UConn Huskies vs Michigan Wolverines basketball final score
Fri, Nov 6 · 8:00 PM ET · TD Garden, Boston, MA (neutral site)
Hall of Fame Series - BostonNeutral siteNon-conferenceTNTTD Garden, Boston, MA
4UConn
1-0 · 0-0 conf
Efficiency #10
vs
16Michigan
1-0 · 0-0 conf
Efficiency #3
Final
8577
Final score
Projected 71.0 – 75.5
CONN win 35%MICH win 65%
MarketClose
Spread
CONN −7.5
open CONN −5.5
Total
143.0
open 146.5
Our line
MICH −4.4
as of Fri, Nov 6 · 7:51 PM ET
Our play
How our line is built
each step, from an even game to our lineSpread
Even game
0.0
Michiganrated 24.6 above average
+24.6
UConnrated 20.2 above average
−20.2
Our line
MICH −4.4
◂ UConn sideMichigan side ▸
The spread is seen from the home side: a plus moves it toward Michigan. Our total joins once both teams have played 3 games.
Pace & total
possessions per 40 minutesTempo, possessions per 40 minutes
Projected possessions: 71.0, from each team's opponent-adjusted tempo.
Projected possessions
71.0
per team, 40 min
Market total
143.0
Market close · open 146.5
Adjusted tempo, vs an average opponent
69.2#280
UConn
72.4#76
Michigan
How this game plays
points this game from the four factors, vs an average D-I matchupOur line
MICH −4.4
Four factors −11.9 · not in these stats +16.3
From the four factors
Michigan has the ball−11.3
UConn has the ball+0.6
Michigan has the ball
✗Tough shooting lookeFG% 48.6% #181 · CONN allows 31.9% #9−10.6
✗Few second chancesOR% 41.0% #48 · CONN allows 9.8% #2−1.7
✓Gets to the lineFTR 28.2% #229 · CONN allows 55.3% #272 · FT 75.0% #80+0.9
✗Coughs it upTO% 12.4% #34 · CONN forces 23.5% #50 · ~13 turnovers0.0
UConn has the ball
✗Tough shooting lookeFG% 59.2% #56 · MICH allows 36.5% #22−2.0
✓Wins second chancesOR% 27.3% #206 · MICH allows 44.7% #281+1.5
✓Takes care of the ballTO% 13.8% #55 · MICH forces 20.7% #94 · ~12 turnovers+0.8
✓Gets to the lineFTR 40.0% #118 · MICH allows 47.6% #243 · FT 62.5% #218+0.3
Shot diet
Where each offense shoots from and where each defense lets teams shoot#4UConnoffense vs#16Michigandefense
Share of shots by zone
UConn shoots
37.1
11.4
0.0
51.4
Michigan allows
39.6
5.7
18.9
35.8
D-I average
38.3
7.7
12.9
41.2
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 76.9%#33 | 42.9%#40 | 58.9% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 75.0%#21 | 33.3%#121 | 36.0% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | — | 30.0%#124 | 36.2% |
| Three | 31.0%#158 | 23.1%#47 | 32.1% |
#16Michiganoffense vs#4UConndefense
Share of shots by zone
Michigan shoots
34.5
8.6
8.6
48.3
UConn allows
26.7
16.7
20.0
36.7
D-I average
38.3
7.7
12.9
41.2
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 80.0%#19 | 37.5%#16 | 58.9% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 60.0%#44 | 20.0%#71 | 36.0% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 40.0%#111 | 16.7%#55 | 36.2% |
| Three | 20.6%#275 | 31.6%#150 | 32.1% |
RimShort 2 (≤9 ft)Mid 2 (10 ft+)Three
Zones from play-by-play shot descriptions; garbage time removed. Bars show the share of field-goal attempts in each zone; where a slice is too thin for its number, the shares are listed under the bar. FG% ranks: #1 = best for that side (most accurate shooting, stingiest defense).
