Drexel Dragons vs Virginia Cavaliers basketball final score
Tue, Nov 3 · 7:30 PM ET · John Paul Jones Arena, Charlottesville, VA
Non-conferenceACC NetworkJohn Paul Jones Arena, Charlottesville, VA
Drexel
2025-26: 17-16 · 11-9 conf
Efficiency #200
@
9Virginia
2025-26: 30-6 · 17-4 conf
Efficiency #18
Final
6089
Final score
Projected 58.0 – 84.5
DREX win 1%UVA win 99%
MarketClose
Spread
UVA −32.0
open UVA −29.5
Total
143.0
open 142.5
Our line
UVA −26.6
as of Tue, Nov 3 · 7:21 PM ET
Our play
How our line is built
each step, from an even game to our lineSpread
Even game
0.0
Virginiarated 18.6 above average
+18.6
Drexelrated 4.4 below average
+4.4
Home court
+3.5
Our line
UVA −26.6
◂ Drexel sideVirginia side ▸
Steps are rounded to one decimal, so they can differ from the line by 0.1. The spread is seen from the home side: a plus moves it toward Virginia. Our total joins once both teams have played 3 games.
Pace & total
possessions per 40 minutesTempo, possessions per 40 minutes
Projected possessions: 67.1, from each team's opponent-adjusted tempo. On raw 2025-26 season pace, Virginia is the faster team (66.4, #276 of 365) and Drexel the slower (65.2, #326). When tempos clash, the slower team usually pulls the pace harder (weights 0.80 vs 0.66).
Projected possessions
67.1
per team, 40 min
Market total
143.0
Market close · open 142.5
Adjusted tempo, vs an average opponent
68.2#330
Drexel
69.1#281
Virginia
How this game plays
points this game from the four factors, vs an average D-I matchupOur line
UVA −26.6
Four factors 6.6Not in these stats 20.0
From the four factors
Virginia has the ball+4.3
Drexel has the ball−2.3
Virginia has the ball
✓Wins second chancesOR% 37.9% #9 · DREX allows 31.0% #202+1.9
✓Takes care of the ballTO% 16.0% #140 · DREX forces 16.4% #195 · ~11 turnovers+1.9
✓Shoots it welleFG% 54.6% #49 · DREX allows 47.1% #22+0.5
✗Few trips to the lineFTR 32.3% #253 · DREX allows 35.4% #192 · FT 72.8% #1770.0
Drexel has the ball
✗Tough shooting lookeFG% 50.7% #204 · UVA allows 45.7% #8−2.3
✓Takes care of the ballTO% 19.0% #321 · UVA forces 15.4% #255 · ~11 turnovers+1.0
✗Few trips to the lineFTR 31.6% #265 · UVA allows 32.9% #129 · FT 66.5% #348−0.6
✗Few second chancesOR% 31.2% #156 · UVA allows 29.2% #120−0.4
Shot diet
Where each offense shoots from and where each defense lets teams shoot · 2025-26 numbersDrexeloffense vs#9Virginiadefense
Share of shots by zone
Drexel shoots
36.2
7.8
15.9
40.2
Virginia allows
34.2
7.9
21.0
36.8
D-I average
38.1
7.3
13.6
41.0
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 56.1%#268 | 50.9%#7 | 58.8% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 39.7%#181 | 38.6%#150 | 37.0% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 33.9%#315 | 35.7%#97 | 36.1% |
| Three | 35.5%#90 | 31.6%#46 | 32.7% |
#9Virginiaoffense vsDrexeldefense
Share of shots by zone
Virginia shoots
36.0
6.7
10.5
46.7
Drexel allows
37.9
8.2
19.7
34.2
D-I average
38.1
7.3
13.6
41.0
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 60.6%#105 | 53.4%#28 | 58.8% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 45.3%#59 | 37.2%#119 | 37.0% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 38.6%#164 | 39.2%#210 | 36.1% |
| Three | 36.2%#48 | 30.3%#15 | 32.7% |
RimShort 2 (≤9 ft)Mid 2 (10 ft+)Three
Zones from play-by-play shot descriptions; garbage time removed. Bars show the share of field-goal attempts in each zone; where a slice is too thin for its number, the shares are listed under the bar. FG% ranks: #1 = best for that side (most accurate shooting, stingiest defense).
