Maryland Terrapins vs Georgetown Hoyas basketball final score

Sat, Nov 7 · 7:30 PM ET · Capital One Arena, Washington, DC

Non-conferencePeacockCapital One Arena, Washington, DC
Maryland
1-0 · 0-0 conf
Efficiency #137
@
Georgetown
1-0 · 0-0 conf
Efficiency #104
Final
7486
Final score
Projected 71.5 – 75.5
MD win 36%GTWN win 64%
MarketClose
Spread
MD −3.5
open GTWN −1.5
Total
146.5
open 147.0
Our line
GTWN −4.0
as of Sat, Nov 7 · 7:21 PM ET

Our play

How our line is built

each step, from an even game to our line
Spread
Even game
0.0
Georgetownrated 10.4 above average
+10.4
Marylandrated 10.7 above average
−10.7
Home court
+4.3
Our line
GTWN −4.0
◂ Maryland sideGeorgetown side ▸

The spread is seen from the home side: a plus moves it toward Georgetown. Our total joins once both teams have played 3 games.

Pace & total

possessions per 40 minutes
Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes

Projected possessions: 69.3, from each team's opponent-adjusted tempo. On raw season pace, Maryland is the faster team (71.7, #146 of 365) and Georgetown the slower (67.5, #258). When tempos clash, the slower team usually pulls the pace harder (weights 0.80 vs 0.66).

Projected possessions
69.3
per team, 40 min
Market total
146.5
Market close · open 147.0
Adjusted tempo, vs an average opponent
70.5#210
Maryland
69.5#271
Georgetown

How this game plays

points this game from the four factors, vs an average D-I matchup
Our line
GTWN −4.0
Four factors −5.6 · not in these stats +9.6
From the four factors
Georgetown has the ball−0.3
Maryland has the ball+5.3
Georgetown has the ball
✓Shoots it welleFG% 51.6% #149 · MD allows 54.7% #227+3.1
✗Few second chancesOR% 30.3% #179 · MD allows 18.8% #17−3.0
✗Coughs it upTO% 11.8% #29 · MD forces 25.1% #38 · ~13 turnovers−0.6
✓Gets to the lineFTR 27.0% #258 · MD allows 26.4% #71 · FT 88.2% #10+0.2
Maryland has the ball
✓Wins second chancesOR% 63.6% #1 · GTWN allows 30.0% #140+9.1
✗Few trips to the lineFTR 43.1% #100 · GTWN allows 3.2% #1 · FT 67.7% #194−1.6
✗Coughs it upTO% 18.1% #166 · GTWN forces 20.7% #94 · ~14 turnovers−1.3
✗Tough shooting lookeFG% 52.1% #141 · GTWN allows 46.0% #96−1.0

Shot diet

Where each offense shoots from and where each defense lets teams shoot
Marylandoffense vsGeorgetowndefense
Share of shots by zone
Maryland shoots
Georgetown allows
D-I average
FG% by zone
ZoneD-I avg
Rim57.1%#17855.6%#12658.1%
Short 2 (≤9 ft)0.0%#2710.0%#137.5%
Mid 2 (10 ft+)0.0%#29120.0%#6035.4%
Three25.0%#25835.7%#21932.3%
Georgetownoffense vsMarylanddefense
Share of shots by zone
Georgetown shoots
Maryland allows
D-I average
FG% by zone
ZoneD-I avg
Rim68.2%#7253.3%#10858.1%
Short 2 (≤9 ft)0.0%#2710.0%#137.5%
Mid 2 (10 ft+)50.0%#5050.0%#24335.4%
Three26.9%#22838.7%#26632.3%
RimShort 2 (≤9 ft)Mid 2 (10 ft+)Three

Zones from play-by-play shot descriptions; garbage time removed. Bars show the share of field-goal attempts in each zone; where a slice is too thin for its number, the shares are listed under the bar. FG% ranks: #1 = best for that side (most accurate shooting, stingiest defense).