Shot volume
Extra scoring chances from rebounds, turnovers and the foul line#4UConn
+8.7extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#69 of 365
Off reb %
27.3%
#206
Def reb %
90.2%
#2
Turnover %
13.8%
#55
Forced TO %
23.5%
#50
FT rate
40.0%
#118
FT allowed
55.3%
#272
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding−1.5
Defensive rebounding+7.3
Ball security+3.3
Forcing turnovers+3.5
Foul shots drawn+0.7
Foul shots allowed−4.7
#16Michigan
−0.5extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#160 of 365
Off reb %
41.0%
#48
Def reb %
55.3%
#281
Turnover %
12.4%
#34
Forced TO %
20.7%
#94
FT rate
28.2%
#229
FT allowed
47.6%
#243
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding+3.1
Defensive rebounding−4.4
Ball security+4.3
Forcing turnovers+1.6
Foul shots drawn−2.4
Foul shots allowed−2.6
UConn has more extra scoring chances per game: +8.7 (#69 of 365) to Michigan’s −0.5 (#160).
Grade = extra shots and foul-line trips per game compared with a D-I average team, built from six season rates. Cell shading is the national rank for each rate (greener = better for that team).
Rotation
#4UConn2026-27 numbers through Mon, Nov 9
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | G | Sr | 6'4" | 3-3 | 29.7 | 14.7 | 6.3 | 5.3 | 0.7 | 53.1% | 36.4% | 3.7 | 62.5% | 26.4% | |
| 23 | F | Sr | 6'7" | 3-3 | 28.3 | 9.3 | 2.7 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 60.0% | 40.0% | 3.3 | 66.7% | 17.2% | |
| 24 | G | So | 6'6" | 3-3 | 25.3 | 17.7 | 3.3 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 50.0% | 30.8% | 8.7 | 89.5% | 36.6% | |
| 3 | F | Fr | 6'6" | 3-0 | 22.7 | 10.0 | 4.7 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 47.6% | 22.2% | 3.0 | 76.9% | 25.2% | |
| 9 | C | So | 6'11" | 3-3 | 22.0 | 9.7 | 7.3 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 60.0% | — | 0.0 | 78.6% | 22.1% | |
| 4 | F | So | 6'8" | 3-3 | 18.7 | 10.7 | 3.0 | 1.3 | 2.0 | 76.2% | 54.5% | 3.7 | — | 26.7% | |
| 18 | C | So | 6'11" | 3-0 | 17.3 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 75.0% | — | 0.0 | 50.0% | 15.1% | |
| 0 | G | Fr | 6'5" | 3-0 | 17.0 | 3.7 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.7 | 31.3% | 33.3% | 1.0 | 100.0% | 17.7% | |
| 21 | G | Sr | 6'4" | 3-0 | 10.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 16.7% | 14.3% | 2.3 | — | 17.6% | |
| 17 | F | Fr | 6'8" | 2-0 | 9.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 41.7% | 33.3% | 1.5 | 50.0% | 23.2% | |
| 13 | F | So | 6'6" | 2-0 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 50.0% | — | 0.0 | — | 23.7% | |
| 29 | C | So | 7'0" | 2-0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | 50.0% | 27.8% | |