Shot volume
Extra scoring chances from rebounds, turnovers and the foul line · 2025-26 numbersDrexel
−2.5extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#286 of 365
Off reb %
31.2%
#156
Def reb %
69.0%
#202
Turnover %
19.0%
#321
Forced TO %
16.4%
#195
FT rate
31.6%
#265
FT allowed
35.4%
#192
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding+0.3
Defensive rebounding−0.1
Ball security−1.5
Forcing turnovers−0.2
Foul shots drawn−0.9
Foul shots allowed0.0
#9Virginia
+2.5extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#79 of 365
Off reb %
37.9%
#9
Def reb %
70.8%
#120
Turnover %
16.0%
#140
Forced TO %
15.4%
#255
FT rate
32.3%
#253
FT allowed
32.9%
#129
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding+2.4
Defensive rebounding+0.5
Ball security+0.5
Forcing turnovers−0.9
Foul shots drawn−0.7
Foul shots allowed+0.6
Virginia has more extra scoring chances per game: +2.5 (#79 of 365) to Drexel’s −2.5 (#286).
Grade = extra shots and foul-line trips per game compared with a D-I average team, built from six season rates. Cell shading is the national rank for each rate (greener = better for that team).
Rotation
Drexel2025-26 numbers
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 99 | F | So | 6'9" | 3-0 | 30.0 | 10.7 | 3.7 | 3.3 | 0.0 | 52.5% | 33.3% | 3.0 | 84.6% | 17.1% | |
| 1 | G | Fr | 6'4" | 3-3 | 29.0 | 13.7 | 3.3 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 62.0% | 35.7% | 4.7 | 83.3% | 23.0% | |
| 4 | F | Fr | 6'11" | 3-3 | 28.7 | 8.7 | 4.0 | 1.7 | 2.7 | 65.0% | 25.0% | 2.7 | — | 19.3% | |
| 3 | G | Sr | 5'10" | 3-1 | 23.7 | 10.7 | 0.3 | 3.3 | 1.7 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 4.0 | 71.4% | 21.8% | |
| 30 | G | Sr | 6'3" | 3-0 | 22.0 | 5.7 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 31.0% | 12.5% | 2.7 | 80.0% | 22.6% | |
| 23 | G | Jr | 6'7" | 3-1 | 17.0 | 6.3 | 1.3 | 2.0 | 1.3 | 41.3% | 23.1% | 4.3 | — | 31.6% | |
| 6 | F | Jr | 6'9" | 3-3 | 15.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 54.5% | 0.0% | 0.3 | — | 16.4% | |
| 5 | G | Jr | 6'2" | 2-2 | 21.0 | 4.0 | 4.5 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 25.0% | 0.0% | 1.5 | 100.0% | 19.2% | |
| 15 | G | Fr | 6'2" | 3-2 | 10.3 | 3.3 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.7 | 30.0% | 28.6% | 2.3 | 80.0% | 34.6% | |
| 2 | G | Fr | 6'6" | 2-0 | 6.0 | 0.5 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 1.0 | 50.0% | 37.4% | |
| 33 | F | Jr | 7'1" | 2-0 | 5.5 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0% | — | 0.0 | — | 11.7% | |
| 13 | G | Fr | 6'5" | 2-0 | 3.5 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 150.0% | 100.0% | 0.5 | — | 7.8% | |
| 25 | G | Sr | 6'4" | 1-0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | 0.0% |
Trends
Results against the closing spread and total, last ten games, entering this gameDrexel
Against the spread
Season
16-13-3
Home
10-4-1
Road
5-7-2
Last 10
5-4-1
avg cover −1.0
Missed the spread in the last gameCovered 3 of 7 as an underdog, 1 push
Over / under
Season
13-18-1
Home
6-8-1
Road
6-8
Last 10
4-6
avg vs total +1.1
Under in the last gameOver in 2 of 7 as an underdog
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8 | Monmouth | N | L 57–65 | +4.0 | L−4.0 | 137.5 | U122 | 88.2 | 100.6 | 64.6 |
| Mar 7 | Northeastern | N | W 84–77 | −5.0 | W+2.0 | 140.5 | O161 | 122.2 | 112.0 | 68.8 |
| Mar 3 | Hofstra | A | L 51–62 | +8.5 | L−2.5 | 133.0 | U113 | 89.9 | 109.3 | 56.7 |
