UT Martin Skyhawks vs IU Indianapolis Jaguars basketball final score

Sat, Nov 7 · 5:00 PM ET · James T. Morris Arena, Indianapolis, IN

Non-conferenceESPN+James T. Morris Arena, Indianapolis, IN
UT Martin
0-1 · 0-0 conf
Efficiency #175
@
IU Indy
2025-26: 7-25 · 3-18 conf
Efficiency #293
Final
7475
Final score
Projected 77.9 – 78.6
UTM win 48%IUIN win 52%
MarketClose
Spread
UTM −1.0
open PK
Total
171.0
open 156.5
Our line
IUIN −0.7
as of Sat, Nov 7 · 4:51 PM ET

Our play

How our line is built

each step, from an even game to our line
Spread
Even game
0.0
IU Indyrated 9.3 below average
−9.3
UT Martinrated 5.7 below average
+5.7
Home court
+4.3
Our line
IUIN −0.7
◂ UT Martin sideIU Indy side ▸

The spread is seen from the home side: a plus moves it toward IU Indy. Our total joins once both teams have played 3 games.

Pace & total

possessions per 40 minutes
Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes

Projected possessions: 72.4, from each team's opponent-adjusted tempo. On raw 2025-26 season pace, IU Indy is the faster team (74.9, #4 of 365) and UT Martin the slower (68.2, #240). When tempos clash, the slower team usually pulls the pace harder (weights 0.80 vs 0.66).

Projected possessions
72.4
per team, 40 min
Market total
171.0
Market close · open 156.5
Adjusted tempo, vs an average opponent
68.2#326
UT Martin
74.8#11
IU Indy

How this game plays

points this game from the four factors, vs an average D-I matchup
Our line
IUIN −0.7
Four factors −2.6 · not in these stats +3.3
From the four factors
IU Indy has the ball+7.0
UT Martin has the ball+9.6
IU Indy has the ball
✓Takes care of the ballTO% 15.9% #127 · UTM forces 10.6% #314 · ~9 turnovers+5.6
✓Shoots it welleFG% 52.2% #136 · UTM allows 51.5% #182+1.9
✗Few second chancesOR% 28.7% #243 · UTM allows 27.5% #113−1.8
✓Gets to the lineFTR 21.7% #365 · UTM allows 69.7% #324 · FT 72.1% #204+1.3
UT Martin has the ball
✓Shoots it welleFG% 59.8% #43 · IUIN allows 58.2% #362+10.0
✗Coughs it upTO% 18.8% #187 · IUIN forces 19.2% #41 · ~14 turnovers−0.8
✓Gets to the lineFTR 47.0% #72 · IUIN allows 46.6% #356 · FT 61.3% #256+0.5
✗Few second chancesOR% 28.6% #208 · IUIN allows 35.6% #348−0.1

Shot diet

Where each offense shoots from and where each defense lets teams shoot · 2025-26 numbers
UT Martinoffense vsIU Indydefense
Share of shots by zone
UT Martin shoots
IU Indy allows
D-I average
FG% by zone
ZoneD-I avg
Rim70.6%#4964.3%#34358.1%
Short 2 (≤9 ft)0.0%#27141.8%#22837.5%
Mid 2 (10 ft+)28.6%#20038.4%#17335.4%
Three44.7%#2838.5%#36132.3%
IU Indyoffense vsUT Martindefense
Share of shots by zone
IU Indy shoots
UT Martin allows
D-I average
FG% by zone
ZoneD-I avg
Rim62.5%#6265.2%#23058.1%
Short 2 (≤9 ft)50.3%#1145.5%#20537.5%
Mid 2 (10 ft+)37.0%#22335.7%#17635.4%
Three32.4%#25833.3%#17332.3%
RimShort 2 (≤9 ft)Mid 2 (10 ft+)Three

Zones from play-by-play shot descriptions; garbage time removed. Bars show the share of field-goal attempts in each zone; where a slice is too thin for its number, the shares are listed under the bar. FG% ranks: #1 = best for that side (most accurate shooting, stingiest defense).