| 33 | F | Sr | 6'8" | 2-0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | 0.0% | |
| 7 | G | Jr | 6'2" | 2-0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.5 | — | 29.2% |
Trends
Results against the closing spread and total, last ten games, entering this game#4UConn
Against the spread
Season
0-1
Home
0-1
Road
0-0
Last 10
0-1
avg cover −1.5
Missed the spread in the last game
Over / under
Season
0-1
Home
0-1
Road
0-0
Last 10
0-1
avg vs total −15.5
Under in the last game
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2 | Gardner-Webb | H | W 86–46 | −41.5 | L−1.5 | 147.5 | U132 | 118.8 | 63.6 | 72.4 |
| Apr 6 | #1Michigan | N | L 63–69 | +6.5 | W+0.5 | 146.0 | U132 | 96.3 | 105.4 | 65.4 |
| Apr 4 | #3Illinois | N | W 71–62 | +1.5 | W+10.5 | 139.0 | U133 | 111.8 | 97.6 | 63.5 |
| Mar 29 | #1Duke | N | W 73–72 | +4.5 | W+5.5 | 135.5 | O145 | 116.3 | 114.7 | 62.8 |
| Mar 27 | #3Michigan St | N | W 67–63 | −2.0 | W+2.0 | 136.0 | U130 | 105.4 | 99.1 | 63.6 |
| Mar 22 | #7UCLA | N | W 73–57 | −5.5 | W+10.5 | 136.0 | U130 | 115.9 | 90.5 | 63.0 |
| Mar 20 | #15Furman | N | W 82–71 | −21.0 | L−10.0 | 135.0 | O153 | 125.3 | 108.5 | 65.4 |
| Mar 14 | #13St John's | A | L 52–72 | −2.0 | L−22.0 | 139.5 | U124 | 82.7 | 114.5 | 62.9 |
| Mar 13 | Georgetown | N | W 67–51 | −14.0 | W+2.0 | 139.0 | U118 | 112.6 | 85.7 | 59.5 |
| Mar 12 | Xavier | N | W 93–68 | −16.5 | W+8.5 | 151.0 | O161 | 144.4 | 105.5 | 64.4 |
#16Michigan
Against the spread
Season
0-1
Home
0-1
Road
0-0
Last 10
0-1
avg cover −10.5
Missed the spread in the last game
Over / under
Season
0-1
Home
0-1
Road
0-0
Last 10
0-1
avg vs total −5.5
Under in the last game
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2 | Oakland | H | W 84–68 | −26.5 | L−10.5 | 157.5 | U152 | 116.1 | 94.0 | 72.4 |
| Apr 6 | #2UConn | N | W 69–63 | −6.5 | L−0.5 | 146.0 | U132 | 105.4 | 96.3 | 65.4 |
| Apr 4 | #1Arizona | N | W 91–73 | +1.0 | W+19.0 | 157.5 | O164 | 116.6 | 93.6 | 78.0 |
| Mar 29 | #6Tennessee | N | W 95–62 | −8.0 | W+25.0 | 146.0 | O157 | 126.1 | 82.3 | 75.3 |
| Mar 27 | #4Alabama | N | W 90–77 | −9.5 | W+3.5 | 173.0 | U167 | 126.6 | 108.3 | 71.1 |
| Mar 21 | #9Saint Louis | N | W 95–72 | −12.0 | W+11.0 | 160.5 | O167 | 134.7 | 102.1 | 70.5 |
| Mar 19 | #16Howard | N | W 101–80 | −31.0 | L−10.0 | 151.5 | O181 | 141.7 | 112.2 | 71.3 |
| Mar 15 | #18Purdue | N | L 72–80 | −5.5 | L−13.5 | 149.5 | O152 | 114.9 | 127.7 | 62.7 |
| Mar 14 | #23Wisconsin | N | W 68–65 | −12.5 | L−9.5 | 161.5 | U133 | 100.7 | 96.2 | 67.5 |
| Mar 13 | Ohio State | N | W 71–67 | −12.5 | L−8.5 | 155.0 | U138 | 106.0 | 100.0 | 67.0 |
Records vs the closing line describe the past; ten games is a small sample.
