n=716 team-seasons, 2022-2026).
LSU
Returning minutes: 0.0%Returning production: 0.0%
Lost
- Marquel Sutton 31.4 mpg, 13.1 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Max Mackinnon 30.9 mpg, 15.2 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Pablo Tamba 28.6 mpg, 7.9 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Jalen Reece 23.8 mpg, 5.8 ppg · transferred to Texas A&M
- Mike Nwoko 21.9 mpg, 13.4 ppg · transferred to Xavier
- Robert Miller III 18.8 mpg, 5.9 ppg · transferred to Miami
Added
- Donovan Dent from UCLA · 33.5 mpg, 12.9 ppg last season
- Austin Nunez from UTSA · 20.9 mpg, 7.2 ppg last season
- Skyy Clark from UCLA · 20.7 mpg, 8.3 ppg last season
- Mo Dioubate from Kentucky · 18.6 mpg, 7.6 ppg last season
- Abdi Bashir Jr. from Kansas St · 13.8 mpg, 7.4 ppg last season
- Divine Ugochukwu from Michigan St · 10.1 mpg, 3.2 ppg last season
Returns 0% of last season's minutes; lost 5 of its top 5 (2 transferred). Teams returning under 40% of last season's minutes have historically fallen about 0.8 points of AdjEM (n=716 team-seasons, 2022-2026).
Line history
Market line, home spread or game totalLines by book
| Book | Spread (home) open → now | Total open → now | ML home | ML away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | -21.5→-27.5-110 | 157.5→160.5o-110 u-110 | — | +3000 |
| FanDuel | -21.5→-26.5-120 | 159.5→160.5o-110 u-110 | — | +4000 |
| BetRivers | -23.5→-27.5-110 | 159.5→160.5o-112 u-112 | — | — |
| Fanatics | -21.5→-27.5-115 | 158.5→161o-110 u-110 | — | +4500 |
| Bovada | -23.5→-27.5-115 | 159.5→161.5o-110 u-110 | — | +1800 |
| theScore Bet | -23.5→-27.5-110 | 157.5→160.5o-110 u-110 | — | +3500 |
| Hard Rock | -23.5→-27.5-110 | 159.5→160.5o-110 u-110 | — | — |
| Kalshi | — | 161.5o+104 u-108 | — | +4900 |
| Polymarket | — | — | -4900 | +4067 |
| Novig | -27.5-108 | — | -4900 | +4445 |
DraftKings
FanDuel
BetRivers
Fanatics
Bovada
theScore Bet
Hard Rock
Kalshi
Polymarket
Novigopen = first-sighted line for this event · now = latest capture
Head-to-head
this season and last| Date | Season | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Mon, Nov 10 | 2025-26 | LSU N Orleans 58 – 93 LSU |
More games on Tue, Nov 3
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- Manhattan at Kentucky · 7:00 PM ET
- Stetson at South Carolina · 7:00 PM ET
- Purdue FW at Duquesne · 7:00 PM ET
- Sam Houston at Alabama · 7:30 PM ET
- Drexel at Virginia · 7:30 PM ET
- S Dakota St at Kansas St · 8:00 PM ET
- Lipscomb at Iowa · 8:00 PM ET
- Alabama St at Texas A&M · 8:00 PM ET
- Cleveland St at Missouri · 8:00 PM ET
- AR-Pine Bluff at Arkansas · 8:00 PM ET
- Fullerton at San Diego St · 10:00 PM ET
- North Florida at CA Baptist · 10:00 PM ET
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The CBB Matchups tab lays out the day's Division I slate: matchup, tip time, records and rank, and — once posted — the market spread and total (the median across books when no market line is up). Three views switch the table between projected scores, pace and totals, and each team's offensive and defensive tendencies. Each game opens into opponent-adjusted possessions, efficiency and four-factor tendencies for both teams, plus recent form, rotation and head-to-head history. Every game also carries our projected score, spread and total, from our line: the same view our bets are made from.
What these numbers mean: line shopping.