| Feb 26 | Campbell | H | W 65–60 | −1.0 | W+4.0 | 141.5 | U125 | 102.0 | 94.2 | 63.7 |
| Feb 22 | Towson | H | W 68–62 | +2.5 | W+8.5 | 131.0 | U130 | 102.9 | 93.9 | 66.1 |
| Feb 19 | Northeastern | A | W 70–61 | +1.0 | W+10.0 | 145.0 | U131 | 104.4 | 91.0 | 67.0 |
| Feb 16 | Stony Brook | A | L 69–72 | +3.0 | P0.0 | 136.5 | O141 | 105.5 | 110.1 | 65.4 |
| Feb 12 | Monmouth | H | L 73–93 | −1.0 | L−21.0 | 134.0 | O166 | 101.8 | 129.7 | 71.7 |
| Feb 7 | Elon | A | W 82–77 | +5.0 | W+10.0 | 138.0 | O159 | 121.3 | 113.9 | 67.6 |
| Feb 5 | Campbell | A | L 60–81 | +4.0 | L−17.0 | 141.5 | U141 | 86.9 | 117.3 | 69.0 |
#9Virginia
Against the spread
Season
17-18-1
Home
9-8
Road
5-5
Last 10
3-6-1
avg cover −0.8
Missed the spread 2 straightCovered 2 of 7 as a favorite, 1 pushCovered 0 of 4 with a line of 10+
Over / under
Season
17-19
Home
6-11
Road
4-6
Last 10
7-3
avg vs total +3.5
Over 6 straightOver in 5 of 7 as a favoriteOver in 2 of 4 with a line of 10+
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22 | #6Tennessee | N | L 72–79 | +1.0 | L−6.0 | 136.5 | O151 | 109.8 | 120.5 | 65.5 |
| Mar 20 | #14Wright St | N | W 82–73 | −18.0 | L−9.0 | 146.5 | O155 | 126.3 | 112.4 | 64.9 |
| Mar 14 | #1Duke | N | L 70–74 | +6.5 | W+2.5 | 139.5 | O144 | 110.1 | 116.4 | 63.5 |
| Mar 13 | Miami | N | W 84–62 | −3.5 | W+18.5 | 145.0 | O146 | 134.6 | 99.3 | 62.4 |
| Mar 12 | NC State | N | W 81–74 | −7.0 | P0.0 | 152.0 | O155 | 118.2 | 108.0 | 68.5 |
| Mar 7 | Virginia Tech | H | W 76–72 | −12.0 | L−8.0 | 146.5 | O148 | 114.6 | 108.5 | 66.3 |
| Mar 3 | Wake Forest | H | W 75–70 | −14.0 | L−9.0 | 149.5 | U145 | 110.3 | 102.9 | 68.0 |
| Feb 28 | #1Duke | A | L 51–77 | +10.0 | L−16.0 | 143.0 | U128 | 83.7 | 126.4 | 60.9 |
| Feb 24 | NC State | H | W 90–61 | −6.0 | W+23.0 | 152.0 | U151 | 128.0 | 86.7 | 70.3 |
| Feb 21 | Miami | H | W 86–83 | −7.5 | L−4.5 | 146.5 | O169 | 132.7 | 128.1 | 64.8 |
Records vs the closing line describe the past; ten games is a small sample.
Team comparison
national rank toned left for away, right for homeDrexel#9Virginia
Efficiency
101.8
114.7
103.6
98.4
68.2
69.1
Shooting
50.7%
54.6%
49.0%
54.9%
35.5%
36.2%
66.5%
72.8%
31.6%
32.3%
Ball control & glass
19.0%
16.0%
16.4%
15.4%
31.2%
37.9%
31.0%
29.2%
11.1%
9.6%
9.3%
10.0%
Style
40.0%
46.7%
42.7%
40.8%
11.0%
14.1%
53.6%
58.3%
33.8%
38.2%
Roster
3.08
3.18
6'7.1"
6'5.9"
22.6%
51.4%
Offseason
roster movement into this season — descriptive, not a model inputDrexel
Returning minutes: 22.6%Returning production: 22.2%
Lost
- Shane Blakeney 33.7 mpg, 14.2 ppg · transferred to South Carolina
- Kevon Vanderhorst 29.9 mpg, 9.3 ppg · transferred to Iona
- Victor Panov 27.0 mpg, 9.3 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Eli Beard 26.5 mpg, 9.0 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Garfield Turner 17.8 mpg, 6.5 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Villiam Garcia Adsten 17.1 mpg, 3.4 ppg · transferred to Maine
Added
- Panagiotis Pagonis from LSU N Orleans · 16.0 mpg, 3.7 ppg last season
- Amaree Abram from Tennessee · 7.1 mpg, 2.2 ppg last season
- Moses Hipps no D1 minutes last season
- Rickey Paulding III no D1 minutes last season
- David Simonovic no D1 minutes last season
- Adrian Petkovic no D1 minutes last season
Returns 23% of last season's minutes; lost 4 of its top 5 (2 transferred). Teams returning under 40% of last season's minutes have historically fallen about 0.8 points of AdjEM (n=716 team-seasons, 2022-2026).