Team comparison
national rank toned left for away, right for home#4UConn#16Michigan
Efficiency
112.6
117.0
93.0
92.6
69.2
72.4
-22.4
1.4
Shooting
59.2%
48.6%
71.0%
64.9%
31.0%
20.6%
62.5%
75.0%
40.0%
28.2%
Ball control & glass
13.8%
12.4%
23.5%
20.7%
27.3%
41.0%
9.8%
44.7%
6.9%
6.9%
9.7%
2.7%
Style
48.3%
47.9%
48.8%
57.1%
24.4%
22.6%
64.5%
54.8%
36.0%
31.5%
Roster
2.40
3.07
6'7"
6'5.8"
33.6%
35.8%
Offseason
roster movement into this season — descriptive, not a model input#4UConn
Returning minutes: 47.3%Returning production: 43.7%
Lost
- Alex Karaban 34.3 mpg, 13.2 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Tarris Reed Jr. 23.9 mpg, 12.9 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Malachi Smith 15.9 mpg, 3.6 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Eric Reibe 13.8 mpg, 5.9 ppg · transferred to USC
- Jaylin Stewart 12.9 mpg, 3.3 ppg · transferred to SMU
- Dwayne Koroma 2.3 mpg, 0.6 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
Added
- Nils Machowski from Wofford · 33.7 mpg, 17.2 ppg last season
- Jaye Nash from Jax State · 25.8 mpg, 5.1 ppg last season
- Nik Khamenia from Duke · 19.7 mpg, 5.7 ppg last season
- Na'jai Hines from Seton Hall · 16.8 mpg, 6.1 ppg last season
- Isaiah Shaw from N Arizona · 16.6 mpg, 7.3 ppg last season
- Oskar Giltay from Stanford · 14.1 mpg, 3.2 ppg last season
Returns 47% of last season's minutes; lost 2 of its top 5.
#16Michigan
Returning minutes: 36.0%Returning production: 28.6%
Lost
- Yaxel Lendeborg 30.3 mpg, 15.1 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Morez Johnson Jr. 25.1 mpg, 13.1 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Aday Mara 23.4 mpg, 12.1 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Nimari Burnett 19.8 mpg, 8.2 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Will Tschetter 13.7 mpg, 3.5 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- L.J. Cason 13.1 mpg, 5.8 ppg · transferred to Miami
Added
- Kenny Noland from Columbia · 33.1 mpg, 17.1 ppg last season
- Moustapha Thiam from Cincinnati · 25.5 mpg, 12.0 ppg last season
- J.P. Estrella from Tennessee · 16.4 mpg, 8.9 ppg last season
- Jalen Reed from LSU · 3.3 mpg, 1.8 ppg last season
- Malachi Brown no D1 minutes last season
- Brandon McCoy Jr. no D1 minutes last season
Returns 36% of last season's minutes; lost 3 of its top 5. Teams returning under 40% of last season's minutes have historically fallen about 0.8 points of AdjEM (n=716 team-seasons, 2022-2026).
Line history
Market line, home spread or game totalLines by book
| Book | Spread (home) open → now | Total open → now | ML home | ML away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | +5.5→+7.5-115 | 146.5→142.5o-112 u-108 | +260 | -325 |
| FanDuel | +5.5→+7.5-114 | 145.5→142.5o-110 u-110 | +245 | -310 |
| BetMGM | +7.5-115 | 145.5→142.5o-115 u-105 | +260 | -325 |
| BetRivers | +5.5→+7.5-112 | 146.5→142.5o-110 u-113 | +245 | -335 |
| Caesars | +5.5→+7.5-110 | 146.5→143o-110 u-110 | +250 | -320 |
| Fanatics | +5.5→+7.5-115 | 146.5→143o-110 u-110 | +250 | -320 |
| BetOnline | +5.5→+7-105 | 145.5→143o-115 u-105 | +256 | -315 |
| Bovada | +7→+7.5-110 | 144→143o-115 u-105 | +260 | -320 |
| theScore Bet | +5.5→+7.5-120 | 146.5→142.5o-110 u-110 | +260 | -320 |
| Hard Rock | +5.5→+7.5-110 | 146.5→142.5o-110 u-110 | +260 | -325 |