Shot volume

Extra scoring chances from rebounds, turnovers and the foul line · 2025-26 numbers
UT Martin
−11.2extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#286 of 365
Off reb %
28.6%
#208
Def reb %
72.5%
#113
Turnover %
18.8%
#187
Forced TO %
10.6%
#314
FT rate
47.0%
#72
FT allowed
69.7%
#324
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding−1.1
Defensive rebounding+1.5
Ball security−0.3
Forcing turnovers−5.5
Foul shots drawn+2.6
Foul shots allowed−8.4
IU Indy
−6.2extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#358 of 365
Off reb %
28.7%
#243
Def reb %
64.4%
#348
Turnover %
15.9%
#127
Forced TO %
19.2%
#41
FT rate
21.7%
#365
FT allowed
46.6%
#356
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding−0.6
Defensive rebounding−1.6
Ball security+0.6
Forcing turnovers+1.7
Foul shots drawn−3.4
Foul shots allowed−2.9

IU Indy has more extra scoring chances per game: −6.2 (#358 of 365) to UT Martin’s −11.2 (#286).

Grade = extra shots and foul-line trips per game compared with a D-I average team, built from six season rates. Cell shading is the national rank for each rate (greener = better for that team).

Rotation

UT Martin2026-27 numbers through Tue, Nov 10
#PlayerPosClHtGP-GSMPGPPGRPGAPGTOVeFG%3P%3PA/gFT%Usage
29GFr6'5"3-128.313.77.03.05.343.1%27.3%3.776.2%37.1%
1GSo6'3"3-228.024.32.73.33.067.4%52.6%6.375.0%41.6%
27FFr6'9"3-226.74.34.70.70.746.2%0.0%0.716.7%12.8%
6GFr6'11"3-326.713.07.72.01.374.0%45.0%6.766.7%21.8%
22GSo6'5"3-321.73.34.72.01.030.0%28.6%2.380.0%13.6%
9GFr6'7"3-021.33.32.72.72.764.3%100.0%0.350.0%14.2%
31FSo6'8"3-320.07.03.00.71.065.4%50.0%2.044.4%19.2%
4FFr6'9"3-015.34.32.71.00.339.3%16.7%2.050.0%21.0%
11GFr6'6"3-013.74.71.30.70.746.4%12.5%2.733.3%24.1%
10FFr6'10"3-112.76.73.70.71.060.0%0.0%0.366.7%28.9%
8GSo6'0"1-02.00.00.00.00.0——0.0—0.0%
0GFr6'4"1-02.00.00.00.00.0——0.0—0.0%
33GFr6'2"1-01.00.00.00.00.0——0.0—0.0%

Team comparison

national rank toned left for away, right for home
UT MartinIU Indy
Efficiency
102.7
103.5
103.4
112.1
68.2
74.8
-5.9
—
Shooting
59.8%
52.2%
50.0%
54.8%
44.7%
32.4%
61.3%
72.1%
47.0%
21.7%
Ball control & glass
18.8%
15.9%
10.6%
19.2%
28.6%
28.7%
27.5%
35.6%
14.1%
10.1%
7.1%
7.9%
Style
57.6%
42.1%
24.5%
48.0%
12.2%
15.6%
58.1%
61.9%
47.8%
38.0%
Roster
1.27
3.35
6'7.3"
6'4.9"
18.2%
13.2%