Shot volume

Extra scoring chances from rebounds, turnovers and the foul line
Maryland
+24.7extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#2 of 365
Off reb %
63.6%
#1
Def reb %
81.3%
#17
Turnover %
18.1%
#166
Forced TO %
25.1%
#38
FT rate
43.1%
#100
FT allowed
26.4%
#71
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding+10.7
Defensive rebounding+4.4
Ball security+0.2
Forcing turnovers+4.8
Foul shots drawn+1.6
Foul shots allowed+2.9
Georgetown
+12.9extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#40 of 365
Off reb %
30.3%
#179
Def reb %
70.0%
#140
Turnover %
11.8%
#29
Forced TO %
20.7%
#94
FT rate
27.0%
#258
FT allowed
3.2%
#1
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding−0.5
Defensive rebounding+0.6
Ball security+4.7
Forcing turnovers+1.7
Foul shots drawn−2.6
Foul shots allowed+9.0

Maryland has more extra scoring chances per game: +24.7 (#2 of 365) to Georgetown’s +12.9 (#40).

Grade = extra shots and foul-line trips per game compared with a D-I average team, built from six season rates. Cell shading is the national rank for each rate (greener = better for that team).

Rotation

Maryland2026-27 numbers through Sat, Nov 7
#PlayerPosClHtGP-GSMPGPPGRPGAPGTOVeFG%3P%3PA/gFT%Usage
21FSr6'9"2-227.020.57.00.02.575.0%0.0%0.564.7%34.8%
2GSr6'4"2-225.510.54.53.01.539.1%0.0%4.0100.0%30.6%
7GSo6'4"2-221.015.56.51.01.551.9%30.8%6.575.0%43.0%
20GSr6'5"2-221.03.01.51.01.060.0%50.0%2.0—9.4%
23FSo6'9"2-220.57.08.50.52.040.0%—0.0100.0%23.3%
8GFr6'3"2-019.513.53.51.00.553.3%50.0%2.084.6%32.3%
12GJr6'4"2-019.02.53.02.02.022.7%14.3%3.5—22.4%
10FFr6'10"2-018.54.53.00.50.544.4%0.0%1.016.7%19.7%
25FSr6'8"2-015.04.53.00.01.587.5%50.0%1.0100.0%15.0%
1FFr6'8"2-08.51.01.51.00.00.0%0.0%2.5100.0%26.3%
14FFr6'7"2-02.51.50.50.00.050.0%0.0%0.550.0%33.1%
11GSo6'7"1-04.02.00.00.00.050.0%0.0%1.0—27.9%

Team comparison

national rank toned left for away, right for home
MarylandGeorgetown
Efficiency
108.0
108.3
106.0
102.3
70.5
69.5
-13.8
-11.4
Shooting
52.1%
51.6%
61.4%
59.5%
25.0%
26.9%
67.7%
88.2%
43.1%
27.0%
Ball control & glass
18.1%
11.8%
25.1%
20.7%
63.6%
30.3%
18.8%
30.0%
7.0%
3.0%
2.3%
8.1%
Style
38.9%
41.3%
56.3%
50.0%
18.8%
10.0%
32.4%
62.1%
45.0%
33.5%
Roster
2.65
3.06
6'6.4"
6'6.1"
21.3%
30.9%

Offseason

roster movement into this season — descriptive, not a model input
Maryland
Returning minutes: 24.5%Returning production: 27.4%
Lost
  • Elijah Saunders 30.7 mpg, 9.0 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
  • David Coit 26.7 mpg, 13.5 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
  • Darius Adams 25.6 mpg, 10.8 ppg · transferred to NC State
  • Solomon Washington 24.3 mpg, 7.5 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
  • Isaiah Watts 16.5 mpg, 4.2 ppg · transferred to UTSA
  • Collin Metcalf 12.7 mpg, 1.2 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
Added
  • Mike McNair Jr. from Boston U · 36.1 mpg, 16.9 ppg last season
  • Tomislav Buljan from New Mexico · 24.6 mpg, 12.4 ppg last season
  • Bishop Boswell from Tennessee · 24.3 mpg, 5.7 ppg last season
  • DJ Wagner from Arkansas · 22.3 mpg, 7.0 ppg last season
  • Maban Jabriel from Queens · 19.8 mpg, 7.7 ppg last season
  • Robert Jennings II from Oklahoma St · 1.1 mpg, 0.3 ppg last season

