Seattle Seahawks @ Las Vegas Raiders — Prediction & Odds, NFL Week 10 2026

Sunday, November 15, 2026 · 4:05 PM ET · Allegiant Stadium (indoors)

Prediction: Seahawks 24, Raiders 17 (market-implied). The market gives the Seattle Seahawks a 72% chance to win. · Updated

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Every angle of Seahawks @ Raiders, on one screen.

Seahawks23.5win 72%
Market-implied score
Raiders17.0win 28%
SpreadSEA -6.5
Total40.5
Moneyline-295 / +239
  • The market-implied score next to the spread and total
  • Player projections against their prop lines, with the best price
  • What decides it: each passing matchup, protection and pace
  • Who is out and how much they play, and the best price on every side
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Seahawks vs Raiders prediction

The market makes Seattle Seahawks a 6.5-point favorite over Las Vegas Raiders, with the game total at 40.5.

Moneylines sit at -295 for Seattle Seahawks and +239 for Las Vegas Raiders, a devigged 28% win probability for Las Vegas Raiders; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 23.5 for Seattle Seahawks and 17 for Las Vegas Raiders.

The spread has moved from SEA -3.5 to SEA -6.5 since it opened and the total has moved from 43.5 to 40.5.

The Sport Stack's nflsim engine projects Seattle Seahawks — Drew Lock (QB) at 226 passing yards and 10 rushing yards, Jaxon Smith-Njigba (WR) at 2 rushing yards and 84 receiving yards; Las Vegas Raiders — Fernando Mendoza (QB) at 173 passing yards and 10 rushing yards, Ashton Jeanty (RB) at 36 rushing yards and 24 receiving yards.

Kickoff is Sunday, November 15, 2026 · 4:05 PM ET, at Allegiant Stadium, indoors.

From the blog: NFL Week 10 Preview: Who's Hot, Who's Fading and Where I'm Leaning.

New to these numbers? How devigging turns a price into a probability, how sportsbooks set these lines, what expected value means, and why to shop the number.

Consensus market

Consensus market for Seahawks at Raiders — lines as of Fri, 11/13 · 10:45 PM ET
MarketConsensus
SpreadSEA -6.5 (open SEA -3.5)
Total40.5 (open 43.5)
Moneyline (SEA / LV)-295 / +239
LV implied win probability28%
Implied team totals (SEA — LV)23.5 — 17.0

Devigged cross-book consensus, updated as lines move. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.

Seahawks and Raiders this season

Games before Week 10. Against the spread and over/under are graded against the consensus line.
TeamRecordAgainst the spreadOver/underPoints forPoints againstDays of rest
Seattle Seahawks5-43-4-24-522.418.07
Las Vegas Raiders4-56-37-226.429.87

Seahawks' last 3 games: W 17-3 vs ARI · L 17-34 vs CHI · W 20-3 vs KC.

Raiders' last 3 games: L 17-38 @ SF · W 38-33 @ NYJ · L 21-35 vs LA.

Injury report

Seattle Seahawks

No players listed with a game designation.

Las Vegas Raiders

No players listed with a game designation.

Official injury report as of Nov 13.

Player projections

Seattle Seahawks · 23.5 market-implied pts
Drew Lock (QB) — 226 pass yds · 10 rush yds
Jaxon Smith-Njigba (WR) — 2 rush yds · 84 rec yds
Zach Charbonnet (RB) — 65 rush yds · 13 rec yds
Las Vegas Raiders · 17.0 market-implied pts
Fernando Mendoza (QB) — 173 pass yds · 10 rush yds
Ashton Jeanty (RB) — 36 rush yds · 24 rec yds
Brock Bowers (TE) — 1 rush yds · 57 rec yds

Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.

What decides Seahawks @ Raiders, who is out and how much they play, the best price on every side, and every book's number.

Open the Seahawks @ Raiders matchup →

Played indoors, so weather is not a factor. Every game's conditions are on the NFL slate.

More Week 10 games

← Week 9 · Week 11 → · Full 2026 schedule

Seahawks 2026 schedule

Raiders 2026 schedule