#9Virginia
Returning minutes: 51.4%Returning production: 53.4%
Lost
- Dallin Hall 28.4 mpg, 5.9 ppg · transferred to Utah State
- Malik Thomas 22.7 mpg, 12.4 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Ugonna Onyenso 18.7 mpg, 6.5 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Jacari White 15.4 mpg, 8.1 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Devin Tillis 13.7 mpg, 3.6 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
Added
- Jurian Dixon from UC Irvine · 30.4 mpg, 15.9 ppg last season
- Christian Harmon from Arkansas St · 27.5 mpg, 12.8 ppg last season
- Jan Vide from LMU · 24.3 mpg, 10.2 ppg last season
- Quincy Watson no D1 minutes last season
- Nolan Adekunle no D1 minutes last season
- Kalu Anya no D1 minutes last season
Returns 51% of last season's minutes; lost 2 of its top 5 (1 transferred).
Line history
Market line, home spread or game totalLines by book
| Book | Spread (home) open → now | Total open → now | ML home | ML away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | -28.5→-31.5-118 | 142.5o-115 u-105 | — | — |
| FanDuel | -26.5→-31.5-110 | 142.5→143.5o-110 u-110 | — | — |
| BetMGM | -28.5→-32.5-105 | 142.5o-115 u-105 | — | — |
| BetRivers | -31.5-110 | 142.5o-112 u-112 | — | — |
| Caesars | -31.5→-32-110 | 142.5→143.5o-110 u-110 | — | — |
| Fanatics | -28.5→-32-110 | 143o-110 u-110 | — | — |
| BetOnline | -26→-32-110 | 140.5→142o-110 u-110 | — | — |
| Bovada | -31→-32-110 | 142.5→143o-110 u-110 | — | — |
| theScore Bet | -28.5→-31.5-115 | 142.5o-110 u-110 | — | — |
| Hard Rock | -31.5-110 | 142.5o-120 u+100 | — | — |
| Kalshi | — | 142.5o+104 u-108 | — | — |
| Polymarket | — | — | — | — |
| Novig | -26.5→-31.5-106 | 142.5o+102 u-106 | — | — |
DraftKings
FanDuel
BetMGM
BetRivers
Caesars
Fanatics
BetOnline
Bovada
theScore Bet
Hard Rock
Kalshi
Polymarket
Novigopen = first-sighted line for this event · now = latest capture
Head-to-head
this season and lastNo meetings the last two seasons.
More games on Tue, Nov 3
- Wofford at Tennessee · 6:00 PM ET
- Wagner at Boston College · 7:00 PM ET
- Holy Cross at Rhode Island · 7:00 PM ET
- Hampton at Georgia Tech · 7:00 PM ET
- Coppin St at Virginia Tech · 7:00 PM ET
- Manhattan at Kentucky · 7:00 PM ET
- Stetson at South Carolina · 7:00 PM ET
- Purdue FW at Duquesne · 7:00 PM ET
- Sam Houston at Alabama · 7:30 PM ET
- S Dakota St at Kansas St · 8:00 PM ET
- Lipscomb at Iowa · 8:00 PM ET
- Alabama St at Texas A&M · 8:00 PM ET
- Cleveland St at Missouri · 8:00 PM ET
- LSU N Orleans at LSU · 8:00 PM ET
- AR-Pine Bluff at Arkansas · 8:00 PM ET
- Fullerton at San Diego St · 10:00 PM ET
- North Florida at CA Baptist · 10:00 PM ET
- N Arizona at UNLV · 10:00 PM ET
The CBB Matchups tab lays out the day's Division I slate: matchup, tip time, records and rank, and — once posted — the market spread and total (the median across books when no market line is up). Three views switch the table between projected scores, pace and totals, and each team's offensive and defensive tendencies. Each game opens into opponent-adjusted possessions, efficiency and four-factor tendencies for both teams, plus recent form, rotation and head-to-head history. Every game also carries our projected score, spread and total, from our line: the same view our bets are made from.
What these numbers mean: line shopping.