Returns 25% of last season's minutes; lost 4 of its top 5 (1 transferred). Teams returning under 40% of last season's minutes have historically fallen about 0.8 points of AdjEM (n=716 team-seasons, 2022-2026).

Georgetown
Returning minutes: 30.9%Returning production: 31.1%
Lost
  • Malik Mack 32.2 mpg, 13.6 ppg · transferred to Providence
  • KJ Lewis 24.7 mpg, 12.2 ppg · transferred to USC
  • Jeremiah Williams 20.3 mpg, 5.9 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
  • Isaiah Abraham 19.3 mpg, 4.7 ppg · transferred to Kansas St
  • Julius Halaifonua 18.6 mpg, 8.9 ppg · transferred to Oklahoma St
  • Jayden Fort 13.6 mpg, 3.3 ppg · transferred to Charlotte
Added
  • Vyctorius Miller from Oklahoma St · 23.3 mpg, 9.9 ppg last season
  • Josiah Parker from FAU · 21.2 mpg, 9.3 ppg last season
  • Chol Machot from Charleston · 19.7 mpg, 8.9 ppg last season
  • Elmarko Jackson from Kansas · 17.2 mpg, 4.7 ppg last season
  • Jaland Lowe from Kentucky · 4.6 mpg, 2.0 ppg last season
  • Athan Olivier IV no D1 minutes last season

Returns 31% of last season's minutes; lost 4 of its top 5 (3 transferred). Teams returning under 40% of last season's minutes have historically fallen about 0.8 points of AdjEM (n=716 team-seasons, 2022-2026).

Line history

Market line, home spread or game total

Lines by book

BookSpread (home) open → nowTotal open → nowML homeML away
DraftKings-1.5→+3.5-112147.5→146.5o-110 u-110+136-162
FanDuel+1.5→+3.5-114147.5→145.5o-115 u-105+132-160
BetMGM+1.5→+3.5-115146.5o-110 u-110+135-160
BetRivers+3.5→+2.5-104147.5→145.5o-114 u-109+133-167
Caesars+1.5→+3-110147.5→146.5o-110 u-110+140-165
Fanatics-1.5→+3.5-110147→146.5o-107 u-110+135-165
BetOnline0→+3.5-110146o-115 u-105+135-155
Bovada+1.5→+3.5-110146.5o-110 u-110+140-165
theScore Bet-1.5→+3.5-110147.5→146.5o-110 u-110+140-165
Hard Rock+3.5→+2.5+100147.5→145.5o-110 u-110+135-165
Kalshi-1.5→+2.5+113146.5o+100 u-104+138-150
Polymarket-1.5→+3.5-108147.5→145.5o-113 u+108+144-150
Novig+2.5→——+144-147
open = first-sighted line for this event · now = latest capture

Head-to-head

this season and last
DateSeasonResult
Fri, Nov 72025-26Georgetown 70 – 60 Maryland

More games on Sat, Nov 7

← Fri, Nov 6 · Sun, Nov 8 → · Full season schedule

The CBB Matchups tab lays out the day's Division I slate: matchup, tip time, records and rank, and — once posted — the market spread and total (the median across books when no market line is up). Three views switch the table between projected scores, pace and totals, and each team's offensive and defensive tendencies. Each game opens into opponent-adjusted possessions, efficiency and four-factor tendencies for both teams, plus recent form, rotation and head-to-head history. Every game also carries our projected score, spread and total, from our line: the same view our bets are made from.

What these numbers mean: line shopping.