| Kalshi | +5.5→+7.5-113 | 142.5o-113 u+108 | +257 | -285 |
| Polymarket | +7.5-104 | 142.5o-113 u+108 | +257 | -270 |
| Novig | — | 145.5→143.5o+102 u-106 | +270 | -277 |
DraftKings
FanDuel
BetMGM
BetRivers
Caesars
Fanatics
BetOnline
Bovada
theScore Bet
Hard Rock
Kalshi
Polymarket
Novigopen = first-sighted line for this event · now = latest capture
Head-to-head
this season and last| Date | Season | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Mon, Apr 6 | 2025-26 | UConn 63 – 69 Michigan(N) |
More games on Fri, Nov 6
- UMass vs Boston College · 4:00 PM ET
- AR-Pine Bluff at Baylor · 5:00 PM ET
- Northeastern at Virginia · 5:00 PM ET
- West Florida at FIU · 5:00 PM ET
- E Washington at Oregon · 6:00 PM ET
- Youngstown St at Ohio State · 6:30 PM ET
- SC State at SC Upstate · 6:30 PM ET
- Valparaiso at Purdue · 6:30 PM ET
- Presbyterian at Georgia · 7:00 PM ET
- E Michigan at Xavier · 7:00 PM ET
- Troy at Florida St · 7:00 PM ET
- Indiana St at Ball State · 7:00 PM ET
- Saint Louis vs Missouri · 7:00 PM ET
- Boston U at Brown · 7:00 PM ET
- American at Clemson · 7:00 PM ET
- Wofford at North Carolina · 7:00 PM ET
- Austin Peay at Kennesaw St · 7:00 PM ET
- ETSU at NC State · 7:00 PM ET
- Coppin St at George Mason · 7:00 PM ET
- GA Southern at Georgia Tech · 7:00 PM ET
- Loyola MD at Mount St Marys · 7:00 PM ET
- UNC Greensboro at Elon · 7:00 PM ET
- Holy Cross at Villanova · 7:00 PM ET
- Yale at UCF · 7:00 PM ET
- Stetson at West Virginia · 7:00 PM ET
- James Madison at Kentucky · 7:00 PM ET
- New Haven at Rutgers · 7:00 PM ET
- Arkansas St at Alabama · 7:30 PM ET
- Nicholls at UAB · 7:30 PM ET
- Delaware at Wisconsin · 7:30 PM ET
- FAU at Wright St · 7:30 PM ET
- Miss Valley St at Oklahoma · 8:00 PM ET
- Detroit Mercy at Marquette · 8:00 PM ET
- Southern Miss at Iowa State · 8:00 PM ET
- St Thomas at Minnesota · 8:00 PM ET
- Southern at TCU · 8:00 PM ET
- Stony Brook at Northwestern · 8:00 PM ET
- N Kentucky at Texas A&M · 8:00 PM ET
- Texas Southern at LSU · 8:00 PM ET
- Texas A&M-CC at Louisiana · 8:00 PM ET
- Robert Morris at UIC · 8:00 PM ET
- C Arkansas at Ole Miss · 8:30 PM ET
- E Illinois at Iowa · 8:30 PM ET
- Idaho St at Wyoming · 8:30 PM ET
- MTSU at Kansas · 9:00 PM ET
- CSU Northridge at Kansas St · 9:00 PM ET
- Queens at Oklahoma St · 9:00 PM ET
- Wagner at Miami · 9:00 PM ET
- N Colorado at Arizona St · 9:00 PM ET
- Omaha at BYU · 9:00 PM ET
- Idaho at Colorado St · 9:00 PM ET
- S Illinois at Kansas City · 9:15 PM ET
- Tarleton St at San Diego · 9:30 PM ET
- CA Baptist at Oregon St · 9:30 PM ET
- UT Arlington vs Portland · 9:30 PM ET
- N Dakota St at San Francisco · 10:00 PM ET
- Oakland at Stanford · 10:00 PM ET
- North Florida at UCLA · 10:30 PM ET
The CBB Matchups tab lays out the day's Division I slate: matchup, tip time, records and rank, and — once posted — the market spread and total (the median across books when no market line is up). Three views switch the table between projected scores, pace and totals, and each team's offensive and defensive tendencies. Each game opens into opponent-adjusted possessions, efficiency and four-factor tendencies for both teams, plus recent form, rotation and head-to-head history. Every game also carries our projected score, spread and total, from our line: the same view our bets are made from.
What these numbers mean: line shopping.