Offseason

roster movement into this season — descriptive, not a model input
UT Martin
Returning minutes: 18.2%Returning production: 11.6%
Lost
  • Andrija Bukumirovic 28.4 mpg, 13.3 ppg · transferred to Boston College
  • Matas Deniusas 25.9 mpg, 12.5 ppg · transferred to Rhode Island
  • Filip Radakovic 22.3 mpg, 7.9 ppg · transferred to Lamar
  • Afan Trnka 21.0 mpg, 5.7 ppg · transferred to S Indiana
  • Pedro Santos 17.3 mpg, 6.5 ppg · transferred to UAlbany
  • Damien King 12.7 mpg, 4.1 ppg · transferred to Le Moyne
Added
  • Davi Remagen from Georgia Tech · 3.7 mpg, 0.6 ppg last season
  • Giorgi Sulaberidze no D1 minutes last season
  • Kaan Onat no D1 minutes last season
  • Ousseynou Sambe no D1 minutes last season
  • Nikola Janicic no D1 minutes last season
  • Mai Hong no D1 minutes last season

Returns 18% of last season's minutes; lost 4 of its top 5 (4 transferred). Teams returning under 40% of last season's minutes have historically fallen about 0.8 points of AdjEM (n=716 team-seasons, 2022-2026).

IU Indy
Returning minutes: 13.2%Returning production: 11.2%
Lost
  • Finley Woodward 30.8 mpg, 8.8 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
  • Kyler D'Augustino 30.3 mpg, 17.3 ppg · transferred to Ohio
  • Maguire Mitchell 26.3 mpg, 11.8 ppg · transferred to Indiana St
  • Micah Davis 25.4 mpg, 9.4 ppg · transferred to Winthrop
  • Jaxon Edwards 21.6 mpg, 10.8 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
  • Aiden Miller 13.3 mpg, 4.5 ppg · transferred to Hou Christian
Added
  • Billy Smith from Chattanooga · 23.0 mpg, 8.4 ppg last season
  • Gus Etchison from Idaho St · 12.8 mpg, 8.5 ppg last season
  • Jason Clarke Jr. from App State · 9.6 mpg, 2.5 ppg last season
  • Markus Pastorcic-Straun no D1 minutes last season
  • Peyton Heiss no D1 minutes last season
  • Landon Osswald no D1 minutes last season

Returns 13% of last season's minutes; lost 5 of its top 5 (3 transferred). Teams returning under 40% of last season's minutes have historically fallen about 0.8 points of AdjEM (n=716 team-seasons, 2022-2026).

Line history

Market line, home spread or game total

Lines by book

BookSpread (home) open → nowTotal open → nowML homeML away
DraftKings+1.5-115158.5→171.5o-105 u-115+105-125
FanDuel+2.5→+1.5-110160.5→171.5o-105 u-115+104-125
BetMGM+2.5→+1.5-110162.5→171.5o-105 u-115+105-125
BetRivers+2.5→-0.5-108158.5→170.5o-115 u-108-108-115
Caesars+2.5→+1-110161.5→171.5o-110 u-110+105-125
Fanatics-1→+1.5-110156.5→171.5o-105 u-115+105-125
BetOnline-1.5→+1-107156→169.5o-130 u+110+105-125
Bovada+2.5→+1-110158.5→171.5o-110 u-110-105-115
theScore Bet-1.5→+1.5-110156.5→170.5o-120 u+100+110-130
Hard Rock+2.5→+1.5-120158.5→170.5o-115 u-105-110-115
Kalshi+1.5-104170.5o-117 u+113+113-122
Polymarket+1.5-108171.5o-104 u+100+108-113
Novig+2.5→—159.5→172.5o+102 u-108+108-113
open = first-sighted line for this event · now = latest capture

Head-to-head

this season and last
No meetings the last two seasons.

More games on Sat, Nov 7

← Fri, Nov 6 · Sun, Nov 8 → · Full season schedule

The CBB Matchups tab lays out the day's Division I slate: matchup, tip time, records and rank, and — once posted — the market spread and total (the median across books when no market line is up). Three views switch the table between projected scores, pace and totals, and each team's offensive and defensive tendencies. Each game opens into opponent-adjusted possessions, efficiency and four-factor tendencies for both teams, plus recent form, rotation and head-to-head history. Every game also carries our projected score, spread and total, from our line: the same view our bets are made from.

What these numbers mean: line shopping.